Slightly Bullish in the Early Session: BTC Breaks Above 77121, ETH Leads the Way—Don’t Blindly Chase
Overnight sentiment has been repaired, and at the open it immediately shows you the picture clearly.
BTC’s current price is 77629.6, up 0.519% over 24h. It moved from a low of 75588 to a high of 78057.6, with trading volume of 10.38B USDT. The funding rate is 0.0001—slightly positive. The bulls are a bit “lit,” but it’s nowhere near the point of overheating. The key line is this: it has already closed above the daily line PP at 77121.57. For resistance, watch R1 at 78655.13; for support, S1 at 76185.53. Until the high of 78057.6 is truly held and taken, don’t treat the rebound as a trend reversal.
ETH is even more aggressive. Current price: 2462.17, up 1.448%, with volume of 10.97B—more active than BTC. It has steadily held above PP 2434.49. Resistance: R1 at 2513.6. Support: S1 at 2383.47. ETH may be leading, but if you’re chasing higher, ask yourself first: is this the start of a trend—or just overnight short-covering?
BNB: 704.16, up 0.699%. High 707.77, low 677.29. Pivot PP 696. R1 714.7, S1 684.22. Follow the broader market—BNB isn’t showing an independent setup.
XRP is the weakest: 1.4976, down 0.266%. It reached a high of 1.5504 and then gave it back. PP is pinned around 1.5; R1 at 1.57, S1 at 1.45. Clearly, capital doesn’t want to stay.
Early-session outlook: slightly bullish, but not the kind of “bullish” that tells you to rush in with your eyes closed. As long as BTC holds 76185.53 and ETH holds 2383.47, the bullish narrative can continue. If price falls back below PP again, then the overnight rebound is just a lesson for late buyers.
Retail traders love to celebrate when the funding rate just turns positive and when the candlestick first flips red to green. The truth is colder: there is volume, but the positioning is mediocre. Before breaking 78655.13 and 2513.6, it’s all testing. The “faith” crowd can keep calling for new highs; the “data” crowd only cares whether price is being accepted by the market.
Today’s rhythm boils down to three lines: 1. The prerequisite for the bulls to have the advantage is that BTC doesn’t lose 76185.53; 2. The attack targets are clear: BTC to 78655.13, ETH to 2513.6; 3. If you spike and then fall back, don’t say you got fooled—that’s you treating the rebound as the main rally.
The market doesn’t owe anyone a breakout—it only rewards those who are on the right side of the levels.
Anthropic ускоряет IPO; expected fundraising amount could exceed SpaceX’s record
AI company Anthropic is accelerating its push toward an initial public offering (IPO). According to media reports citing people familiar with the matter, the company expects its IPO fundraising to match or even surpass the historical scale set by SpaceX. SpaceX’s initial fundraising totaled about $75 billion; after including the over-allotment option, it reached roughly $86.2 billion, which is seen as one of the largest IPOs in history. The discussions are still ongoing, and there are variables such as the final size. At this stage, it remains in the preparation and expectation phase rather than a priced, finalized outcome.
On key facts, Anthropic plans to publicly file listing documents as early as the end of this month and has already submitted confidential materials. It is working with underwriting teams at Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase, among other banks, to advance underwriting arrangements. In May of this year, the company completed about $65 billion in financing at a valuation of roughly $96.5 billion, exceeding OpenAI’s then-valuation of around $85.2 billion. On governance, the company is considering introducing a super-voting rights structure to strengthen post-IPO decision-making control for CEO Dario Amodei and the founding team. There are also reports that prior to the IPO it plans to finalize a revolving credit facility with a size higher than a prior target of about $10 billion. Performance shows high growth alongside heavy investment: preliminary second-quarter revenue exceeded $11.5 billion, jumping sharply from about $787 million in the same period last year. By the end of July, the annualized revenue run rate was around $65 billion. The adjusted operating profit for the second quarter is said to have turned positive, but the company is expected to record net losses of about $42 billion in 2025, expanding to nearly five times last year’s roughly $8.3 billion. The company also reached a compute-related agreement with SpaceX; over the next three years, the potential value could reach several tens of billions of dollars. Market participants believe that if it successfully goes public and breaks through existing fundraising thresholds, the size of the U.S. IPO market in 2026 could stand out even more. Its timing is also expected to be earlier than the target window, pointing to around 2027 for OpenAI.
From a logic standpoint, whether an ultra-large IPO can truly materialize depends less on “narrative heat” and more on whether the deal can be simultaneously accepted by the public market in three areas: first, whether revenue surges can sustainably cover capital expenditures on compute for training and inference; second, whether cash flow and financing structures during the high-loss phase are transparent, and thus can be priced; and third, whether arrangements such as super-voting rights can achieve a balance between liquidity and founder control. Its compute partnership with SpaceX links commercial spaceflight capacity, data centers, and spending for training cutting-edge models into a longer, capital-intensive chain—highlighting that the AI race is still fundamentally a competition for compute, energy, and balance sheets. It is important to separate facts from speculation: what has been disclosed includes the financing valuation, revenue and loss magnitudes, underwriting and governance directions, and the progress of confidential submissions. Claims such as “fundraising exceeds SpaceX’s record” or “rewriting the annual IPO ranking” still depend on the final offering size, market absorption capacity, and the pricing window, and therefore fall under forward-looking judgment.
Impact on the crypto market is mostly an indirect path via risk appetite and thematic mapping, rather than a direct mapping of fundamentals. A cluster of large AI companies moving toward public markets may reshape valuation anchors for global growth assets and influence the timing of capital flows between primary and secondary markets. If a “monster” issuer’s offering temporarily diverts risk budgets, it could suppress short-term risk appetite for highly volatile instruments, including crypto assets. If AI capital expenditures are interpreted as long-term productivity gains, optimism could propagate along two lines—liquidity expectations and correlations with technology stocks—into higher-beta assets. Meanwhile, constraints on compute, data centers, and energy may strengthen the “AI infrastructure” narrative and indirectly lift discussion momentum around compute-related applications, on-chain agents, and infrastructure themes. However, such mapping is mostly about sentiment and theme rotation, lacking a rigid cash-flow connection to any single token. Therefore, IPO rumor lines cannot be linearly extrapolated into market signals.
Editor’s take: The current main information thread comes from people familiar with the matter and media reports. The formal S-1 terms, the final fundraising range, equity-structure details, and the listing timing could still change. High revenue growth and expanding losses coexist, suggesting that accelerating commercialization has not removed the cost constraints of model iteration. For practitioners in crypto, what may be more worth tracking is how the AI capital expenditure cycle affects expectations for U.S. dollar liquidity, the correlation of Nasdaq growth stocks, and whether the on-chain AI narrative can move from slogans to verifiable demand—rather than directly equating a single company’s IPO prospects with market-direction signals. Going forward, attention should be paid to disclosures in public filings, the underwriting syndicate and credit arrangements being finalized, and changes to the timeline of peer companies’ listings, to distinguish between expected trades and actual progress.
🔥 Major Events 1. Analysis: Trump’s remarks sparked the altcoin rally; total market cap rose by $215B in three days — The analysis says the total altcoin market cap increased by $215B over three days from Aug 19 to Aug 22, up more than 24%; Total2 reclaimed $1T… 2. Saylor says the breakthrough in Bitcoin lies in digitizing economic resources — Strategy founder Michael Saylor said the most significant breakthrough of Bitcoin is its ability to convert economic resources into digital form… 3. Analysis: Nvidia doubles down on open-model deployment with deeper model-layer involvement — Some analysts claim Nvidia paid $6B to secure non-exclusive licensing for Poolside Model Factory’s technology…
📊 Market Data 1. Bitcoin breaks $77,000 — According to HTX market data, Bitcoin broke above $77,000; the 24-hour increase is 0.46%. The overall crypto market continued to warm up over the weekend… 2. Altcoins maintain the uptrend; AAVE breaks $130 with multiple coins leading — Over the weekend, the altcoin market maintained its uptrend, with AAVE breaking above $130. Coins including ZRO, DGB, STX, PUMP posted the biggest gains… 3. AAVE breaks 130 USDT, currently $131.72 — OKX data shows AAVE broke above 130 USDT and is now trading at 131.72 USDT, up 4.48% over 24 hours… 4. HYPE: Long positions remain in profit for October, about $57.18M — As HYPE broke $80 to refresh its high, longs holding positions for about ten months reportedly generated profits of $57.18M… 5. Analysts say a strong weekly reversal in Bitcoin may signal a new cycle — Analysts note that historically in the end stages of bear markets, strong weekly reversals often occur along with squeezes on shorts. In 2019, the one-week gain was 31.98%… 6. Analysis: Sell-wall orders pile up near $80,000 in Bitcoin — Data shows there are more sell orders near about $80,000; Binance has roughly $31.98M worth of sell orders around $79,945… 7. Jiang Zhuoer on FOMO: Missing the whole bull market is even more terrifying — Jiang Zhuoer says if $57,800 was the major bottom of this cycle, it would differ greatly from historical patterns; those waiting to buy the dip may miss it easily… 8. Maji adds about $4.22M in Bitcoin long positions — After Huang Licheng closed BTC long positions at a loss of about $2.46M, he opened longs again, adding a position of about $4.22M, with an entry price of $76,719.4… 9. FalconX transfers about 80,200 HYPE to exchanges — Monitoring shows FalconX transferred 80,200 HYPE to trading platforms over the past day, worth about $6.27M… 10. A giant whale takes profit of about $7.24M in ETH; profit expected at $1.91M — Monitoring says a certain whale recharged 3,000 ETH to Binance again; the average recharge price is about $2,413.4, versus an average cost of about $1,776.83… 11. Maji slightly reduces ETH long positions; remaining still about $68.77M — Huang Licheng trimmed about $1.02M worth of ETH long positions to take profit; the remaining position is still worth about $68.77M, with an entry price of $2,357… 12. Tom Lee says next week could be a window for US stocks’ direction; AI confidence is key — BitMine chairman Tom Lee said next week may become a turning-point window for the stock market… 13. US Composite PMI rises to 56, showing growth momentum accelerating — S&P Global’s US Composite PMI rose by 1.5 points to 56.0 in August, the highest since April 2022, and the third consecutive month of growth…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 1. South Korea plans to strengthen regulation next month on stock-linked securities and similar products — Reports say South Korea’s regulators plan to step up oversight of structured products such as ELS next month, requiring warnings when nearing the principal-loss trigger line and a reassessment of product design…
💡 Project Updates 1. CZ will attend EASY’s 4th-quarter Bhutan roadshow, 5th season focusing on AI — CZ said the EASY Residency Demo Day in Q4 will be held in Bhutan next week, and he will attend in person… 2. CZ says Giggle’s second-largest anonymous donation came from its public address — CZ cited the donation leaderboard to say that Giggle Academy’s second-largest “anonymous” donation actually came from a previously public address, thanking contributors… 3. SafePal updates its security progress: reviewing orders and combating phishing — SafePal said it is tracking phishing websites and impersonation accounts, and plans to bring in professional anti-phishing firms to improve handling efficiency…
📊 Market Overview: BTC $77,203 (-0.14%), funding rate 0.0100%; ETH $2,426.81 (-0.08%), funding rate 0.0100% 📍 Daily line buy/sell levels: $BTC daily sell point $78,441 | daily buy point $76,119 / $ETH daily sell point $2,506.25 | daily buy point $2,360.27 / BNB daily sell point $721.19 | daily buy point $676.16
Staying Up All Day Only Rose 0.18%—Are the Bulls Playing Dead or Are They Holding Back a Big Move?
From BTC’s intraday low of 75,588, it bounced up to 77,296, a gain of 0.184%. Is this even considered a “rebound”? If we put it bluntly, it’s like an elevator stuck halfway between floors. Trading volume: 846 million USDT. Funding rate: 0.0001. Neither side has any “gunpowder” in the mood. Every time it touches the high at 77,590 it instantly shrinks back. The daily PP at 77,475 can’t hold either, and price is still grinding below the axis.
ETH, at least, shows a bit more face: up 0.408% to 2,433.3. It pulled up from a low of 2,355.38, but it’s also capped below PP 2,445. BNB is basically flat: 0.024%—it might as well be doing nothing—hovering around the 695 area.
XRP is the most active: it pulled back from 1.4286 to 1.4944, with volume of 217 million. Retail traders’ attention is once again being led astray.
Eight words summarize the day: People catch the dips, but there’s no volume on the push. Don’t dream of a dramatic breakout rally during the night session. The key is just two lines— If BTC holds 76,119, only then do the bulls have the right to try 78,440; If 76,119 is lost, the daytime low at 75,588 gets reopened—don’t expect any V-shaped miracle.
For ETH, watch support at 2,360. Above that, 2,506 is a distant target, not something you’ll touch tonight.
With a neutral funding rate and narrowing volatility, who’s going to serve you “night-session fuel”? Those who chased highs during the day already paid their tuition—now they’re starting to fantasize about a second wave again. The data leans slightly bullish, but being bullish isn’t the same as trend confirmation.
For the night session, just watch around 77,296. Only when it stabilizes above 77,590 can it be called having conviction. Grinding down to 76,119 means continuing to waste time. The more anxious retail traders get, the more the market loves to drag things out.
Bitcoin surges more than 23% in a single week, recording its largest weekly gain in more than three years
In recent days, the cryptocurrency market has seen a relatively fast-paced rebound. According to media reports, Bitcoin rose for five consecutive trading days and stood above $78,000 on Friday. The weekly cumulative gain exceeded 23%, marking the largest one-week rise since March 2023. The market has since discussed whether Bitcoin is entering a technical bull market. In the same period, Ethereum broke above $2,500, with major assets generally strengthening in tandem—an indication that the move is not isolated to a single asset.
First, it’s important to clarify: the above price levels and percentage gains are based on after-the-fact summarization of that week’s trading, and are reports of what has already happened, not a real-time description of the current order book.
The core facts can be summarized in three points. First, Bitcoin completed a five-day winning streak and closed the week with a weekly gain of more than 20%, with the timing reaching back to since March 2023. Second, on Friday, the price touched and held above the $78,000 level, making its weekly performance especially striking. Third, the rally has not been driven solely by spot buying; the reports indicate that nearly 190,000 people were liquidated across the global crypto market, with total liquidation amounts of about $1.535 billion. Among this, short positions accounted for roughly $1.236 billion of liquidations, forcing shorts to exit and providing a significant boost to the upward move. Ethereum’s breakout above $2,500 suggests that, at least at the level of major coins, the strength in this round has some degree of synchronicity.
Breaking down the logic, a weekly gain of over 23% typically reflects the combined effect of three forces: trend-following shorts stopping out or being liquidated at key levels, short-term capital chasing momentum, and the market repricing the question of whether a trend reversal is underway. The liquidation amount for shorts is clearly higher than that for longs. This implies that the previously crowded short structure was cleared out in a rapid price advance, creating a short-term positive feedback loop—“rising prices trigger liquidations, and liquidations further propel prices higher.” As for a “technical bull market,” it generally describes a structural change after the rebound from a phase low reaches a specific threshold. It reflects the pace of chart stabilization and drawdown repair, and does not automatically mean that macro liquidity, the regulatory environment, or long-term fundamentals have fully strengthened. Extending the “technical” definition directly into confirmation of medium- to long-term trends can easily blur time horizons.
To understand the impact on the crypto market, it’s helpful to think in terms of mechanisms rather than slogans. First, Bitcoin’s strength often improves overall risk appetite first, and then determines whether liquidity spills over to other assets; if it remains limited to Bitcoin alone, market breadth is still likely to be limited. Second, after large-scale short liquidations, leverage crowding declines, and the short-term volatility “center” may rise, but if subsequent spot and medium-to-long-term capital fail to step in consistently, pullbacks after a spike will also occur more quickly. Third, synchronized strength in major assets such as Ethereum helps reduce the fragility of “only a single asset is strong,” making the rebound more like a repair of risk appetite rather than a mere squeeze.
The above pathways are mechanism-based reasoning based on already disclosed liquidation events and price behavior. They discuss transmission channels, not assertions about the direction of the next stage.
From an editorial perspective, this week’s significance lies in using a sufficiently large weekly gain to break the market’s expectation of weakness or ongoing range-bound trading, forcing it to reassess the short-term trend. However, a single-week surge often also raises volatility. Going forward, what should be observed more closely is the quality of follow-through during pullbacks, whether trading is healthy, and whether the macro and policy environment can provide continued support. A more prudent framing is to view this rally as a strong rebound driven by the resonance between leverage unwinds and sentiment repair. Whether it evolves into an uptrend over a longer time horizon still requires more evidence from both the capital flow side and fundamentals; it should not be replaced by a single technical label.
BSTR Terminates Cantor SPAC Merger Plan; Bitcoin Treasury Listing Called Off
BSTR Holdings, a Bitcoin treasury company supported by Adam Back, has recently reached an agreement with Cantor Equity Partners I to terminate the business combination agreement both sides had previously signed. The planned path to go public via this SPAC and transition into a publicly traded Bitcoin reserves company has now been halted. The arrangement was once seen as an important attempt to bring institutionalized Bitcoin allocation capabilities to the public markets; now, with negotiations between the two parties, it has been formally wrapped up.
Regarding the background, BSTR and Cantor Equity Partners I signed a business combination agreement on July 16, 2025. The goal was to use the SPAC route to complete a public listing, with Bitcoin reserves and related treasury strategies as the core business positioning. Public information shows the project received support from Adam Back, and the market at one point interpreted it as one of the samples extending the institutional Bitcoin narrative into the U.S. public markets. Meanwhile, industry discussions around structured financing methods such as Bitcoin treasury tools, convertible bonds, and preferred shares have also been quite active, which is why BSTR’s path to listing drew attention.
On the core facts, both sides have agreed to terminate the merger agreement. BSTR said that Bitcoin and publicly listed Bitcoin treasury-type tools are still facing significant pricing pressure. A mismatch in the market environment has limited the effective use of leverage strategies tools such as convertible bonds and perpetual preferred shares. Even so, the company still believes that as the market gradually stabilizes, opportunities for Bitcoin allocations and related leveraged investments in the public markets may reappear. BSTR co-founder and CEO Adam Back said Cantor Equity Partners I and the Cantor team have always been excellent partners, and this termination is a decision made jointly by both sides. Even in the current environment, the company still sees a substantial demand in the market for Bitcoin returns, and has continued to build the relevant capabilities over the past year. BSTR co-founder and Chief Investment Officer Sean Bill said the team has assembled professionals in institutional investing and Bitcoin protocol, and will continue to design, build, and expand institution-level strategies aimed at Bitcoin returns and building the Bitcoin capital markets. Other reports indicate that BSTR Holdings must pay Cantor Equity Partners I $10 million by September 19 and $5 million by December 1, or otherwise it may be required to have Blockstream Capital Partners make the payments on its behalf.
Breaking down the logic, the termination decision appears to be more of a realignment of financing and valuation terms than a straightforward rejection of the Bitcoin treasury model itself. If publicly listed Bitcoin treasury tools continue to face pressure, it would directly compress the pricing space and investor acceptance for instruments such as convertible bonds and preferred shares, thereby weakening the capital structure support needed for a SPAC merger. By choosing to terminate together, the parties indicate that under the given terms, the cost-benefit of proceeding with the listing is no longer a match. At the same time, BSTR emphasized it will continue to pursue its Bitcoin treasury business, meaning that business capability building and the listing pathway are two separable tracks. Exiting the current public listing arrangement in the short term does not mean exiting related asset and strategy deployments.
As for the impact path on the crypto market, it mainly shows up on expectations and the structure level. First, the pace at which institutions quickly form a narrative of “a Bitcoin reserves public company” through SPACs may slow down, making the market more sensitive to valuation discounts and financing difficulty for similar merger listings. Second, attention in the Bitcoin treasury segment may shift from “getting listed as soon as possible” to “whether it can obtain sustainable capital instruments and reasonable pricing in the public markets.” Third, for retail investors, events of this kind more often affect risk appetite and topic heat rather than directly changing the fundamentals of the Bitcoin network. What truly needs monitoring is whether there will be subsequent alternative listing routes, private financing arrangements, and how the public-market Bitcoin-related equity instruments’ premium/discount may correct.
Editor’s view and observations: This termination provides a calm, case-study sample— even with industry-known supporters and a clear Bitcoin treasury positioning, the public-market path still heavily depends on the pricing environment and whether structured financing is feasible. BSTR chose to keep pushing the business while ending the current SPAC merger, which is a pragmatic adjustment under constraints. What is worth tracking going forward is whether its institutional strategy can continue to be implemented under a non-listed framework, and the time window in which similar Bitcoin treasury entities may regain space for capital instruments in the public markets, rather than whether a single transaction succeeds or fails. From a factual standpoint, the merger has been terminated, the payment milestones and statements by both parties are already clear. As to when the market stabilizes and when leverage tools may become effective again, those remain forward-looking judgments that should be distinguished from later disclosures.
ETH drops 5%, XRP collapses 12%—the midday sell-off is only just getting warmed up
Don’t pretend to be dead in the midday session. BTC 76621, down 2.38% on the day. The 24h high at 78589 was pressed down directly; the low has already been touched at 76425. Turnover: 9.06B—volume isn’t small, and the sellers show real intent.
ETH looks even worse: 2380, down 5.38%. From the high of 2517, it’s been bleeding all the way back,吐回去. Turnover: 10.06B, even more aggressive than BTC. Capital is clearly moving against Ether. BNB gets hit in tandem too: 682, down nearly 6%; the low is 681—just one breath away from the intraday floor.
The worst is XRP. 1.454, down 12.53%. High at 1.701, low at 1.3838. In half a day it has completely shattered yesterday’s fantasies. Turnover: 3.75B—liquidity is enough, and when it sells off, it sells off cleanly. Who’s still shouting “altcoins have an independent行情”? In the main sell-off leg, altcoins only die first.
Funding rates for BTC, ETH, and XRP are all near 0.0001. The longs haven’t been squeezed into爆仓, but it’s also not like shorts are overly crowded. Translate it: this isn’t a short-squeeze rebound structure—it’s selling pressure flowing with the trend. Retail traders are still betting on a V-shape; what the chart is giving you is a slow drift lower with volume expanding.
The direction is very clear—bearish signals are obvious. BTC first watches whether 76119 can hold; if it can’t, the intraday structure continues to break down. Above, 78440 is a distant target—right now even the midline at 77475 is being pinned overhead. ETH key is 2360; losing it means the second leg. If the rebound can’t reclaim 2445, treat it as a dead-cat bounce. BNB support to watch at 676; XRP around 1.33. Don’t talk about faith halfway up the mountain—price will teach you.
Midday takeaway: majors are all down together, volume is cooperating, funding isn’t extreme—downside risk remains high. Any rebound is a de-leveraging window, not a reason to pop the champagne again.
S&P 500 Ends the Week Higher but Logs Five Consecutive Down Sessions
Recent signs of a notable adjustment have emerged in the U.S. stock benchmark indexes. As an important global risk-asset pricing reference, changes in the weekly and daily performance of the S&P 500 often prompt investors to reassess liquidity conditions and risk appetite. This adjustment is occurring against a backdrop where mega-cap tech stocks have remained heavily weighted, and market attention to index structure and internal rotation has clearly increased.
On key facts, according to a report by Caixin (Cailian She) on August 22, as of Thursday’s close, the S&P 500 has fallen for the fifth straight trading day, setting the longest streak of consecutive declines since the selloff that ended on January 2. The total decline over five sessions is about 1.5%, which is not dramatic, but the weekly drop is roughly 1.2%, directly ending the prior streak of consecutive weekly gains. Meanwhile, large-cap tech stocks have weighed significantly on the index: ETFs tracking the “Magnificent Seven” are down about 3.5% this week, while an Invesco S&P 500 equal-weight ETF is actually up about 0.1% for the week. Extending through August to date, the S&P 500 has gained roughly 0.5%, trailing the equal-weight version’s increase of about 1.2%; ETFs tied to the Magnificent Seven are down about 0.4%. The data indicate that the market-cap-weighted index and the equal-weight index have diverged, and the pullback in mega-cap tech is the main source of the index weakening.
In terms of logic, mega-cap tech stocks have an extremely high weight in the S&P 500, and their period of weakness is enough to steer the index’s direction. The equal-weight index has held up relatively better, suggesting that a broader group of stocks has not seen a synchronized, sharp pullback. Instead, capital appears to be rotating between mega-cap tech and other sectors, rather than withdrawing from U.S. equities altogether. Some strategy views interpret this as profit-taking after a run of consecutive gains by AI and growth stocks, especially as investors digest normal positioning before major tech companies report earnings. Other analysts frame the market as two parallel components—an “AI-related sector” and “other sectors”—arguing that for the index to move steadily higher, both need to contribute. If the index relies only on high-weight tech stocks, volatility and drawdown risks would be more concentrated. Additional research suggests that after the equal-weight index is temporarily oversold, it may offer some trading reference value, but long-term returns still typically lag the market-cap-weighted version. The above judgments are explanations of market structure and behavior, not conclusions about the direction of future gains or losses.
As for the transmission pathway to the crypto market, it shows up more in risk appetite and sentiment effects. Major crypto assets such as Bitcoin have, in some phases, exhibited linkage with U.S. tech and growth sectors. When the S&P 500 declines for consecutive sessions and the Magnificent Seven face clear pressure, some capital may temporarily reduce exposure to high-volatility assets, creating indirect pressure on the crypto market. If the market views this adjustment as healthy rotation rather than deterioration in macro conditions or earnings expectations, then sentiment shocks are usually limited and short-lived. Conversely, if the tech pullback spreads and triggers broader deleveraging, crypto assets as risk assets could also move in tandem. What needs to be clearly distinguished is this: the index’s consecutive down days and the weekly reversal are already facts that have occurred. The specific degree to which that affects crypto depends on the strength of cross-market linkage, the liquidity environment, and crypto’s own fundamentals; it cannot be simply equated with or linearly extrapolated from stock-index moves.
Editor’s assessment and observations hold that this five-day losing streak is relatively mild in cumulative magnitude, and the weekly retracement does not show signs of an uncontrolled selloff. Multiple market strategy voices tend to categorize it as a normal adjustment and repositioning of holdings. Mega-cap tech has differentiated after accumulating gains earlier—this is a common type of internal structural change in the market. Key variables going forward still hinge on whether corporate earnings can validate underlying profit resilience, and whether economic data continue to support the pricing of overall risk assets. For cross-market participants, focusing only on the S&P 500 level can cause investors to overlook breadth and weight structure; combining the equal-weight performance with relative strength/weakness in the tech sector can help form a more complete view of how risk appetite may be shifting. Crypto investors may monitor the sentiment mapping driven by volatility in traditional markets, but they should separate the linkage effects of actual U.S. stock index adjustments from speculative interpretations, and avoid magnifying short-term index movement into trend-like conclusions.
ETH falls on volume, down nearly 4%; BTC stays below 77,475. Don’t get optimistic in the morning
Overnight sentiment is chilly. The opening basically slapped us in the face. BTC is currently at 77,248.9, down 1.045% in 24h. The high at 78,831.8 was rejected early and thrown back. The low at 76,510.0 is right under our feet. Price is still below the daily PP at 77,475.43—so are we really talking about a reversal from here? Get back above it first. ETH looks even worse. 2,427.18, down 3.943%. Trading volume: 1.035B USD, surpassing BTC’s 953M. Selling pressure with volume expansion—this isn’t something you can brush off with a “just washing” narrative. The 24h low at 2,384.0 is right at the door; below that is S1 at 2,360.27. Funding rate is 0.0001. The longs are still slowly paying—no fear whatsoever. That kind of calm is often the most expensive. BNB is actually in the green: 699.13, up 1.222%; XRP 1.5013, up 2.06%. Alts putting on a show while the leaders bleed out—this structure is exactly what retail traders love to chase the wrong side of. The morning session won’t turn—bear signals are clear. BTC hinges on two levels: above, 77,475.43 is the bulls’ “face”; if it can’t hold, it’s just a weak rebound. Below, once 76,510.0 breaks, S1 at 76,119.07 will quickly become the next stop. If a rebound only reaches around R1 78,440.87, that’s where it’s worth testing whether the shorts are finally loosening—not now, where people are comforting themselves in mid-air. ETH is even more straightforward: if 2,384.0 can’t hold, 2,360.27 opens the door. To “move on,” at minimum, first reclaim the PP at 2,445.13. Don’t borrow comfort from a little green in the alts. With volume-price divergence and trading below the pivot, morning sentiment is bearish. Let the data speak—don’t wait for pullback “education.”
TRUMP team’s outlook on SOL and Bitcoin warms up 📰 Crypto Morning News | 2026-08-23 09:00
🔥 Major Events 1. TRUMP team address transfers out 3.837 million SOL and flows into OKX — On-chain monitoring shows the TRUMP token team address transferred out 3.837 million SOL about an hour ago, worth about $9.33 million… 2. Trump’s son denies plans to launch a new token and says the news is fraudulent — Eric Trump denied claims that Donald Trump will launch a new token… 3. Nvidia AI servers may rise in price by more than 15%; multiple products affected — Driven by rising memory chip costs, Nvidia has informed some major customers that servers equipped with its AI chips will increase in price by more than 15% in most cases… 4. Trump traded more than 1,000 securities in June covering Coinbase and others — Financial disclosures show that in June this year Trump conducted more than 1,000 securities trades; the total amount by bracket was about $78.10 million to $263.1 million…
📊 Market Data 1. Standard Chartered: ETF inflows combined with short liquidations could push Bitcoin toward $126,000 — A digital assets research head at Standard Chartered said Bitcoin’s year-end $100,000 target may be too low; they also noted that on August 21 the price rose to $79,500… 2. NFT trading volume surged 155.23% over the past week to $97.86 million — This week’s NFT trading volume rose from last week’s $35.29 million to $97.86 million, up 155.23%… 3. Peter Thiel’s latest 13F discloses eight holdings; Amazon tops the list — SEC filings show that as of June 30, Thiel Macro held 8 stocks with a total value of about $418.7 million… 4. After a plunge in Korean stocks, retail investors shift to high-yield stock-linked structured products — After a rout in the stock market, Korean retail investors moved toward complex structured products; ELS with annualized coupons as high as 40% to 50% have been back in favor…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 1. Ansem says Kraken has a complete CFTC license and cooperation with HIP-3 is feasible — Ansem said that if Hyperliquid wants to operate in the U.S. in compliance, Kraken could be one of the potential partners…
💡 Project Updates 1. BNBOT market cap on BSC breaks $640k and is linked to a robot trading narrative — Monitoring shows BNBOT market cap on BSC has broken $640k. Related information mentions that UbXtree G1 robots’ plan to connect to visual models and AI with 10,000…
📊 Market Overview: BTC $77,313 (-0.74%), funding rate 0.0100%; ETH $2,430.14 (-3.58%), funding rate 0.0100% 📍 Daily trade levels: $BTC daily sell point $78,441 | daily buy point $76,119 / $ETH daily sell point $2,506.25 | daily buy point $2,360.27 / BNB daily sell point $721.19 | daily buy point $676.16
GrayScale continues to push forward its Zcash-related listed product pipeline. Reports say that on August 21, GrayScale filed its fifth amendment with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to further advance its Zcash ETF listing plan. The latest filing shows that the product is planned to be officially renamed “The Zcash ETF,” with an annual management fee rate of 2.5%. It is expected to be listed on the NYSE Arca exchange under the ticker ZCH. The custodian will be Coinbase Custody Trust Company, and the transfer agent will be The Bank of New York Mellon. The ETF is planned to be converted from GrayScale’s existing Zcash trust, which has been operating since 2017; the trust currently manages assets of more than $260 million.
Looking at the product evolution path, GrayScale is not creating a new fund from scratch, but rather moving an existing trust-share mechanism toward a more standardized exchange-traded structure. Previously, in the fourth amendment to the relevant registration documents, it was disclosed that GrayScale planned to list the trust for trading on NYSE Arca. After listing, authorized participants would be able to continuously subscribe and redeem shares. Compared with the earlier state, the trust had mainly been traded in the over-the-counter market and did not support redemptions. The fourth amendment also mentioned that GrayScale’s parent company, Digital Currency Group, and one of its subsidiaries had discussed subscribing for trust shares using approximately 200,000 ZEC, but at the time no binding agreement had been formed; the final subscription amount could therefore change or be canceled. The fifth amendment provides more specific descriptions regarding naming, fees, custody, transfer agent, and the listing code, making the “trust-to-ETF” path clearer.
Facts and speculation should be separated. Confirmed facts already disclosed are: the application has entered the fifth amendment stage; the product will use the new name and list under the ZCH code; the fee, custody, and transfer arrangements have been specified; the underlying assets come from a long-running Zcash trust with assets of more than $260 million; and the parent-company ecosystem previously had talks related to a subscription of about 200,000 ZEC. What has not been verified includes: when the registration statement becomes effective, when the exchange will ultimately allow trading, whether the aforementioned subscription discussions will materialize, and how actively subscriptions and redemptions will be once the product launches. An increased number of amendments typically means the issuer is refining documentation based on regulator and exchange feedback; it does not automatically mean approval has been granted.
As for how this affects the crypto market, it is better to understand it in terms of structure and channels rather than simply mapping it to short-term price upswings or downswings. First, if privacy-asset-related products enter a regulated listing framework, some investors may gain access to more standardized compliance-oriented exposure tools, which could change configuration entry points. Second, what truly determines whether capital flows in is custody security, subscription/redemption efficiency, the quality of disclosures, and the fee level. A 2.5% annual management fee rate is relatively high and will directly affect long-term holding costs and the product’s competitiveness. Third, after a trust converts into an ETF, the linkage between the primary market’s creations/redemptions and the secondary market’s trading could change ZEC availability in institutional accounts; however, the strength of this transmission depends on the final approval timeline and whether the market-making and custody “closed loop” is smooth. Before approval, market sentiment often moves ahead of actual capital flows, so information interpretation should be measured.
The editor’s view is that the value of this fifth amendment lies in moving the product shape from a “trust registration still under revision” to an “ETF plan with clearer name, fees, custody, and ticker code.” For observers, the process should be broken into three steps: continuous document revisions, registration effectiveness and exchange listing trading, and post-launch subscription/redemption activity and scale changes. Only once the latter two steps are completed can there be a sustained impact on spot liquidity and institutional allocations. The more prudent conclusion at this point is: GrayScale is still actively advancing a Zcash compliance-trading product, and the clause details are becoming more complete; however, the outcome still depends on regulatory review and subsequent implementation, so the act of amending the filing itself should not be equated with the product already being opened for trading.
BTC surged to 78831 again and then slipped back—altcoin party mode while it “pretends to be dead”
Evening recap, let’s peel it apart directly. BTC’s full-day gain is only 0.504%. After tagging the high of 78831.8, it was immediately pressed back. Current price: 77140.1, exactly grinding just above and below the daily PP at 76952.33. The 24h range is 76237.0 to 78831.8. The long upper wick indicts the longs: people who chased higher have already given the market a lesson. Trading volume: 18.44 billion USDT. Funding rate: 0.0001. Leveraged longs didn’t even dare to lift their heads. Now look at the side stage: ETH is up 2.183%, trading at 2423.1, but it failed to hold above the high of 2549.4. BNB is up 2.916% to 694.66. XRP straight up pumps 9.461%, hits a high of 1.701, and then spits back down to 1.4879. Altcoins are having fun; BTC is acting dead. Who still dares to call this a comprehensive trend? Wake up. Everyone’s funding rate is pinned around 0.0001, indicating big money hasn’t stepped in to continue the momentum—retail is on the FOMO leaderboard while the main force watches from the sidelines. XRP has a “high tide” once per day: from 1.701 back to 1.4879. Daily R1 at 1.53 is real overhead pressure. Don’t treat a rally-and-retrace as a perpetual-motion engine. For the night session, only two lines: 1. If BTC holds 76952.33, it earns the right to push again toward 78831.8. The real room opens only when you watch daily R1 at 80912.27. 2. If BTC loses 76952.33, then by necessity the 76237.0 today’s low comes next. Break the rhythm and it points directly to S1 74349.17. Don’t get carried away with ETH. 2549.4 was a false-breakout scene; current price 2423.1 is hovering below the PP at 2463.07. The daily buy point at 2376.73 was lost—once that happens, the long narrative turns instantly dirty. Even if BNB is strong, you still have to see whether it can digest near 702.38; 694.66 is only the mid-stage. Clear direction: the structure is biased bullish, but BTC doesn’t hold the dominant power. Whether the next day can turn stronger depends on whether BTC borrows ETH/XRP’s residual heat to retake 78831.8 and stand firm. If it can’t get back there, it’s just top-end exhaustion plus rotation theater—altcoin gains can’t indict the weak BTC “big pie.” Retail watching the leaderboard is the easiest way to get hit. The data is right here: funding isn’t hot, BTC shrinks and pulls back, and alts go crazy first. Once night-session liquidity thins, false breakouts love to harvest the hesitant. Key levels are fixed in stone: 76952.33, 78831.8, 74349.17. Break levels—watch the levels; don’t watch feelings.
The U.S. Imposes a 50% Tariff Surcharge on Certain Goods from Canada, Scheduled to Take Effect on Time
Trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada have once again been upgraded through tariff tools. On July 20, 2026, the U.S. White House announced that President Trump signed multiple proclamations under Article 338 of the 1930 Smoot–Hawley Tariff Act, imposing a 50% tariff surcharge on hundreds of specific goods imported from Canada. According to the timetable released by the White House at the time, the measures took effect starting August 19, U.S. Eastern Time. In recent days, market attention has focused precisely on this scheduled tariff arrangement and its spillover effects on bilateral trade and overall risk appetite.
On the key facts, Xinhua News Agency, citing a White House fact sheet, said the U.S. would impose tariffs on Canadian goods such as red wine, hockey sticks, and cement, even if these products comply with the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement. The newly added tariffs do not apply to energy products, goods already subject to tariffs under Section 232 of the 1962 Trade Expansion Act, and certain key minerals. Observers.com (Guandian) also cited related reports stating that the new tariffs involve Canadian goods worth about $20 billion, covering categories such as electrical equipment, machinery, wine, and hockey sticks. The White House’s stated public rationale is to offset the burden and disadvantages that U.S. businesses face due to what it calls Canada’s discriminatory practices. The proclamation also lists cases such as Canada imposing tariffs and quotas on U.S. automobiles, stopping procurement in multiple locations of retail distribution of U.S. alcoholic beverages, and imposing tariff quota constraints on U.S. cheese that are stronger than those applied to similar products from the EU. Canadian Prime Minister Carney responded the same day, saying the move is the latest in a series of unilateral trade actions by the U.S. that violate the U.S.–Canada–Mexico agreement. He said Canada has submitted detailed proposals to resolve the dispute and is prepared to continue discussions, and will also take all necessary measures to strengthen its own capabilities. Ontario Premier Ford publicly urged that if tariffs are implemented, they should be met with tariffs in return—tariff for tariff, and U.S. dollar for U.S. dollar.
From the standpoint of rules and logic, the U.S. is invoking trade provisions that are nearly a century old. The provision allows the president, upon determining that another country discriminates against U.S. goods, to impose tariffs of up to 50% on that country’s goods. However, for a long time it has rarely been used in practice to levy tariff surcharges. More importantly, the White House emphasized that after the new tariffs take effect, goods covered by the U.S.–Mexico–Canada Agreement will also not receive exemptions, highlighting a tendency to push unilateral measures beyond the existing framework of regional agreements. The exemption list mainly focuses on strategic categories such as energy and key minerals, as well as goods for which separate tariffs have already been applied in industries such as automobiles and metals, reflecting differential treatment for supply-chain-sensitive areas. Canada, meanwhile, frames the issue as a unilateral action that violates the agreement and signals that countermeasures and negotiations will proceed in parallel—meaning the contest between the two sides continues in legal narratives, industrial protection, and political messaging.
Regarding the impact on the crypto market, it is more likely to be transmitted indirectly through macro channels rather than directly mapping to a single specific bilateral tariff list. Escalating trade friction typically disrupts risk appetite, expectations for U.S. dollar liquidity, and safe-haven sentiment. If uncertainty rises, risk assets may face intermittent pressure; mainstream crypto assets such as Bitcoin sometimes move in the same direction as global risk appetite. If tariffs raise local inflation expectations and also influence interest-rate and liquidity pricing, they may also change the valuation environment for high-volatility assets. What needs to be clearly distinguished is that the above is a scenario analysis based on macro transmission mechanisms—not a claim about the direction of prices in any particular time period, and it does not constitute trading advice. Actual market performance still depends on global liquidity, the policies of major economies, and the interaction of geopolitics and risk events; a single scheduled tariff implementation alone is not enough to define the market’s central trend.
In an editorial observation, since the measures take effect at the pre-set time, they follow the U.S. path of pressuring trade partners with high-rate tariff surcharges. The range of covered categories extends from traditional industrial goods to consumer goods and sports products, with both symbolic significance and real costs. Canada emphasizes the constraints of the agreement and its domestic strength; at the provincial level, calls for reciprocal retaliation have emerged. Whether there will be verifiable retaliatory lists later and whether negotiations will resume will determine the intensity of the friction. For participants in the crypto market, it is more appropriate to focus on the medium-term changes in macro risk appetite, and expectations for the U.S. dollar and interest rates, rather than directly translating bilateral tariff news into short-term trading signals. At the factual level, the tariff rate, the broad coverage scope, exemption categories, and the effective date have already been stated in official disclosures. Whether the scope will expand or whether it will trigger a chain of retaliatory actions remains a dynamic development afterward and should be viewed strictly separately from the already announced arrangements.
Base-chain SAND allegedly faces an infinite minting attack; more than 500 million tokens have already been minted
Around The Sandbox project and its metaverse and virtual land economic model, the project’s native token SAND has recently raised serious security concerns. Multiple media outlets, citing market rumors and on-chain observations, claim that SAND deployed on the Base network has allegedly suffered a severe security vulnerability. The attacker reportedly obtained permission to mint tokens, allowing arbitrary additional issuance.
In terms of core facts, on-chain data shows that the vulnerability-related incident has already minted more than 500 million SAND, and the attacking behavior was still ongoing when the reports were disclosed. The market is therefore concerned that a large volume of new supply could impact the price of SAND. As of the time of publication, The Sandbox has not issued an official response. The specific cause of the vulnerability, how the attacker obtained minting privileges, and where the newly minted tokens have gone all remain to be confirmed. The above reflects cross-sourced market reports and on-chain observations, not the project’s final, definitive conclusion.
From a technical logic breakdown, the industry commonly categorizes such situations as an “infinite minting vulnerability.” Typical triggers include defects in smart contract permission controls or flaws in the minting logic, which allow an attacker to bypass existing constraints, generate large amounts of tokens, and ultimately cause supply to go out of control and dilute market value. It is important to clearly distinguish: this is a general summary of the mechanics behind similar attacks, and it cannot be directly equated to the confirmed root cause of this specific incident. Until audit reports and official explanations are released, how the permissions were obtained, and which layer of contract control failed, are still unresolved issues. The fact that the incident occurred on the Base network also highlights that, in cross-chain deployment scenarios, permission layering, multisig design, and minting switch configuration are always key components of secure project operations.
Regarding the impact on the crypto market, the pathway can be observed across three dimensions: supply, trust/governance, and the ecosystem. On the supply side, if abnormal minting is true and ongoing, it would directly rewrite expectations for SAND circulating supply and total supply, weaken scarcity narratives, and raise selling pressure and pricing uncertainty. On the trust and governance side, whether the official response is timely; whether relevant contracts are paused or limited; how already minted tokens are handled; and whether they can explain the origin of permissions and provide a repair timeline—all of these will affect the community’s, market makers’, and custodians’ assessment of governance capability. On the ecosystem side, as one of the representative assets in the metaverse sector, SAND security incidents may prompt the market to reassess the robustness of underlying contracts for similar virtual assets. In relatively fragmented Layer2 environments, supply shocks are more likely to transmit into deeper changes and volatility. These pathways are scenario-based transmission analyses based on known information; the actual magnitude depends on subsequent on-chain remediation, whether the tokens enter tradable circulation, and the coordinated actions between exchanges and security firms, and should not be understood as a predetermined outcome.
Editorial assessment and observation suggest that the current information structure still largely uses “suspected” language, with market rumors and on-chain minting data as the main basis. The core numbers—“over 500 million minted,” “the attack is still ongoing,” and “no official response yet”—have been cited consistently across multiple channels, giving them relatively higher credibility. However, the root causes, the origin of permissions, the destination of newly minted tokens, and the final scope of losses have not yet been confirmed through an authoritative closed-loop verification. Facts and speculation must be separated: the disclosed facts are that SAND on the Base network allegedly lost control of minting permissions and produced large-scale additional issuance; speculation includes long-term valuation shocks, capital migrating to competing ecosystems, and adjustments to market making and derivatives risk controls, all of which still need to be validated. Observers should subsequently prioritize tracking official statements, contract fixes and permission revocation progress, the movement of funds associated with the anomalous minting addresses, and whether security institutions publish a more complete technical post-incident analysis—then evaluate the incident boundaries accordingly, rather than amplifying a single narrative while information remains incomplete.
XRP goes absolutely wild in a single day—up 26%! The whole market lifts off with it, and retail investors are starting another round of FOMO?
Midday data throws it in your face.
BTC is at 78,478, up 4.694% over 24 hours. The high touched 79,555, with trading volume of 30.21 billion USDT. ETH is even stronger—2,514, up 6.886%, with 21.24 billion in volume. BNB blasts straight to 725.63, up 9.834%, nearly hugging the intraday high at 726. As for XRP? 1.6621—an explosive rally of 26.357%. Volume is 3.91 billion, and the low at 1.2962 was swept up all the way—who still dares to say there’s no momentum?
What about funding rates? BTC, ETH, and XRP are all 0.0001—almost no premium. The price has already launched, yet leverage hasn’t been squeezed to the limit. This doesn’t look like a top-frenzy scene; it’s more like acceleration during a primary upswing.
Some people are still waiting for a pullback before jumping in. The question is: will a pullback give you face? BTC’s daily pivot is around 76,952; right now price is holding steadily above it. Overhead resistance is around 80,912. ETH’s pivot is 2,463; price has already drifted far away—2,602 overhead is the next gate. BNB is even more exaggerated: price at 725 has already ripped away from the pivot at 678 and resistance at 702. Overbought in the short term, sure—but the trend is undeniably strong. XRP is the most outrageous: its pivot is only 1.40 and resistance 1.53; at 1.66, it’s basically dancing on top of the ceiling.
The thing retail investors love most: yesterday they were cursing that fake coins had no action; today XRP rallies 26% and they start chasing, yelling that faith is back. Big whales eat the trend—you just feast on the leftover crumbs of sentiment. That’s the difference.
Direction is very clear: bulls are in control.
For BTC, first watch whether it can hold above 78,000 and push toward 79,555. Only if it fails and falls below the 76,952 pivot can the temperature cool down. For ETH, watch the 2,549 high and the 2,602 resistance; the real test for bullish intent is whether a retracement holds around the 2,463 area. BNB has already broken away from the original resistance zone—so long as it doesn’t quickly drop back below 702, strength is still here. XRP is the craziest short term: 1.53 is the key pullback line—hold it and it can keep causing trouble; if it drops back to the 1.40 pivot, this sentiment trade will start “educating” people.
Funding rates haven’t gone out of control. Volume is coming in enough. The hot spots are driving the rhythm. Don’t fantasize about a deep pullback for a payday this afternoon—first recognize who’s holding the trend.
Overnight, a big surge followed by a sleep—waking up to everything green. Don’t rush to FOMO at the top; it’s already crowded.
When the morning started, BTC was directly pinned around 78061. The 24-hour gain is 5.756%, with the high touching 79555.5 and the low at 73767.7. Trading volume: 3.386 billion USDT.
ETH is even more aggressive: 2524.75, up 7.81%, almost hugging the intraday high at 2549.4. XRP went straight crazy—1.4703, up 15.635%, rising from 1.2684 all the way up to 1.4823.
Funding rates are still around 0.0001—nothing too wildly crowded—but price has already educated the overnight shorts. Those who were still trembling around 73767 last night probably start regretting now; people who chased highs right after waking are basically helping others carry the sedan.
Bulls are in clear control—ind is very explicit—but don’t treat a rebound as unlimited fuel. For BTC, just watch two levels: overhead resistance—daily R1 at 80912, and the prior high near 79555. For pullbacks, first look at PP 76952; only if it gets worse do you care about S1 at 74349. Hold above 76952 and the intraday structure stays bullish; if it breaks, then we can talk about cooling sentiment.
The ETH logic is the same: 2602 is daily sell-side pressure, 2376 is buy-side support. Current 2524 is already above PP 2463, and bulls are still running the show. BNB at 691—its high of 692.85 is almost brushing your head; R1 is at 702 and S1 at 663. Don’t just look at percentage gains without considering levels. XRP is the most wild short-term: around 1.53 is R1, while 1.32 is S1. After a 15%+ surge, the most common thing is divergence—leaders keep absorbing strength, while followers first give back their floating profits.
The morning takeaway is simple: the direction is still bullish control, but the position has shifted from “cheap panic” to “a bit more expensive optimism.” Holding overnight profits are the hunters. Those who wake up and start looking for reasons to chase—those are the prey. Don’t ask today whether it will keep flying; ask instead whether you dare to acknowledge it if it pulls back to around 76952 and 2463.
Retail traders love two things: when it drops, they blame the market makers; when it rises, they blame themselves for lacking the nerve. The data is right here: sentiment is hot, structure is mostly bullish. Upside space to watch: 80912/2602. Downside defense to watch: 74349/2376. Chasing is allowed, but don’t turn the overnight trend position into a morning emotion trade.
Jumbo Whale Rebalances and Safety Incidents Stir Up the Market 📰 Crypto Morning News | 2026-08-22 09:00
🔥 Major Events 1. Bofur Capital suffers an address poisoning loss of about $2 million — The address tagged as belonging to Bofur Capital was hit by an address-poisoning attack after extracting funds from Compound… 2. Trump says military force can be used if necessary — Speaking about the bond market, Trump said the ultimate intervention measure is the military, and that it would be used if needed… 3. Trump says he could face impeachment or lose the midterms — At a campaign rally in South Carolina on the 21st, U.S. President Donald Trump said that if the Republicans lose the midterm elections, he would be impeached…
📊 Market Data 1. 7 siblings cumulatively sold 26,300 ETH — According to on-chain monitoring, 7 siblings have cumulatively sold 26,300 ETH since August 21, worth $62.47 million… 2. Multicoin transfers $14.54 million worth of HYPE to Coinbase — According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Multicoin Capital transferred to Coinbase within the past 9 hours… 3. U.S. SOL spot ETF sees net inflow exceeding $10 million in a day — According to SoSoValue data, as of August 21 (U.S. Eastern Time), the SOL spot ETF recorded total net inflows of $10.0722 million for the day… 4. U.S. stock market close: AI stocks broadly rise — At the close, the Dow rose 0.98%, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both rose 0.43%, and the VIX fell 5.5%. AI concept stocks broadly rose… 5. SOL Meme coin CATE’s market cap rebounds and breaks $63 million — According to GMGN data, the SOL ecosystem Meme coin CATE’s market cap rebounded and surpassed $63 million, with an intraday gain of over 130%… 6. Multicoin again monitored transferring HYPE to exchanges — Public monitoring information shows that Multicoin Capital transferred about 197,560 HYPE to Coinbase…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy No major updates at this time 💡 Project Updates 1. Bitari files an IPO application with Nasdaq — Bitari plans to issue 4,285,715 common shares, priced at $7 per share, and expects to raise about $30 million in total… 2. LayerZero to pause 15 low-activity chain off-chain supports — LayerZero said that due to extremely low activity on some chains, it will gradually stop supporting EDU over the next 30 days… 3. Testnet data bloat: AIP-147 proposed to be reset — Information regarding the continuous growth of testnet status, archive nodes reaching about 30TB, and indexers exceeding 70TB indicates that the data burden has worsened… 4. Platform collects feedback on decenchro proxy needs — Relevant parties publicly asked what types of proxies they hope to see in decenchro, and said that more than 50 proxies have already been deployed…
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC $77,922 (+5.74%), Funding Rate 0.0100%; ETH $2,521.63 (+7.77%), Funding Rate 0.0100% 📍 Daily buy/sell points: $BTC daily sell point $80,912 | daily buy point $74,349 / $ETH daily sell point $2,602.30 | daily buy point $2,376.73 / BNB daily sell point $702.38 | daily buy point $663.12
Financial Warchest Merge Plan Ends Coexisting With Market Rebound 📰 Crypto Evening News | 2026-08-21 21:00
🔥 Major Events 1. Bitcoin treasury company BSTR ends merger plan with Cantor — BSTR Holdings announced it has reached an agreement with Cantor Equity Partners… 2. Starbridge Capital London gold liquidation anomaly; some investors may be facing major losses — Starbridge Capital reportedly experienced an abnormal liquidation in London gold trading; its Hong Kong office point is said to have been vacated…
📊 Market Data 1. Bitcoin briefly dips below $77,000 — According to HTX market data, Bitcoin briefly fell below $77,000; the current price is $76,853.39, with the intraday gain narrowing to 6%… 2. glassnode: Bitcoin wipes out its 3-month underperformance versus the S&P in 3 days — According to glassnode data, Bitcoin eliminated its 3-month underperformance relative to the S&P 500 in just 3 days. The data shows… 3. Binance transfers 500 million USDT to Tether Treasury — According to TradingBeats monitoring, Binance transferred 500 million USDT to Tether Treasury… 4. US stock pre-market: crypto-related shares broadly rise — All top three futures indexes rose in the three trading-session ahead of Friday’s open. Crypto-related concept stocks rose broadly pre-market; Strive jumped more than 7%, Strategy rose nearly 7%… 5. Maji restarts multi-line operations; weekly unrealized profit grows to $8.4 million — After the crypto market improved, Maji added more PUMP long positions; weekly unrealized profit rose to $8.4 million… 6. “7 Siblings” sells 18,500 ETH — According to monitoring, “7 Siblings” sold 18,500 ETH today, receiving 43.58 million USDC in return… 7. A mega whale says Bitcoin can’t keep climbing all the way up; medium-term target is $100,000 next October — The mega whale “set 10 big targets first,” saying it opened a short position again at $76,000, believing the bull market is back but the trend should move upward in a choppy manner… 8. Mega whale on short positions: original intent was to pull back then go long; actual loss $4.6 million — The mega whale “set 10 big targets first” said the recent short-term shorts were intended to buy back after a retracement, but the pre-set stop-loss was not hit… 9. Citi recommends buying on dips ahead of midterm elections: US stocks pull back — Citi’s report suggests continuing to overweight stocks and says if the market falls ahead of the US midterm elections, investors can increase positions… 10. US stock pre-market: top three index futures rise; gold and silver strengthen — Dow Jones futures rose 0.64% pre-market, S&P 500 futures rose 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.74%…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 1. CME CEO says decentralized platforms are encroaching on the US market — CME CEO Terry Duffy said perpetual contracts and 24/7 trading have become a trend that traditional finance cannot avoid…
💡 Project Updates 1. Ethena withdraws 170 million ENA; 3-day value up by $9.59 million — According to monitoring, Ethena transferred 170 million ENA to FalconX three days ago, worth $14.09 million… 2. Market rebound draws attention to dual; multiple token ratings from Standard Chartered — The materials claim Bitcoin gained 20% over 3 days; Binance platform contract trading volume surged more than 600% over 3 days… 3. Vitalik rolls out research into partial mixed cryptography — Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published an article introducing the “partial mixed” obfuscation technique route being explored… 4. Ansem is bullish on Robinhood-chain related assets’ performance in this cycle — Crypto KOL Ansem said on a podcast that Robinhood has openly supported on-chain activity and quickly listed tokens… 5. NVIDIA plans to invest hundreds of millions of dollars into data center power developers — NVIDIA is reportedly in advanced negotiations and plans to invest hundreds of millions of dollars in Cloverleaf Infrastructure…
📊 Market Overview: BTC $77,177 (+7.34%), funding rate 0.0100%; ETH $2,387.27 (+4.34%), funding rate 0.0100% 📍 Daily buy/sell levels: $BTC daily sell point $74,638 | daily buy point $70,121 / $ETH daily sell point $2,383.24 | daily buy point $2,245.56 / BNB daily sell point $668.35 | daily buy point $632.35
BTC surges intraday 6.7% and breaks above 76,000, don’t FOMO just yet in the night session
One sentence for the whole day: the bulls pinned the bears to the floor and started grinding.
BTC is currently at 76,718.8, up 6.713%. The intraday low of 71,100 was directly pulled up to the high of 79,555.5—an absolutely wild swing, with trading volume of 3.301 billion USDT. The current price is already sitting above the daily sell point of 74,638.23. The bears’ intraday line of defense has basically been smashed through. Funding rate is 0.0001—still not to the point of crazy overcrowding, but it’s no longer in the “nobody’s getting on the train” state.
ETH follows suit: 2,369.76, up 3.247%. High 2,449.47, low 2,253.55, with volume of 2.133 billion. It’s stuck near the daily sell point of 2,383.24; for the bulls to push for another leg higher, they first need to clear this area. BNB at 674.89, up 4.412%, also reclaimed the daily sell point of 668.35. XRP is even crazier: 1.3574, up 14.491%, high 1.4305, volume 367 million. The most feverish short-term sentiment right now is on XRP.
What retail traders love most right now: in the morning, they were crying near 71,100 asking if it’s about to break down—by the close, they’re already shouting that the bull market is back. Wake up. Just because the day’s price action stomped the daily sell point doesn’t mean the night session will still allow mindless chasing higher. The high of 79,555.5 is sitting right there—pullbacks are completely normal.
The direction is clear: bulls are in control. The daily structure has already been flipped. The move from 71,100 to 76,718 isn’t something you can explain as a mere fake-out bounce. But position determines attitude— the closer you are to 79,555.5, the more you should rein in greed; it’s only on the pullback around 74,638.23 that there’s a cleaner logic for support. For ETH, watch 2,383.24—if it can’t be broken, don’t expect it to set the pace. Stay above the 2,302.62 pivot, and ETH can keep following.
Night-session outlook: daytime momentum was too strong, and late night is more likely to see profit-taking and false breakdowns. Don’t turn every dip into a “meltdown” in your head, and don’t treat every rally as liftoff. Two key lines only—bulls are leading on BTC, but in the night session first check whether 74,638.23 can hold. If that level fails, then look again at the 71,760.17 pivot—that’s the real line in the sand. This 14% monster like XRP drains sentiment the fastest—don’t use it as a directional benchmark.
The data points give the direction; the price levels give the boundaries. The rest is up to whether you still trust that anxious version of yourself from this morning.
Bessent says the single-batch size of U.S. Treasury buybacks may exceed $4 billion
The U.S. Treasury has recently sent a clear signal around long-dated Treasury buybacks, quickly shifting market focus from “whether there will be balance-sheet-style support” to “what exactly buybacks can solve.” Around August 19, the Treasury announced expanded liquidity-support buybacks for Treasuries with longer maturities. The maximum single-batch buyback size for 10- to 20-year and 20- to 30-year U.S. Treasuries was raised from the previous maximum of about $2 billion to at least $4 billion. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later said the expanded buyback operation could involve more than $4 billion per single batch, emphasizing that the Treasury has a “large toolbox” and will use it as needed; part of the purpose is to send a signal—namely, that current yield levels may not fully reflect the fundamentals.
At the core-facts level, this move comes as long-end yields come under significant pressure. Before the news was released, the 30-year Treasury yield briefly rose to about 5.34%, the highest level since 2007. After the announcement of the expanded buybacks, long-end yields fell quickly, and risk assets such as stocks and safe havens such as gold rallied in tandem. But the boost did not last long: reports indicate that by around the following day, the 30-year Treasury had given back much of the gain it had made after the announcement. Meanwhile, U.S. federal total debt surpassed $40 trillion around August 19, and the massive fiscal deficit remains one of investors’ most pressing concerns. Analysts citing data said that in July 2026, the federal fiscal deficit reached $432 billion, up sharply year over year; the cumulative deficit over the first 10 months of the fiscal year was about $1.8 trillion. The Treasury had also previously projected net borrowing demand of roughly $739 billion for the third quarter of 2026.
We need to break down the mechanism: Treasury buybacks are not the same as quantitative easing. The Fed’s QE can create base money by expanding its balance sheet to buy Treasuries. But the funds used by the Treasury to buy back old debt ultimately come from fiscal cash or new debt financing. Therefore, buybacks are closer to managing the debt structure and market liquidity: they can improve the tradability of less active old issues and increase demand at specific maturities, but they do not reduce the total amount the government ultimately needs to finance. Putting a $4 billion single-batch buyback—or slightly higher—against the backdrop of quarterly net borrowing in the hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars and deficits that continue to widen, the scale gap is obvious. This is also why some have likened it to a “band-aid”: it may improve trading conditions, but it is unlikely to rewrite supply-and-demand fundamentals on its own.
The structure of buy-side demand is also a constraint. Related discussions note that offshore holdings are not an endlessly expandable stable source of support, and private investors tend to be more sensitive to prices and yields. If future supply remains persistently heavy, the market may require higher term premiums to absorb long-duration Treasuries. The proponents of the support buybacks can counter that the tool is designed for liquidity and market structure and does not carry the mission of eliminating deficits. Criticizing it as “it can’t save the fiscal situation” may confuse the policy objectives. This leads to a split view: if long-end pressure mainly stems from the liquidity of old issues and short-term frictions, expanding buybacks may be enough to smooth volatility; but if the main driver is persistent deficits, supply and term risk repricing, then buybacks are more of a buffer than a reversal of the trend.
For the crypto market, transmission is usually not “the buyback amount directly determines the coin price,” but rather an indirect path via U.S. Treasury yields, expectations for dollar liquidity, and risk appetite. When long-end yields fall and expectations for real rates soften, markets are often more willing to trade improved liquidity and repair valuations of risk assets; assets such as bitcoin may benefit at least in the near term from rate-sensitive capital returning. Conversely, if the positive effect from buybacks fades quickly and fiscal supply and auction demand regain narrative control, crypto may reprice the macro constraint of “higher rates for longer” and rising risk premiums more quickly as well. The synchronized reactions of gold and U.S. equities suggest cross-asset traders are mapping the event using the same arbitrage-rate and liquidity framework.
Editor’s note: What is more worth tracking now is not whether a single buyback is slightly higher than $4 billion, but whether subsequent demand at long-dated Treasury auctions is firm, whether there is a verifiable signal of convergence in the deficit path, and whether the fall in yields can be sustained by fundamentals. The fact is that the Treasury is actively improving trading conditions for long-dated debt and strengthening signal communication. On the speculation side, if fiscal restructuring keeps being delayed and overseas and private buyers still require higher returns to compensate, then buybacks around the $4 billion level are more likely to act as a short-term buffer rather than a fundamental turning point for long-end Treasury pressure. Crypto market participants should place the event in a macro rates and liquidity framework rather than simplifying it into a one-way bullish or bearish label.