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📉 Crypto markets enter a slowdown phase  The number of active Bitcoin wallets has fallen  
to its lowest level in the past year  
Fewer participants are transacting, even with price movements.$BTC 
BTCUSDT
Perp
88,234.2
-0.05%
$ETH 
ETHUSDT
Perp
2,986.76
+0.10%

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⚠️ Tensor 与“空壳代币”的昂贵教训 Tensor 是 2025 年最令人失望的案例之一，因为它赤裸裸地揭示了加密行业的一个核心问题：代币持有者几乎无法真正分享项目的长期上行价值。 2025 年初，Vector 接纳了 $TNSR，在 NFT 崩盘、Tensor 活跃度大幅下滑之后，一度重新点燃了市场的希望。但到了 2025 年 11 月， Coinbase 收购了 Vector，却只是为了关闭该平台。耐人寻味的是，在这笔收购发生之前，已经下跌约 95% 的 $TNSR 却突然暴涨 10 倍 —— 这是一个非常明显的内幕交易信号。极有可能的是：创始人和内部人士拿到了现金，而代币持有者从一开始就注定无法获得任何长期 upside。随后，Tensor Foundation 接手，但没有明确的领导层，也没有清晰的路线图。到年底， $TNSR 再次回到约 -95% 的跌幅，而 Tensorians 的价格则从约 10,000 美元崩到约 80 美元。这个故事清楚地说明了一点： 👉 如果代币持有者无法分享真实价值，就没有任何理由去长期持有该代币。 📍 如果代币无法演变为“链上股权（on-chain equity）”，那么它迟早都会走向归零。 $WLD

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📍Many are still waiting for an altseason, while others have already called it several times, yet the trend across altcoins has remained fairly negative in recent months. 📉 Altcoins continue to struggle within the crypto market and are clearly suffering from the current lack of liquidity, even more so since the October 10 event. - Since early October, the Total2 market capitalization (excluding BTC and stablecoins) has experienced a drawdown of roughly 36%. - When excluding the top 10 assets, the situation is even worse, with a drawdown of around 46%, a very significant decline in just three months. As a result, the percentage of altcoins on Binance that are still trading above their 200-day moving average has dropped to historically low levels. 💥 Only about 3% of altcoins on Binance are currently trading above their 200-day moving average. This highlights just how much altcoins have suffered and how little liquidity they continue to attract. It also suggests a clear lack of interest from investors, who currently prefer to protect capital rather than gain exposure to highly risky assets. 👉Even though it may seem counterintuitive, these types of periods often offer the best opportunities but this period may last for some time, especially if the market enters a prolonged bear phase. Market conditions remain uncertain for now, but if a bullish recovery were to take hold, this would be a signal that should not be ignored.📈$BTC $SOL $OM

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🤔 只懂技术分析还不够，想做永续合约（Perps），必须有过硬的心理素质

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🧐WHAT’S GOING ON WITH FUNDSTRAT & TOM LEE? In the Crypto Outlook 2026, Sean Farrell – Head of Digital Asset Strategy at @fundstrat – outlines a defensive base-case scenario for the first half of 2026. According to Farrell, after a strong rally, the crypto market will likely need to go through a meaningful correction to rebalance supply–demand dynamics and market psychology. → In this scenario, Fundstrat estimates: Bitcoin ($BTC) could pull back to the $60,000–65,000 range Ethereum ($ETH) could see a deeper correction to around $1,800–2,000 Solana ($SOL) could retrace to the $50–75 range While Tom Lee (Chairman of Bitmine, Co-founder and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors) has consistently maintained a bullish stance on Bitcoin and Ethereum in public statements, → the private reports sent to Fundstrat’s paying clients present a much more cautious short-term outlook. This can be understood as Farrell separating long-term bullish conviction from short-term risk discipline. He views these lower price zones as attractive valuation areas for long-term buy-and-hold strategies. → Therefore, the report may appear somewhat contradictory in the short term, mainly from a risk-management perspective, but it still aligns with Tom Lee’s long-term bullish thesis.👀$ETH $BTC $SOL

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📍IF YOU'RE BEARISH ON BTC RIGHT NOW,YOU MIGHT BE MISSING THIS. lets break this chart down: > Green bars = BTC moving ONTO exchanges (more supply ready to sell) > Red bars = BTC moving OFF exchanges (less supply available, often accumulation) > Line = BTC price Now the important part… For weeks, netflow has been mostly red. Meaning: even while price chops / dips, BTC keeps leaving exchanges. That usually implies: > sellers are getting exhausted > dips are being absorbed > big holders prefer custody over “ready-to-dump” positioning So what does this setup typically lead to? ✅ If outflows stay dominant (red continues): #Bitcoin usually does one of two things: forms a base + grinds up slowly chops violently… then breaks up once liquidity resets The chart is basically saying: “there’s less immediate sell pressure than people think.” BUT here’s the trap… The danger signal isn’t “red bars.” The danger signal is when this flips hard: 📌 What would be bearish? If we suddenly get: multiple big 🟢 green inflow days in a row and price can’t bounce That usually means: ➡️ coins are being moved to exchanges to sell ➡️ downside liquidity is about to get hunted again So what to expect next (1–3 weeks): Base case: BTC holds a range, stops bleeding, and drifts higher. Outflows = support under price. Bear case: Netflow flips green for several days → likely another sweep lower before the real bounce. Bull trigger: Outflows stay red + price starts printing higher lows → odds favor a move back into the prior range. My prediction: Not a straight line pump. More likely: > choppy basing first > one more fakeout is possible > then continuation up IF netflow stays red and inflows don’t spike things to keep your eyes on: 3–5 straight days of green inflows = caution steady red outflows + higher lows = bulls taking control This is how bottoms form. Quietly. While everyone’s screaming “it’s over.”$BTC $SOL $FOLKS

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