It’s actually hard to determine whether the Nasdaq is in a bear market by looking at indicators alone. Usually, you have to wait for a major macroeconomic turning point, such as the Fed entering a typical deflationary cycle.
The current rate-hiking pace is a lot like 2016–2018: rates didn’t rise much each year, but they kept inching up. The technical correction back then was only about 23%; in 2020, the pandemic triggered a sell-off, and 2021–2022 was the real period of major rate hikes.
So there’s no way to say for certain that the Nasdaq is in a bear market yet. But there are two reference points for gauging the potential correction: the 25% drop in March 2025 and the 23% pullback in 2018. To be conservative, it’s safer to keep an eye out for a correction of at least 20%.
My advice: If you’re planning to invest regularly or add to your position, don’t rush—wait a little longer. In principle, there’s no need to liquidate Nasdaq-related funds, but you could exit stock indexes focused on areas like AI infrastructure sooner.
The same goes for the crypto market. Large-cap assets like $BTC often see deeper pullbacks than U.S. stocks, so waiting for greater certainty is better than trying to catch a rebound.
#BTC #Crypto
The current rate-hiking pace is a lot like 2016–2018: rates didn’t rise much each year, but they kept inching up. The technical correction back then was only about 23%; in 2020, the pandemic triggered a sell-off, and 2021–2022 was the real period of major rate hikes.
So there’s no way to say for certain that the Nasdaq is in a bear market yet. But there are two reference points for gauging the potential correction: the 25% drop in March 2025 and the 23% pullback in 2018. To be conservative, it’s safer to keep an eye out for a correction of at least 20%.
My advice: If you’re planning to invest regularly or add to your position, don’t rush—wait a little longer. In principle, there’s no need to liquidate Nasdaq-related funds, but you could exit stock indexes focused on areas like AI infrastructure sooner.
The same goes for the crypto market. Large-cap assets like $BTC often see deeper pullbacks than U.S. stocks, so waiting for greater certainty is better than trying to catch a rebound.
#BTC #Crypto
