CME Fed Watch: The market expects the Fed to likely hold steady in October, with at least a 25-basis-point hike in December
October 22 news: According to the latest CME "Fed Watch" interest rate futures pricing, the market’s mainstream expectation is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its October policy meeting, with the probability reaching 84.5%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 15.5%;
Looking ahead to December, market expectations change significantly, with only a 10.1% probability priced in for keeping rates unchanged; the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 76.3%, and there is also a 13.7% chance that rates will be raised by a cumulative 50 basis points.
Overall, current interest rate futures reflect market consensus that the Fed is more likely to stay on the sidelines in October, but there is still a strong expectation of rate hikes within the year, and the pressure for tighter monetary policy has not eased.
Do you think the Fed will meet market expectations, namely a hold in October and a hike in December? Leave your view in the comments!
#FedRateExpectations
October 22 news: According to the latest CME "Fed Watch" interest rate futures pricing, the market’s mainstream expectation is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its October policy meeting, with the probability reaching 84.5%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 15.5%;
Looking ahead to December, market expectations change significantly, with only a 10.1% probability priced in for keeping rates unchanged; the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 76.3%, and there is also a 13.7% chance that rates will be raised by a cumulative 50 basis points.
Overall, current interest rate futures reflect market consensus that the Fed is more likely to stay on the sidelines in October, but there is still a strong expectation of rate hikes within the year, and the pressure for tighter monetary policy has not eased.
Do you think the Fed will meet market expectations, namely a hold in October and a hike in December? Leave your view in the comments!
#美联储利率预期
October 22 news: According to the latest CME "Fed Watch" interest rate futures pricing, the market’s mainstream expectation is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its October policy meeting, with the probability reaching 84.5%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 15.5%;
Looking ahead to December, market expectations change significantly, with only a 10.1% probability priced in for keeping rates unchanged; the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 76.3%, and there is also a 13.7% chance that rates will be raised by a cumulative 50 basis points.
Overall, current interest rate futures reflect market consensus that the Fed is more likely to stay on the sidelines in October, but there is still a strong expectation of rate hikes within the year, and the pressure for tighter monetary policy has not eased.
Do you think the Fed will meet market expectations, namely a hold in October and a hike in December? Leave your view in the comments!
#FedRateExpectations
October 22 news: According to the latest CME "Fed Watch" interest rate futures pricing, the market’s mainstream expectation is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at its October policy meeting, with the probability reaching 84.5%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 15.5%;
Looking ahead to December, market expectations change significantly, with only a 10.1% probability priced in for keeping rates unchanged; the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 76.3%, and there is also a 13.7% chance that rates will be raised by a cumulative 50 basis points.
Overall, current interest rate futures reflect market consensus that the Fed is more likely to stay on the sidelines in October, but there is still a strong expectation of rate hikes within the year, and the pressure for tighter monetary policy has not eased.
Do you think the Fed will meet market expectations, namely a hold in October and a hike in December? Leave your view in the comments!
#美联储利率预期