Many people, whether they have entered the market before or after a long time, will not consider one question: Whose money are they making and whose money can they make? You can make money by relying on two parts: incremental + stock
1. Incremental value means that as the market capacity increases, you, as an early participant in the market, may be able to share in the rising dividends. For example, early coin hoarders will win as the size of the pie continues to increase, or in the big bull market 20 years later, a large amount of off-market funds will flow in, and you can also get a share. There is a prerequisite for you to enjoy incremental value: that is, you have to hold the position for a long time. If you buy today and sell tomorrow, then the market size will double 20 times and it will have nothing to do with you.
It is hard to enjoy the incremental market. It requires good luck or good vision. Only by holding it for a long time can you enjoy the highest odds and the most profitable moments in the early market. This is the case for people who invested in houses, high-quality equity, and commodity futures in the early stage. These markets have experienced extremely profitable stages. You need superhuman luck and vision to participate. If you want to make money, you need to have a little more ability. Later, as the size increases, these markets will gradually enter the stage of competing for stock, and the competition will become more and more fierce and cruel.
2. Stock means that the short-term market capacity is so large, and your short-term game is to grab the cake with others. If you want to grab more cake, you must be strong and quicker, fiercer, and stronger than others: if you are weak, you will be robbed.
Basically, it is all about competing for stock. If you don't extend the investment dimension, the 100,000 yuan you earn is the 100,000 yuan lost by another person. Who do you think can easily give you 100,000 yuan? What is your advantage over most people? Are you smarter, harder working, more active, and have more resources? Or do you wishfully think that you can make a lot of money by gambling and that money can flow into your account with just a click of your fingers?
You say you can draw lines, and other people can draw lines too. How are your lines better than others? So why do you think you can make money by drawing lines as your advantage? As long as you want to compete for stock, you will rely more on your ability rather than luck. The numbers in your account are a reflection of your ability. So before you impulsively rush into a market, first think about whose money you are making and what ability you rely on to make money?