#faker Community Insights & Market Sentiment

14 people voted a player with 6 world championships into 14th place.

The League of Legends World Championship S16 kicks off in the early hours of October 16, Beijing time. The main event hasn’t even gotten around to T1 playing yet.

Before the tournament began, overseas outlet Sheep Esports brought together 14 experts to put together a Top 20 list. The panel included analysts, casters, and professional players. First place went to GEN mid laner Chovy. Faker came in 14th.

Who is this Faker? His real name is Lee Sang-hyeok. He’s 30 years old and the most decorated player in League of Legends history. He has six Summoner’s Cups and led T1 to three consecutive titles from S13 to S15. This year’s Riot Games anthem music video has only one star: him.

The LCK has won the World Championship ten times over the years, and he was part of six of those wins. When T1 announced its roster for this year’s Worlds in September, he was heading to the tournament for the 11th time, having played from age 17 to 30. The top laner and ADC on the same roster had both changed; the mid laner hadn’t.

The list came with a note: the rankings reflect only recent form before the tournament begins. They’re neither a prediction of this year’s results nor an assessment of past Worlds performances. I also found a list from another overseas outlet, Hotspawn. Its criteria were the whole season plus potential; Chovy was still first, and Faker was 15th. Knight was seventh on one list and third on the other.

My take is that neither list is all over the place. They’re both measuring only the present. The six titles don’t go in the numerator because history isn’t even a factor in the calculation. A 30-year-old’s mechanics losing out to a 20-year-old’s is a consequence of the way things are measured, not someone having it in for him.

The crypto world demonstrates the same thing every day. Prediction markets price only marginal information. They don’t care what you paid for your coins or how long you’ve held them; on-chain pricing asks only whether they’ll keep going up. The difference between expert polls and market pricing is cost. Opinion polls are free, so being wildly off is free too. The genuinely costly pricing is in betting odds and team valuations, where every point is a wager on what happens next.

Esports fan tokens have been down this road, too. Clubs issue tokens, fans buy in, and the price rises while the hype lasts, then falls when the hype fades. Those who bought at the peak of a team’s form and those who believed this ranking are betting on the same thing.

As for exactly who the experts were on these two lists, Sheep Esports only described the makeup of its 14-person panel, while Hotspawn didn’t even give a detailed list of names. I’m not sure how they weighted everything.

There’s still a long way to go in S16, and the Swiss stage hasn’t started yet. We’ll know in a few days whether Faker can prove this ranking wrong.

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#英雄联盟S16 #Faker #电竞 #预测市场 #Worlds

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