032

Trading Journal #032
Last time I checked: At the time of this check, the BTC price had already fallen below the observation line left behind in the previous record. According to the original record, the old conditions should be marked as invalid. What I can confirm here is the current position; I can’t fill in whether it broke through in between, and I can’t treat this quote as the price at the historically agreed-upon moment.

Today I open the chart: BTC is around 84.0k. The unusual thought is: after the old line becomes invalid, can this latest pullback be taken directly as a new sell signal?

Daily price: BTC 84103.65000000

My decision: Wait. I will wait until this new observation line is broken again before looking to see whether it stays above; until the conditions appear, I won’t rewrite a drop below the old line into a sell signal, nor will I describe the current quote as support. This might mean missing a segment of the rebound, but what I’m getting in return is that the triggering logic does not change just because of a single quote. Here, the judgment worth continuing to observe is “reclaiming/standing back above,” not predicting that BTC will definitely go back. If later prices merely touch briefly and then fall again, this assumption of “reclaiming” fails, and the observation line cannot automatically become valid.

Next-day recap: Tomorrow at 09:30, readers should self-check whether BTC breaks above 84103.65000000; if it doesn’t break, the assumption that “tomorrow will reclaim” fails, and we continue waiting.

Battle Report #032 — $ARK /USDT (Perp)
ARK has been in a heavy downtrend — down -77.30% over the year and -42.36% over 90 days — but the last few days are telling a different story. Up +2.84% today, and 7-day is now +24.23%, with price bouncing off a $0.0851 low back to $0.1087.
The chart shows a long, painful fall from $0.2929 all the way down to $0.0851, followed by this recent bounce. What matters now is whether ARK can hold above $0.1087 and build a base, or whether this is just another dead-cat bounce inside a bigger downtrend — the kind we've seen crash right back down before.

⚠️ This is a Perp market — leverage risk is real here on top of the coin's already heavy volatility.

⚔️ Battlefield Levels:
Support: $0.0851–$0.1049
Resistance: $0.1204–$0.1661
Major resistance: $0.2119–$0.2576

📊 Trade Setup:
Entry: $0.105–$0.110 after confirmation of a hold above support
SL: $0.095
TP1: $0.1204
TP2: $0.1661
TP3: $0.2119

Chart is damaged, but every damaged chart still tells us where the next real test is.

Reversal or dead-cat bounce? Comment "Reversal" or "Dead-cat" 👇

Follow KAYI — THE CHART WARRIOR for the next Battle Report ⚔️
$ARK #cryptotrading #perp