ARB: The stop distance is a meaningful trade-off in this setup.
🔴 SHORT
$ARB /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for a pullback into the zone.
The levels
Entry: 0.1415 – 0.14197
TP1: 0.13836 (-2.4% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.1361 (-4.0% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 0.13273 (-6.4% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.14623 (+3.2%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.60R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Why these levels matter
The 4h EMA structure favors SHORT, but the relatively wide stop is a material trade-off.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
• 1h RSI 34.7: supports SHORT.
• 15m DI+ 9.9 / DI− 36.0: leans SHORT; ADX 30.9 measures strength.
Main risk: SL is 3.2% from the zone midpoint; invalidation requires a relatively large adverse move.
Entry review: Wait for price in the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.14623, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 14 Nov 03:34 UTC | Expires 14 Nov 04:01 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT
$ARB /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for a pullback into the zone.
The levels
Entry: 0.1415 – 0.14197
TP1: 0.13836 (-2.4% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.1361 (-4.0% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 0.13273 (-6.4% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.14623 (+3.2%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.60R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Why these levels matter
The 4h EMA structure favors SHORT, but the relatively wide stop is a material trade-off.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
• 1h RSI 34.7: supports SHORT.
• 15m DI+ 9.9 / DI− 36.0: leans SHORT; ADX 30.9 measures strength.
Main risk: SL is 3.2% from the zone midpoint; invalidation requires a relatively large adverse move.
Entry review: Wait for price in the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.14623, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 14 Nov 03:34 UTC | Expires 14 Nov 04:01 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
