68% of trades in profit, yet together they added up to −14%. How?
That was one of our forward-test days. Most trades won small, a few lost big.
Win rate alone tells you nothing. What matters:
• average win vs average loss;
• the median trade, not the best one;
• how many trades end in the worst case.
A strategy with 50% wins can make money. A strategy with 70% wins can lose it all.
That's market mechanics, and CAFE measures it. Search Cryptanov.
$BTC #winrate #riskmanagement #trading
That was one of our forward-test days. Most trades won small, a few lost big.
Win rate alone tells you nothing. What matters:
• average win vs average loss;
• the median trade, not the best one;
• how many trades end in the worst case.
A strategy with 50% wins can make money. A strategy with 70% wins can lose it all.
That's market mechanics, and CAFE measures it. Search Cryptanov.
$BTC #winrate #riskmanagement #trading