#ADPUSPrivateEmployersAdd86000JobsInOctober

💰 Job-Changers Got 4.8% Raises While ADP Held at 86K

Hiring beat forecasts again, but pay is what keeps the Fed's hands busy.

📈 ADP +86K, a second straight 86K month, vs 67K-75K expected
💵 Job-changers' pay +4.8% a year; stayers +3%; gross pay +4.7%
🏦 CME FedWatch: December hike odds above 80%
📅 Official jobs report Friday 8:30 AM ET: ~59K-65K, jobless rate 4.2%

Why it matters: fast wage growth is the part of the data most likely to keep rate-hike bets alive.

December hike odds after Friday: stay above 80%, or fall below 70%? 👇

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#ADP #FedWatch #ADPUSPrivateEmployersAdd86000JobsInOctober