Metals diverged during October 12–16 as gold recovered, silver lagged and copper rebounded ahead of LME Week

🟡 Gold recovered most of its midweek losses to trade around USD 4,165–4,170/oz, though it remained slightly lower for the week. A weaker dollar and easing US Treasury yields supported prices, while concerns over technology stocks helped sustain safe-haven demand.

⚪ Silver’s recovery was more limited, with prices around USD 57/oz and performance clearly trailing gold. The divergence suggests gold’s rebound has yet to spread broadly across precious metals, as silver remains sensitive to industrial demand prospects and market sentiment.

🏭 LME copper recovered to around USD 14,480/ton during Friday’s session after touching USD 14,256 on Thursday. A softer dollar and stabilizing equities supported buying, while cash prices above three-month contracts indicated relatively tight nearby supply.

🌎 However, regional scarcity does not necessarily imply a global shortage. Copper accumulation in the US ahead of potential tariffs has reshaped trade flows. If incentives to ship metal into the US weaken, availability elsewhere could improve.

⚖️ Metals recovered as pressure from the dollar and yields eased, but hot US inflation data and rising oil prices kept monetary tightening risks in focus. The upcoming LME Week will offer further insight into supply and demand, alongside developments in interest rates and geopolitics.

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