XAU slides below 4h bearish stack at 4275

🔴 $XAU /USDT | Bias: SHORT (Leaning) | 4/12 signals aligned
⚠️ Leaning only: 8 of 12 signals are still undecided. Keep size light.

Technical verdict: LEANING SHORT. 4 of 12 signals aligned, 0 against.
What supports it (4):
• Daily trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• 4h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• 1h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• 4h RSI: 38.0, bearish momentum (below 45)
No factor points the other way right now.

📍 Entry: 4273.39 – 4277.35
🎯 TP1: 4244.03 | TP2: 4223.13 | TP3: 4191.78
🛑 SL: 4317.16

🔴 Bear path:
The 1h price sits at 4275.37 with a bearish daily trend and bearish 4h stack. From the entry zone price should push toward TP1 at 4244.03 then TP2 at 4223.13, with the 4h RSI at 38.0 confirming bearish momentum below 45.

🛑 What kills it:
The setup fails if price invalidates the idea above 4348.19, hitting the SL at 4317.16, and I would exit and look to flip long.

Your call:
Where do you see XAU rejecting from here, and would you defend 4348 or let it run?

Full setup on the chart 👇

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