#fedratewatch
September 16, 2026. FOMC rate
decision and projections at 2:00 PM ET, Warsh press conference at 2:30 PM.
Markets price close to 90% odds of a quarter point hike to 3.75% to 4.00%, the first increase since 2023, after core CPI rose 0.3% m/m, above forecast.
The hike itself is largely priced. The dot plot is what decides whether this is a single move or the start of a cycle
$AKE
$CROSS
$SYN
September 16, 2026. FOMC rate
decision and projections at 2:00 PM ET, Warsh press conference at 2:30 PM.
Markets price close to 90% odds of a quarter point hike to 3.75% to 4.00%, the first increase since 2023, after core CPI rose 0.3% m/m, above forecast.
The hike itself is largely priced. The dot plot is what decides whether this is a single move or the start of a cycle
$AKE
$CROSS
$SYN
