XAUUSD (Gold) – Monday Trading Plan (SMC)
Market Structure
Overall trend is bearish.
The market is creating Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), confirming a downtrend.
The preferred strategy is to look for sell opportunities, not buy breakouts.
Supply / Order Block Zones (Sell Areas)
These are the areas where sellers are expected to become active.
4005–4045 → Main sell zone (highest probability)
4100–4130 → Secondary sell zone
4160–4210 → Strong resistance
Wait for bearish confirmation (rejection candle, bearish engulfing, CHoCH, or BOS) before entering a sell trade.
Demand / Support Zones
These are the key support levels where price may react.
3970–3920 → First support
3920–3870 → Strong demand zone
3870–3820 → Major support
If support breaks with strong momentum, the market can continue toward the next demand zone.
Trade Plan
Entry:
Wait for price to retrace into 4005–4045.
Enter a sell after bearish confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Above 4130 or above the most recent swing high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3970
TP2: 3920
TP3: 3870
Final Target: 3820 (if bearish momentum remains strong)
Invalidation
This bearish setup becomes weaker if:
A strong 1H candle closes above 4045, followed by a bullish market structure.
In that case, price may continue toward 4100–4210.
Monday Outlook
The market remains bearish unless buyers reclaim the key resistance zones. The best opportunity is to wait for a pullback into the supply zone and then look for a high-probability sell setup with proper confirmation and risk management.
Market Structure
Overall trend is bearish.
The market is creating Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), confirming a downtrend.
The preferred strategy is to look for sell opportunities, not buy breakouts.
Supply / Order Block Zones (Sell Areas)
These are the areas where sellers are expected to become active.
4005–4045 → Main sell zone (highest probability)
4100–4130 → Secondary sell zone
4160–4210 → Strong resistance
Wait for bearish confirmation (rejection candle, bearish engulfing, CHoCH, or BOS) before entering a sell trade.
Demand / Support Zones
These are the key support levels where price may react.
3970–3920 → First support
3920–3870 → Strong demand zone
3870–3820 → Major support
If support breaks with strong momentum, the market can continue toward the next demand zone.
Trade Plan
Entry:
Wait for price to retrace into 4005–4045.
Enter a sell after bearish confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Above 4130 or above the most recent swing high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3970
TP2: 3920
TP3: 3870
Final Target: 3820 (if bearish momentum remains strong)
Invalidation
This bearish setup becomes weaker if:
A strong 1H candle closes above 4045, followed by a bullish market structure.
In that case, price may continue toward 4100–4210.
Monday Outlook
The market remains bearish unless buyers reclaim the key resistance zones. The best opportunity is to wait for a pullback into the supply zone and then look for a high-probability sell setup with proper confirmation and risk management.