Broader Market Context (November 12, 2025)
- BTC has corrected ~22% from October highs (~$126k), entering a technical bear market. Recent drivers include profit-taking post-ETF inflows, U.S. dollar strength, and FUD from regulatory/macro uncertainty (e.g., government shutdown liquidity shifts).
- Sentiment: Bearish per technical scans (22 bearish vs. 8 bullish indicators). Fear & Greed Index at 26 (Fear). However, long-term bullish: ETF inflows ($480M last 4 days), institutional adoption (e.g., BlackRock/JPMorgan), and halving effects support a rebound to $114k-$130k by year-end.
- Key Levels: $100k is psychological support (June 2025 low ~$98k). Break below risks $93k; hold above eyes $112k-$115k recovery.

#StrategyBTCPurchase #GENIUSAct Trade Recommendation: **Short (Sell)**
- **Why Short?** The charts show clear bearish alignment—price below EMAs, negative MACD divergence, and volume-backed downside. Intraday momentum favors continuation of the pullback, targeting $100k support. This fits the current bearish sentiment and correction phase.
- **Entry**: Around current price (~$101,670) or on a failed bounce to $102,000 (EMA9 resistance).
- **Stop-Loss**: $102,200 (above recent high/EMA21) — ~0.5% risk.
- **Take-Profit Targets**:
- TP1: $101,000 (quick scalp, +0.6%).
- TP2: $100,300 (main support, +1.3%).
- TP3: $99,500 (extended, +2.1%) if $100k breaks.
- **Position Size**: Risk no more than 1% of your account (e.g., if account is $10k, max loss $100 → position ~$20k at 0.5% stop).
- **Time Horizon**: Intraday/short-term (1-4 hours), as higher timeframes (4h/daily) may stabilize near $100k.
- **Invalidation/Alternative**: If price reclaims $102,800 with volume, flip to long targeting $104k (bullish EMA crossover). Monitor for oversold RSI dip below 25 as a bounce signal.