Bull Run Tops Marked: $BTC
10 Nov 2021 → Previous cycle top (~$69K).
18 Aug 2025 → Current projected bull run top (~$112K–$120K zone).
Bear Market Projections (Post-Top):
You’ve highlighted previous bear market drawdowns:
2017 top → ~86% correction.
2021 top → ~78% correction.
Projection for 2025 top suggests another ~76–80% correction, potentially dropping BTC to the $20K–$40K range (highlighted orange box).
Support / Resistance Levels:
Major resistance at $112K–$120K (current top region).
Key support levels:
$92K zone
$57K zone
$20K–$40K retracement zone (big support box, historical bear market bottom range).
Timing Cycles:
Bear markets last roughly ~364 days (1 year) after cycle tops (both 2017 and 2021).
next projected bear market to bottom around May 2026.
10 Nov 2021 → Previous cycle top (~$69K).
18 Aug 2025 → Current projected bull run top (~$112K–$120K zone).
Bear Market Projections (Post-Top):
You’ve highlighted previous bear market drawdowns:
2017 top → ~86% correction.
2021 top → ~78% correction.
Projection for 2025 top suggests another ~76–80% correction, potentially dropping BTC to the $20K–$40K range (highlighted orange box).
Support / Resistance Levels:
Major resistance at $112K–$120K (current top region).
Key support levels:
$92K zone
$57K zone
$20K–$40K retracement zone (big support box, historical bear market bottom range).
Timing Cycles:
Bear markets last roughly ~364 days (1 year) after cycle tops (both 2017 and 2021).
next projected bear market to bottom around May 2026.
