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巨鲸研究院
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根据前天ADP的数据显示,就业岗位大幅降低,这一数据满足了美联储的需求,从而推动了风险市场的上涨。然而,我昨天也提到过,非农数据无论好坏都被认为是不利的数据,只是小非农数据预示着未来可能更糟糕,因为就业岗位的下降将导致美国经济下滑。但是今天的非农数据被认为是现在就很糟糕,因为它没有满足美联储对劳动力市场降温的需求。然而,从长远来看,这些数据仍符合美国经济的发展趋势,离衰退又远了一步,只是加息和维持高利率的动力增强了一些。
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