fedwatch
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The March FOMC meeting is approaching. If the Federal Reserve signals a faster rate-cutting process this year, could it trigger a new rally in the crypto market? On the other hand, if the Fed adopts a more hawkish stance, will the market experience short-term volatility?
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Latest
History of #ETH
2013–2015: Birth of Ethereum
Created by Vitalik Buterin in 2013.
Launched on July 30, 2015.
2016: The DAO Hack & Fork
A hack drained ~$60M worth of ETH.
Ethereum split into:
Ethereum Classic
Ethereum (current chain)
2017: Massive Bull Run
ICO boom year. Huge hype.
2018: Heavy Bear Market
2019: Slow Recovery
Development Phase (DeFi building quietly).
💎 2020: DeFi Boom
🚀 2021: All-Time High
NFT explosion & institutional money.
⚡ 2022: The Merge
Ethereum shifted from mining to staking (Proof of Stake).
📊 2023: Stabilization
Market slowly recovered.
🏗 2024–2025: ETF & Scaling Era
Layer 2 growth like Arbitrum and Optimism.
#ETHETFsApproved
#FedWatch
2013–2015: Birth of Ethereum
Created by Vitalik Buterin in 2013.
Launched on July 30, 2015.
2016: The DAO Hack & Fork
A hack drained ~$60M worth of ETH.
Ethereum split into:
Ethereum Classic
Ethereum (current chain)
2017: Massive Bull Run
ICO boom year. Huge hype.
2018: Heavy Bear Market
2019: Slow Recovery
Development Phase (DeFi building quietly).
💎 2020: DeFi Boom
🚀 2021: All-Time High
NFT explosion & institutional money.
⚡ 2022: The Merge
Ethereum shifted from mining to staking (Proof of Stake).
📊 2023: Stabilization
Market slowly recovered.
🏗 2024–2025: ETF & Scaling Era
Layer 2 growth like Arbitrum and Optimism.
#ETHETFsApproved
#FedWatch
🚨 US LABOR MARKET CRACKS! FED PIVOT CATALYST FOR $BTC ?
New unemployment data just dropped, blowing past expectations! 👉 227k claims vs 222k forecast. This is the "cooling" the Fed needs to see! ✅ Inflation fight gaining ground. $DXY is already reacting. Expect major volatility. Rate cut whispers just got louder. This is the macro shift $BTC and altcoins have been waiting for. DO NOT FADE THE MACRO. GENERATIONAL WEALTH ON THE HORIZON!
#CryptoNews #MacroTrading #FedWatch #Altcoins #BullMarket 🚀
New unemployment data just dropped, blowing past expectations! 👉 227k claims vs 222k forecast. This is the "cooling" the Fed needs to see! ✅ Inflation fight gaining ground. $DXY is already reacting. Expect major volatility. Rate cut whispers just got louder. This is the macro shift $BTC and altcoins have been waiting for. DO NOT FADE THE MACRO. GENERATIONAL WEALTH ON THE HORIZON!
#CryptoNews #MacroTrading #FedWatch #Altcoins #BullMarket 🚀
🚨 INSIGHT: 🇺🇸 US Jobs Revision 2025
🇺🇸 2025 job numbers revised down by 1M+ — the largest annual downward revision in decades.
That’s real macro fuel. Slower growth = higher Fed cut odds, but weaker demand risk.
🪙 Coins to watch: $ZAMA
$INIT
$MUBARAK
Volatility ahead. Liquidity shifts fast.
#USJobs #MacroShift #FedWatch #CryptoMarkets #RiskAssets
🇺🇸 2025 job numbers revised down by 1M+ — the largest annual downward revision in decades.
That’s real macro fuel. Slower growth = higher Fed cut odds, but weaker demand risk.
🪙 Coins to watch: $ZAMA
$INIT
$MUBARAK
Volatility ahead. Liquidity shifts fast.
#USJobs #MacroShift #FedWatch #CryptoMarkets #RiskAssets
🚨⚡ FED ALERT: MARKET ON EDGE 🇺🇸
Lael Brainard speaks at 8:25 AM ET — traders are already jittery! 💹💥
Watch $XO $XRP $LA
⚠️ Highlights
• Interest rates on hold: No reductions until 2027 ⏳
• “Higher for longer” signal for borrowing costs 📈🏦
• Volatility surges across stocks, bonds & crypto ⚡📊
• Expect sharp intraday swings & wider spreads ⚖️
💡 Market Effects
• Equities: Tech & growth could see steep declines 💻📉
• Crypto: Risk-on assets like $BTC & $ETH may retrace 💧🔄
• USD & Treasuries: Dollar strength likely; yields climb 🚀💵
🧠 Key Takeaway
This isn’t a standard Fed update. A pause until 2027 changes the game for liquidity, credit, and risk appetite. Strategic positioning before the remarks may beat reactionary moves. 🎯
#FOMC #FedWatch
Lael Brainard speaks at 8:25 AM ET — traders are already jittery! 💹💥
Watch $XO $XRP $LA
⚠️ Highlights
• Interest rates on hold: No reductions until 2027 ⏳
• “Higher for longer” signal for borrowing costs 📈🏦
• Volatility surges across stocks, bonds & crypto ⚡📊
• Expect sharp intraday swings & wider spreads ⚖️
💡 Market Effects
• Equities: Tech & growth could see steep declines 💻📉
• Crypto: Risk-on assets like $BTC & $ETH may retrace 💧🔄
• USD & Treasuries: Dollar strength likely; yields climb 🚀💵
🧠 Key Takeaway
This isn’t a standard Fed update. A pause until 2027 changes the game for liquidity, credit, and risk appetite. Strategic positioning before the remarks may beat reactionary moves. 🎯
#FOMC #FedWatch
Gold Compression Near $5K — Volatility Incoming?
CPI Softens, Fed Cut Bets Rise — What’s Next for XAU?
Gold markets have been volatile over the last few sessions.
On Feb 13, Gold sharply dropped to the $4,900 zone, triggering concerns of a deeper correction. Analysts attributed that move to technical + flow factors, not a clear macro shock.
Now?
Gold has stabilized and is trading near $4,975–$5,030 range.
This is no longer panic. This is structure.
Current Market Snapshot (Live Context)
XAUUSDT (Perp - Binance)
• Last Price: ~$4,975–$4,980
• 24H High: ~$5,042
• 24H Low: ~$4,970
• 21-day SMA: ~$4,973 (Immediate dynamic support)
• RSI (14-day): ~54 (Neutral momentum)
Technically:
✔ 21-day SMA above 50, 100 & 200 SMAs
✔ All major SMAs sloping upward
✔ Medium-term trend remains bullish
✔ Momentum normalized after recent spike
This is consolidation inside an uptrend, not structural breakdown.
What Triggered the Volatility?
The key macro driver:
US CPI slowdown January Data:
• MoM CPI: +0.2% (vs 0.3% expected)
• Annual CPI: 2.4% (vs 2.5% expected)
• Core CPI: 0.3% (in line)
Impact:
• Bond yields fell
• USD weakened
• Fed rate cut bets increased
Futures markets now price:
• ~68% chance of June rate cut
• ~62 bps easing expected this year
Soft inflation = supportive for non-yielding assets like Gold.
Technical Levels That Matter
Measured from:
High: ~$5,597
Low: ~$4,401
Key retracement zones:
• 50% level → ~$4,999
• 61.8% level → ~$5,141
Currently: Gold is hovering just below the 50% retracement.
This area acts as:
🔹 Psychological barrier
🔹 Technical resistance
🔹 Momentum decision zone
If price closes firmly above $5,050–$5,100 → continuation likely. If rejected → range trade between $4,970–$5,050.
Derivatives Insight:
Open Interest: Recently cooled from highs but stabilizing. Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: Accounts leaning long Positions more balanced
This tells us:
• No extreme leverage build-up yet
• No panic liquidation cascade
• Market positioning relatively controlled
Volatility compression phase in progress.
Macro Backdrop
Other important context:
• Chinese New Year liquidity thinner
• US GDP data pending
• Geopolitical tensions uncertain
• AI-driven capital rotation affecting broader risk sentiment
But structurally: Rate cut expectations support gold. USD weakness supports gold. Bond yields declining support gold. Macro alignment is not bearish.
Trader Perspective
Short-Term Traders: Expect range-bound volatility between $4,970 and $5,100. Watch bond yields + USD index.
Swing Traders: As long as price holds above 21-day SMA (~$4,973), bias remains constructive.
Position Traders: Medium-term structure intact. 50/100-day SMA alignment remains bullish.
Breakdown risk only increases if: Daily close below ~$4,950 with rising yields.
So Is the Worst Over?
The sharp drop to $4,900 appears more like:
✔ Technical flush
✔ Liquidity sweep
✔ Flow-driven reset
Not a macro reversal.
Gold is now: Consolidating, Digesting CPI data, Waiting for next catalyst. This is typically how trends pause — not how they end.
Conclusion
Gold remains structurally bullish but tactically cautious.
• Inflation cooling
• Fed easing expectations rising
• SMAs aligned bullish
• RSI neutral
• Volatility compressing
The next decisive move will depend on: Bond yield direction, USD strength/weakness, Upcoming GDP data, Break above $5,100 resistance
Until then: This looks like consolidation within strength. Not collapse.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational purpose only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and use proper position sizing.
#CPIWatch #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations #BinanceSquareTalks
$XAU
$BTC
$XAG
Gold markets have been volatile over the last few sessions.
On Feb 13, Gold sharply dropped to the $4,900 zone, triggering concerns of a deeper correction. Analysts attributed that move to technical + flow factors, not a clear macro shock.
Now?
Gold has stabilized and is trading near $4,975–$5,030 range.
This is no longer panic. This is structure.
Current Market Snapshot (Live Context)
XAUUSDT (Perp - Binance)
• Last Price: ~$4,975–$4,980
• 24H High: ~$5,042
• 24H Low: ~$4,970
• 21-day SMA: ~$4,973 (Immediate dynamic support)
• RSI (14-day): ~54 (Neutral momentum)
Technically:
✔ 21-day SMA above 50, 100 & 200 SMAs
✔ All major SMAs sloping upward
✔ Medium-term trend remains bullish
✔ Momentum normalized after recent spike
This is consolidation inside an uptrend, not structural breakdown.
What Triggered the Volatility?
The key macro driver:
US CPI slowdown January Data:
• MoM CPI: +0.2% (vs 0.3% expected)
• Annual CPI: 2.4% (vs 2.5% expected)
• Core CPI: 0.3% (in line)
Impact:
• Bond yields fell
• USD weakened
• Fed rate cut bets increased
Futures markets now price:
• ~68% chance of June rate cut
• ~62 bps easing expected this year
Soft inflation = supportive for non-yielding assets like Gold.
Technical Levels That Matter
Measured from:
High: ~$5,597
Low: ~$4,401
Key retracement zones:
• 50% level → ~$4,999
• 61.8% level → ~$5,141
Currently: Gold is hovering just below the 50% retracement.
This area acts as:
🔹 Psychological barrier
🔹 Technical resistance
🔹 Momentum decision zone
If price closes firmly above $5,050–$5,100 → continuation likely. If rejected → range trade between $4,970–$5,050.
Derivatives Insight:
Open Interest: Recently cooled from highs but stabilizing. Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: Accounts leaning long Positions more balanced
This tells us:
• No extreme leverage build-up yet
• No panic liquidation cascade
• Market positioning relatively controlled
Volatility compression phase in progress.
Macro Backdrop
Other important context:
• Chinese New Year liquidity thinner
• US GDP data pending
• Geopolitical tensions uncertain
• AI-driven capital rotation affecting broader risk sentiment
But structurally: Rate cut expectations support gold. USD weakness supports gold. Bond yields declining support gold. Macro alignment is not bearish.
Trader Perspective
Short-Term Traders: Expect range-bound volatility between $4,970 and $5,100. Watch bond yields + USD index.
Swing Traders: As long as price holds above 21-day SMA (~$4,973), bias remains constructive.
Position Traders: Medium-term structure intact. 50/100-day SMA alignment remains bullish.
Breakdown risk only increases if: Daily close below ~$4,950 with rising yields.
So Is the Worst Over?
The sharp drop to $4,900 appears more like:
✔ Technical flush
✔ Liquidity sweep
✔ Flow-driven reset
Not a macro reversal.
Gold is now: Consolidating, Digesting CPI data, Waiting for next catalyst. This is typically how trends pause — not how they end.
Conclusion
Gold remains structurally bullish but tactically cautious.
• Inflation cooling
• Fed easing expectations rising
• SMAs aligned bullish
• RSI neutral
• Volatility compressing
The next decisive move will depend on: Bond yield direction, USD strength/weakness, Upcoming GDP data, Break above $5,100 resistance
Until then: This looks like consolidation within strength. Not collapse.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Educational purpose only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and use proper position sizing.
#CPIWatch #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations #BinanceSquareTalks
$XAU
$BTC
$XAG
Binance BiBi:
Hey, that's a fantastic and classic technical analysis question! A breakout on muted volume can be tricky. It's often seen as a warning sign for a potential false breakout, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from buyers. However, it could also imply quiet absorption is happening before a larger expansion. The key is often to watch for confirmation in the following price action! Hope this helps
#USNFPBlowout US NFP Blowout: January 2026 Resets the Narrative 📉💼
The January 2026 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report didn't just update the charts—it forced a massive recalibration of the "economic slowdown" story. Labeled the #USNFPBlowout, this data drop has shifted expectations for the rest of the year.
📊 The Numbers at a Glance
Jobs Added: 130,000 (Crushing consensus estimates of 55K–70K).
Unemployment Rate: Held steady at 4.3% (Defying fears of a spike).
Wage Growth: Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% MoM and 3.7% YoY—steady, but not inflationary.
The "Workweek" Signal: Hours worked ticked up to 34.3, suggesting companies are maximizing their current staff rather than preparing for layoffs.
🔍 Why This "Blowout" Matters
1. The 2025 "Truth" Revealed 📉
The report included massive annual benchmark revisions. We now know that 2025 was far weaker than originally thought—job growth was slashed from 584K down to just 181K for the entire year.
The Twist: Because the economy already absorbed that "secret" weakness, January’s 130K gain feels like a powerful structural pivot.
2. Resilience in Key Sectors 🏥🏗️
Hiring wasn't just "noise." It was concentrated in essential, non-cyclical areas:
The Laggards: Federal government and Financial activities saw declines, creating a balanced, "needs-based" labor market.
3. The Fed's "Waiting Room" 🏛️
This report effectively killed the hope for aggressive, near-term rate cuts. With the labor market refusing to "roll over," the Federal Reserve now has the luxury of patience.
Market Move: Treasury yields rose and the USD strengthened as traders pushed "imminent easing" bets further into the second half of 2026.
💡 The Bottom Line
durability is enough to change the trajectory of every asset class from Gold to Bitcoin. The story isn't about a crash anymore—it's about cautious resilience.
#USNFPBlowout #Macro2026 #LaborMarket #FedWatch #InvestingStrategy #EconomicUpdate$BTC $XRP $BNB
The January 2026 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report didn't just update the charts—it forced a massive recalibration of the "economic slowdown" story. Labeled the #USNFPBlowout, this data drop has shifted expectations for the rest of the year.
📊 The Numbers at a Glance
Jobs Added: 130,000 (Crushing consensus estimates of 55K–70K).
Unemployment Rate: Held steady at 4.3% (Defying fears of a spike).
Wage Growth: Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% MoM and 3.7% YoY—steady, but not inflationary.
The "Workweek" Signal: Hours worked ticked up to 34.3, suggesting companies are maximizing their current staff rather than preparing for layoffs.
🔍 Why This "Blowout" Matters
1. The 2025 "Truth" Revealed 📉
The report included massive annual benchmark revisions. We now know that 2025 was far weaker than originally thought—job growth was slashed from 584K down to just 181K for the entire year.
The Twist: Because the economy already absorbed that "secret" weakness, January’s 130K gain feels like a powerful structural pivot.
2. Resilience in Key Sectors 🏥🏗️
Hiring wasn't just "noise." It was concentrated in essential, non-cyclical areas:
The Laggards: Federal government and Financial activities saw declines, creating a balanced, "needs-based" labor market.
3. The Fed's "Waiting Room" 🏛️
This report effectively killed the hope for aggressive, near-term rate cuts. With the labor market refusing to "roll over," the Federal Reserve now has the luxury of patience.
Market Move: Treasury yields rose and the USD strengthened as traders pushed "imminent easing" bets further into the second half of 2026.
💡 The Bottom Line
durability is enough to change the trajectory of every asset class from Gold to Bitcoin. The story isn't about a crash anymore—it's about cautious resilience.
#USNFPBlowout #Macro2026 #LaborMarket #FedWatch #InvestingStrategy #EconomicUpdate$BTC $XRP $BNB
The latest economic data is raising eyebrows everywhere.
CPI just hit an eight-month low and core CPI is at a five-year low. Non-farm payrolls were revised down by 862,000—the worst drop since 2009. Large bankruptcies are at levels we haven’t seen in over a decade, credit card delinquencies are at their highest since 2011, and the housing market is struggling more than ever. Even the vacancy-to-unemployed ratio is worse than during the pandemic.
And yet, the Fed insists the economy is strong, saying the only thing to worry about is inflation. It’s hard not to wonder—are we missing something, or is the storm coming while everyone looks the other way? Traders, investors, and everyday people are watching closely, because these numbers don’t lie.
This is a moment where opportunity and risk are side by side, and paying attention could make all the difference. ⚡💼🏠💳
#CPIWatch #EconomicAlert #MarketMoves #FedWatch
$AAVE
$CFX
$COMP
CPI just hit an eight-month low and core CPI is at a five-year low. Non-farm payrolls were revised down by 862,000—the worst drop since 2009. Large bankruptcies are at levels we haven’t seen in over a decade, credit card delinquencies are at their highest since 2011, and the housing market is struggling more than ever. Even the vacancy-to-unemployed ratio is worse than during the pandemic.
And yet, the Fed insists the economy is strong, saying the only thing to worry about is inflation. It’s hard not to wonder—are we missing something, or is the storm coming while everyone looks the other way? Traders, investors, and everyday people are watching closely, because these numbers don’t lie.
This is a moment where opportunity and risk are side by side, and paying attention could make all the difference. ⚡💼🏠💳
#CPIWatch #EconomicAlert #MarketMoves #FedWatch
$AAVE
$CFX
$COMP
Dear followers, listen carefully.❤️🩹🤝
I’m starting a new journey turning $16,989 USDT into $100,000 USDT within one month using futures trading.
I’ll be sharing my exact trade setups with you first, before I enter any position.
You’ll also see live trades, real execution, and full transparency no fake screenshots, no after-calls.
If you want to learn, grow, and trade alongside me in real time,
👉Click here and follow my new Binance Square account now.
This journey starts now. Don’t miss it.
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$ETH
$BTC
I’m starting a new journey turning $16,989 USDT into $100,000 USDT within one month using futures trading.
I’ll be sharing my exact trade setups with you first, before I enter any position.
You’ll also see live trades, real execution, and full transparency no fake screenshots, no after-calls.
If you want to learn, grow, and trade alongside me in real time,
👉Click here and follow my new Binance Square account now.
This journey starts now. Don’t miss it.
#TSLALinkedPerpsOnBinance #VIRBNB #FedWatch #TradeCryptosOnX #MarketRebound $ZAMA
$ETH
$BTC
$XPL 😎
Trade – A Smart Way to Grow Your Investments
In today’s fast-moving financial world, online trading platforms have made it easier than ever for individuals to participate in global markets. $XPL Trade is emerging as a popular choice for traders who want accessibility, flexibility, and growth opportunities. This article explains the key benefits of trading with XPL Trade and why it can be a good option for investors.
1. Easy Access to Global Markets
One of the biggest benefits of XPL Trade is access to multiple financial markets. Traders can participate in:
Forex (currency trading)
Stocks
Commodities
Indices
Trade $XPL by 👇💵
#FedWatch #TokenizedSilverSurge #ClawdbotSaysNoToken #At
Trade – A Smart Way to Grow Your Investments
In today’s fast-moving financial world, online trading platforms have made it easier than ever for individuals to participate in global markets. $XPL Trade is emerging as a popular choice for traders who want accessibility, flexibility, and growth opportunities. This article explains the key benefits of trading with XPL Trade and why it can be a good option for investors.
1. Easy Access to Global Markets
One of the biggest benefits of XPL Trade is access to multiple financial markets. Traders can participate in:
Forex (currency trading)
Stocks
Commodities
Indices
Trade $XPL by 👇💵
#FedWatch #TokenizedSilverSurge #ClawdbotSaysNoToken #At
Today’s US CPI data drops at 8:30 AM ET and markets are watching closely.
📌 Expected CPI: 2.5% YoY
Why it matters for $BTC :
CPI below 2.5% → Inflation cooling → Fed rate cut hopes → Bitcoin could pump 🚀
CPI above 2.5% → Inflation sticky → Higher rate pressure → BTC may dip 📉
⚡ CPI is one of the biggest volatility triggers for crypto because it directly impacts Fed policy + liquidity.
What’s your call today — $BTC breakout or pullback? 👇
#CPIWatch #bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #FedWatch
📌 Expected CPI: 2.5% YoY
Why it matters for $BTC :
CPI below 2.5% → Inflation cooling → Fed rate cut hopes → Bitcoin could pump 🚀
CPI above 2.5% → Inflation sticky → Higher rate pressure → BTC may dip 📉
⚡ CPI is one of the biggest volatility triggers for crypto because it directly impacts Fed policy + liquidity.
What’s your call today — $BTC breakout or pullback? 👇
#CPIWatch #bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #FedWatch
🚨 TARIFF SHOCK: TRUMP CONSIDERS ROLLING BACK STEEL & ALUMINUM DUTIES — INFLATION PRESSURE IN FOCUS
A major policy shift may be coming out of Washington.
According to Financial Times, Donald Trump is weighing plans to reduce tariffs on select steel and aluminum products, responding to mounting affordability concerns that are starting to hit consumer confidence.
Last summer, the administration imposed tariffs as high as 50%, expanding them beyond raw metals to everyday products like washing machines and ovens.
Now — insiders say that strategy is changing.
⚡ What’s happening behind the scenes
Sources familiar with the discussions reveal:
✅ The tariff product list is being reviewed
✅ Some items are expected to be fully exempted
✅ Further tariff expansion is likely paused
✅ Future action will focus on targeted national security probes, not blanket penalties
Officials from the United States Department of Commerce and the Office of the United States Trade Representative reportedly warned that current tariffs are directly raising consumer prices — from dishware to food and beverage cans.
Translation: inflation is biting… and voters are noticing.
🌍 Who stands to benefit
If exemptions move forward, relief could flow to exporters from:
• United Kingdom
• Mexico
• Canada
• European Union
This could rebalance global metal flows — and cool price pressure across supply chains.
💣 Why markets care
This isn’t just trade policy — it’s macro.
Lower tariffs mean:
📉 Reduced input costs
📉 Softer inflation pressure
📈 Improved consumer affordability
📈 Potential boost to manufacturing margins
And for crypto & risk assets?
Easier inflation → softer Fed stance → better liquidity expectations.
Policy is shifting.
Markets are watching.
Volatility may follow.
$BTC $ETH #MarketNews #GlobalMarkets #RiskAssets #Liquidity #FedWatch
A major policy shift may be coming out of Washington.
According to Financial Times, Donald Trump is weighing plans to reduce tariffs on select steel and aluminum products, responding to mounting affordability concerns that are starting to hit consumer confidence.
Last summer, the administration imposed tariffs as high as 50%, expanding them beyond raw metals to everyday products like washing machines and ovens.
Now — insiders say that strategy is changing.
⚡ What’s happening behind the scenes
Sources familiar with the discussions reveal:
✅ The tariff product list is being reviewed
✅ Some items are expected to be fully exempted
✅ Further tariff expansion is likely paused
✅ Future action will focus on targeted national security probes, not blanket penalties
Officials from the United States Department of Commerce and the Office of the United States Trade Representative reportedly warned that current tariffs are directly raising consumer prices — from dishware to food and beverage cans.
Translation: inflation is biting… and voters are noticing.
🌍 Who stands to benefit
If exemptions move forward, relief could flow to exporters from:
• United Kingdom
• Mexico
• Canada
• European Union
This could rebalance global metal flows — and cool price pressure across supply chains.
💣 Why markets care
This isn’t just trade policy — it’s macro.
Lower tariffs mean:
📉 Reduced input costs
📉 Softer inflation pressure
📈 Improved consumer affordability
📈 Potential boost to manufacturing margins
And for crypto & risk assets?
Easier inflation → softer Fed stance → better liquidity expectations.
Policy is shifting.
Markets are watching.
Volatility may follow.
$BTC $ETH #MarketNews #GlobalMarkets #RiskAssets #Liquidity #FedWatch
Wall Street Braces for Pivotal CPI Report as AI Disruption Fears Drive Deep Tech Sell-Off
As of Friday, February 13, 2026, U.S. stock markets are under pressure following a sharp decline in the previous session. Investors are currently focused on the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which is expected to influence the Federal Reserve's next move regarding interest rates.
Market Performance Summary
The major indices saw significant losses during the last full trading session on February 12, 2026:
S&P 500 Index: Fell 1.16% to close at 6,860.54.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Dropped 0.84% (approximately 420 points) to 49,702.
Nasdaq Composite: Led the decline, sliding 1.82% to 24,742.30.
Russell 2000 Index: Small caps retreated 1.98% to 2,616.59.
Key Market Drivers
AI Jitters: Concerns over the high capital expenditure required for artificial intelligence infrastructure and fears of AI-driven displacement in the software sector triggered a tech sell-off.
Interest Rate Stakes: Recent strong jobs data has fueled expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Markets are closely watching today's inflation print to see if it supports a rate cut by June 2026.
Commodity Slump: Precious metals faced a "cliff-like" drop; Silver plunged nearly 10% and Gold fell below the $5,000 mark on Thursday.
Notable Stock Movements
Cisco (CSCO): Shares tumbled 11-12% following a weak margin forecast.
Megacaps: Apple, Amazon, and Meta all fell more than 3% as part of a broader rotation out of tech.
Novocure (NVCR): Shares surged 32% after receiving FDA approval for a new pancreatic cancer treatment.
#stockmarket
#Inflationdata
#FedWatch
#InvestorAlert
#USTechFundFlows
As of Friday, February 13, 2026, U.S. stock markets are under pressure following a sharp decline in the previous session. Investors are currently focused on the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which is expected to influence the Federal Reserve's next move regarding interest rates.
Market Performance Summary
The major indices saw significant losses during the last full trading session on February 12, 2026:
S&P 500 Index: Fell 1.16% to close at 6,860.54.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Dropped 0.84% (approximately 420 points) to 49,702.
Nasdaq Composite: Led the decline, sliding 1.82% to 24,742.30.
Russell 2000 Index: Small caps retreated 1.98% to 2,616.59.
Key Market Drivers
AI Jitters: Concerns over the high capital expenditure required for artificial intelligence infrastructure and fears of AI-driven displacement in the software sector triggered a tech sell-off.
Interest Rate Stakes: Recent strong jobs data has fueled expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Markets are closely watching today's inflation print to see if it supports a rate cut by June 2026.
Commodity Slump: Precious metals faced a "cliff-like" drop; Silver plunged nearly 10% and Gold fell below the $5,000 mark on Thursday.
Notable Stock Movements
Cisco (CSCO): Shares tumbled 11-12% following a weak margin forecast.
Megacaps: Apple, Amazon, and Meta all fell more than 3% as part of a broader rotation out of tech.
Novocure (NVCR): Shares surged 32% after receiving FDA approval for a new pancreatic cancer treatment.
#stockmarket
#Inflationdata
#FedWatch
#InvestorAlert
#USTechFundFlows
GOLD HOLDING STRONG NEAR $5,060 DESPITE HOT US JOBS DATA 🐂
THE FED IS NOT CUTTING YET BUT GOLD IS UNBREAKABLE. This is structural support you cannot ignore. Central Banks are loading up while geopolitical risk keeps the floor solid.
• US Non-Farm Payrolls CRUSHED expectations at 130K.
• Unemployment DROPPED to 4.3%.
The market is shifting rate cut expectations to July, but that only means the eventual pivot will be BIGGER. Gold is consolidating for the next massive leg up. DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS SUPPORT LEVEL. Prepare for LIFTOFF when the narrative flips back to easing.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PreciousMetals #FedWatch 💸
THE FED IS NOT CUTTING YET BUT GOLD IS UNBREAKABLE. This is structural support you cannot ignore. Central Banks are loading up while geopolitical risk keeps the floor solid.
• US Non-Farm Payrolls CRUSHED expectations at 130K.
• Unemployment DROPPED to 4.3%.
The market is shifting rate cut expectations to July, but that only means the eventual pivot will be BIGGER. Gold is consolidating for the next massive leg up. DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS SUPPORT LEVEL. Prepare for LIFTOFF when the narrative flips back to easing.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PreciousMetals #FedWatch 💸
BITCOIN TRAPPED BETWEEN MACRO FORCES! LIQUIDITY SQUEEZE IMMINENT? 🚨
The market is paralyzed by conflicting signals: strong jobs data vs. revised weak historical trends. This means the Fed stays PUT and liquidity tightens. $BTC felt the pressure immediately.
• Yields spiking toward 4.20% crushed rate cut odds.
• $BTC slipped toward $66,900 as leverage contracts.
• Deleveraging is real: Derivatives OI is down significantly!
$BTC must reclaim $69,000 NOW or face the downside. Watch $65,000 support closely. If that breaks, $60,104 is the final macro line. DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS TENSION. This is NOT emotional selling; it is mechanical macro pressure. LOAD UP IF YOU CAN STOMACH THE VOLATILITY.
#BTC #MacroTrading #LiquidityTrap #FedWatch 📉
The market is paralyzed by conflicting signals: strong jobs data vs. revised weak historical trends. This means the Fed stays PUT and liquidity tightens. $BTC felt the pressure immediately.
• Yields spiking toward 4.20% crushed rate cut odds.
• $BTC slipped toward $66,900 as leverage contracts.
• Deleveraging is real: Derivatives OI is down significantly!
$BTC must reclaim $69,000 NOW or face the downside. Watch $65,000 support closely. If that breaks, $60,104 is the final macro line. DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS TENSION. This is NOT emotional selling; it is mechanical macro pressure. LOAD UP IF YOU CAN STOMACH THE VOLATILITY.
#BTC #MacroTrading #LiquidityTrap #FedWatch 📉
Here’s your thrill, unique & organic post based on the latest unemployment shocker 👇🏽🔥
🚨 MARKET SHOCK: US JOB DATA JUST SLAMMED EXPECTATIONS
Everyone was bracing for a weak job print after the bulls were spooked…
but the economy threw a curveball instead.
📊 January jobs added: +130,000 — way above forecasts and the biggest gain in months.
📉 Unemployment rate fell to 4.3% vs 4.4% expected.
This isn’t a sideways number…
this is real strength stamping its feet.
The private sector also posted some of the strongest gains we’ve seen in a year — no crumbs here.
What does this mean for markets and traders?
📌 Rate cuts in March? Probably off the table.
The Fed is watching this labor backbone tighten — not loosen.
Expect markets to whipsaw on this — stocks, bonds, and crypto all reacting to growth over fear.
Strong jobs → higher yields → tougher rate expectations.
This isn’t fear-driven weakness…
this is conviction-driven upside.
Stay tactical.
Price action never lies.
#USJobs #NFP #FedWatch #MacroMomentum #MarketShock 🚀📉📊
🚨 MARKET SHOCK: US JOB DATA JUST SLAMMED EXPECTATIONS
Everyone was bracing for a weak job print after the bulls were spooked…
but the economy threw a curveball instead.
📊 January jobs added: +130,000 — way above forecasts and the biggest gain in months.
📉 Unemployment rate fell to 4.3% vs 4.4% expected.
This isn’t a sideways number…
this is real strength stamping its feet.
The private sector also posted some of the strongest gains we’ve seen in a year — no crumbs here.
What does this mean for markets and traders?
📌 Rate cuts in March? Probably off the table.
The Fed is watching this labor backbone tighten — not loosen.
Expect markets to whipsaw on this — stocks, bonds, and crypto all reacting to growth over fear.
Strong jobs → higher yields → tougher rate expectations.
This isn’t fear-driven weakness…
this is conviction-driven upside.
Stay tactical.
Price action never lies.
#USJobs #NFP #FedWatch #MacroMomentum #MarketShock 🚀📉📊
📊 البيانات الاقتصادية صدرت وهذا أهم ما جاء
أرقام الوظائف الأمريكية جاءت أقوى من التوقعات:
🔹 Non-farm payrolls (الوظائف غير الزراعية) سجلت 130 ألف مقابل توقعات 66 ألف.
🔹 معدل البطالة انخفض إلى 4.3% مقابل 4.4% متوقعة.
هذه الأرقام تعكس اقتصادا أمريكيا متماسكا وسوق عمل قويا، ما يقلل حاجة الفيدرالي لخفض الفائدة قريبا. بالتالي، تزداد ترجيحات تثبيت الفائدة في الاجتماع القادم.
الأسواق الآن ستتعامل بحذر، لأن البيانات القوية تدعم الدولار وتضغط على الأصول عالية المخاطر مؤقتا. إدارة المخاطر ضرورية في هذه المرحلة.
$ZRO $ZEC
#Nonfarmpayroll
#FedWatch
#CryptoNews
أرقام الوظائف الأمريكية جاءت أقوى من التوقعات:
🔹 Non-farm payrolls (الوظائف غير الزراعية) سجلت 130 ألف مقابل توقعات 66 ألف.
🔹 معدل البطالة انخفض إلى 4.3% مقابل 4.4% متوقعة.
هذه الأرقام تعكس اقتصادا أمريكيا متماسكا وسوق عمل قويا، ما يقلل حاجة الفيدرالي لخفض الفائدة قريبا. بالتالي، تزداد ترجيحات تثبيت الفائدة في الاجتماع القادم.
الأسواق الآن ستتعامل بحذر، لأن البيانات القوية تدعم الدولار وتضغط على الأصول عالية المخاطر مؤقتا. إدارة المخاطر ضرورية في هذه المرحلة.
$ZRO $ZEC
#Nonfarmpayroll
#FedWatch
#CryptoNews
🚨 U.S. WAGE DATA INCOMING — WALL STREET SPLIT AS JANUARY EARNINGS BECOME THE NEXT MARKET TRIGGER
The next major macro catalyst is lining up: U.S. Average Hourly Earnings for January.
And right now… big banks can’t agree.
This isn’t just another data print — wage growth directly feeds into inflation expectations, Fed policy, dollar strength, and crypto volatility.
Here’s how the giants are positioned:
📊 Annual Wage Growth (YoY)
Most forecasts cluster between 3.5% – 3.7%
🔹 3.5% camp: Scotiabank
🔹 3.6% consensus: Reuters, Barclays, Capital Economics, Dekabank
🔹 3.7% hawkish camp: JPMorgan, Citi, BNP Paribas, Pantheon, HSBC, UBS, TD Securities, Jefferies
Translation:
Nearly half of Wall Street is betting wages stay too hot for comfort.
📈 Monthly Growth (MoM)
Consensus sits near +0.3%
• Morgan Stanley & Scotiabank: +0.2%
• Most banks: +0.3%
• Goldman Sachs: +0.4% (the spicy take)
That Goldman print matters.
A 0.4% surprise would instantly revive “higher-for-longer” fears.
💣 Why this matters for crypto & risk assets
If wages come in HOT:
❌ Dollar strengthens
❌ Rate cut expectations get pushed back
❌ Risk assets feel pressure
❌ BTC likely faces another volatility spike
If wages COOL:
✅ Fed easing narrative returns
✅ Liquidity expectations improve
✅ Crypto gets breathing room
✅ Dip buyers step in aggressively
This single number can flip sentiment fast.
🧠 Bottom line:
Markets are balanced on a knife edge.
Stocks. Bitcoin. Altcoins. Gold.
All waiting on one thing:
U.S. workers’ paychecks.
Smart money is already positioned.
Retail will react after.
Watch the print.
Volatility is loading.
$BTC
$ETH
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #FedWatch #USData #MarketAlert
Follow RJCryptoX for real-time alerts.
And right now… big banks can’t agree.
This isn’t just another data print — wage growth directly feeds into inflation expectations, Fed policy, dollar strength, and crypto volatility.
Here’s how the giants are positioned:
📊 Annual Wage Growth (YoY)
Most forecasts cluster between 3.5% – 3.7%
🔹 3.5% camp: Scotiabank
🔹 3.6% consensus: Reuters, Barclays, Capital Economics, Dekabank
🔹 3.7% hawkish camp: JPMorgan, Citi, BNP Paribas, Pantheon, HSBC, UBS, TD Securities, Jefferies
Translation:
Nearly half of Wall Street is betting wages stay too hot for comfort.
📈 Monthly Growth (MoM)
Consensus sits near +0.3%
• Morgan Stanley & Scotiabank: +0.2%
• Most banks: +0.3%
• Goldman Sachs: +0.4% (the spicy take)
That Goldman print matters.
A 0.4% surprise would instantly revive “higher-for-longer” fears.
💣 Why this matters for crypto & risk assets
If wages come in HOT:
❌ Dollar strengthens
❌ Rate cut expectations get pushed back
❌ Risk assets feel pressure
❌ BTC likely faces another volatility spike
If wages COOL:
✅ Fed easing narrative returns
✅ Liquidity expectations improve
✅ Crypto gets breathing room
✅ Dip buyers step in aggressively
This single number can flip sentiment fast.
🧠 Bottom line:
Markets are balanced on a knife edge.
Stocks. Bitcoin. Altcoins. Gold.
All waiting on one thing:
U.S. workers’ paychecks.
Smart money is already positioned.
Retail will react after.
Watch the print.
Volatility is loading.
$BTC
$ETH
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #FedWatch #USData #MarketAlert
Follow RJCryptoX for real-time alerts.
📢 JUST IN: Bitcoin Volatility Rising
JUST IN: 📊 Bitcoin volatility is picking up as traders position ahead of key macro events.
Open interest is climbing while price consolidates — a classic setup before a potential breakout.
Liquidity building. Pressure rising.
The question is: Up or down?
What’s your bias for the next move? 👇
#bitcoin #FedWatch #CryptoNews #BTC
JUST IN: 📊 Bitcoin volatility is picking up as traders position ahead of key macro events.
Open interest is climbing while price consolidates — a classic setup before a potential breakout.
Liquidity building. Pressure rising.
The question is: Up or down?
What’s your bias for the next move? 👇
#bitcoin #FedWatch #CryptoNews #BTC
US RETAIL SALES COLLAPSE. CONSUMERS ARE BROKE.
Market sentiment is CRUSHED. Risk assets are on shaky ground. Expect increased Fed rate-cut speculation if this weakness sticks. The dollar is feeling the heat. All eyes are now on jobs and inflation data. Soft sales plus a weak labor market screams dovish Fed pivot. Volatility is imminent. Get ready.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USData #FedWatch #MarketCrash 💥
Market sentiment is CRUSHED. Risk assets are on shaky ground. Expect increased Fed rate-cut speculation if this weakness sticks. The dollar is feeling the heat. All eyes are now on jobs and inflation data. Soft sales plus a weak labor market screams dovish Fed pivot. Volatility is imminent. Get ready.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USData #FedWatch #MarketCrash 💥
🚨 BREAKING | Trump Criticizes Fed Pick 🇺🇸💥
President Trump admits choosing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair in 2017 was a mistake, saying Kevin Warsh could have grown the U.S. economy by ~15% with a more growth-oriented approach.
📌 Why this matters:
• The Fed controls liquidity, credit conditions, and risk appetite — not just rates
• Powell prioritized inflation control and stability, tightening markets and slowing growth
• Warsh represents a growth-first philosophy, more willing to push the system to accelerate investment, asset prices, and economic momentum
💡 Market impact:
• Signals a potential shift in future monetary policy expectations
• Could affect equities, bonds, real estate, and crypto as investors price in a more aggressive growth stance
• Central bank leadership can drive macro outcomes more than tax cuts or spending bills
⚠️ Takeaway:
Macro results aren’t just about policy—they’re about who’s steering the system. Change the Fed chair, and you often change the trajectory of the economy.
#Macro #FedWatch #Trump #JeromePowell #KevinWarsh #Markets #Crypto #EconomicPolicy
President Trump admits choosing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair in 2017 was a mistake, saying Kevin Warsh could have grown the U.S. economy by ~15% with a more growth-oriented approach.
📌 Why this matters:
• The Fed controls liquidity, credit conditions, and risk appetite — not just rates
• Powell prioritized inflation control and stability, tightening markets and slowing growth
• Warsh represents a growth-first philosophy, more willing to push the system to accelerate investment, asset prices, and economic momentum
💡 Market impact:
• Signals a potential shift in future monetary policy expectations
• Could affect equities, bonds, real estate, and crypto as investors price in a more aggressive growth stance
• Central bank leadership can drive macro outcomes more than tax cuts or spending bills
⚠️ Takeaway:
Macro results aren’t just about policy—they’re about who’s steering the system. Change the Fed chair, and you often change the trajectory of the economy.
#Macro #FedWatch #Trump #JeromePowell #KevinWarsh #Markets #Crypto #EconomicPolicy
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