$HOT didn't get the sell-the-news memo.
Oct 30 I covered the front-run: 20:00 UTC blast O $0.000345 → H $0.000457 → C $0.000396 on $826k, ~40x dead-morning volume — the market buying the calendar ahead of Nov 1, the outer-edge date for the HOT→HoloFuel migration.
The date arrived. Holo's own Oct 29 blog (Burgess, Harris-Braun, Brock) laid out the Nov 1 launch plan, and Coinness reported 7h ago that Holo announced on X: HoloFuel is officially launched.
The tape since (closed candles through 13:00 UTC; forming 14:00 is live tape only): Nov 1 06:00 UTC leg 1 O $0.000359 → H $0.000415 → C $0.000378 on ~$0.43M — faded 40% of the gain within the hour. Chop $0.000352–$0.000363. 16:00 UTC leg 2 O $0.000361 → H $0.000405 → C $0.000375 on ~$0.72M, the day's heaviest bar. 18:00 UTC leg 3 O $0.000380 → H $0.000415 → C $0.000407 on ~$0.45M. Three legs, three fades — 19:00 tagged $0.000418 then closed $0.000400; 20:00 closed $0.000377. Sell-every-blast is the pattern.
But the forming 14:00 UTC hour just tagged $0.000442, a fresh 24h high — live $0.000433, +21% 24h, $4.04M / 52.7k trades. The coin keeps knocking.
Honest credentials: rank #322, $76.3M mcap, 100% circulating (no unlock cliff), global vol $29.9M ≈ 0.39x mcap/day, -98.6% off the $0.0312 2021 ATH. Chart (closed candles): RSI 61, above EMA20 $0.0003836 / EMA50 $0.0003726 — warm, not washed out.
Lines: $0.000442 the 24h high (hourly close above = pressing the saga high); $0.000457 the Oct-30 spike high (close above = launch bid runs); $0.000415 three rejections (close above with volume = legs consolidate); $0.000352 a closed hour below = second wave unwinding toward the pre-blast shelf.
Not a call, either way. Migrations are sell-the-news by default — but this tape hasn't read the memo yet.
Does the 15:00 UTC close print above $0.000442, or does the fourth knock get sold like the last three?