保罗量化

Yesterday’s market saw choppy pullback: BTC bottomed around 7.77. There’s a 30M low at the lower end, and short-term it looks to have stopped falling. Consolidation may continue here. Keep an eye on what happens after a rebound—if it drops again, you may see a 1H-or-longer low form. The support below is around 7.66.
In the Tradfi market, AMD and INTC led the rebound after the daily low, showing strong bullish candles and gradually working through the correction. You can continue to watch them. As for the rest, GOOGL, AMZN, and QQQ currently have 12H lows. You can check the实时 high/low points for this market across different timeframes in the “Board: High and Low” view.
Also, in the commodities market, XAU continues to face downward pressure. The blue resistance line above has been tested multiple times. Yesterday it was pressured again and pulled back. Price has now entered the right-side range, and only by gradually breaking out of the resistance area will there be a chance to re-enter an uptrend cycle.

In yesterday’s sideways consolidation, Bitcoin and Ethereum have been range-bound. Under the influence of the 4H high point from last Friday, they have now entered the third day of the adjustment cycle. In the short term, staying flat without dipping is a show of strength. During the consolidation period, opportunities are not very clear—wait for the market to move further.
Both the majors and altcoins are still active. Yesterday, DOT and SUI led the gains, while ZEC, HYPE, etc. started to pull back. You can watch whether a low point appears during this recent pullback and adjustment.
Short-term big cake support at 7.6. The overhead resistance at 8.2 remains unchanged. For Ethereum, first watch support at 2440, with overhead resistance at 2550.
Also, four new cryptocurrencies were recently launched yesterday, including the currently hot UNI, DASH, as well as the older mining coin FIL, and the privacy concept ZEN. Welcome to subscribe and use the service.

Last week, the crypto market first went through a round of pullback at elevated levels, then BTC broke out of a two-hour downward channel and moved upward again, reaching as high as around 8.22. Although the post-breakout rise was relatively fast, the overall profitability in the market remained strong, and funds began rotating rapidly among different sectors and popular coins.
BTC was affected by the 4H high point in the middle of the week and once pulled back to around 7.6, after which it gradually recovered and strengthened again. On Friday, after breaking through the two-hour downward channel, the price returned to around 8.2. In the short term, the key resistance to watch is around 8.28, which is also the previous high from this May. If it cannot break through effectively, this week may still see consolidation at high levels. At present, a 4H-cycle high signal has already formed.

After the crypto market’s low-point resonance, it rose as scheduled. Let’s review the key opportunity this early week: the XAU gold pullback and adjustment opportunity. It has already played out—gold’s lowest reached around 4285 (expected 4310), then rebounded. It has now returned to 4480, which is a typical pattern of first suppressing, then lifting. Now we’re observing how price behaves around the blue upper resistance line; after a breakout, there could be a new trend.
In traditional finance, the US stock market: yesterday we pointed out that the 4H index lows were worth watching. Now we’ve seen a rebound. SPY strengthened last night. This week’s pullbacks in Tesla, HOOD, CRCL, MSTR, and others all served as reminders of a low point, followed by a big rally.
For the weekend, watch whether the crypto market will rotate and show a new cycle of opportunities or deliver an independent trend. Pay attention to the corresponding resistance levels from earlier highs. Have a great weekend 🌹

The BTC 4H high point we mentioned yesterday appeared in the evening and was followed by a correction during the night. The magnitude wasn’t big, but it still matches our expectations. We are still within the adjustment cycle. At the moment, we’ve added a "HILO" indicator on the K-line detail page to quantify the high, low, and volume. By clicking it, you can view the corresponding exit target level for the ongoing high/low signals, making it easier to track and observe.
Based on the current market conditions, if Big Pancake has a 4H high, then the adjustment cycle hasn’t finished yet. The support below is around 7.57–7.6. The resistance level in the short term is 7.85.
As for ETH, the price is still moving within its channel. Yesterday it touched the lower side and refreshed the recent range’s new low. Continue to observe the sideways channel here—if it breaks down, it may open up a deeper downside adjustment space. The short-term support below is at 2370, and the resistance above is around 2480.