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景桢
184 Posts

景桢

价值投资者。早八战法创始人 只做确定性的行情
BTC Holder
BTC Holder
High-Frequency Trader
1.5 Years
111 Following
209 Followers
100 Liked
Posts
PINNED
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$ROBO a few days ago, the robo contract order I called at 0.012 got sold off. After selling it off, I bought more than 10,000 robos and put them into a financial management product—this is the lottery project. Back in February this year, during a livestream, they called for spot trading of RAVE. Unfortunately, I didn’t hold on to it. For the robo coin, if you hold it for one and a half to two years, there will be some surprises.
$ROBO a few days ago, the robo contract order I called at 0.012 got sold off. After selling it off, I bought more than 10,000 robos and put them into a financial management product—this is the lottery project.
Back in February this year, during a livestream, they called for spot trading of RAVE. Unfortunately, I didn’t hold on to it. For the robo coin, if you hold it for one and a half to two years, there will be some surprises.
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A post released on 7.31 reminded everyone to plan their layout for large models $ANTHROPIC $OPENAI
A post released on 7.31 reminded everyone to plan their layout for large models
$ANTHROPIC $OPENAI
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$ROBO Connected to the post on the next one, and I also bought some stuff for the wallet...
$ROBO Connected to the post on the next one, and I also bought some stuff for the wallet...
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My Positions Long $GOOGL , 347, target 380 Short $SPCX , 145, target 128 $NBIS 180 holding Microsoft long 380, holding Shorts are contract units; spot is long units
My Positions
Long $GOOGL , 347, target 380
Short $SPCX , 145, target 128
$NBIS 180 holding
Microsoft long 380, holding
Shorts are contract units; spot is long units
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$NBIS $CRWV neocloud is definitely the current industry leader in terms of popularity. Wherever there is movement, go there. $NBIS pullback around 230 and go long
$NBIS $CRWV neocloud is definitely the current industry leader in terms of popularity. Wherever there is movement, go there.
$NBIS pullback around 230 and go long
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$ETH I went up, so I didn’t go down!
$ETH I went up, so I didn’t go down!
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$GOOGL Ohtani Ohtani dropping dropping dropping
$GOOGL Ohtani Ohtani dropping dropping dropping
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$TAO still holding a long-term view to see above 800
$TAO still holding a long-term view to see above 800
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You should learn how to see this $SAGA
You should learn how to see this $SAGA
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$BTC Continue with the 8am early-session strategy. This morning at eight o'clock, the price rose to 64,000. Last night it kept ranging and moving upward, so it makes sense not to allow a pullback. Today, focus mainly on how the price behaves around 65. By tomorrow morning at eight o'clock, it's reasonable for it to close within 64–65. It must not fall below 64.
$BTC Continue with the 8am early-session strategy. This morning at eight o'clock, the price rose to 64,000. Last night it kept ranging and moving upward, so it makes sense not to allow a pullback. Today, focus mainly on how the price behaves around 65. By tomorrow morning at eight o'clock, it's reasonable for it to close within 64–65. It must not fall below 64.
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As I said, since this morning at 8 o'clock $BTC entered 63200, we can enter from the left side. By tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock we must reach 64000, otherwise I will conservatively cut back and wait for a clearer signal.
As I said, since this morning at 8 o'clock $BTC entered 63200, we can enter from the left side. By tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock we must reach 64000, otherwise I will conservatively cut back and wait for a clearer signal.
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Summarize $BTC Resistance $63,886 / $64,000 Bounce confirmation level Resistance $65,239–$65,661 Short invalidation zone (if broken through, the bearish thesis is disproven) Resistance $69,000 STH cost line; holding above it = seasonal pattern is broken Support $63,268 78.6% retracement level; daily close back below = confirms weakness Support $62,000 Large-scale liquidation cluster Support $60,000–$61,000 Psychological level + key long-cycle zone Support $58,000–$60,000 Strongest support band (defended multiple times) Extreme $57,884 June low; final reference for bears After the close on next Monday—i.e., on Tuesday—Bitcoin’s daily chart must move back above 63,200 to open room for an upward move; for Ethereum this corresponds to above 1,850. If the daily chart breaks on Tuesday morning, the subsequent path is likely to repeatedly test 58–62 while grinding out a base. August event calendar Early August: July non-farm data → affects rate-hike expectations August 8: Related to a clear/transparent bill; Congress recess → formal confirmation of a legislative vacuum (possible small “sell the news” / upside) Mid-August: July CPI → the most important data point of the whole month, directly impacting the September FOMC (current 82% probability of a rate hike; and the July meeting had a rare 9:3 split, indicating major internal disagreement) Late August: Jackson Hole conference (Powell speech/remarks) → the biggest turning-point window of the month Throughout the month: ETF fund flows (in July, still net positive +$172M; but on 7/31 there was a daily outflow of $265M—institutions are adjusting rather than exiting) {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
Summarize $BTC
Resistance $63,886 / $64,000 Bounce confirmation level
Resistance $65,239–$65,661 Short invalidation zone (if broken through, the bearish thesis is disproven)
Resistance $69,000 STH cost line; holding above it = seasonal pattern is broken

Support $63,268 78.6% retracement level; daily close back below = confirms weakness
Support $62,000 Large-scale liquidation cluster
Support $60,000–$61,000 Psychological level + key long-cycle zone
Support $58,000–$60,000 Strongest support band (defended multiple times)
Extreme $57,884 June low; final reference for bears

After the close on next Monday—i.e., on Tuesday—Bitcoin’s daily chart must move back above 63,200 to open room for an upward move; for Ethereum this corresponds to above 1,850.
If the daily chart breaks on Tuesday morning, the subsequent path is likely to repeatedly test 58–62 while grinding out a base.

August event calendar
Early August: July non-farm data → affects rate-hike expectations
August 8: Related to a clear/transparent bill; Congress recess → formal confirmation of a legislative vacuum (possible small “sell the news” / upside)
Mid-August: July CPI → the most important data point of the whole month, directly impacting the September FOMC (current 82% probability of a rate hike; and the July meeting had a rare 9:3 split, indicating major internal disagreement)
Late August: Jackson Hole conference (Powell speech/remarks) → the biggest turning-point window of the month
Throughout the month: ETF fund flows (in July, still net positive +$172M; but on 7/31 there was a daily outflow of $265M—institutions are adjusting rather than exiting)
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$SNDK 1. Has the storage sector's market行情 finished? What assets should we allocate next? 2. Apple $AAPL is down so much 📉—can we buy the dip? I see two opportunities here. Let’s take a look together. First, understand this: the tech rally transmission chain is GPU chips → optical modules → advanced packaging → HBM memory storage → downstream large-model applications. If the storage sector’s heat has played out, then you should move quickly to position yourself in the downstream sector. So what are the downstream sectors? Answer: large-model companies, and Apple. 1. Storage sector: upstream cyclical performance assets (the main line in this current phase). Its profit logic is inventory revaluation driven by chip price increases. It has the strongest burst potential, and it is also the core reason why market capital is currently concentrated and pushing up. 2. Second phase: storage is stagnant at high levels, and funds switch to downstream large-model stocks As the chip price rise cycle for storage reaches the middle stage, profit-taking funds sell in batches and flow into valuation-low large-model concept stocks that are waiting for catalysts. 🛎️Key point comes First opportunity Large-model enthusiasm is reigniting. Especially major news such as OpenAI officially announcing a stock offering and IPO completion will directly ignite the midstream large-model sector rally—this is also your core window to accumulate on dips and take profit on favorable news. So in August and September, you can consider buying low and positioning in large-model stocks like OpenAI and companies such as “Humanity/Anthropic,” to trade a rotation expectation. 🤫Second opportunity Large-model enthusiasm spreads, and the final rotation pushes up Apple. Apple is pure downstream application hardware. When the market fully prices in expectations for AI compute power and models, capital will look for real-entity earnings from AI commercialization. Apple relies on billions of hardware users worldwide and rolls out on-device AI capabilities through the Apple Intelligence side. With catalysts from the autumn product launch event, it will see a catch-up rally, completing the full rotation loop across the entire AI industry chain. Apple has been falling a lot today—this is exactly your chance to get in. My plan is to do batch DCA from around 300 down to 260. 1. Hold at least until the September press conference to realize the AI new-phone rally; 2. Hold long-term for more than 3 years, and capture the growth dividend from AI terminal ecosystem. Unless there is an effective breakdown below the 240 USD long-term moving average (a structural deterioration in fundamentals), otherwise hold steady. {future}(AAPLUSDT) {future}(OPENAIUSDT)
$SNDK
1. Has the storage sector's market行情 finished? What assets should we allocate next?
2. Apple $AAPL is down so much 📉—can we buy the dip?
I see two opportunities here.
Let’s take a look together.

First, understand this: the tech rally transmission chain is GPU chips → optical modules → advanced packaging → HBM memory storage → downstream large-model applications. If the storage sector’s heat has played out, then you should move quickly to position yourself in the downstream sector.
So what are the downstream sectors?
Answer: large-model companies, and Apple.

1. Storage sector: upstream cyclical performance assets (the main line in this current phase). Its profit logic is inventory revaluation driven by chip price increases. It has the strongest burst potential, and it is also the core reason why market capital is currently concentrated and pushing up.

2. Second phase: storage is stagnant at high levels, and funds switch to downstream large-model stocks
As the chip price rise cycle for storage reaches the middle stage, profit-taking funds sell in batches and flow into valuation-low large-model concept stocks that are waiting for catalysts.

🛎️Key point comes
First opportunity
Large-model enthusiasm is reigniting.

Especially major news such as OpenAI officially announcing a stock offering and IPO completion will directly ignite the midstream large-model sector rally—this is also your core window to accumulate on dips and take profit on favorable news. So in August and September, you can consider buying low and positioning in large-model stocks like OpenAI and companies such as “Humanity/Anthropic,” to trade a rotation expectation.

🤫Second opportunity

Large-model enthusiasm spreads, and the final rotation pushes up Apple.

Apple is pure downstream application hardware.
When the market fully prices in expectations for AI compute power and models, capital will look for real-entity earnings from AI commercialization. Apple relies on billions of hardware users worldwide and rolls out on-device AI capabilities through the Apple Intelligence side. With catalysts from the autumn product launch event, it will see a catch-up rally, completing the full rotation loop across the entire AI industry chain.

Apple has been falling a lot today—this is exactly your chance to get in.
My plan is to do batch DCA from around 300 down to 260.
1. Hold at least until the September press conference to realize the AI new-phone rally;
2. Hold long-term for more than 3 years, and capture the growth dividend from AI terminal ecosystem.

Unless there is an effective breakdown below the 240 USD long-term moving average (a structural deterioration in fundamentals), otherwise hold steady.

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Bullish
$BNB pay close attention to bnb. The weekly divergence has never really pushed higher. If the rebound continues, bnb has a chance to catch up to around 800. {future}(BNBUSDT)
$BNB pay close attention to bnb. The weekly divergence has never really pushed higher.
If the rebound continues, bnb has a chance to catch up to around 800.
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My current spot average price BTC62893 70% (I started daily DCA at a level below 65k) ETH1806 20% HYPE22 (don’t drop) AAVE121.5 (bought impulsively too early—currently at a floating loss) SOL79.5 NEAR1.33 These account for 10% in total, with HYPE being the largest
My current spot average price
BTC62893 70% (I started daily DCA at a level below 65k)
ETH1806 20%

HYPE22 (don’t drop)
AAVE121.5 (bought impulsively too early—currently at a floating loss)
SOL79.5
NEAR1.33
These account for 10% in total, with HYPE being the largest
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If Micron reaches around 700, I will enter the trade. If it reaches around 400, I will sell half of my Bitcoin and use it to buy Micron.
If Micron reaches around 700, I will enter the trade. If it reaches around 400, I will sell half of my Bitcoin and use it to buy Micron.
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Bullish
$HYPE I think so
$HYPE I think so
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