#股票财报季 US media reported on October 24 that data scientist Thomas Miller had gone against the mainstream forecast in predicting the 2021 Georgia Senate runoff victories of Democrats Ossoff and Warnock, and then correctly called Trump’s 2024 win. His method starts with prediction markets and betting odds, applies proprietary algorithms to correct biases, and then uses multivariate time-series analysis to extract “latent factors” driven by Trump’s words and actions. Miller released an instant forecast on October 22. The results showed strengthening Democratic momentum: the probability of Republicans retaining the Senate fell from about 36% to 22.5%; among 35 seats, Democrats led in 18 and Republicans led in 17, and if unchanged they would win a majority by 52 to 48. Miller said the numbers fluctuate greatly, but the probability of Democrats winning a majority has risen from 71.5% to 77.6%.$币安人生 $牛来 $龙虾