$BTC begins «Uptober» (traditionally strong for the October rally) from the $84,272 level: moderate PCE inflation data reduced the likelihood of a rate hike in October to 37%, and Goldman Sachs pushed its rate-hike forecast further out.

Nevertheless, rising Treasury yields and a stronger dollar limit upside potential, keeping the price capped in the $85,000–$87,000 resistance range.

Historically, October is Bitcoin’s strongest month (in 10 of the last 13 years, the average gain was nearly 20%), and the key catalysts that will set the tone for the rest of the fourth quarter will be the Fed’s decision on October 28 and Friday’s jobs report (NFP).