乘风Sunshine
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币安返佣码：CFCF888 ｜X推特@KeShiqing57753｜周一到周五，每天早上七八点（睡醒就播）和下午三点开播事件合约，晚上十点（看行情）播永续合约&事件合约。周六周日（看行情决定播不播，没流动性就休息）｜神魔皆以血祠，想做成事的三个秘诀：一门深入，一本正经；做成一件事，然后做成另一件事；克勤克俭，绝情绝欲。
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What is true right-minded mindfulness?
In the crypto world, what is least lacking is “right-minded mindfulness.”
They talk about long-termism in their mouths, but are busy cutting down believers with their hands;
They talk about consensus, but are secretly busy unloading tokens;
They talk about financial freedom, but never tell you where the risks are.
True right-mindedness is not about not making money.
It is: when you’re making money, you dare to admit that you are making money.
If the project team gives you promotion fees, say it clearly;
If you hold a position yourself, say it clearly;
If you’ve received tokens and commissions, say it clearly.
Don’t package ads as opinions, and don’t package self-interest as faith.
True mindfulness is also not about making you believe everything.
On the contrary:
The more everyone is shouting “To the moon,” the more you should ask: What if we’re wrong—what then?
Don’t mistake luck for ability;
Don’t mistake predictions for facts;
Don’t mistake emotions for consensus;
Don’t take what big-name influencers say as your own judgment.
What is truly scarce in the crypto world is never the next 100x coin.
What’s scarce is a person who, when their interests are at the maximum, still manages to hold the boundaries of their integrity.
Right-mindedness is keeping your mind steady in the face of profit.
Mindfulness is seeing price going up without getting carried away, seeing price falling without panicking, and seeing the crowd without blindly following.
Making money isn’t wrong.
But if the money you earn is built on other people’s mistaken trust in you, then it’s worth asking yourself:
Do you really understand how you’re earning this money?
In the crypto world, what is least lacking is “right-minded mindfulness.”
They talk about long-termism in their mouths, but are busy cutting down believers with their hands;
They talk about consensus, but are secretly busy unloading tokens;
They talk about financial freedom, but never tell you where the risks are.
True right-mindedness is not about not making money.
It is: when you’re making money, you dare to admit that you are making money.
If the project team gives you promotion fees, say it clearly;
If you hold a position yourself, say it clearly;
If you’ve received tokens and commissions, say it clearly.
Don’t package ads as opinions, and don’t package self-interest as faith.
True mindfulness is also not about making you believe everything.
On the contrary:
The more everyone is shouting “To the moon,” the more you should ask: What if we’re wrong—what then?
Don’t mistake luck for ability;
Don’t mistake predictions for facts;
Don’t mistake emotions for consensus;
Don’t take what big-name influencers say as your own judgment.
What is truly scarce in the crypto world is never the next 100x coin.
What’s scarce is a person who, when their interests are at the maximum, still manages to hold the boundaries of their integrity.
Right-mindedness is keeping your mind steady in the face of profit.
Mindfulness is seeing price going up without getting carried away, seeing price falling without panicking, and seeing the crowd without blindly following.
Making money isn’t wrong.
But if the money you earn is built on other people’s mistaken trust in you, then it’s worth asking yourself:
Do you really understand how you’re earning this money?
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《How to do a good live stream on Binance Square? How to improve your expressiveness? After watching this, you’ll get it》
1. Go break down the people who truly know how to say things that resonate with fans and how to build up a live room. Watch them repeatedly—their core values, their content, and their live-stream process. Figure out exactly how they stream.
2. You must have a skill or a technique that you genuinely believe in—something you’d even want to tell more people about right away. If you don’t trust it yourself, it’s hard to persuade others long-term.
3. Don’t waste time on ineffective socializing and idle small talk. Concentrate your energy, viewpoints, and expression on outputting content to the people who could genuinely become your fans.
4. Continuously polish your ability to express yourself. Practice each sentence until it carries enough weight. When you accumulate hundreds of well-crafted lines you can pull out and use anytime, your content capabilities will naturally improve.
5. Voice delivery and letting your emotions show are also your personal calling card. Stay in a good state, improve your sense of aesthetics, and make it so that every time you speak, people feel that you’re sharp, reliable, and full of energy.
6. The truly important fans or friends are worth investing your time and effort into. For high-value friends who could be worth a hundred ordinary fans, don’t limit it to simple interaction and text-only communication. Phone calls, late-night conversations over candles, and deep交流 are all worth doing.
7. Don’t just post content online—learn to manage and cultivate high-quality offline spaces. Get a group of people to be willing to temporarily put down their phones, sit down, talk, learn, and build deep connections. In essence, this is also a more advanced form of “meeting through literature and discussion.”
8. Proactively seek out people who can empower each other, spiritually resonate, and recommend one another. Real value in relationships isn’t one-sided asking—it’s that I help you, you push me forward, and the two of us tend to achieve more and faster than going solo.
《How to do a good live stream on Binance Square? How to improve your expressiveness? After watching this, you’ll get it》
1. Go break down the people who truly know how to say things that resonate with fans and how to build up a live room. Watch them repeatedly—their core values, their content, and their live-stream process. Figure out exactly how they stream.
2. You must have a skill or a technique that you genuinely believe in—something you’d even want to tell more people about right away. If you don’t trust it yourself, it’s hard to persuade others long-term.
3. Don’t waste time on ineffective socializing and idle small talk. Concentrate your energy, viewpoints, and expression on outputting content to the people who could genuinely become your fans.
4. Continuously polish your ability to express yourself. Practice each sentence until it carries enough weight. When you accumulate hundreds of well-crafted lines you can pull out and use anytime, your content capabilities will naturally improve.
5. Voice delivery and letting your emotions show are also your personal calling card. Stay in a good state, improve your sense of aesthetics, and make it so that every time you speak, people feel that you’re sharp, reliable, and full of energy.
6. The truly important fans or friends are worth investing your time and effort into. For high-value friends who could be worth a hundred ordinary fans, don’t limit it to simple interaction and text-only communication. Phone calls, late-night conversations over candles, and deep交流 are all worth doing.
7. Don’t just post content online—learn to manage and cultivate high-quality offline spaces. Get a group of people to be willing to temporarily put down their phones, sit down, talk, learn, and build deep connections. In essence, this is also a more advanced form of “meeting through literature and discussion.”
8. Proactively seek out people who can empower each other, spiritually resonate, and recommend one another. Real value in relationships isn’t one-sided asking—it’s that I help you, you push me forward, and the two of us tend to achieve more and faster than going solo.
1. Go break down the people who truly know how to say things that resonate with fans and how to build up a live room. Watch them repeatedly—their core values, their content, and their live-stream process. Figure out exactly how they stream.
2. You must have a skill or a technique that you genuinely believe in—something you’d even want to tell more people about right away. If you don’t trust it yourself, it’s hard to persuade others long-term.
3. Don’t waste time on ineffective socializing and idle small talk. Concentrate your energy, viewpoints, and expression on outputting content to the people who could genuinely become your fans.
4. Continuously polish your ability to express yourself. Practice each sentence until it carries enough weight. When you accumulate hundreds of well-crafted lines you can pull out and use anytime, your content capabilities will naturally improve.
5. Voice delivery and letting your emotions show are also your personal calling card. Stay in a good state, improve your sense of aesthetics, and make it so that every time you speak, people feel that you’re sharp, reliable, and full of energy.
6. The truly important fans or friends are worth investing your time and effort into. For high-value friends who could be worth a hundred ordinary fans, don’t limit it to simple interaction and text-only communication. Phone calls, late-night conversations over candles, and deep交流 are all worth doing.
7. Don’t just post content online—learn to manage and cultivate high-quality offline spaces. Get a group of people to be willing to temporarily put down their phones, sit down, talk, learn, and build deep connections. In essence, this is also a more advanced form of “meeting through literature and discussion.”
8. Proactively seek out people who can empower each other, spiritually resonate, and recommend one another. Real value in relationships isn’t one-sided asking—it’s that I help you, you push me forward, and the two of us tend to achieve more and faster than going solo.
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📰 Key Points from the Crypto Market Last Week
1️⃣ The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years, BTC Drops Then Rebounds
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, marking the first rate hike in three years; it also signaled that further hikes may still happen this year. BTC briefly fell to around $75,000, then rebounded.
2️⃣ The CLARITY Act Stalls in the Senate
The U.S. Senate failed to advance the “CLARITY Act” through a procedural vote of 49–50, temporarily stalling crypto market-structure legislation in the United States. After the news broke, BTC and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle dropped noticeably.
3️⃣ CoinEx Announces Closure of Exchange Operations
After nearly nine years of operation, CoinEx initiated a phased shutdown. The official statement cited a sluggish market, declining trading volume and liquidity, and rising regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading will stop on September 29, and withdrawals will stop on December 22.
4️⃣ BTC Reclaims $80,000
After the CLARITY Act hit a roadblock and the Fed rate-hike shock, BTC later showed a clear recovery. Around September 18, it broke back above $80,000, and overall market risk appetite began to improve.
5️⃣ Rotation Into Altcoins and Layer-2s
As the market gradually absorbed the impact of the rate hike, ETH, XRP, Solana, and some Layer-2 and DeFi tokens became more active. Market funds rotated from BTC toward some mainstream altcoins.
6️⃣ Stablecoins and Institutional Infrastructure Continue to Attract Funding
Velocity, a stablecoin payments company, expanded its Series A funding to $48 million, with participation from Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others. Separately, SBI Group invested $25 million in the payment company dtcpay. Institutional plans for stablecoin payment infrastructure are still ongoing.
📰 Key Points from the Crypto Market Last Week
1️⃣ The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years, BTC Drops Then Rebounds
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, marking the first rate hike in three years; it also signaled that further hikes may still happen this year. BTC briefly fell to around $75,000, then rebounded.
2️⃣ The CLARITY Act Stalls in the Senate
The U.S. Senate failed to advance the “CLARITY Act” through a procedural vote of 49–50, temporarily stalling crypto market-structure legislation in the United States. After the news broke, BTC and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle dropped noticeably.
3️⃣ CoinEx Announces Closure of Exchange Operations
After nearly nine years of operation, CoinEx initiated a phased shutdown. The official statement cited a sluggish market, declining trading volume and liquidity, and rising regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading will stop on September 29, and withdrawals will stop on December 22.
4️⃣ BTC Reclaims $80,000
After the CLARITY Act hit a roadblock and the Fed rate-hike shock, BTC later showed a clear recovery. Around September 18, it broke back above $80,000, and overall market risk appetite began to improve.
5️⃣ Rotation Into Altcoins and Layer-2s
As the market gradually absorbed the impact of the rate hike, ETH, XRP, Solana, and some Layer-2 and DeFi tokens became more active. Market funds rotated from BTC toward some mainstream altcoins.
6️⃣ Stablecoins and Institutional Infrastructure Continue to Attract Funding
Velocity, a stablecoin payments company, expanded its Series A funding to $48 million, with participation from Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others. Separately, SBI Group invested $25 million in the payment company dtcpay. Institutional plans for stablecoin payment infrastructure are still ongoing.
1️⃣ The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years, BTC Drops Then Rebounds
The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, marking the first rate hike in three years; it also signaled that further hikes may still happen this year. BTC briefly fell to around $75,000, then rebounded.
2️⃣ The CLARITY Act Stalls in the Senate
The U.S. Senate failed to advance the “CLARITY Act” through a procedural vote of 49–50, temporarily stalling crypto market-structure legislation in the United States. After the news broke, BTC and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle dropped noticeably.
3️⃣ CoinEx Announces Closure of Exchange Operations
After nearly nine years of operation, CoinEx initiated a phased shutdown. The official statement cited a sluggish market, declining trading volume and liquidity, and rising regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading will stop on September 29, and withdrawals will stop on December 22.
4️⃣ BTC Reclaims $80,000
After the CLARITY Act hit a roadblock and the Fed rate-hike shock, BTC later showed a clear recovery. Around September 18, it broke back above $80,000, and overall market risk appetite began to improve.
5️⃣ Rotation Into Altcoins and Layer-2s
As the market gradually absorbed the impact of the rate hike, ETH, XRP, Solana, and some Layer-2 and DeFi tokens became more active. Market funds rotated from BTC toward some mainstream altcoins.
6️⃣ Stablecoins and Institutional Infrastructure Continue to Attract Funding
Velocity, a stablecoin payments company, expanded its Series A funding to $48 million, with participation from Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others. Separately, SBI Group invested $25 million in the payment company dtcpay. Institutional plans for stablecoin payment infrastructure are still ongoing.
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《A Pure Technical Sharing Post by Riding the Wind Sunshine: How to Judge Support/Resistance Levels That Act as Pressure Support》
(1) Big Waffle: For every 1,000 points, there are three pressure support/resistance levels (reference levels)
200, 500, 900
(2) Volatility level (Monday to Friday)
Small volatility: USD 3 million, not exceeding USD 5 million
Medium volatility: USD 5 million or more, not exceeding USD 8 million (not excluding the possibility that a single candlestick may reach 10 million or more)
Large volatility: each move no less than USD 10 million (the first candle in the market may not reach 10 million; it may be around 5–8 million)
(3) Real or confirmed support/resistance levels on the chart (80200 as an example)
80200, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80220–80250; resistance: oscillating downward, 80150–80180)
200 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80250–80300; resistance: oscillating downward, 80100–80150)
200 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80300–80400; resistance: oscillating downward, 80000–80100)
80500, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80520–80550; resistance: oscillating downward, 80450–80480)
500 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80550–80600; resistance: oscillating downward, 80400–80450)
500 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80600–80700; resistance: oscillating downward, 80300–80400)
80900, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80920–80950; resistance: oscillating downward, 80850–80880)
900 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80950–81000; resistance: oscillating downward, 80800–80850)
900 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 81000–81100; resistance: oscillating downward, 80700–80800)
《A Pure Technical Sharing Post by Riding the Wind Sunshine: How to Judge Support/Resistance Levels That Act as Pressure Support》
(1) Big Waffle: For every 1,000 points, there are three pressure support/resistance levels (reference levels)
200, 500, 900
(2) Volatility level (Monday to Friday)
Small volatility: USD 3 million, not exceeding USD 5 million
Medium volatility: USD 5 million or more, not exceeding USD 8 million (not excluding the possibility that a single candlestick may reach 10 million or more)
Large volatility: each move no less than USD 10 million (the first candle in the market may not reach 10 million; it may be around 5–8 million)
(3) Real or confirmed support/resistance levels on the chart (80200 as an example)
80200, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80220–80250; resistance: oscillating downward, 80150–80180)
200 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80250–80300; resistance: oscillating downward, 80100–80150)
200 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80300–80400; resistance: oscillating downward, 80000–80100)
80500, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80520–80550; resistance: oscillating downward, 80450–80480)
500 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80550–80600; resistance: oscillating downward, 80400–80450)
500 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80600–80700; resistance: oscillating downward, 80300–80400)
80900, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80920–80950; resistance: oscillating downward, 80850–80880)
900 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80950–81000; resistance: oscillating downward, 80800–80850)
900 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 81000–81100; resistance: oscillating downward, 80700–80800)
(1) Big Waffle: For every 1,000 points, there are three pressure support/resistance levels (reference levels)
200, 500, 900
(2) Volatility level (Monday to Friday)
Small volatility: USD 3 million, not exceeding USD 5 million
Medium volatility: USD 5 million or more, not exceeding USD 8 million (not excluding the possibility that a single candlestick may reach 10 million or more)
Large volatility: each move no less than USD 10 million (the first candle in the market may not reach 10 million; it may be around 5–8 million)
(3) Real or confirmed support/resistance levels on the chart (80200 as an example)
80200, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80220–80250; resistance: oscillating downward, 80150–80180)
200 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80250–80300; resistance: oscillating downward, 80100–80150)
200 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80300–80400; resistance: oscillating downward, 80000–80100)
80500, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80520–80550; resistance: oscillating downward, 80450–80480)
500 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80550–80600; resistance: oscillating downward, 80400–80450)
500 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80600–80700; resistance: oscillating downward, 80300–80400)
80900, small volatility: oscillate 20–50 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80920–80950; resistance: oscillating downward, 80850–80880)
900 points, medium volatility: oscillate 50–100 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 80950–81000; resistance: oscillating downward, 80800–80850)
900 points, large volatility: oscillate 100–200 points up and down (support: oscillating upward, 81000–81100; resistance: oscillating downward, 80700–80800)
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Article
Trading isn’t talent—it’s a craft you must practice over and overWhen many people first come into contact with trading, they have a very romantic fantasy.
They think that the truly great people in the market are born with something others don’t have.
Some people think they’re born with boldness.
Some people think they’re smart from birth.
Some people think they’re especially sensitive to numbers.
Others think they have some kind of “market sense” that ordinary people can’t understand.
And then, when ordinary people see experts spot the market at a glance and make a lot of money with a single trade, they develop a misconception:
So trading is a game for geniuses.
The reason I can’t make money is because I don’t have talent.
Trading isn’t talent—it’s a craft you must practice over and over
When many people first come into contact with trading, they have a very romantic fantasy.
They think that the truly great people in the market are born with something others don’t have.
Some people think they’re born with boldness.
Some people think they’re smart from birth.
Some people think they’re especially sensitive to numbers.
Others think they have some kind of “market sense” that ordinary people can’t understand.
And then, when ordinary people see experts spot the market at a glance and make a lot of money with a single trade, they develop a misconception:
So trading is a game for geniuses.
The reason I can’t make money is because I don’t have talent.
They think that the truly great people in the market are born with something others don’t have.
Some people think they’re born with boldness.
Some people think they’re smart from birth.
Some people think they’re especially sensitive to numbers.
Others think they have some kind of “market sense” that ordinary people can’t understand.
And then, when ordinary people see experts spot the market at a glance and make a lot of money with a single trade, they develop a misconception:
So trading is a game for geniuses.
The reason I can’t make money is because I don’t have talent.
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Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Overview
1. SEC clears the way for tokenized US stock trading: The U.S. SEC has introduced an “innovative exemption,” allowing qualifying tokenized securities trading platforms to be exempt from registration as traditional exchanges for a period of up to five years, and to trade tokenized stocks using licensed AMMs and liquidity pools.
2. BTC stabilizes and rebounds after the rate hike: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on the 16th, but on the 17th BTC traded in a range around about $76.5K. The rebound in U.S. stocks also eased short-term market pressure.
3. The U.S. sanctions the Iranian crypto exchange BitBank: The U.S. Treasury Department has added the Iranian trading platform BitBank and related individuals to the sanctions list, citing its involvement in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Digital assets have once again become a focus of sanctions enforcement.
4. The UK intensifies crackdowns on illegal P2P crypto trading: The UK FCA, together with tax authorities and police, conducted actions at three locations in London suspected of operating unregistered P2P crypto businesses and issued stop orders. The FCA said the UK currently has no registered P2P crypto trading firms.
5. S&P Global acquires OpenZeppelin: S&P Global announced it will acquire blockchain security company OpenZeppelin. Its smart contract infrastructure has supported more than $370 billion in large-scale on-chain transfers, as traditional financial institutions continue to invest in on-chain infrastructure.
Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Overview
1. SEC clears the way for tokenized US stock trading: The U.S. SEC has introduced an “innovative exemption,” allowing qualifying tokenized securities trading platforms to be exempt from registration as traditional exchanges for a period of up to five years, and to trade tokenized stocks using licensed AMMs and liquidity pools.
2. BTC stabilizes and rebounds after the rate hike: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on the 16th, but on the 17th BTC traded in a range around about $76.5K. The rebound in U.S. stocks also eased short-term market pressure.
3. The U.S. sanctions the Iranian crypto exchange BitBank: The U.S. Treasury Department has added the Iranian trading platform BitBank and related individuals to the sanctions list, citing its involvement in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Digital assets have once again become a focus of sanctions enforcement.
4. The UK intensifies crackdowns on illegal P2P crypto trading: The UK FCA, together with tax authorities and police, conducted actions at three locations in London suspected of operating unregistered P2P crypto businesses and issued stop orders. The FCA said the UK currently has no registered P2P crypto trading firms.
5. S&P Global acquires OpenZeppelin: S&P Global announced it will acquire blockchain security company OpenZeppelin. Its smart contract infrastructure has supported more than $370 billion in large-scale on-chain transfers, as traditional financial institutions continue to invest in on-chain infrastructure.
1. SEC clears the way for tokenized US stock trading: The U.S. SEC has introduced an “innovative exemption,” allowing qualifying tokenized securities trading platforms to be exempt from registration as traditional exchanges for a period of up to five years, and to trade tokenized stocks using licensed AMMs and liquidity pools.
2. BTC stabilizes and rebounds after the rate hike: The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on the 16th, but on the 17th BTC traded in a range around about $76.5K. The rebound in U.S. stocks also eased short-term market pressure.
3. The U.S. sanctions the Iranian crypto exchange BitBank: The U.S. Treasury Department has added the Iranian trading platform BitBank and related individuals to the sanctions list, citing its involvement in transferring hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Digital assets have once again become a focus of sanctions enforcement.
4. The UK intensifies crackdowns on illegal P2P crypto trading: The UK FCA, together with tax authorities and police, conducted actions at three locations in London suspected of operating unregistered P2P crypto businesses and issued stop orders. The FCA said the UK currently has no registered P2P crypto trading firms.
5. S&P Global acquires OpenZeppelin: S&P Global announced it will acquire blockchain security company OpenZeppelin. Its smart contract infrastructure has supported more than $370 billion in large-scale on-chain transfers, as traditional financial institutions continue to invest in on-chain infrastructure.
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Article
The real secret of Kovner isn’t “only losing 1% per trade”: what he taught the masses may just be a half-set systemMany traders will remember a very beautiful quote when they first come across Bruce Kovner:
“Don’t take on more than 1%—2% risk per trade.”
And then a question arises that seems very reasonable at first glance, but doesn’t hold up under deeper scrutiny:
If you only allow yourself to lose 1%—2% each time, how could a trader possibly achieve exceptionally high long-term compounded returns?
Going further, if Kovner himself was described in (Market Wizards) as having achieved a streak of ten consecutive years with an average annual compounded return of about 87%, then how exactly does 1%—2% risk control coexist with such an outrageous level of returns?
The real secret of Kovner isn’t “only losing 1% per trade”: what he taught the masses may just be a half-set system
Many traders will remember a very beautiful quote when they first come across Bruce Kovner:
“Don’t take on more than 1%—2% risk per trade.”
And then a question arises that seems very reasonable at first glance, but doesn’t hold up under deeper scrutiny:
If you only allow yourself to lose 1%—2% each time, how could a trader possibly achieve exceptionally high long-term compounded returns?
Going further, if Kovner himself was described in (Market Wizards) as having achieved a streak of ten consecutive years with an average annual compounded return of about 87%, then how exactly does 1%—2% risk control coexist with such an outrageous level of returns?
“Don’t take on more than 1%—2% risk per trade.”
And then a question arises that seems very reasonable at first glance, but doesn’t hold up under deeper scrutiny:
If you only allow yourself to lose 1%—2% each time, how could a trader possibly achieve exceptionally high long-term compounded returns?
Going further, if Kovner himself was described in (Market Wizards) as having achieved a streak of ten consecutive years with an average annual compounded return of about 87%, then how exactly does 1%—2% risk control coexist with such an outrageous level of returns?
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Verified
Crypto Market News Roundup Yesterday / Catch the Sunshine
1. Fed Hikes Rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin Slips Sideways: The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4%, its first hike since July 2023; BTC saw sharp swings at one point within the $75,000—$76,500 range, while ETH briefly dipped to around $2,370.
2. Bitcoin ETFs See $450 Million Net Outflow in a Single Day: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest single-day capital outflow since June. Combined with the stalling of the CLARITY Act, regulatory-sensitive crypto assets faced increased pressure, and risk-off sentiment in the market clearly intensified.
3. Circle Officially Launches the Arc Blockchain: Circle introduced the Arc network for payments, tokenized assets, and institutional finance. More than 100 institutions and ecosystem companies are already participating in or exploring it, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Visa, BNY, and HSBC.
4. Deutsche Bank Moves Into Institutional Crypto Custody: Germany’s largest bank plans to launch a regulated digital-asset custody service by 2026. The first batch will support BTC, ETH, and stablecoins such as USDC and EURC, mainly targeting European institutional and corporate clients.
5. SEC and CFTC Prepare to Push Crypto Rules Without New Legislation: After the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the two regulators signaled that they will use existing statutory authorities to continue advancing digital-asset regulatory rules. JPMorgan, meanwhile, believes the bill isn’t completely “dead,” but the window to reintroduce it this year is extremely narrow.
Crypto Market News Roundup Yesterday / Catch the Sunshine
1. Fed Hikes Rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin Slips Sideways: The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4%, its first hike since July 2023; BTC saw sharp swings at one point within the $75,000—$76,500 range, while ETH briefly dipped to around $2,370.
2. Bitcoin ETFs See $450 Million Net Outflow in a Single Day: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest single-day capital outflow since June. Combined with the stalling of the CLARITY Act, regulatory-sensitive crypto assets faced increased pressure, and risk-off sentiment in the market clearly intensified.
3. Circle Officially Launches the Arc Blockchain: Circle introduced the Arc network for payments, tokenized assets, and institutional finance. More than 100 institutions and ecosystem companies are already participating in or exploring it, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Visa, BNY, and HSBC.
4. Deutsche Bank Moves Into Institutional Crypto Custody: Germany’s largest bank plans to launch a regulated digital-asset custody service by 2026. The first batch will support BTC, ETH, and stablecoins such as USDC and EURC, mainly targeting European institutional and corporate clients.
5. SEC and CFTC Prepare to Push Crypto Rules Without New Legislation: After the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the two regulators signaled that they will use existing statutory authorities to continue advancing digital-asset regulatory rules. JPMorgan, meanwhile, believes the bill isn’t completely “dead,” but the window to reintroduce it this year is extremely narrow.
1. Fed Hikes Rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin Slips Sideways: The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4%, its first hike since July 2023; BTC saw sharp swings at one point within the $75,000—$76,500 range, while ETH briefly dipped to around $2,370.
2. Bitcoin ETFs See $450 Million Net Outflow in a Single Day: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest single-day capital outflow since June. Combined with the stalling of the CLARITY Act, regulatory-sensitive crypto assets faced increased pressure, and risk-off sentiment in the market clearly intensified.
3. Circle Officially Launches the Arc Blockchain: Circle introduced the Arc network for payments, tokenized assets, and institutional finance. More than 100 institutions and ecosystem companies are already participating in or exploring it, including BlackRock, Mastercard, Visa, BNY, and HSBC.
4. Deutsche Bank Moves Into Institutional Crypto Custody: Germany’s largest bank plans to launch a regulated digital-asset custody service by 2026. The first batch will support BTC, ETH, and stablecoins such as USDC and EURC, mainly targeting European institutional and corporate clients.
5. SEC and CFTC Prepare to Push Crypto Rules Without New Legislation: After the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate, the two regulators signaled that they will use existing statutory authorities to continue advancing digital-asset regulatory rules. JPMorgan, meanwhile, believes the bill isn’t completely “dead,” but the window to reintroduce it this year is extremely narrow.
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Yesterday’s News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. U.S. Senate blocks motion to advance the CLARITY Act: The Senate fell short of the 60 votes needed to move forward, with a 50–49 vote, temporarily stalling the crypto market structure bill. After the news was released, Bitcoin briefly dropped by more than 5%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle weakened in tandem.
2. Bitcoin slips below the $77,000 area: Ahead of the CLARITY Act vote, Bitcoin retreated from near $79,500 to around $77,000. After the bill’s vote failed, risk-off sentiment in the market intensified further.
3. CoinEx announces it will stop exchange operations: CoinEx, which has been operating for nearly 9 years, announced it will gradually shut down the exchange. Cited reasons include a prolonged downturn in the market, shrinking trading volume and liquidity, and rising global regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading is expected to stop on September 29, and withdrawals will close on December 22.
4. U.S. Department of Justice sues two former Robinhood engineers: The DOJ alleges that the two used Robinhood’s internal non-public information to trade related perpetual contracts for Hyperliquid’s tokens in advance. Each is reportedly profited more than $50,000. The case involves commodities fraud and wire fraud charges.
5. Institutional funding boosts stablecoin payment infrastructure: Stablecoin payment company Velocity secured an additional $10 million in Series A funding, bringing the total round amount to $48 million. Participants include Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others, showing that traditional financial institutions are still actively building stablecoin payment infrastructure.
Yesterday’s News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. U.S. Senate blocks motion to advance the CLARITY Act: The Senate fell short of the 60 votes needed to move forward, with a 50–49 vote, temporarily stalling the crypto market structure bill. After the news was released, Bitcoin briefly dropped by more than 5%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle weakened in tandem.
2. Bitcoin slips below the $77,000 area: Ahead of the CLARITY Act vote, Bitcoin retreated from near $79,500 to around $77,000. After the bill’s vote failed, risk-off sentiment in the market intensified further.
3. CoinEx announces it will stop exchange operations: CoinEx, which has been operating for nearly 9 years, announced it will gradually shut down the exchange. Cited reasons include a prolonged downturn in the market, shrinking trading volume and liquidity, and rising global regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading is expected to stop on September 29, and withdrawals will close on December 22.
4. U.S. Department of Justice sues two former Robinhood engineers: The DOJ alleges that the two used Robinhood’s internal non-public information to trade related perpetual contracts for Hyperliquid’s tokens in advance. Each is reportedly profited more than $50,000. The case involves commodities fraud and wire fraud charges.
5. Institutional funding boosts stablecoin payment infrastructure: Stablecoin payment company Velocity secured an additional $10 million in Series A funding, bringing the total round amount to $48 million. Participants include Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others, showing that traditional financial institutions are still actively building stablecoin payment infrastructure.
1. U.S. Senate blocks motion to advance the CLARITY Act: The Senate fell short of the 60 votes needed to move forward, with a 50–49 vote, temporarily stalling the crypto market structure bill. After the news was released, Bitcoin briefly dropped by more than 5%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase and Circle weakened in tandem.
2. Bitcoin slips below the $77,000 area: Ahead of the CLARITY Act vote, Bitcoin retreated from near $79,500 to around $77,000. After the bill’s vote failed, risk-off sentiment in the market intensified further.
3. CoinEx announces it will stop exchange operations: CoinEx, which has been operating for nearly 9 years, announced it will gradually shut down the exchange. Cited reasons include a prolonged downturn in the market, shrinking trading volume and liquidity, and rising global regulatory and compliance costs. Spot trading is expected to stop on September 29, and withdrawals will close on December 22.
4. U.S. Department of Justice sues two former Robinhood engineers: The DOJ alleges that the two used Robinhood’s internal non-public information to trade related perpetual contracts for Hyperliquid’s tokens in advance. Each is reportedly profited more than $50,000. The case involves commodities fraud and wire fraud charges.
5. Institutional funding boosts stablecoin payment infrastructure: Stablecoin payment company Velocity secured an additional $10 million in Series A funding, bringing the total round amount to $48 million. Participants include Visa Ventures, Circle Ventures, Ripple, and others, showing that traditional financial institutions are still actively building stablecoin payment infrastructure.
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Verified
Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. Bitcoin rebounds face a key test: Bitcoin has recently returned to around $77,000, with market focus shifting to this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Reuters says that expectations of rate cuts and policy uncertainty will be key to whether this rebound can continue.
2. The U.S. CLARITY Act faces a critical vote: U.S. Senate Republicans have released a revised bill text for the crypto market structure act, adding more ethical and regulatory constraints. The Senate will hold a key procedural vote on September 15, and whether it can secure 60 votes remains uncertain.
3. S&P Global bets on crypto data infrastructure: Crypto data company Kaiko completed a $110 million funding round led by S&P Global, showing that traditional financial institutions continue to increase their investments in the crypto data and infrastructure segment.
4. Singapore Exchange approved to offer BTC and ETH perpetual contracts to U.S. institutions: SGX has received U.S. CFTC approval to, through relevant arrangements, provide Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts to institutional investors in the United States, as traditional exchanges further move into the crypto derivatives market.
5. Institutions continue to add to BTC holdings; Strategy repurchases its own shares: Strategy announced a buyback of about $139 million of STRC preferred stock, while also maintaining a position equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Another institution, Strive, bought about $36.6 million worth of BTC again yesterday, bringing its holdings above 25,000 coins.
Yesterday’s Crypto Market News Roundup / Riding the Sunshine
1. Bitcoin rebounds face a key test: Bitcoin has recently returned to around $77,000, with market focus shifting to this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Reuters says that expectations of rate cuts and policy uncertainty will be key to whether this rebound can continue.
2. The U.S. CLARITY Act faces a critical vote: U.S. Senate Republicans have released a revised bill text for the crypto market structure act, adding more ethical and regulatory constraints. The Senate will hold a key procedural vote on September 15, and whether it can secure 60 votes remains uncertain.
3. S&P Global bets on crypto data infrastructure: Crypto data company Kaiko completed a $110 million funding round led by S&P Global, showing that traditional financial institutions continue to increase their investments in the crypto data and infrastructure segment.
4. Singapore Exchange approved to offer BTC and ETH perpetual contracts to U.S. institutions: SGX has received U.S. CFTC approval to, through relevant arrangements, provide Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts to institutional investors in the United States, as traditional exchanges further move into the crypto derivatives market.
5. Institutions continue to add to BTC holdings; Strategy repurchases its own shares: Strategy announced a buyback of about $139 million of STRC preferred stock, while also maintaining a position equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Another institution, Strive, bought about $36.6 million worth of BTC again yesterday, bringing its holdings above 25,000 coins.
1. Bitcoin rebounds face a key test: Bitcoin has recently returned to around $77,000, with market focus shifting to this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Reuters says that expectations of rate cuts and policy uncertainty will be key to whether this rebound can continue.
2. The U.S. CLARITY Act faces a critical vote: U.S. Senate Republicans have released a revised bill text for the crypto market structure act, adding more ethical and regulatory constraints. The Senate will hold a key procedural vote on September 15, and whether it can secure 60 votes remains uncertain.
3. S&P Global bets on crypto data infrastructure: Crypto data company Kaiko completed a $110 million funding round led by S&P Global, showing that traditional financial institutions continue to increase their investments in the crypto data and infrastructure segment.
4. Singapore Exchange approved to offer BTC and ETH perpetual contracts to U.S. institutions: SGX has received U.S. CFTC approval to, through relevant arrangements, provide Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts to institutional investors in the United States, as traditional exchanges further move into the crypto derivatives market.
5. Institutions continue to add to BTC holdings; Strategy repurchases its own shares: Strategy announced a buyback of about $139 million of STRC preferred stock, while also maintaining a position equivalent to roughly 4% of Bitcoin’s total supply. Another institution, Strive, bought about $36.6 million worth of BTC again yesterday, bringing its holdings above 25,000 coins.
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《The Truth Behind 7 Counterintuitive Things in Trading》
Trading is one of the few professions in the world where cognition, human nature, and discipline are priced directly.
The market doesn’t care how hard you try.
If you pull all-nighters to review charts, you won’t make an extra cent.
If you study hundreds of indicators, it still won’t make the market more sympathetic to you.
The only language the market truly recognizes is your account balance.
So, here are some truly counterintuitive truths in trading:
1. The more you want to make money, the more likely you are to lose money.
Because the desire to profit will push you to trade;
trading impulse will push you to search for opportunities;
and the real opportunities—precisely—won’t show up every day.
2. The most important ability in trading isn’t judgment; it’s the willingness to give up.
Give up opportunities you don’t have conviction in,
let go of logic that has already become invalid,
and abandon the fantasy that says, “Just wait— it will come back.”
3. Experts aren’t more daring gamblers than ordinary people; they’re more daring at not gambling.
When others are fully loaded with positions, they can go to cash.
When others succumb to FOMO, they can wait.
When others go crazy, they start calculating risk instead.
4. A stop loss isn’t surrender—it’s refusing to let a mistake turn into a catastrophe.
What’s truly dangerous has never been the loss itself.
It’s when you lose 10% and start imagining you’ll break even;
when you lose 30% and begin praying for a rebound;
when you lose 50% and end up surviving on nothing but faith.
5. Win rate isn’t the thing you should chase the most.
Because a single fatal big loss can wipe out dozens of small wins.
What trading really competes on is:
How much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
6. The most dangerous trade isn’t the one that loses money—it’s the one that lets you earn “money beyond your capability.”
Because losses make people more cautious.
Extreme profits, on the other hand, are what most easily create illusions.
After a few times of “all-in” making money, you think you’ve figured it out.
The market usually teaches you with the very next bout of volatility:
You didn’t “figure it out”—you were just not harvested yet.
7. True freedom isn’t buying whenever you want, and selling whenever you want.
It’s this:
Even though you want to trade, you can choose not to.
Only those who can control themselves truly possess trading freedom.
In the end, you’ll realize:
You think you’re studying the market.
Actually, the market is studying you.
Study your greed,
study your fear,
study your wishful thinking,
and study the moment you lose control.
《The Truth Behind 7 Counterintuitive Things in Trading》
Trading is one of the few professions in the world where cognition, human nature, and discipline are priced directly.
The market doesn’t care how hard you try.
If you pull all-nighters to review charts, you won’t make an extra cent.
If you study hundreds of indicators, it still won’t make the market more sympathetic to you.
The only language the market truly recognizes is your account balance.
So, here are some truly counterintuitive truths in trading:
1. The more you want to make money, the more likely you are to lose money.
Because the desire to profit will push you to trade;
trading impulse will push you to search for opportunities;
and the real opportunities—precisely—won’t show up every day.
2. The most important ability in trading isn’t judgment; it’s the willingness to give up.
Give up opportunities you don’t have conviction in,
let go of logic that has already become invalid,
and abandon the fantasy that says, “Just wait— it will come back.”
3. Experts aren’t more daring gamblers than ordinary people; they’re more daring at not gambling.
When others are fully loaded with positions, they can go to cash.
When others succumb to FOMO, they can wait.
When others go crazy, they start calculating risk instead.
4. A stop loss isn’t surrender—it’s refusing to let a mistake turn into a catastrophe.
What’s truly dangerous has never been the loss itself.
It’s when you lose 10% and start imagining you’ll break even;
when you lose 30% and begin praying for a rebound;
when you lose 50% and end up surviving on nothing but faith.
5. Win rate isn’t the thing you should chase the most.
Because a single fatal big loss can wipe out dozens of small wins.
What trading really competes on is:
How much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
6. The most dangerous trade isn’t the one that loses money—it’s the one that lets you earn “money beyond your capability.”
Because losses make people more cautious.
Extreme profits, on the other hand, are what most easily create illusions.
After a few times of “all-in” making money, you think you’ve figured it out.
The market usually teaches you with the very next bout of volatility:
You didn’t “figure it out”—you were just not harvested yet.
7. True freedom isn’t buying whenever you want, and selling whenever you want.
It’s this:
Even though you want to trade, you can choose not to.
Only those who can control themselves truly possess trading freedom.
In the end, you’ll realize:
You think you’re studying the market.
Actually, the market is studying you.
Study your greed,
study your fear,
study your wishful thinking,
and study the moment you lose control.
Trading is one of the few professions in the world where cognition, human nature, and discipline are priced directly.
The market doesn’t care how hard you try.
If you pull all-nighters to review charts, you won’t make an extra cent.
If you study hundreds of indicators, it still won’t make the market more sympathetic to you.
The only language the market truly recognizes is your account balance.
So, here are some truly counterintuitive truths in trading:
1. The more you want to make money, the more likely you are to lose money.
Because the desire to profit will push you to trade;
trading impulse will push you to search for opportunities;
and the real opportunities—precisely—won’t show up every day.
2. The most important ability in trading isn’t judgment; it’s the willingness to give up.
Give up opportunities you don’t have conviction in,
let go of logic that has already become invalid,
and abandon the fantasy that says, “Just wait— it will come back.”
3. Experts aren’t more daring gamblers than ordinary people; they’re more daring at not gambling.
When others are fully loaded with positions, they can go to cash.
When others succumb to FOMO, they can wait.
When others go crazy, they start calculating risk instead.
4. A stop loss isn’t surrender—it’s refusing to let a mistake turn into a catastrophe.
What’s truly dangerous has never been the loss itself.
It’s when you lose 10% and start imagining you’ll break even;
when you lose 30% and begin praying for a rebound;
when you lose 50% and end up surviving on nothing but faith.
5. Win rate isn’t the thing you should chase the most.
Because a single fatal big loss can wipe out dozens of small wins.
What trading really competes on is:
How much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
6. The most dangerous trade isn’t the one that loses money—it’s the one that lets you earn “money beyond your capability.”
Because losses make people more cautious.
Extreme profits, on the other hand, are what most easily create illusions.
After a few times of “all-in” making money, you think you’ve figured it out.
The market usually teaches you with the very next bout of volatility:
You didn’t “figure it out”—you were just not harvested yet.
7. True freedom isn’t buying whenever you want, and selling whenever you want.
It’s this:
Even though you want to trade, you can choose not to.
Only those who can control themselves truly possess trading freedom.
In the end, you’ll realize:
You think you’re studying the market.
Actually, the market is studying you.
Study your greed,
study your fear,
study your wishful thinking,
and study the moment you lose control.
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Jiayi Li
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I’m sharing with you a concrete method I used with my AI to help myself seize “bloody chips”
One of the hardest things in investing is to hold your nerve when the market is hot, and when things are bad, still have the money and the judgment to back yourself up—so you dare to buy.
In Buffett’s saying, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” In terms of results, it means waiting for “bloody chips” and then striking—only when the risk-to-reward ratio becomes attractive enough, and with time acting as a multiplier, to achieve extraordinary outcomes.
Once it lands on you, the problem comes:
Is this really panic now? When an asset drops, is it being unfairly punished, or is there actually something wrong with it? If you buy, how much further decline can you withstand—and how long will you have to wait?
In Buffett’s saying, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” In terms of results, it means waiting for “bloody chips” and then striking—only when the risk-to-reward ratio becomes attractive enough, and with time acting as a multiplier, to achieve extraordinary outcomes.
Once it lands on you, the problem comes:
Is this really panic now? When an asset drops, is it being unfairly punished, or is there actually something wrong with it? If you buy, how much further decline can you withstand—and how long will you have to wait?
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Today’s Market Snapshot / Riding the Sunshine
1️⃣ US stock index futures weaken significantly, with tech bearing the brunt
US stock index futures are fairly weak: Nasdaq 100 futures are down about 1.2%, S&P 500 futures about -0.5%, while Dow futures are relatively less down. The market is mainly concerned about rising oil prices, higher interest rates, and
AI (+0.01%)
valuation pressure on the sector.
2️⃣ Oil has again become the biggest variable for global markets
WTI is currently around $102.8 per barrel, while Brent is around $107.7. The rise in oil prices has reignited inflation concerns. The market worries about a “high oil price + high interest rates” scenario occurring at the same time, which would be unfavorable for both US stocks and crypto assets.
3️⃣ US Treasury yields near 5% weigh on risk assets
The US 10-year Treasury yield is around 4.97%, approaching the 5% threshold. Rising yields mean higher funding costs, while also boosting the risk-free return on USD assets, putting pressure on BTC, gold, and high-valuation tech stocks.
4️⃣ Gold and silver face short-term pressure
Gold is currently about $4,378 per ounce, and silver has also fallen noticeably recently. The key reason is: oil prices rising → inflation concerns → pressure on Fed rate-cut expectations → higher Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar.
5️⃣ BTC is around $769,000; for now it hasn’t clearly broken away from macro logic
Over the past few days, BTC has pulled back from around $800,000 and is currently around $769,000. The biggest external factor right now isn’t a single crypto-sector headline, but rather US Treasury yields, oil prices, and risk appetite in US equities
Today’s Market Snapshot / Riding the Sunshine
1️⃣ US stock index futures weaken significantly, with tech bearing the brunt
US stock index futures are fairly weak: Nasdaq 100 futures are down about 1.2%, S&P 500 futures about -0.5%, while Dow futures are relatively less down. The market is mainly concerned about rising oil prices, higher interest rates, and
AI (+0.01%)
valuation pressure on the sector.
2️⃣ Oil has again become the biggest variable for global markets
WTI is currently around $102.8 per barrel, while Brent is around $107.7. The rise in oil prices has reignited inflation concerns. The market worries about a “high oil price + high interest rates” scenario occurring at the same time, which would be unfavorable for both US stocks and crypto assets.
3️⃣ US Treasury yields near 5% weigh on risk assets
The US 10-year Treasury yield is around 4.97%, approaching the 5% threshold. Rising yields mean higher funding costs, while also boosting the risk-free return on USD assets, putting pressure on BTC, gold, and high-valuation tech stocks.
4️⃣ Gold and silver face short-term pressure
Gold is currently about $4,378 per ounce, and silver has also fallen noticeably recently. The key reason is: oil prices rising → inflation concerns → pressure on Fed rate-cut expectations → higher Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar.
5️⃣ BTC is around $769,000; for now it hasn’t clearly broken away from macro logic
Over the past few days, BTC has pulled back from around $800,000 and is currently around $769,000. The biggest external factor right now isn’t a single crypto-sector headline, but rather US Treasury yields, oil prices, and risk appetite in US equities
1️⃣ US stock index futures weaken significantly, with tech bearing the brunt
US stock index futures are fairly weak: Nasdaq 100 futures are down about 1.2%, S&P 500 futures about -0.5%, while Dow futures are relatively less down. The market is mainly concerned about rising oil prices, higher interest rates, and
AI (+0.01%)
valuation pressure on the sector.
2️⃣ Oil has again become the biggest variable for global markets
WTI is currently around $102.8 per barrel, while Brent is around $107.7. The rise in oil prices has reignited inflation concerns. The market worries about a “high oil price + high interest rates” scenario occurring at the same time, which would be unfavorable for both US stocks and crypto assets.
3️⃣ US Treasury yields near 5% weigh on risk assets
The US 10-year Treasury yield is around 4.97%, approaching the 5% threshold. Rising yields mean higher funding costs, while also boosting the risk-free return on USD assets, putting pressure on BTC, gold, and high-valuation tech stocks.
4️⃣ Gold and silver face short-term pressure
Gold is currently about $4,378 per ounce, and silver has also fallen noticeably recently. The key reason is: oil prices rising → inflation concerns → pressure on Fed rate-cut expectations → higher Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar.
5️⃣ BTC is around $769,000; for now it hasn’t clearly broken away from macro logic
Over the past few days, BTC has pulled back from around $800,000 and is currently around $769,000. The biggest external factor right now isn’t a single crypto-sector headline, but rather US Treasury yields, oil prices, and risk appetite in US equities
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Last Week’s News Highlights｜9/7–9/13
1. BTC (-0.01%) weakens in choppy trading: Driven by CPI, oil prices, and expectations of a Fed rate cut, BTC briefly fell below $77,000.
2. Fed meeting approaching: The September 16 FOMC is the biggest macro variable this week.
3. The CLARITY Act enters a critical stage: The U.S. crypto regulatory bill is expected to face a key vote on September 15.
4. ETH shows relative strength: It has clearly outperformed BTC recently, and the market continues to watch the $3,000 target.
5. Stablecoins keep expanding: USDT and others are extending from trading scenarios into payments, credit, RWA, and financial infrastructure
Last Week’s News Highlights｜9/7–9/13
1. BTC (-0.01%) weakens in choppy trading: Driven by CPI, oil prices, and expectations of a Fed rate cut, BTC briefly fell below $77,000.
2. Fed meeting approaching: The September 16 FOMC is the biggest macro variable this week.
3. The CLARITY Act enters a critical stage: The U.S. crypto regulatory bill is expected to face a key vote on September 15.
4. ETH shows relative strength: It has clearly outperformed BTC recently, and the market continues to watch the $3,000 target.
5. Stablecoins keep expanding: USDT and others are extending from trading scenarios into payments, credit, RWA, and financial infrastructure
1. BTC (-0.01%) weakens in choppy trading: Driven by CPI, oil prices, and expectations of a Fed rate cut, BTC briefly fell below $77,000.
2. Fed meeting approaching: The September 16 FOMC is the biggest macro variable this week.
3. The CLARITY Act enters a critical stage: The U.S. crypto regulatory bill is expected to face a key vote on September 15.
4. ETH shows relative strength: It has clearly outperformed BTC recently, and the market continues to watch the $3,000 target.
5. Stablecoins keep expanding: USDT and others are extending from trading scenarios into payments, credit, RWA, and financial infrastructure
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Yesterday’s News Brief | Riding the Sunshine
1. BTC remains weak in consolidation, with DOGE underperforming among major coins. Bitcoin briefly held around $78,000, down about 1% over 24 hours. DOGE fell more than 5%, BNB dropped about 4%, and XRP slid about 3%. The market was also pressured by oil prices breaking above $100 and rising U.S. Treasury yields.
2. Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken’s parent company, Payward. Nasdaq Ventures announced a strategic investment and will further work with Kraken to advance tokenized stocks and an around-the-clock trading infrastructure, as traditional finance accelerates toward on-chain assets.
3. Coinbase and Moov team up to push stablecoins into U.S. community banks. Through Coinbase Payments API and custody wallets, both parties will provide stablecoin payments, settlement, and real-time fund services for more than 1,000 community banks and credit unions.
4. Competition over regulation of U.S. prediction markets intensifies. Citadel Securities argues that the SEC—not the CFTC—should regulate event contracts related to public companies, saying such products may qualify as securities or security-based swaps. The SEC/CFTC jurisdiction dispute further heats up.
5. Stablecoin applications continue to penetrate real-world payments. MoneyGram launched its first Visa card in Colombia that supports stablecoins, initially supporting USDC, with plans to add its own stablecoin, MGUSD, in the future. On the same day, Uniswap introduced the StablePair Hook, using dynamic fees to improve stablecoin LP value-capture capabilities.
Yesterday’s News Brief | Riding the Sunshine
1. BTC remains weak in consolidation, with DOGE underperforming among major coins. Bitcoin briefly held around $78,000, down about 1% over 24 hours. DOGE fell more than 5%, BNB dropped about 4%, and XRP slid about 3%. The market was also pressured by oil prices breaking above $100 and rising U.S. Treasury yields.
2. Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken’s parent company, Payward. Nasdaq Ventures announced a strategic investment and will further work with Kraken to advance tokenized stocks and an around-the-clock trading infrastructure, as traditional finance accelerates toward on-chain assets.
3. Coinbase and Moov team up to push stablecoins into U.S. community banks. Through Coinbase Payments API and custody wallets, both parties will provide stablecoin payments, settlement, and real-time fund services for more than 1,000 community banks and credit unions.
4. Competition over regulation of U.S. prediction markets intensifies. Citadel Securities argues that the SEC—not the CFTC—should regulate event contracts related to public companies, saying such products may qualify as securities or security-based swaps. The SEC/CFTC jurisdiction dispute further heats up.
5. Stablecoin applications continue to penetrate real-world payments. MoneyGram launched its first Visa card in Colombia that supports stablecoins, initially supporting USDC, with plans to add its own stablecoin, MGUSD, in the future. On the same day, Uniswap introduced the StablePair Hook, using dynamic fees to improve stablecoin LP value-capture capabilities.
1. BTC remains weak in consolidation, with DOGE underperforming among major coins. Bitcoin briefly held around $78,000, down about 1% over 24 hours. DOGE fell more than 5%, BNB dropped about 4%, and XRP slid about 3%. The market was also pressured by oil prices breaking above $100 and rising U.S. Treasury yields.
2. Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken’s parent company, Payward. Nasdaq Ventures announced a strategic investment and will further work with Kraken to advance tokenized stocks and an around-the-clock trading infrastructure, as traditional finance accelerates toward on-chain assets.
3. Coinbase and Moov team up to push stablecoins into U.S. community banks. Through Coinbase Payments API and custody wallets, both parties will provide stablecoin payments, settlement, and real-time fund services for more than 1,000 community banks and credit unions.
4. Competition over regulation of U.S. prediction markets intensifies. Citadel Securities argues that the SEC—not the CFTC—should regulate event contracts related to public companies, saying such products may qualify as securities or security-based swaps. The SEC/CFTC jurisdiction dispute further heats up.
5. Stablecoin applications continue to penetrate real-world payments. MoneyGram launched its first Visa card in Colombia that supports stablecoins, initially supporting USDC, with plans to add its own stablecoin, MGUSD, in the future. On the same day, Uniswap introduced the StablePair Hook, using dynamic fees to improve stablecoin LP value-capture capabilities.
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