易琳Ten
68 Posts
易琳Ten
耐心等风来，出手即收割。🐺📈
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易琳Ten
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📈 In the early bull market, there’s no need to be afraid of missing out
Even if you’re currently in the early stage of a bull market, there’s no need to blindly chase the price just because you’re afraid of missing out.
You can refer to the price action in the early phase of the 2023 bull market:
1️⃣ Market rhythm
On the daily chart, prices keep chopping sideways and making new highs; after touching the upper band, upward momentum weakens, and the market first goes through a daily pullback;
after the pullback ends, it rebounds again to test the upper band once more, and then comes another pullback at the three-day-line level.
2️⃣ Current outlook
BTC will most likely continue to trade sideways in a back-and-forth manner, repeatedly probing new highs.
Watch the resistance around 85,000 in the short term—if it gets rejected, it may first pull back to around 77,000;
then, if it rebounds and reaches 88,000～89,000, another pullback at the three-day-line level may follow, and it could even revisit the 70,000 area.
So, missing out isn’t scary; chasing when the price is already high is.
There will still be opportunities to buy the dip later.
3️⃣ Why do I believe Bitcoin will definitely see a pullback?
First, to shake out the long side and digest profit-taking.
Second, the market needs time and space—it can’t rise in a straight line the whole way while letting everyone make money easily.
What the bull market lacks the least is opportunities; what truly tests people is patience.
Don’t chase strength, don’t panic—wait for the dip entry point that belongs to you.
Even if you’re currently in the early stage of a bull market, there’s no need to blindly chase the price just because you’re afraid of missing out.
You can refer to the price action in the early phase of the 2023 bull market:
1️⃣ Market rhythm
On the daily chart, prices keep chopping sideways and making new highs; after touching the upper band, upward momentum weakens, and the market first goes through a daily pullback;
after the pullback ends, it rebounds again to test the upper band once more, and then comes another pullback at the three-day-line level.
2️⃣ Current outlook
BTC will most likely continue to trade sideways in a back-and-forth manner, repeatedly probing new highs.
Watch the resistance around 85,000 in the short term—if it gets rejected, it may first pull back to around 77,000;
then, if it rebounds and reaches 88,000～89,000, another pullback at the three-day-line level may follow, and it could even revisit the 70,000 area.
So, missing out isn’t scary; chasing when the price is already high is.
There will still be opportunities to buy the dip later.
3️⃣ Why do I believe Bitcoin will definitely see a pullback?
First, to shake out the long side and digest profit-taking.
Second, the market needs time and space—it can’t rise in a straight line the whole way while letting everyone make money easily.
What the bull market lacks the least is opportunities; what truly tests people is patience.
Don’t chase strength, don’t panic—wait for the dip entry point that belongs to you.
易琳Ten
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Will BTC crash badly? A drop back to 60,000?
This may be the expectation in the minds of many retail investors.
After all, who doesn’t want to wait for a “golden pit” and buy the bottom for a turnaround?
But the market never readily fulfills the wishes of the majority.
Now, every modest dip in BTC is often accompanied by emotional manipulation. The real big move usually does not follow the script that retail investors expect.
This bull market cycle, by nature, will be different from previous cycles.
In the past, retail investors drove it forward, with volume surges causing sharp blow-off rallies;
Nowadays, the BTC coin supply structure has changed. A large amount of coins is gradually concentrated in the hands of institutions and Wall Street capital. The market is becoming more mature, and it is also increasingly susceptible to the rhythm of capital flows.
After all, who doesn’t want to wait for a “golden pit” and buy the bottom for a turnaround?
But the market never readily fulfills the wishes of the majority.
Now, every modest dip in BTC is often accompanied by emotional manipulation. The real big move usually does not follow the script that retail investors expect.
This bull market cycle, by nature, will be different from previous cycles.
In the past, retail investors drove it forward, with volume surges causing sharp blow-off rallies;
Nowadays, the BTC coin supply structure has changed. A large amount of coins is gradually concentrated in the hands of institutions and Wall Street capital. The market is becoming more mature, and it is also increasingly susceptible to the rhythm of capital flows.
易琳Ten
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Bitcoin’s year-end 160,000 is just a target, not the limit!
In this current round of market activity, it actually feels very similar to the launch phase in September 2024, but I think—this time it will be faster and more forceful than back then.
Why?
Because the market’s positioning and chip structure has already changed.
Looking back from September to November 2024, that round of market action happened to coincide with the U.S. election cycle. Bitcoin took about 20 days to complete a rapid surge, and then altcoins used roughly another 20 days to complete the main rally, making the whole market rhythm extremely sharp.
But this round is different.
As early as August, market signals had already started to appear. Once key levels were reached, the pace at which the rally kicked off far exceeded expectations.
Why?
Because the market’s positioning and chip structure has already changed.
Looking back from September to November 2024, that round of market action happened to coincide with the U.S. election cycle. Bitcoin took about 20 days to complete a rapid surge, and then altcoins used roughly another 20 days to complete the main rally, making the whole market rhythm extremely sharp.
But this round is different.
As early as August, market signals had already started to appear. Once key levels were reached, the pace at which the rally kicked off far exceeded expectations.
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