Short-term Market Analysis

Short-term (1-7 days) is considered a fluctuating market, with a focus on risk management: stop loss 2%-3%, position not exceeding 5% of total capital. Combined with BTC dominance, ETH acts as a satellite.

$BTC Strategy

Long Position Entry: If it holds the support at $102,500 (1h RSI<50), buy near $103,000, target $105,500 (4h EMA), stop loss at $101,500. Reason: Funding rates are positively supporting a rebound.

Short Position Watch: If it breaks $100,000, consider a short position down to $98,000 (daily support), but current OI is high, avoid high leverage.

Risk: Downward movement in US stocks or FOMC meetings may pressure prices. Monitor OI changes, if it increases sharply >1%, be cautious of a liquidation wave.

$ETH Strategy

Long Position Entry: Buy at the support of $3,450 (following BTC's rebound), target $3,600 (1h EMA), stop loss at $3,350. Reason: Opportunity for a pullback after RSI overbought, DeFi news may catalyze.

Short Position Alternative: If BTC is weak, short from $3,600 resistance down to $3,400, but prioritize long positions (MACD turns positive).

Risk: ETH is highly volatile (Beta>1), if Gas fees spike or L2 congestion occurs, losses may be magnified.

Overall Recommendation: BTC/ETH ratio 70/30, primarily hold long in the short term, but set a trailing stop to lock in profits. Pay attention to Twitter sentiment and on-chain transaction volume; if long OI continues to increase, the market may strengthen. Not investment advice, DYOR.