10.23 Daily Outlook

Today, let’s talk about MicroStrategy, a die-hard bull that never gets good things done every time it restocks. As Bitcoin hits $30,000, MicroStrategy’s holdings have made a long-awaited and rare return and are making a profit. Statistics show that as of September 24 this year, MicroStrategy, a super masonry player who has been buying and buying, has accumulated a total of 158,245 BTC without realizing it, which, at a price of $30,000, amounts to a staggering $4.68 billion.

What does 150,000 bitcoins mean? It is equivalent to the amount of a Mentougou incident, a quarter of Grayscale's holdings, and several times the peak holdings of Tesla. You know, when the market is stagnant, thousands or tens of thousands of bitcoins transferred to the exchange can create a small hole or waterfall, let alone what MicroStrategy can do with this amount of holdings.

Therefore, although WeCare has often been called a big leek or a super counter-attack since the bear market began, I often just say a few words in my heart and don't really dare to participate in such ridicule on Twitter. Sometimes I am really afraid that his mentality will suddenly collapse one day. After all, WeCare is not the old OG who saw too many ups and downs in 2011 and 2013. He entered the circle relatively late, and it is understandable that his confidence in the crypto world changes with price fluctuations.

Many times, it is the same for institutions or individuals. When the market is weak and the overall market is uncomfortable, they really hold on with one breath, and they are afraid that their confidence will be gone at any minute. In that case, once their mentality collapses, their operations will be reversed directly, and there will only be three words left in their heads - shit, scam. (I don’t know if Tesla cursed when it liquidated 75% of its positions)

In other words, the road to recovering the investment of MicroStrategy is actually quite long and full of twists and turns. The initial cost was not low, and it was gradually spread out in the process of continuous increase in positions. And it was not until the recent few low-level replenishment (not much was bought, and it felt like it could not be bought) that the average cost was reduced to less than US$30,000 (average price US$29,582).

If you have trading experience, whether in the spot or futures market, you should remember one sentence: as long as you don’t close your position and pocket the profit, the numbers you see can only be counted as floating profits. For WeCare, it can only be regarded as a short floating profit honeymoon period. Although according to his nature, he will not sell immediately after recovering his investment, but from the perspective of his mentality, how long he can maintain the floating profit this time is really critical. If he suffers floating losses again and it takes a long time to recover, I think his beliefs will be greatly challenged. It is not ruled out that he will never buy again, or there will be other comments from fans to haters, especially in the past one or two years, every time WeCare made a floating profit, not long after, the currency circle encountered various unfavorable events, causing WeCare’s floating profit to turn into a floating loss again, poisonous like being possessed by evil spirits.

In summary, I hope that with the cooperation of many parties (mainly ETFs within the year), Brother WeStrategy can have a wonderful Christmas.