Crypto爱玩币的村长

The public group I just created
Come on
Let's earn some money $BTC
$ETH

The US and Japan held joint military exercises, deploying nearly 60,000 troops
'96
'16
Late '26
The one in '16 was very tense
The world is very chaotic now
Russia-Ukraine
US-Iran
Unrest in France
The whole world lacks new sources of growth
AI still can't bring the world into a new growth phase
Internal conflicts are erupting in every country
War abroad is currently the only option
The more chaotic the world gets, the better it is for crypto $BTC

If Bitcoin drops on this weekly candle, I’ll eat shit.
If Bitcoin drops on this weekly candle, I’ll eat shit.
If Bitcoin drops on this weekly candle, I’ll eat shit.
Now that Bitcoin’s weekly candle has closed, the weekly MA10 has also moved up to provide support.
The weekly MA10 support is basically right around the 81,500 level I mentioned before.
U.S. stock futures have also bounced back this morning.
It really is about to go up.
And the weekly MA23 is starting to curl upward.
It’s been ranging here for so long.
The previous bearish divergence on the daily chart wasn’t that severe anyway.
After ranging for so long,
using sideways movement instead of dropping should have run its course by now.
Looking at the weekly chart, Bitcoin is stronger now than it was two weeks ago.
It couldn’t drop any further over the past two weeks.
So in this even stronger new week, it should have even less chance of dropping.
Ethereum is the same. Its daily chart has basically completely worked off the divergence.
Ethereum pulled back directly to the Fibonacci 0.618 level.
Bitcoin has been consolidating around 81,500, near the Fibonacci 0.718 level.
A new rally is about to begin.
After being cooped up for so long, it’s going to make a big move.
If Bitcoin drops on this weekly candle, I’ll eat shit.
If Bitcoin drops on this weekly candle, I’ll eat shit.
If Bitcoin drops on this weekly candle, I’ll eat shit.$BTC

Why do you all speak so confidently when analyzing past market trends, but so vaguely when analyzing the current market?$BTC

U.S. stocks dropped another 1,000 points yesterday.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are really strong.
Last time U.S. stocks dropped 1,000 points, Bitcoin and Ethereum even wicked down to around 80,000.
This time, with U.S. stocks down 1,000 points, Bitcoin and Ethereum still haven't broken below 81,500.
Impressive!
Looks like the crypto market is starting to hold strong.$BTC

Bitcoin is now significantly undervalued
Bitcoin’s all-in cost (electricity + depreciation + operations and maintenance) is approximately $82,000–$87,000 per coin
The “shutdown price,” which covers electricity costs alone, is approximately $48,000–$50,000 per coin
As of October 15, 2026
Bitcoin is priced at approximately $81,500
Once again, it is slightly below the all-in cost line
But still well above the electricity-cost floor
The figure obtained by dividing U.S. Treasury debt by the number of bitcoins should represent a reasonable ceiling price for Bitcoin
That figure is 199374
Although Bitcoin’s price is now far above the electricity-cost floor
It is still a long way from 199374
There is still around 1.5x upside $BTC

Today’s CPI data is coming out tonight.
Oil prices in September were higher than in August,
so September’s CPI month-over-month rate will definitely be higher than the previous reading.
The question now is whether it will come in below or above expectations.
The village chief leans toward the CPI month-over-month rate coming in somewhat above expectations,
and the CPI year-over-year rate somewhat below expectations.
That would make the data relatively favorable. $BTC

I woke up this morning to a disaster.
Bitcoin and Ether damn well dropped back again.
U.S. stocks were weak yesterday,
and U.S. stock futures are still falling in early trading today.
But fortunately, after today's daily candle closed, Bitcoin was still above 81,500,
and after that wick down, it has already bounced back to 82,000.
Bitcoin and Ether bounced back before U.S. stock futures did.
Lately, the main risk for Bitcoin and Ether has been tied to U.S. stocks.
When U.S. stocks fall, it's hard for Bitcoin and Ether to rise, too.
Right now, U.S. stock futures have strong support around the 30,000–30,500 level.
I don't think U.S. stocks will fall much further.
We're already almost halfway through the month.
The first half of the month has been choppy and trending downward,
so the odds of a choppy upward trend in the second half are increasing.
The 81,500 level is still strong support; it's held several times.
I'm confident it can hold this time too.$BTC

BTC weekly candle close
Long positions are still open
Still looking good
At the very least, price is still above 81,500
As long as it's above 81,500, the bulls are in a strong position
If 81,500 holds, it has to head toward 90,000
Sticking with the bullish view
On the weekly timeframe, price is currently around the weekly MA5 and MA62
The consolidation here should be about over
A new wave of gains should be coming soon
U.S. stocks also had a week of correction last week
After this week's Nasdaq futures closed the weekly candle, support has now moved up
U.S. stocks are expected to break to new highs again
The only risk ahead is Trump's midterm election, and that's still some time away
The Fed's rate hikes currently have a limited impact on the market
Because there haven't been many hikes
The dot plot shows only one more hike, so this can be seen as positive
The only potential negative factor may be Trump's midterm election
The market is currently stable and trending positively
BTC is currently around 83,500
ETH is around 2,550
Expect a bit of consolidation
Then it's set to take off
Because many altcoins' 3-day charts are already gearing up to break out
Markets usually move in sync
When it happens, they all move together $BTC

Switched gears and went for the big-bread ETH
Lost big
Damn it
Yesterday I squeezed back a mouthful of blood
A small bite
The big-bread ETH has been bleeding lower continuously for 2 days
Yesterday the big-bread did a retest of support at 81500, with the lowest falling to 80300
But after the line closed this morning, the price went back above 81500
So this support below 81500 is still valid for now
As for ETH, it directly broke through 2500
Sigh—it's still better to do less ETH; the most painful thing is ETH
Even the altcoins are more resilient than ETH
ETH has retested the 3-day MA120
At present, judging from the 3-day line pattern
It still looks like a pump-up setup
Once this pullback ends, it will start a new upswing
This pullback is basically what kills longs
In a normal situation, if 85000 holds horizontally, it should start pumping
But unfortunately it didn’t hold
A pullback followed by an upswing is healthier for the market
That’s a good thing
Right now I’m still firmly bullish
Many altcoins also have good setups on the 2-day and 3-day lines; they’re all pump-up patterns
This pullback is good
Once it stretches up, it gets even more brutal
Firmly bullish—this is good
$BTC

The National Day holiday is over.
Today also marks the official start of the Wu-Xu month.
Bitcoin and Ethereum both pulled back quite a bit yesterday.
Ethereum in particular flash-crashed by over 100 points.
Bitcoin also had a considerable pullback.
Ethereum has now pulled back right to the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Bitcoin is still some distance away from the 78.6% Fibonacci level at 81,500.
But Bitcoin is currently near support at the weekly MA5.
It had initially moved above 85,000 on the weekly chart,
but has since fallen back below it.
Looking at the weekly chart, the outlook is still bullish.
It will reach around 90,000.
On the daily chart, it’s simply a matter of forming a new structure.
The most likely new daily-chart structure for Bitcoin and Ethereum is still a W.
This area is also strong support for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
As I said, as long as Bitcoin doesn’t break below 81,500,
it will reach 90,000.$BTC

Report a good piece of news to comrades
On the morning of October 5 at 8:00 a.m.
The weekly big cake Ethereum closed its line
It has officially broken through 85,000
That resistance has been dragging for a long time, and it finally broke through
The resistance above is around 90,500
I’ve been telling everyone all along that if 81,500 doesn’t break, then it’s definitely going up
Right now, 85,000 has been broken through
Support and resistance have swapped
What used to be resistance is now support
Something big is coming
Something big is coming again
Welcome your King $BTC

In just a few days, we’ll enter the 戊戌 month.
戌土 is the “overheated fire storage.”
We gather the fire energy from the years of 丙午.
The fire energy becomes more condensed.
Then metal and water rise upward.
If the financial market isn’t affected by countering conditions, it will get much better.
For the big meme/“big cake” and Ethereum, today after the line is finished, the daily chart looks much better than the past few days.
The daily charts from the previous few days really were uglier.
It can’t go up, and it can’t go down.
So we can only find comfort for the bulls from the larger timeframe.
Now looking at the daily chart, after today closes, the big cake/Ethereum line has been pulled back again—ma5 and ma10.
Although it still hasn’t broken through 85000, where the weekly chart ma62 and ma120 are,
it also looks better than the past few days.
We expect it won’t be stagnant for long.
There’s a high probability that if this week doesn’t pull down, then next week it will pull up—$BTC

The big pancake is finished wrapping the monthly line.
From the monthly chart,
this month the big pancake and Ethereum should also rise.
On the monthly timeframe, the MACD fast line and slow line are near the zero axis and have turned upward.
MACD also needs to move to the turning point.
The stochastic oscillation indicator is also pointing upward.
On the monthly timeframe, MA5 and MA10 have a golden cross.
Just looking at the monthly chart alone, the probability of the October candle closing bullish is very high.
In the past few days, I’ve been saying this too.
The weekly chart also needs to go up.
As long as the big pancake at 81500 doesn’t break,
it has already been consolidating long enough—once it’s done, it will pull up.
My current view remains unchanged.
For October so far, I still expect a bullish trend: $BTC

The monthly chart is about to close.
US stocks are also dragging.
The whole market is stalling.
It also won’t go down.
And it won’t go up either.
When it can’t go down, the BTC “divergence” is essentially going sideways instead of dropping.
Once the sideways range is enough, it will naturally pull up.
BTC’s key level is 81500.
If 81500 isn’t broken, it will still go to 90000.
Be patient and wait. $BTC

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get get get
sell sell sell
you make money $BTC