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$BTC on - chain: Overheating is gone, but the pain phase lingers 📉
The moonboy euphoria of late 2025 has been fully liquidate. On chain data shows we've moved from an overheated market into gruelling phase of seller exhaustion.
The reality Check (MVRV Z - score).
The MVRV Z- score has plummeted 74% from it's October peak, dropping from 2.603 to 0.674.
Transaction: We are no longer expensive $BTC has returned to the neutral valuation zone, trading well below it's 365 day moving average (1.83).
The signal: While the top is long gone, MVRV alone isn't a buy signal yet it just means the bubble has deflated.
The Persistence of Pain (aSOPR)
The most telling metric is the ASOPR, which has remained below 1.0 for 55 consecutive days.
What it means: For nearly two months every bounce has been met with breakeven or loss cutting sale. Participants are exhausted, and they are exiting at a loss rather than holding for a rally.
The resistance: Until aSOPR sustains a move above 1.0 for 3-5 sessions, any price pump is vulnerable to exit liquidity selling from panickedholders.
Valuation Overheating is dead, but seller capitulation is not yet complete. The market is in a neutral-bearish grind where breakeven selling is capping every rally.
#BTCPPriceAnalysis #BitcoinPredictions
The moonboy euphoria of late 2025 has been fully liquidate. On chain data shows we've moved from an overheated market into gruelling phase of seller exhaustion.
The reality Check (MVRV Z - score).
The MVRV Z- score has plummeted 74% from it's October peak, dropping from 2.603 to 0.674.
Transaction: We are no longer expensive $BTC has returned to the neutral valuation zone, trading well below it's 365 day moving average (1.83).
The signal: While the top is long gone, MVRV alone isn't a buy signal yet it just means the bubble has deflated.
The Persistence of Pain (aSOPR)
The most telling metric is the ASOPR, which has remained below 1.0 for 55 consecutive days.
What it means: For nearly two months every bounce has been met with breakeven or loss cutting sale. Participants are exhausted, and they are exiting at a loss rather than holding for a rally.
The resistance: Until aSOPR sustains a move above 1.0 for 3-5 sessions, any price pump is vulnerable to exit liquidity selling from panickedholders.
Valuation Overheating is dead, but seller capitulation is not yet complete. The market is in a neutral-bearish grind where breakeven selling is capping every rally.
#BTCPPriceAnalysis #BitcoinPredictions
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#Bitcoin is standing strong at $95,000. 💪 We are very close to 💰$BTC's $100,000 move, but they can shake the markets again with negative news beforehand. 📉 We are living in times where we need to be very careful... 🤔 The bull market will come very strong. 🐂 There will always be short-term movements. 🎢 Continue to take positions in strong projects. ✅
🚀 #AltcoinSeason #BTCPPriceAnalysis 📊 #Bullish #Trump 🤷♂️
#Bitcoin is standing strong at $95,000. 💪 We are very close to 💰$BTC's $100,000 move, but they can shake the markets again with negative news beforehand. 📉 We are living in times where we need to be very careful... 🤔 The bull market will come very strong. 🐂 There will always be short-term movements. 🎢 Continue to take positions in strong projects. ✅
🚀 #AltcoinSeason #BTCPPriceAnalysis 📊 #Bullish #Trump 🤷♂️
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