降息预期

【📉Breaking! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path is super clear: December 'opens the floodgates', 3.25% by 2026?】

Brothers, the market's biggest concern about the 'Federal Reserve script' seems to have been leaked! 💰 A major survey has just been released, almost revealing the interest rate cut roadmap for the next two years. This is not a guess; it's the common expectation of 100 top economists!

🎯 Core timeline and expectations:

· December 10 (this month!): 89% of economists almost unanimously agree that the first interest rate cut of 25 basis points is just around the corner! The interest rate range is projected to be 3.50%-3.75%.
· First quarter of 2026 (ultimate goal): Half of the experts bet that the interest rate will drop all the way to 3.25%-3.50%. This means a prolonged period of easing may be on the way.

🚀 What does this mean for the market?

1. The 'tap' is about to be turned on: Interest rate cuts = increased market liquidity. The impulse for traditional funds and smart money to seek high-yield assets will be stronger.
2. Risk assets 'safety belt': For risk assets like cryptocurrencies, low funding costs are often a strong booster. History may not repeat itself exactly, but it is worth paying close attention to.
3. The expectation game has begun: The market usually 'buys expectations, sells facts'. When the roadmap is so clear, actual price changes may occur earlier, rather than waiting for the moment of the interest rate cut.

🤔 What should we think about?

· If the interest rate cut cycle truly begins as expected, which sectors will benefit first?
· Will this change your current investment positions and strategies?
· Don't forget, this is an 'investigation expectation', but the consensus is so strong; will the Federal Reserve disappoint everyone?

The market always trades on expectations. When mainstream expectations are highly consistent, it may be the key moment for us to maintain independent thinking.

Are you ready to welcome a new era of liquidity? Share your thoughts!👇
$ZEC
$GIGGLE
$客服小何

#降息预期

Shadow Federal Reserve Chairman Hassett has begun substantial actions. He has publicly called for a 25 basis point interest rate cut next week at #降息预期 during the Federal Reserve's blackout period, clearly taking advantage of the fact that the legitimate Chairman #鲍威尔 cannot speak, demonstrating power to the market. The market reacted quickly, almost assuming he will become the next Federal Reserve Chairman.

Trump's seemingly repetitive statements are actually a precise expectation management process: warming up—announcement—shadow control—formal takeover. Among them, 'shadow control' is the most critical, as it puts Powell in a dilemma: if he cuts rates, he will be seen as complying with Hassett; if he does not cut rates, any future economic fluctuations could become a basis for criticism from Trump's team.

This operation aims to gradually acclimate the market to the new power structure, shifting from data-driven to politically-driven, paving the way for the smooth elevation of the desired Federal Reserve Chairman.

🔥Epic Upset! Employment Data Collapses, Countdown to Rate Cuts Begins!
The recently released U.S. November ADP employment data has exploded—it's three times worse than you imagined! $BTC $ETH $BNB

📊Data Comparison:
▫️Actual Release: -32,000 (decrease!)
▫️Market Expectation: +10,000
▫️Previous Data: +42,000

This is not just a simple "missed expectation"; it's the coldest data since March 2023! The speed of economic cooling is accelerating wildly, faster than you can scroll past this news!

💥What does this mean?
1️⃣ Rate cuts are a done deal
The employment data that the Fed cares most about has collapsed; the question for December is no longer "will there be a cut?" but "how much will it be?" The dollar will weaken, and trillions in liquidity are about to flood the market.

2️⃣ The profit window has officially opened
History tells us: expectations of rate cuts = a golden signal for asset increases. U.S. stocks, gold, Bitcoin—all liquidity-sensitive assets are itching to move. Don’t regret missing the ride after the big surge!

3️⃣ The direction is set; volatility is just noise
Short-term price fluctuations are just clouds; the real heavyweight is: the narrative on interest rates has completely shifted! The era of "higher for longer" is ending, and a "faster and earlier" rate cut cycle is about to begin.

📈Now is the critical moment!
The data has given the clearest signal possible, with a logic so clear it cannot be clearer. Will you watch this macro shift pass you by, or will you seize the opportunity?

👇Vote now:
🟢【Bullish Camp】The worse the data, the closer the rate cuts, I'm ready to buy the dip!
🔴【Bearish Camp】This is a sign of recession; I'm choosing to hedge and observe!

💬Which side are you on? Let’s see the truth in the comments!
#美联储 #降息预期 #就业数据 #投资机会

The major event last night was Trump mentioning that he will select the Federal Reserve Chairman early next year. When introducing the potential candidate Kevin Hassett, he stated that the potential Federal Reserve Chairman is right here.

This can be understood as his choice being set in stone.

This also dispelled rumors of Powell resigning in advance.

Currently, the predicted probability in the market has risen to 86%, and the market has begun to anticipate his appointment in advance.

Kevin is one of the most crypto-friendly potential chairpersons in history. He was once an advisor to Coinbase and a strong supporter of Trump’s interest rate cuts, and he actually holds positions.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve has officially ended the quantitative tightening policy, and it is expected that there may be three consecutive interest rate cuts, with a projected reduction of 75 basis points—quantitative easing is coming!

At the same time, Musk predicts that a $38.3 trillion "crisis" could trigger a surge in Bitcoin prices. This move has caused Bitcoin prices to soar nearly $9k, and a small bull market may be on the horizon!

#降息预期 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

#ETH走势分析 #ETH巨鲸增持

Ethereum is getting serious! Vitalik himself is making a move, is this upgrade so tough that even he is getting 'chopped'?
Not only is there a hard Gas limit set, but key operations are directly weakened, all for one goal: safety and scalability, which must be firmly grasped with both hands!

According to PANews, Vitalik Buterin recently made it clear that Ethereum will fundamentally enhance the network through 'hard invariants'. Simply put, it means installing a 'hard cap' on critical aspects of the system:
$ETH


· The Gas limit for a single transaction in 2025 is locked at 16,777,216, directly tying up the size of single transactions or single blocks, significantly reducing DoS risk, and making the client lighter;
· Looking back, the cost control laid out by EIP-2929/3529 in 2021 has been further advanced in the 2024 Den­cun upgrade, even the SELFDESTRUCT operation has been weakened;
· Code access, ZK‑EVM proof cycles, memory pricing… all included in the upper limit list, without exception.
$BNB

$Binance Life


Safety is being reinforced, and capital is also flowing!
The same report pointed out that Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee has once again made a big purchase of $150 million in ETH. Clearly, institutional eyes are sharp—this upgrade is not just for safety, but also paves the way for Ethereum's future scalability.
#降息预期
In this upgrade, do you see it as 'lightly equipped' or 'dancing in shackles'?
Leave your judgment in the comments: Is the hard limit Ethereum's armor, or a shackle?👇

📢【Powell will speak tonight! Not discussing the economy is the biggest signal?\n\nBreaking! Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend an event at Stanford University tonight. But the key point is ⚠️: due to entering the quiet period, he will not discuss any economic and monetary policy!\n\nBut the market is anything but calm! Traders have already bet that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next week has surged to nearly 90%🔥 Once it happens, everyone’s eyes will be glued to that key thing—the Fed's latest "dot plot," where the rate trajectory for 2026 may hold the answer.\n\nWhy does the quiet period make the market more anxious?\n1️⃣ The less said, the more it indicates that there may be significant actions at the next meeting\n2️⃣ The rate cut expectations have been raised so high, if the dot plot leans hawkish, be careful of a sudden market reversal!\n3️⃣ Don’t forget, the Fed has just paused its balance sheet reduction; the policy turning point may really be here\n\n💎 Summary: The quiet period is never a still period; it is often the calm before the storm. Smart money is already positioning itself; can you seize the upcoming volatility opportunities?\n\n#美联储何时降息？ #鲍威尔 #降息预期 #点阵图 #市场信号

$BTC $ETH $ZEC
🚨Big earthquake in the crypto world! Trump sets the tone for the new Fed chairman, BTC/ETH straight to the door, December stops the balance sheet reduction + interest rate cut expectations, will the market go crazy or crash?💥

Just now, Trump made a heavy statement: "The new chairman of the Federal Reserve has been decided!" Although he didn't name names, the top favorite points directly to White House economic advisor Hassett—this core ally of Trump clearly supports aggressive interest rate cuts. Once in office, the Fed's policy shift will be more drastic than the market expects! Combined with the rumors of Powell's 'resignation' (his term ends in May 2026), market panic was instantly triggered, with BTC and ETH diving sharply, and the crypto space directly entering 'news-driven' panic mode!

A more crucial turning point has arrived: The Federal Reserve officially stops the balance sheet reduction on December 1! This quantitative tightening that has lasted for more than three years is completely over, with $5 billion in Treasury bonds no longer sold each month and fully rolled over after maturity. The $6.6 trillion balance sheet stabilizes, and the global liquidity faucet quietly opens! On one side, inflation remains steady at a high level of 2.8%-3.0%, while the downward pressure on the US economy is prominent; this operation clearly paves the way for subsequent interest rate cuts—once hot money flows back, highly elastic crypto assets are likely to be the first to benefit, but under policy uncertainty, short-term volatility will only get crazier!

⚠️Three major controversial points hit the market nerve:

1. If the new chairman is really Hassett, will aggressive interest rate cuts trigger a crypto bull market, or provoke inflation backlash?

2. Stopping the balance sheet reduction = liquidity easing confirmed? But whether the Fed will cut interest rates in December is still inconclusive, market expectations are torn!

3. Privacy coins like ZEC are more affected by policy fluctuations. Can ETH, as the core of the ecosystem, maintain its position as a wind vane?

In the current market, every rumor can trigger line-drawing trends! Do you think the Fed's leadership change + stopping the balance sheet reduction is an opportunity or a minefield for the crypto market? Share your views and trading strategies in the comments!👇

#美联储停止缩表 #特朗普美联储新帅 #加密货币行情 #降息预期 #币圈热点

$ETH $BTC $DOGE 【5 billion liquidation + cryptocurrency price plummets 5%! Federal Reserve personnel storm explodes the crypto market】 Trump’s one statement determines life and death?!

Trump dropped a bomb late at night: “I have finalized the candidate for the new chairman of the Federal Reserve!” A suspenseful statement on Air Force One directly caused the crypto market to plunge—Bitcoin fell below 87,000, Ethereum lost 2,900, and in 24 hours, 177,200 people were liquidated, with long positions liquidated exceeding 460 million dollars!

What’s more exciting is the double storm: on one side, Trump announced “official nomination before Christmas,” with five major candidates emerging, White House favorite Hassett leading with a 58% nomination probability, and he bluntly stated “if invited, I will take over; once in office, I will cut interest rates”; on the other side, a foreign article about “Powell’s emergency resignation on Monday night” went viral, but the Federal Reserve’s official website schedule shows he actually had a public speech that night, and his term lasts until May 2026, having repeatedly rejected the idea of leaving early!

Hassett himself claims “it’s all rumors,” yet subtly reveals “the market is already anticipating low interest rates”—it’s worth noting he is highly tied to Trump, and if he takes office, he may push for a rate cut exceeding 100 basis points in 2026; could this wave of plummet be an early realization of expectations?

On one side, “the candidate is decided but not disclosed,” and on the other side, “resignation rumors are slapped in the face,” the grand drama of power transition at the Federal Reserve has just begun! Will the 80,000 mark hold? Will the interest rate cut expectations reverse the downward trend? Let’s discuss your operations in the comments, waiting for a latest plot twist～

#加密货币 #美联储人事变动 #特朗普 #降息预期 #币圈暴跌

🏛️ 突发！特朗普被曝已“内定”美联储新主席！

消息来自“美联储传声筒”Timiraos：特朗普本周将与候选人面谈，但多次暗示前经济顾问哈塞特可能已提前胜出。

如果成真，这意味着什么？
哈塞特是知名鸽派，曾公开支持降息，主张宽松货币政策。他的上位，很可能预示着美国未来利率路径将更温和，流动性环境转向积极。

📉 对加密市场影响：
历史上，美联储放水 = 风险资产狂欢。比特币作为“数字黄金”和宏观流动性敏感资产，很可能迎来新一轮的预期炒作。尤其是大选前后，政策不确定性降低 + 宽松预期升温，都可能成为行情引爆点。

💎 总结一句：
政治影响金融，金融带动 Crypto。若鸽派掌舵美联储，新一轮的资金潮或许已在路上。

不管谁当主席，记住一点：在法币持续稀释的时代，持有稀缺资产才是普通人最真实的护城河。

#美联储 #特朗普 #宏观 #比特币 #降息预期

你觉得美联储换帅会影响加密市场走势吗？留言区见！

📢 Powell will appear tonight, but won't discuss the economy? The real big signal is quietly being released!

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend an event at Stanford University, but due to the quiet period, he will not discuss any economic or monetary policy. On the surface, it's calm, but the market is ignited—next week's probability of a 25bps rate cut has soared to nearly 90%🔥

What really makes the market nervous is the upcoming dot plot that will determine the future path. Especially the interest rate expectations for 2026, which could completely sway the direction of risk assets.

🌪 Why does the quiet period make the market more nervous?
1️⃣ The less said, the bigger the move. Key policy shifts often accompany the quiet period.
2️⃣ Rate cut expectations have piled up to the ceiling; once the dot plot leans hawkish, the market may “hit the brakes” at any moment.
3️⃣ The Federal Reserve has just paused balance sheet reduction, and the direction of liquidity is quietly changing, which is itself a strong signal of a policy turning point.

📈 Conclusion: This is not silence; it is the calm of the storm's eye.
Smart money has already positioned itself in advance, and the real volatility may erupt concentrically next week. The next trading opportunity is hidden in the dot plot.

#美联储
#降息预期
#鲍威尔
#点阵图
#市场波动

#plasma $XPL
As the December Federal Reserve meeting approaches, Powell's last FOMC is also imminent. What the current officials say is no longer important. U.S. President Trump has already faced several setbacks, and the incoming chairman and officials will take orders from Trump. Trump's ultimate goal is to lower interest rates, so it is expected that the bottom of the cryptocurrency market has been reached. Currently, cryptocurrencies like Circle and other related stocks have also risen, continuing to hold positions and wait for the market to ferment. $BNB #降息预期

The overall market sentiment continues to be strong. $BTC broke through 92,500 and has maintained a high-level oscillation, entering a turnover period after the breakout. It is important to focus on whether the interest rate cut expectations are truly realized. If macroeconomic benefits materialize, the spot market still has segmented accumulation value; if the news falls short, volatility may further amplify, so leverage must be reduced in the breakout market.

$ETH has stabilized at 3000 and is attempting a second assault on the 3100 resistance level. It can be observed whether there is a breakthrough with increased volume; if the volume is insufficient, it may still retrace to the 2800—2900 range.

$BNB pay attention to whether it can stabilize at 900 USD. The ecosystem is still viewed positively in the long term, but short-term capital rotation is quick. It is recommended to prioritize a spot trading approach.

After significant fluctuations in mainstream coins, some funds may flow back to the more elastic Sol network meme track, Dogecoin, and Co nan. Early small position layouts remain a good strategy.

#BTC #BNB

#降息预期 #主流币行情 #ETH

Local time on Tuesday, the latest released data on U.S. retail sales for September and the producer price index for September indicate that U.S. consumer spending growth is slowing, core inflationary pressures on the production side have rebounded, but the intensity is not as expected. On the same day, a report from Automatic Data Processing Inc. showed that the U.S. private sector has cut an average of 13,500 jobs per week over the past four weeks, with the pace of layoffs significantly increasing.

A series of data corroborates the recent judgments of several Federal Reserve officials who support interest rate cuts, indicating that the momentum of U.S. economic growth is weakening, inflation is moderately rebounding, and the risks in the job market are increasing. On that day, reports about White House National Economic Council Director Hassett leading the race among candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair boosted market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, and the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively rose on Tuesday. By the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.43%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.91%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.67%.

#降息预期 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

The market is fluctuating at a high level, $BTC repeatedly testing around the 91,500 range, as market sentiment awaits further confirmation of interest rate cuts. Once macroeconomic benefits are confirmed, there is still hope for a new round of incremental capital in the spot market, and phased accumulation remains a prudent strategy.

$ETH stabilizes at the 3,000 level, with short-term cycles focusing on a 3,100 resistance level and a 2,800 support level range. Pay attention to whether the capital activity on the mainnet continues to increase.

$BNB stands firm near 890 dollars, with the platform ecosystem continuing to expand. The medium to long-term logic remains strong, and continuous investments in spot still offer value for money.

During the turbulence of mainstream cryptocurrencies, market funds often seek high Beta sectors, and the meme narrative of the SOL network, Trump Dogecoin Co nan! has once again become a potential breakthrough point. History has proven that when the volatility of mainstream cryptocurrencies slows down, memes are often more likely to develop independent markets, and early positioning can often seize the next wave of opportunities.

#BTC #ETH #bnb #降息预期 #MEME

It all depends on the power of persuasion! Powell's ally Williams has made a series of dovish statements, leading to a sharp decline in the market regarding December #降息预期 📉
Just a week ago, the low was only 29%, but now it has directly rebounded to 82.9% 🔥

Everyone agrees that this is #鲍威尔 testing the waters in the market 👀
This week's economic data is also aligning in this direction.

At the same time, a JPMorgan survey shows that investors' net long positions in U.S. Treasuries have risen to nearly a 15-year high 💹
With high yields, if the Federal Reserve does not actively intervene to lower interest rates, arbitrage pressure could impact the entire system ⚠️

In other words, the Federal Reserve now has almost no way out.

The data for first-time unemployment claims in the U.S. was better than expected, significantly increasing market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.

Last night, the actual value of first-time unemployment claims in the U.S. was announced at 216,000 per person, better than the predicted value of 222,000 per person. As a result, expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve have increased, leading to a general rise in U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies; gold and the U.S. dollar index, on the other hand, faced downward pressure.

According to the latest data from the CME FedWatch tool, the market's implied probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at the December meeting has risen to 84.7%, reflecting a significant increase in market expectations.

Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market closed higher across the board this morning. As of the stock market closing, the Dow Jones rose by 0.67%; the Nasdaq rose by 0.82%; the S&P 500 rose by 0.67%;

In the hour or two after the data was announced, while gold saw a slight increase, it ultimately closed down by 0.36% to $4,148 per ounce;

Moreover, yesterday the U.S. dollar index (DXY) also fell as expected, experiencing a slight decline of 0.14%, falling below 100.

Since the DXY is an inverse indicator for Bitcoin, the decline in the DXY price due to this data has also provided upward momentum for the cryptocurrency market.

According to TradingView market data, since the announcement of first-time unemployment claims in the U.S. last night, along with the DXY falling as expected, Bitcoin's price has surged, currently up over 5.5% to around $91,800;

In summary, the better-than-expected announcement of U.S. unemployment claims last night not only raised market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve but also drove a broad increase in U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies.

At the same time, the declines in gold and the U.S. dollar index have provided upward momentum for the cryptocurrency market, and the simultaneous rise in Bitcoin's price reflects the market's positive attitude towards cryptocurrencies.

However, investors still need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's final decision and changes in the global economic environment to make more informed investment decisions.

#失业金数据 #降息预期

The Federal Reserve Chairman drops bombshells during the finals! Trump's confidant Hassett declares: If I take charge of the Federal Reserve, I will cut interest rates by 50 basis points #降息预期

The Federal Reserve's rate cut, just one step away?

Market expectations for a rate cut in December have soared to 80%, only to fall back to 67%. Behind this fluctuation is Powell being surrounded by voices from allies and opponents.

Since the rate cut cycle began last September, the scale of U.S. debt has approached the debt ceiling. The core issue is 'dare to or not.'

Currently, U.S. debt yields remain high; if the Federal Reserve does not actively lower rates through QE, arbitrage trading may collapse the entire system.

Externally: If the Bank of East Asia locks in capital outflows, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve could trigger uncontrollable capital flight.

As a result, a rate cut in December is inevitable. This is based on the reality that the Federal Reserve has no way out. Although internal divisions have reached the highest level during Powell's tenure, the Federal Reserve's expectation management has always been superficial; rate cuts and QE are already on the horizon.

The trends in U.S. debt rates and changes in foreign exchange swap points reveal the truth far more than official statements. Follow me, and I will take you to witness the significant turn in monetary policy.

#降息预期 #美联储降息周期

$ZEC 币安直播间探讨降息预期 Explosive! The Federal Reserve is divided internally, and the rate cut in December is completely uncertain. The 5 hawkish voting members have strongly flipped their stance. Will the cryptocurrency and foreign exchange markets face a huge shock? #美联储重启降息步伐

Friends, urgent warning‼️ Only half a month left until the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December, the market has plunged into a crazy 'vote counting mode.' Of the 12 core voting members, 5 have firmly stated they will not cut rates. The originally certain expectation of a rate cut has been directly halved to below 30%. Whether you are trading cryptocurrencies or working in foreign exchange, be cautious of this wave of uncertainty⚠️#降息预期

In the past, just one word from Powell could determine the market direction. Now, Chairman Powell has suddenly gone silent and 'invisible.' The FOMC voting members have completely become the market's barometer! The hawks are banding together, and 5 have clearly opposed a rate cut, worried about recurring inflation and unwilling to ease up; the doves are wavering and softening, with the original expectation of a rate cut shifting from 'settled' to 'chilly.' Then, one word from the New York Fed President pulls it back into suspense, and the market swings violently between soaring and plummeting every day, with the dollar, gold, U.S. stocks, and cryptocurrencies all being harvested back and forth📉📈#鲍威尔讲话

Even more terrifying is that the internal division of the Federal Reserve has reached a peak not seen in nearly a decade! Since June, meetings have been full of divergent votes, with dissent erupting continuously. The December 10 decision has turned into a fifty-fifty 'coin toss.' The remaining 7 voting members without a clear stance could trigger huge market shocks with every word they say. In the next period, whether it’s cryptocurrency price fluctuations or exchange rate trends, the volatility will only intensify. High risk and high opportunity coexist, but the margin for error is extremely low💥#美联储何时降息？ $BANANAS31

Currently, the market is all about speed and risk control! Low spreads and quick execution are necessary to seize fleeting opportunities in policy shifts. A multi-asset layout is needed to hedge against volatility risks. After all, every time a voting member speaks, it could rewrite the market landscape, and blind operations are very likely to get trapped!

Do you think the Federal Reserve will finally cut rates in December? Are your positions prepared to cope with the volatility? Let's discuss your judgments in the comments👇#美国非农数据超预期 $TNSR

Barclays: Whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December largely depends on Powell's vote

Regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December, the market's focus has shifted from 'whether to cut rates' to 'how to achieve a rate cut.' Barclays' latest interpretation suggests that despite clear divisions within the Federal Reserve, Chairman Powell is likely to be a key force in pushing for a rate cut.

From the current distribution of FOMC voting members' positions, a subtle balance has formed. According to Barclays' interpretation of recent statements from various members, without considering Powell's position, there may already be 6 members of the FOMC inclined to maintain rates, while 5 are inclined to cut rates, creating significant uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December.

Despite the divisions, Barclays believes that Powell, as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, will play a dominant role in the final interest rate decision. This is because the threshold for publicly opposing the Chairman's position is relatively high for other board members. This means that if Powell leans towards a rate cut, he is likely to have the ability to guide the FOMC to ultimately reach a decision to cut rates.

This assessment contrasts with predictions from other Wall Street institutions, such as Goldman Sachs, which still sees a possibility of a rate cut in December; while JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley no longer expect the Federal Reserve to take action to cut rates in December.

It is noteworthy that decisions are also influenced by other factors. Board member Lisa Cook, as a potential key figure influencing the voting outcome, is facing political pressure from Trump, who has been attempting to have her removed, adding uncertainty to her voting stance.

At the same time, recent statements from some Federal Reserve officials also reflect cautious sentiment within, such as Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressing feeling 'uneasy' about a further rate cut in December, while Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack explicitly opposes continuing to cut rates.

Importantly, according to the latest data from the CME FedWatch monitoring tool, the market's probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at the December meeting has significantly increased from last week's 32.8% to 69.4%, indicating that market expectations for a rate cut are rising sharply.

In summary, the Federal Reserve's December meeting will test Powell's leadership and political wisdom. If he is determined to push for a rate cut, his influence and authority may be sufficient to break the deadlock; conversely, rates will not continue to be cut in December.

#美联储 #降息预期