美联储何时降息？

日本12月加息基本确定，而美联储降息也几乎板上钉钉！这意味着市场会先来一波上下拉锯战，然后才慢慢回归平稳。#美联储何时降息？
你准备好接招了吗？#日本加息

Is the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December almost a foregone conclusion? The latest data shows that the probability of a rate cut has soared to 87.6%, with the market generally expecting a reduction of 25 basis points at the monetary policy meeting on December 9-10. The main reason is the weak job market—September's unemployment rate rose to 4.44%, increasing for three consecutive months, and several dovish officials have been vocal in supporting a rate cut. #美联储重启降息步伐

The easing of inflationary pressures has also provided room for a rate cut, with the core inflation in November at #cpi year-on-year rising by 3.3%, getting closer to the 2% target. Market expectations have experienced a dramatic reversal, with the probability of a rate cut in mid-November briefly falling below 50%, but now it has returned to a high level. If the rate cut materializes, the federal funds rate will drop to 3.50%-3.75%, and there may be two more cuts in 2026, but hawkish officials still have doubts, and everything will depend on future data performance. #美联储何时降息？

Kevin O'Leary is going against the grain this time. While others are betting on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, he directly said: I don't believe it! Furthermore, even if there is a rate cut, the impact on Bitcoin prices would be minimal, at most fluctuating by 5% around the current price. #美联储重启降息步伐

But the market doesn't think so — data from #cme gives an 89% probability of a rate cut, and the rising sentiment has also driven #BTC up from 83,000 to above 93,000, currently stuck between the support of 90,000 and the resistance of 92,500. Traders say that if it can break through 92,500, then 94,000 to 95,000 is likely to come. #美联储何时降息？

The reason O'Leary doesn't see a rate cut is that he believes inflation is still stubbornly high, with the U.S. #cpi continuing to rise, and the Federal Reserve is hesitant to make moves. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve has quietly injected $13 billion in liquidity into the short-term financing market, which has also stirred the crypto market.

Now the market is focused on: this week's liquidity + the Federal Reserve's attitude. If it breaks 92,500, then the bulls will jump in; if it falls below 90,000, it will have to go back and consolidate.

$ETH $SOL $BTC
🔥【Midnight Global Market Explosion!】After waking up, how is your account? The suspense of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut rises again, gold prices, stock prices, and cryptocurrency prices are all "surging"! What exactly happened that changed the market overnight?👇

📈 U.S. stocks collectively surged, with energy and finance leading the way
The Dow Jones soared by 408 points, with the S&P and Nasdaq rising in tandem📊; however, Chinese concept stocks fell against the trend, with NIO and XPeng dropping over 4%, and Alibaba and Baidu following suit, while the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index fell by 1.38%📉

📉 Employment data "shocked", rate cut expectations soared to 89%!
U.S. private sector employment unexpectedly shrank in November, and market expectations shifted instantly❗The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December soared to nearly 90%, causing U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar to fall, with gold prices rising in tandem🆙

🛢️ Geopolitical turmoil resurfaces, oil prices open high and rise
A sudden explosion occurred in the Russia-Ukraine oil pipeline⚡, combined with the impact of energy sanctions, international oil prices surged strongly, and volatility in the energy market intensified🔥

💎 In summary: Weak employment ignites hopes for rate cuts, with U.S. stocks and gold rising together; geopolitical conflicts combined with supply risks lead to an explosive start for oil prices! The market is now closely watching the Federal Reserve's decision next week🎯

💬 What do you think? Is the Federal Reserve really going to change direction? Will gold and energy continue to surge? Come to the comments section to share your views and discuss the next steps for the market!👇
#美联储何时降息？ #加密市场观察

On December 4th, the US dollar remained weak after hitting a five-week low last week, mainly influenced by US data and news regarding Federal Reserve personnel, increasing expectations for interest rate cuts ahead of next week's rate decision. #美联储何时降息？

The ADP private sector employment report released on Wednesday was unexpectedly weak, while ISM services data showed easing price pressures, boosting market confidence in interest rate cuts.

Additionally, Trump's suggestion that he might nominate Hassett to succeed the Federal Reserve Chair adds further uncertainty to the interest rate outlook. LSEG data indicates that the market has priced in an 85% probability of a rate cut in December, and the dollar may continue to face pressure in the short term, with investors focusing on policy trends and the impact of economic data on the market. #美联储重启降息步伐

For many Asian emerging market currencies, a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December may be timely. Easing policies will help the Reserve Bank of India alleviate downward pressure on the rupee and provide a brief respite for currencies such as the Indonesian rupiah, South Korean won, and Philippine peso. This week, the Indian rupee fell below 90 against 1 US dollar for the first time in history; the won has already dropped over 4% this quarter. #美联储何时降息？

Experts point out that currencies with robust economies and strong growth momentum, such as the renminbi, New Taiwan dollar, and South Korean won, may perform better. However, the Indian rupee faces high tariffs and economic slowdown risks, while the Philippine peso is dragged down by the central bank's easing tendencies. Bloomberg data shows that market expectations for a 25 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve in December exceed 90%, prompting Asian currencies to begin stabilizing. Analysts believe that the renminbi is likely to strengthen, making it a good time to position for Asian currencies. In Japan, although the central bank hinted at a possible rate hike, the rapid increase in prices limits support for the yen. #美联储重启降息步伐

The possibility of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December has risen to 87%—have we officially entered a bull market phase?

#美联储何时降息？

The market now almost considers the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December as a certainty, with a probability as high as 90%. However, interestingly, the latest data shows that the economy may experience stagflation, where wages and prices pull on each other like a spiral. This has led to discussions about whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected or adjust its strategy to respond to this potential risk. #美联储何时降息？
#美联储重启降息步伐

$ZEC $GIGGLE $PIEVERSE 🔥🔥🔥🔥
🔥【Breaking】The Federal Reserve is changing leadership! Trump is directly “nominating” his choice; is the market ready for a major shock?🔥

The originally planned interview process has been abruptly canceled👋. Multiple U.S. media outlets confirm: Trump has personally selected his former economic advisor—Kevin Hassett—to replace Powell.

In simple terms, this means the future Federal Reserve may directly take orders from the president😏.

👉 What exactly happened?
The list of candidates and the interview organized by the Treasury Secretary was completely overridden by a single statement from the boss. Trump said during a meeting: “It’s been narrowed down to one person.” He even referred to Hassett as “the future chairman” in front of him. This move is very much Trump🤷♂️.

👉 Why Hassett?
Two words: loyalty. Hassett has been with Trump for many years and is a trusted confidant. It is said that Trump still regrets selecting Powell and is determined to use “his own people” this time.

👉 What does this mean for the market?

1. Crisis of independence: Can the Federal Reserve withstand political pressure and make independent decisions in the future?🤔
2. Increased expectations for rate cuts: A more “compliant” chairman may mean that rate cuts could come faster and more aggressively. The liquidity floodgates may open💸.
3. Increased volatility: The uncertainty of policy direction will definitely rise in the short term, and the stock, bond, and forex markets may become more turbulent. However, for the crypto market, the volatility and easing of the traditional world often herald opportunities🚀.

In summary: The “Powell era” of the Federal Reserve is about to end, and a more politicized and closely aligned “Hassett era” may begin. Buckle up; the macro theme for 2025 may be set from here on out. #美联储何时降息？

The major event last night was Trump mentioning that he will select the Federal Reserve Chairman early next year. When introducing the potential candidate Kevin Hassett, he stated that the potential Federal Reserve Chairman is right here.

This can be understood as his choice being set in stone.

This also dispelled rumors of Powell resigning in advance.

Currently, the predicted probability in the market has risen to 86%, and the market has begun to anticipate his appointment in advance.

Kevin is one of the most crypto-friendly potential chairpersons in history. He was once an advisor to Coinbase and a strong supporter of Trump’s interest rate cuts, and he actually holds positions.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve has officially ended the quantitative tightening policy, and it is expected that there may be three consecutive interest rate cuts, with a projected reduction of 75 basis points—quantitative easing is coming!

At the same time, Musk predicts that a $38.3 trillion "crisis" could trigger a surge in Bitcoin prices. This move has caused Bitcoin prices to soar nearly $9k, and a small bull market may be on the horizon!

#降息预期 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

A 25bp rate cut is not a pie in the sky, but a 'trap'! Now everyone is shouting about good news and that the market will soar, but the real trick may be hidden in Hasset's promotion. If he really becomes the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, that hawkish momentum could make the market 'rebound and wash'. In the short term, the currency price may bounce a couple of times with the rate cut, but long term? It could very well be a 'warm water trap' slowly cooking retail investors. #美联储重启降息步伐

What we fear most is the current 'expectation gap' — retail investors are celebrating while the main players are shorting; you are waiting to get rich while institutions are waiting for you to take the bait.

So what should retail investors do? Don't chase fast or aggressively; first, stabilize your rhythm. Keep a close eye on the 60-day moving average for Bitcoin: decisively cut losses if it drops, and only consider increasing your position if it stabilizes. There will always be market opportunities, but your position is always critical. #BTC

Remember an old saying: When others are greedy, I am cautious; when others are cautious, I get on board. There is no free win in the cryptocurrency world, only seeing things a bit clearer than others. Stay calm, and you have already outperformed half of the people. #美联储何时降息？

Delphi Digital Breaking News: The Federal Reserve's liquidity buffer has bottomed out, with reverse repo balances dropping from over 2 trillion to nearly zero! In simple terms, the Fed's "pump" is broken, and now they need to open the floodgates. Over the past two years, funding has tightened, leaving the crypto market gasping for breath, but marginal liquidity has turned positive for the first time this year, which means funds are starting to flow into high-risk assets, and the crypto "resistance wall" may be breached!
#美联储何时降息？

This is not just a policy adjustment; it is also a golden signal for the crypto market. Historical experience tells us that such liquidity releases often trigger explosive market movements. Retail investors should not be afraid or recklessly invest all at once; phased investments and closely monitoring trends are the key strategies. Opportunities always arise when the majority hesitates, and now is a crucial moment for observation and action. #BTC

$PIPPIN The emptiness is all done, this time the direction is boldly empty 💥💥💥
PIPPIN has currently emerged from the oscillating downtrend, but the fact that it can still quickly recover from downward spikes indicates that there is still capital flowing in for buying.

At high positions, it is very likely that the dealer's chips have been fully exchanged. This coin is still a bit tricky, but currently, Sister Yue does not recommend everyone to go long. Although there is a possibility of a surge during the selling phase, the current trend is primarily to short on rebounds at high positions.

Do not chase the rise or kill the fall; Sister Yue will also arrange short positions at the right time. If you want to keep up, you can come to the chat room for first-hand entry information 😘
#美联储何时降息？ #美联储重启降息步伐 $BNB $SOL

Let's talk about next week's Federal Reserve meeting and what the market is concerned about.

To put it simply, a 25 basis point rate cut in December is now almost a consensus expectation in the market. But the trouble lies not in this meeting, but in next year: how much to cut and why to cut, these two opposing voices are arguing fiercely.

The market is pulling between two scenarios:

· Dovish scenario (worried about employment): believes that the Federal Reserve is more afraid of a sudden spike in the unemployment rate (especially since AI may have already begun to impact college graduate employment), so it would cut rates to “support” even if inflation is temporarily high. This is potentially positive for market liquidity.
· Hawkish scenario (worried about inflation): believes the economy is still strong, and inflation is stubborn, so the room for rate cuts is actually limited. Some officials have clearly opposed, arguing that rate cuts won't solve the employment issues brought about by “technology and demographic structure.”

The impact path on the cryptocurrency market:

1. Short term (next week): the focus is not on “whether to cut rates,” but on Powell's remarks after the meeting. If he hints at “we are almost there,” the market may feel disappointed; if he emphasizes “watch the data, especially employment,” the dovish narrative will prevail, which is positive for sentiment.
2. Medium term (next year): the real contest lies in the data. Every employment and inflation data release will cause these two forces to ebb and flow, and market volatility is inevitable. If the narrative of “worried about employment” is continuously validated, expectations for liquidity easing will be stronger.

In terms of operations, one can pay attention to:

· After next week's meeting, if the market falls due to “hawkish statements,” don’t rush to panic sell; clarify whether it’s short-term sentiment or a trend change.
· In the first half of next year, the details of employment data (especially for highly educated individuals) may influence the Federal Reserve's real thoughts more than inflation data.
· During this period of expectation confusion, being flexible in positions is more important than directional judgment.

In summary, what the market is buying now is not “rate cuts,” but “what the Federal Reserve is worried about.” Concern about employment is not necessarily a bad thing for us.

(Source: Financial Times of the UK and analysis from several institutions, for reference only) #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

Although the interest rate cut in December is not a done deal

Wall Street traders are still betting on the interest rate cut in December

You can tell by the current market situation. We started going long on Ethereum from 2800 and successfully made a profit of 400 points, which means if you bought 100 Ethereum, you would earn 40,000 USD. Such a fantastic order, don't you want it?

Earning 40,000 USD on a single trade doesn't seem like much, but if converted to RMB, it's 280,000, equivalent to an ordinary person's annual salary.

The next fantastic order is being set up, only taking on board those who truly want to turn things around.

#美联储何时降息？ #币安区块链周

Goldman's latest report is quite information-heavy.

First, the consensus: a rate cut in December is basically a foregone conclusion. But the real key to the report is its outlook for next year—Goldman believes that due to the potential acceleration of economic growth, the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will clearly slow down in the first half of the year (for example, no action in January, followed by moves in March and June).

However, there is a noteworthy signal hidden within: the employment data for American college students is showing a clear weakening. The unemployment rate for graduates over the age of 25 has risen by about 50% compared to the end of 2022, and the situation is even more pronounced for younger graduates. Goldman suggests that this might be a real impact on the job market due to the replacement by technologies such as AI. If this trend continues, it could not only affect overall consumption but could also force the Federal Reserve to cut rates more aggressively than expected.

For the market, there are two narratives pulling in different directions:

· On one side is the narrative of "the economy is doing well, slowly cut rates,"
· On the other side is the narrative of "structural employment issues emerging, forcing greater easing."

If the latter gradually becomes the main storyline, the liquidity environment may be more accommodative than what the current market expects.

Points worth observing:

1. Short-term sentiment may be suppressed by expectations of "slowing rate cuts," especially if subsequent economic data turns out to be stronger.
2. However, the medium-term factor that truly impacts the market may be "why cut rates"—if it is due to hidden structural issues necessitating easing, it may not be a bad thing for assets like cryptocurrencies.
3. It is recommended not to focus solely on the number of rate cuts, but to pay attention to the underlying economic data, especially the changes in employment details.

In summary, the main storyline for the macro environment next year may not be inflation, but employment.

(Source: Goldman Sachs Global Economic Outlook Report, for reference only, not constituting investment advice) #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

$BOB Short it now!!!

For scams like this, the initial surge has already reached 160%, and the final result will still fall back to the levels before the rise; it's just a matter of time. Do not have any illusions about these scams!! They will immediately drop down.

Mindless shorting!! You will come to thank me.

Stop loss and take profit have already been provided, come to the chat room to claim it 😍😍
#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储何时降息？

$BNB $ASTER $客服小何
🔥🔥Christmas🎄is coming soon, what ideas do you have, friends?
🔥🔥Have the adjustments been made? Is there still time to layout? What targets are worth paying attention to? What do you think about the market in 2026?
🔥🔥Will there be a big surprise at the end of the year? Let's chat in the live stream👇👇👇
#meme板块关注热点
#美联储何时降息？
#PEPE‏
#加密市场观察

Here comes the evening contract real-time order.
$BOB has already started to show a downward trend.
Funds have begun to flee in large amounts.
The daily double top is slowly declining to unload.
Still the same saying, we should operate in accordance with the trend.
So I let the fans enter a wave of short positions.

Take profit wait for Sister Yue to notify, for stop loss refer to the position screenshot
#ETH走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $BNB

Last night, three major incidents occurred in the United States, while retail investors were still asleep! #ADP Employment data plummeted by -32,000, and the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut slightly decreased, triggering economic warnings; if Trump returns to power, he may even replace the Federal Reserve chairman, leading to a major shift in fiscal policy, and expectations of liquidity increasing, where will the funds go?

At the same time, #SEC the chairman stated that the cryptocurrency bill will soon pass, Polymarket is returning to the US, and #solana spot #etf is quietly launching. All of this is not a coincidence, but is paving the way for the cryptocurrency market. On the surface, the economy is weak, but in reality, policies, funds, and legitimacy are all hitting together! Retail investors should not panic by staring at K-lines, the focus is on positioning: look for assets with compliance prospects and spot ETF potential, patiently wait for the wind to come; making rash moves is not as good as planning early. #美联储何时降息？