ZenMusk真歌-蓝鸟会

[Today’s Observation] Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH): New Value High or 16 $B $ETHTC

Now this knockoff coin is too hard to play—it's too volatile. If it moves to double, it's gone; with 2x leverage, it's wiped out immediately. How can you possibly win?
:44$VEL

Published 2026/8/14 15:58:58

How many hundreds or thousands of U do you have in your account right now? Don’t think you can change your life with just one trade. Real small money grows slowly, not by gambling. I have a follower who started with only 1500U trading crypto. In the past, he used to go all-in, chasing bullish moves, covering bearish ones—yet he ended up with less and less. Later, I taught him three rules. After 4 months, he reached 45,000U. The key is these three points: First, always keep some dry powder. Split your money into parts: a short-term position, a trend position, and a reserve position—do different things with each. When the market changes, you won’t be afraid of losing everything. Second, wait only for good opportunities. When the market is chaotic, don’t trade. If you don’t understand the trend, don’t buy blindly. People who make money are the ones who wait for it. Third, don’t trade with emotions. If you lose, don’t rush to make it back; if you win, don’t think you can capture all the profit. Stop when you should.

#新手必看
#热门话题

The old narrative has really surged a lot. Yesterday that sham dog hit another new high—CZ is so厉害, up more than 2,000x! The Binance life for this coin is only $4 now. The US July PPI didn’t change, and CPI also came out.

#美国7月PPI持平
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 $BNB

7:10 AKE is currently in an uptrend. I already told you all yesterday that in this situation, don’t short. AKE has been consolidating at the bottom for quite a while. This time, the breakout is definitely going to hit a new high. If you previously shorted and got stuck in a loss, don’t easily add to the position. When the volatility is this high, if it drops 10–20%, you can feel free to buy long positions. Doubling your money isn’t an issue. AKE’s latest thinking is already being shared in Niujiabao as well.

#AKE
#大的要来了 $AK

The company is called Tapestry, and both Coach and Kate Spade are brands under its umbrella. They’ve just released their earnings report: Q4 revenue was $1.88 billion, up 9% year over year. This figure matches market expectations; earnings per share were $1.32, slightly higher than expected, and the dividend also increased by 16%. Overall, the results are quite solid and there doesn’t seem to be any real issue.

However, their performance guidance for the coming year is $8.4–$8.5 billion, which is a bit below Wall Street’s expected $8.47 billion—a gap of $20 million. Although the difference isn’t large, the market isn’t buying it, and the stock price immediately fell 15%. Why is that? Mainly because ahead of the earnings report being released,

#tapestry财报后股价跌近15 $BTC $BNB

Now this counterfeit coin is too volatile. It changes every day. They even use 2x leverage. If you’re not careful, you can lose everything. How do you even play this game? Can anyone tell me how I can win? Counterfeit coin Volatile too much
$VELVET $BNB

After ten years of trading, the deepest lesson I’ve learned is this: the market is always full of uncertainty, and all we can do is learn to live with it.

When I was younger, I wanted to capture every fluctuation, thinking technical analysis could predict everything. Later I realized that behind the candlesticks is human nature—and human nature can’t be quantified. In the ETH rally from 1500 to 3000, I closed my position at 2000. Not because I couldn’t read the direction, but because I couldn’t bear the anxiety caused by drawdowns. Real profits belong to people who can sit tight.

Stop-loss is the second lesson. Many people treat stop-loss as a loss, but in truth it’s a cost. I set rules for myself: before entering each trade, I decide my stop-loss. Once it’s hit, I cut—no hesitation, no reluctance. There was one time with an ETH false breakout; if it weren’t for disciplined stop-loss, I might have liquidated twice already. The market won’t turn back just because you refuse to accept it.

The third lesson is position management. Going all-in is the biggest enemy of beginners. Now my position per trade is no more than 20% of my total capital. Even if my judgment is wrong, I still have a chance to make it back. Staying alive is more important than winning—this is the most expensive lesson ten years of trading has taught me.

Trading isn’t about beating the market; it’s about defeating yourself. #交易 $ETH

After ten years of trading, the biggest takeaway isn’t catching opportunities with huge multiples—it’s learning to cut your losses decisively when you’re wrong.

Many people hold on to positions stubbornly because they can’t accept the loss. But the market won’t feel sorry for you just because you’re losing—it will keep moving at its own pace. Holding on through a bad trade might save you 5% in loss, but it could also wipe out your entire principal.

This recent ETH setup is the best example. After breaking above the previous high, it pulled back—seemingly a short opportunity, but in reality, it was the main force washing the market. If you didn’t set a stop loss in advance, you could easily get swept out near the lowest point, then watch helplessly as the price climbs all the way.

My current principle is simple: set a stop loss before entering. When it hits, cut the position—no hesitation, no excuses. After cutting, then look for the next opportunity. The market is never short of chances; what it lacks is your capital.

Trading isn’t gambling—it’s a probability game. Staying in the game is more important than winning.

#交易所关闭 $ETH

After trading for so many years, I’ve come to believe in one truth more and more: living longer matters far more than making money faster.

The market is never short of opportunities—what it lacks is principal. A single liquidation can cause you to miss an entire year of market action, while strict stop-losses only cost you a little profit.

Recently, ETH’s price action left a strong impression on me—the pullback after breaking above the previous high looked like a chance to short, but in reality it was the main players shaking out positions. If you didn’t set a stop-loss in advance, you could easily get swept out at the lowest point, then watch as price climbs all the way.

The core of trading isn’t prediction—it’s response. Add to your position when the market matches your expectations; cut your loss when it doesn’t. Never fight the trend.

Remember: a stop-loss isn’t admitting defeat—it’s giving yourself a chance to start over. In the crypto market, having life is what makes hope possible.

#交易 $ETH

After grinding it out in the crypto market for years, the biggest lesson is this—controlling your position size is more important than predicting the direction.

Many people are obsessed with “buying the dip and selling the top,” but in reality, no one can time the market with consistently precise accuracy. Traders who achieve stable profitability are often the ones who strictly execute stop-losses and allocate their position sizes reasonably.

For ETH, from a technical perspective, a 4-hour MACD golden cross combined with an increase in trading volume is a signal worth paying attention to. But every trade must have a stop-loss—never go all-in.

Trading isn’t gambling; it’s a game of probabilities. Surviving matters more than winning.

#交易 $ETH

Oh, I just saw the news: Zhu Rongji has passed away, at age 98. Xinhua said he died of illness in Beijing. He used to serve as Premier, and was also a Standing Committee member of the 14th and 15th Political Bureau. He said he was a Communist Party member, a fighter for the proletariat, and a politician who served the country and the people—and he was also incorruptible and upright. That’s quite a high evaluation. A senior leader who worked for the country is gone. Zhu Rongji passed away
$BNB

Korean stocks today are soaring particularly wildly, with the KOSPI index nearly up 5%, currently around 6,664 points. Semiconductor stocks like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are surging especially hard: Samsung is up more than 7.7%, and SK Hynix is up more than 7.8%. This is mainly because AI chip stocks surged too much yesterday—CoreWeave’s earnings report came out and the stock jumped 14%, and that momentum carried over to Korea’s semiconductor stocks. The rally was so intense that it directly triggered the exchange’s “sidecar” mechanism. At around 11:58 this morning, when the KOSPI 200 futures index was up 5.13%, the Korea Exchange immediately halted automated buying for 5 minutes to cool the market down—buying had gotten too frantic,

#韩股kospi涨近5 $SAMSUNG $TUT $SNDKB $BNB

BTC dipped to around 63,200 yesterday, but today it surged again to around 64,100, up by roughly 1%. But look at others: in the past 24 hours, DOGE is up nearly 3%, BNB is up 2% to 614, ETH is above 1,900, and SOL and LINK are also up. So BTC isn’t the worst performer—it’s just the one that’s moving the slowest. This isn’t the first time either. Last week, a Bitcoin mining company signed a $9.1 billion deal with AI and jumped 25%, while BTC didn’t move at all. The situation in the Strait of Hormuz eased, and BTC still didn’t move. When oil prices rose, BTC actually fell. It’s even more obvious today: other coins are rising pretty smoothly, while BTC is dragging its feet. What is the market doing? I think money is flowing into other directions,
$BNB

The U.S. has just released July’s CPI data, and here’s what came out: CPI year-over-year is 3.4%, exactly in line with what everyone expected—same as the 3.4% forecast, and slightly lower than the previous 3.5%. CPI month-over-month is 0.1%, also matching expectations. Core CPI month-over-month is 0.2%, and year-over-year is 2.5%; both are also in line with expectations. Overall, this data is pretty much what everyone expected, with nothing particularly surprising. My view is simple: the data itself is neither significantly above expectations nor significantly below them. Overall it’s neutral, leaning slightly dovish. Inflation on a year-over-year basis is continuing to ease gradually.

#美国7月cpi与ppi数据本周出炉
#CPI数据 $BTC $XAUT $BNB

The U.S. stocks have gone up—now people are looking at the two data releases scheduled for this week. One is the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the other is the Producer Price Index (PPI). These two reports are quite important; they can affect rate expectations and the stock market. Right now, the market seems quite torn. On the one hand, the economy looks fine—jobs are doing well and corporate earnings are also strong. But on the other hand, prices are still pretty high, and the Federal Reserve’s policy is hard to read. The key is inflation: if it cools down, everyone can relax; but if prices start rising again, rates may have to stay higher for longer. Recently, U.S. stocks have been rallying strongly—technology stocks especially have been performing exceptionally well. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, for example, have all hit new highs. But after the frenzy, it’s time to see what these two reports say. We’ll know more by Wednesday. U.S. stocks Economic data Inflation
$BNB

How come encryption projects die? There’s a stats provider called RootData. Since 2026, more than 120 crypto projects have died. I previously had something like an “airdrop cemetery,” and I dug it out, updated it, and put up a 《2026 Deceased Crypto Projects Directory》. Take a look—there are quite a few projects that were popular back then. Many of them I’ve been involved with; I burned Gas on ETH, stored funds there, bought NFTs; and some of them were apps and infrastructure, which I think were still pretty useful. If we’re talking about the common traits of these projects when they die, it probably isn’t that they suddenly “die.” In many cases, they first stop getting new users, then liquidity dries up, and the developers leave; the community shifts from discussing the product to only asking about coin prices,

#BSC
#Polygon $NVDAB

Won again. I can’t not gamble. That technician in number 39—no one booked him. His mother is sick, his father is a gambler, and his sister is still in school. Brothers who didn’t get the money, chat in the comments. We’ll go live at 8:00 PM on the dot—come to my livestream. If it doesn’t make money, say whatever you want.

#SNDK $BNB