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Lab4crypto

On-chain & quant metrics, insights, risk management, education. ๐Ÿ“Š. Twitter: @Lab4crypto_
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I fed the last 3 cycles of Bitcoin price data into the RANSAC algorithm to find the mathematical bottom floor. BTC dropping below $54.8K is very unlikely, and for 4-year cycle people, the Bitcoin floor on October 6th, 2026, is expected at $68K, so plan in case you are wrong.
I fed the last 3 cycles of Bitcoin price data into the RANSAC algorithm to find the mathematical bottom floor. BTC dropping below $54.8K is very unlikely, and for 4-year cycle people, the Bitcoin floor on October 6th, 2026, is expected at $68K, so plan in case you are wrong.
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Bitcoin wallets holding 100โ€“1K BTC have started accumulating again after a brief slowdown. This group has been key in absorbing the OG whales selling pressure all year. Their return is a positive sign.
Bitcoin wallets holding 100โ€“1K BTC have started accumulating again after a brief slowdown.
This group has been key in absorbing the OG whales selling pressure all year.

Their return is a positive sign.
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Bitcoin is just getting started
Bitcoin is just getting started
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Bitcoin's risk-reward ratio is currently better than Ethereum's. Just saying
Bitcoin's risk-reward ratio is currently better than Ethereum's. Just saying
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Ethereum Risk is neutral. It's allowed to run to new all-time highs
Ethereum Risk is neutral. It's allowed to run to new all-time highs
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๐Ÿšจ Friendly reminder Cycle tops form during euphoria, when retail FOMO peaks, leverage is excessive, and speculative borrowing runs rampant. Weโ€™re not there yet.
๐Ÿšจ Friendly reminder

Cycle tops form during euphoria, when retail FOMO peaks, leverage is excessive, and speculative borrowing runs rampant.

Weโ€™re not there yet.
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Crypto Market Update
Crypto Market Update
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Powell: โŒ No September cut commitment ๐Ÿ’ช Labor market still โ€œvery goodโ€ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Tariffs = one-time inflation hit Fed tone = patient, not pivoting (yet). Next move depends on CPI & jobs data.
Powell:
โŒ No September cut commitment
๐Ÿ’ช Labor market still โ€œvery goodโ€
๐Ÿ“ˆ Tariffs = one-time inflation hit
Fed tone = patient, not pivoting (yet).
Next move depends on CPI & jobs data.
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๐Ÿšจ Platform Update โ€“ New Dashboard Live! ๐Ÿšจ Weโ€™ve completely redesigned the home dashboard to make your experience faster, clearer, and more powerful: โœ… Streamlined Risk Management โ€“ manage portfolio risk with ease โœ… Quick Market Sentiment โ€“ check the pulse of the market in seconds โœ… Key Stats at a Glance โ€“ instantly see vital data for your coins of interest โœ… New Bar Plots โ€“ clearer, more intuitive visualizations for selected metrics Log in now and explore the new tools to stay ahead of the market
๐Ÿšจ Platform Update โ€“ New Dashboard Live! ๐Ÿšจ

Weโ€™ve completely redesigned the home dashboard to make your experience faster, clearer, and more powerful:

โœ… Streamlined Risk Management โ€“ manage portfolio risk with ease
โœ… Quick Market Sentiment โ€“ check the pulse of the market in seconds
โœ… Key Stats at a Glance โ€“ instantly see vital data for your coins of interest
โœ… New Bar Plots โ€“ clearer, more intuitive visualizations for selected metrics

Log in now and explore the new tools to stay ahead of the market
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๐Ÿ“ˆBitcoin entered July in the green. ๐Ÿ“‰August and September are typically bad months for Bitcoin. Will this August be the same?
๐Ÿ“ˆBitcoin entered July in the green.

๐Ÿ“‰August and September are typically bad months for Bitcoin.

Will this August be the same?
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๐Ÿ“‰August and September are typically bad months for Bitcoin Will Bitcoin drop in August?
๐Ÿ“‰August and September are typically bad months for Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin drop in August?
Yes ๐Ÿ“‰
33%
No ๐Ÿ“ˆ
67%
3 votes โ€ข Voting closed
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Bitcoin is holding strong despite global uncertainty โ€” wars, monetary policy, and pending trade deals. Risk level sits at just 28.42% at $104.6K, showing thereโ€™s plenty of room to run.
Bitcoin is holding strong despite global uncertainty โ€” wars, monetary policy, and pending trade deals.
Risk level sits at just 28.42% at $104.6K, showing thereโ€™s plenty of room to run.
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๐Ÿ“ˆ Bitcoin supply in profit just hit 100%. Historically, this doesnโ€™t mean an immediate topโ€”but selling pressure increases as more holders are tempted to take profits.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Bitcoin supply in profit just hit 100%.

Historically, this doesnโ€™t mean an immediate topโ€”but selling pressure increases as more holders are tempted to take profits.
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Bitcoin is now approaching a golden crossโ€”the point where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, and surprisingly, retail is nowhere to be found.
Bitcoin is now approaching a golden crossโ€”the point where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, and surprisingly, retail is nowhere to be found.
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I warned you. Now enjoy your profits
I warned you. Now enjoy your profits
Lab4crypto
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People keep asking if my Ethereum stance has changed.

Iโ€™ve held zero ETH for 3 years. Iโ€™ll likely accumulate near $1,550 (-1 SD from its bottom regression line, red line).
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๐Ÿ“ˆBitcoin closed above its bull market support band for two consecutive weeks. ๐Ÿค”Whatโ€™s next, $104K or $84K?
๐Ÿ“ˆBitcoin closed above its bull market support band for two consecutive weeks.

๐Ÿค”Whatโ€™s next, $104K or $84K?
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๐Ÿ“‰Bitcoin is at $94.4Kโ€”but public interest is at its lowest this year. Last time interest was this low? August 25, 2024โ€”BTC was $64.5K. What happens when rates drop and liquidity returns? Think.
๐Ÿ“‰Bitcoin is at $94.4Kโ€”but public interest is at its lowest this year.

Last time interest was this low? August 25, 2024โ€”BTC was $64.5K.

What happens when rates drop and liquidity returns? Think.
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Bitcoin ROI: Peak-to-peak, this cycle tracks past ones closely. But from the bottom? We're lagging behind previous cycles. Will BTC catch up in the coming months? Drop your predictions below! ๐Ÿ‘‡
Bitcoin ROI: Peak-to-peak, this cycle tracks past ones closely. But from the bottom? We're lagging behind previous cycles.

Will BTC catch up in the coming months? Drop your predictions below! ๐Ÿ‘‡
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Bitcoin death cross hit April 7th (brown dot). Historically, in bull runs, the bottom often aligns near the death cross value, with an uptrend typically kicking off within ~2 months. #BTC
Bitcoin death cross hit April 7th (brown dot). Historically, in bull runs, the bottom often aligns near the death cross value, with an uptrend typically kicking off within ~2 months. #BTC
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Whales ๐Ÿณ are stacking sats! Since Jan 25, Bitcoin addresses with 1,000+ BTC keep climbing. #bitcoin ๐Ÿ“ˆUp and to the right
Whales ๐Ÿณ are stacking sats! Since Jan 25, Bitcoin addresses with 1,000+ BTC keep climbing. #bitcoin

๐Ÿ“ˆUp and to the right
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