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原创之星
Occasional Trader
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Yesterday’s CPI came in as I expected. After the CPI data came out, expectations shifted to a 50-basis-point rate hike in December. Honestly, I don’t think they can raise rates by 50 basis points. The previous CPI reading was 0.6. The forecast was 0.3. The actual figure came in at 0.4. It simply came in below expectations. Yesterday, Bitcoin retested the Fibonacci golden 0.618 level I’ve been talking about. As long as there isn’t a confirmed breakdown here, this is just a normal pullback within a bullish trend. Bull markets generally retest the Fibonacci 0.786 or 0.618 levels during periodic corrections. It has now pulled back to 0.618. And looking at the daily chart, this entire downward move has been a gradual decline with plenty of back-and-forth movement. Slow declines, sharp rallies. Once this correction is over, the rally is expected to be very fast. The Fibonacci 0.618 level won’t break. The correction is just about done. The rally is about to begin, just before dawn. Something big is coming. The higher-timeframe MA23 and MA62 have formed a golden cross. The bull market is back. The higher timeframes don’t lie.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Yesterday’s CPI came in as I expected.
After the CPI data came out, expectations shifted to a 50-basis-point rate hike in December.
Honestly, I don’t think they can raise rates by 50 basis points.
The previous CPI reading was 0.6.
The forecast was 0.3.
The actual figure came in at 0.4.
It simply came in below expectations.
Yesterday, Bitcoin retested the Fibonacci golden 0.618 level I’ve been talking about.
As long as there isn’t a confirmed breakdown here, this is just a normal pullback within a bullish trend.
Bull markets generally retest the Fibonacci 0.786 or 0.618 levels during periodic corrections.
It has now pulled back to 0.618.
And looking at the daily chart, this entire downward move has been a gradual decline with plenty of back-and-forth movement.
Slow declines, sharp rallies.
Once this correction is over, the rally is expected to be very fast.
The Fibonacci 0.618 level won’t break.
The correction is just about done.
The rally is about to begin, just before dawn.
Something big is coming.
The higher-timeframe MA23 and MA62 have formed a golden cross.
The bull market is back.
The higher timeframes don’t lie.$BTC
CPI is coming out again tonight Previous: 0.6 Forecast: 0.3 Half as much The chances of it meeting expectations aren't very high Hahaha Either way, inflation is definitely still high The chances of the data being favorable aren't very high But short-term data doesn't affect the long-term bullish outlook Stay steady, we can win $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
CPI is coming out again tonight
Previous: 0.6
Forecast: 0.3
Half as much
The chances of it meeting expectations aren't very high
Hahaha
Either way, inflation is definitely still high
The chances of the data being favorable aren't very high
But short-term data doesn't affect the long-term bullish outlook
Stay steady, we can win $BTC
Bitcoin’s 5-day moving average really should be going up now It won’t be stuck in limbo much longer The first leg went from 57,000 to 87,000, a 3,000-point move I expect the second leg to start around 75,000 and climb 30,000 points to near 105,000 Then it’ll consolidate That’s the script I’m too lazy to keep doing these dull daily analyses Might as well just predict the script directly The big move is coming $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin’s 5-day moving average really should be going up now
It won’t be stuck in limbo much longer
The first leg went from 57,000 to 87,000, a 3,000-point move
I expect the second leg to start around 75,000 and climb 30,000 points to near 105,000
Then it’ll consolidate
That’s the script
I’m too lazy to keep doing these dull daily analyses
Might as well just predict the script directly
The big move is coming $BTC
That familiar feeling is back Wicked wick, hahaha That familiar feeling is back Bitcoin and Ether both wicked down this morning Weekly candle closed Bitcoin wicked straight down to 75,000 It's about to reach the weekly MA23 The 0.618 Fibonacci level is around here too Support is around 72,500 to 73,000 Ether wicked down another 200 points I told everyone a long time ago Don't touch Ether; remove it from your watchlist Ether is such a beast The village chief thinks it's really fallen about as far as it can The 0.618 Fibonacci level and weekly MA23 are the bulls' last line of support Surely it can't break below this level, right? The weekly trend reversal point is also approaching It's been falling for so long It has to turn upward and liquidate the shorts, right? CZ and Binance were hacked—they have to make that money back, right? Pumping the market is the fastest way to make money The darkness before dawn$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
That familiar feeling is back
Wicked wick, hahaha
That familiar feeling is back
Bitcoin and Ether both wicked down this morning
Weekly candle closed
Bitcoin wicked straight down to 75,000
It's about to reach the weekly MA23
The 0.618 Fibonacci level is around here too
Support is around 72,500 to 73,000
Ether wicked down another 200 points
I told everyone a long time ago
Don't touch Ether; remove it from your watchlist
Ether is such a beast
The village chief thinks it's really fallen about as far as it can
The 0.618 Fibonacci level and weekly MA23 are the bulls' last line of support
Surely it can't break below this level, right?
The weekly trend reversal point is also approaching
It's been falling for so long
It has to turn upward and liquidate the shorts, right?
CZ and Binance were hacked—they have to make that money back, right?
Pumping the market is the fastest way to make money
The darkness before dawn$BTC
One of the few green coins on my watchlist Lab Arb Uni It really stands out in a sea of red $ARB {future}(ARBUSDT)
One of the few green coins on my watchlist
Lab
Arb
Uni
It really stands out in a sea of red $ARB
Everyone, everyone, everyone How are you doing? I'm not doing too well, but I'm definitely not the worst off. The Democrats are back with their 800 genders and have attacked AI technology. The market is a bloodbath. U.S. stocks have taken a beating, and Bitcoin has retested 75,000. Black Thursday is back, too. The last two days of the Wu Xu month hit everyone hard. Tomorrow we enter the Ji Hai month. I believe the market in the Ji Hai month will be kinder to everyone. After all, it's a Water month, which is good for financial conditions. Don't panic, everyone. Bitcoin is still holding at its 5-day moving average. I believe it'll find a bottom around here. Firmly bullish. Firmly long. The Democrats are attacking tech because they just want to get on board. It's not that the Democrats dislike AI; they just dislike databases. AI is the future, and that trend cannot be stopped. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Everyone, everyone, everyone
How are you doing?
I'm not doing too well,
but I'm definitely not the worst off.
The Democrats are back with their 800 genders
and have attacked AI technology.
The market is a bloodbath.
U.S. stocks have taken a beating,
and Bitcoin has retested 75,000.
Black Thursday is back, too.
The last two days of the Wu Xu month hit everyone hard.
Tomorrow we enter the Ji Hai month.
I believe the market in the Ji Hai month will be kinder to everyone.
After all, it's a Water month, which is good for financial conditions.
Don't panic, everyone.
Bitcoin is still holding at its 5-day moving average.
I believe it'll find a bottom around here.
Firmly bullish.
Firmly long.
The Democrats are attacking tech because they just want to get on board.
It's not that the Democrats dislike AI; they just dislike databases.
AI is the future, and that trend cannot be stopped. $BTC
US Senate Democratic leader The war in Iran must end Those who know, know It'd be great if it stopped If it stops, oil prices will come down Inflation will come down Then there'd be no need to raise interest rates Great, great $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
US Senate Democratic leader
The war in Iran must end
Those who know, know
It'd be great if it stopped
If it stops, oil prices will come down
Inflation will come down
Then there'd be no need to raise interest rates
Great, great $BTC
I took profits on BTC this morning after holding for a few days. Absolutely crushing it. I’ve been telling everyone for the past few days that once the midterm elections were behind us, prices would rise once all the bad news was out of the way. First, I’m optimistic about the November market. Second, all the major negative catalysts are behind us. What reason is there left for prices to fall? You bears have missed the rally again. BTC is back above 80,000 now. Looking at BTC’s daily chart at the moment, it’s not exactly the same as its daily chart on March 13, 2023, but it’s not far off. The previous bull market kicked off around here, so the bull is back, guys. Every dip is giving you a chance to get in. I’m still bullish on BTC and ETH. Just look at March 13, 2023, when it rallied tens of thousands of points. This time, BTC is expected to test 90,500. Congrats to everyone who missed out. There’s still a chance to get on board, but wait any longer and you’ll be buying at the top of another short-term correction.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
I took profits on BTC this morning after holding for a few days.
Absolutely crushing it.
I’ve been telling everyone for the past few days that once the midterm elections were behind us,
prices would rise once all the bad news was out of the way.
First, I’m optimistic about the November market.
Second, all the major negative catalysts are behind us.
What reason is there left for prices to fall?
You bears have missed the rally again.
BTC is back above 80,000 now.
Looking at BTC’s daily chart at the moment,
it’s not exactly the same as its daily chart on March 13, 2023,
but it’s not far off.
The previous bull market kicked off around here,
so the bull is back, guys.
Every dip is giving you a chance to get in.
I’m still bullish on BTC and ETH. Just look at March 13, 2023, when it rallied tens of thousands of points.
This time, BTC is expected to test 90,500.
Congrats to everyone who missed out.
There’s still a chance to get on board,
but wait any longer and you’ll be buying at the top of another short-term correction.$BTC
Trump lost both chambers He’s become a lame duck The “Emperor Trump” era is over—now he’s just old Trump Musk is trembling with fear Bitcoin plunged to around 75,000 after the results came in It has now bounced back to around 78,000 The bearish news is out of the way The correction is over A new uptrend begins$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Trump lost both chambers
He’s become a lame duck
The “Emperor Trump” era is over—now he’s just old Trump
Musk is trembling with fear
Bitcoin plunged to around 75,000 after the results came in
It has now bounced back to around 78,000
The bearish news is out of the way
The correction is over
A new uptrend begins$BTC
Trump says We did our best To be honest, even Trump himself isn’t confident he can win If Trump loses the midterm elections Who will suffer the most? The answer is Musk The Democrats have already started investigating Musk The Democrats are not as friendly toward crypto as the Republicans But it’s not a big deal Even if they lose the midterm elections, it won’t mean a new president He’ll just have less power than before The midterm election results aren’t out yet Bitcoin started hovering around 76,500 again in early trading It can’t go any lower now, and it’ll be even harder to fall once the news breaks Because the market has basically already priced in a Trump loss in the midterms Firmly bullish Firmly bullish Every piece of bad news is just trying to make you sell the coins you’re holding $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Trump says
We did our best
To be honest, even Trump himself isn’t confident he can win
If Trump loses the midterm elections
Who will suffer the most?
The answer is Musk
The Democrats have already started investigating Musk
The Democrats are not as friendly toward crypto as the Republicans
But it’s not a big deal
Even if they lose the midterm elections, it won’t mean a new president
He’ll just have less power than before
The midterm election results aren’t out yet
Bitcoin started hovering around 76,500 again in early trading
It can’t go any lower now, and it’ll be even harder to fall once the news breaks
Because the market has basically already priced in a Trump loss in the midterms
Firmly bullish
Firmly bullish
Every piece of bad news is just trying to make you sell the coins you’re holding $BTC
The U.S. midterm elections will be over today. Historically, the party in power has usually lost the midterms. So I’m not very optimistic about Trump this time. U.S. stocks fell quite a bit yesterday, and Bitcoin pulled back again along with them. The Fibonacci 0.786 support is at 76,500. If Trump loses the midterms, the market will certainly see it as bearish. The market is already pricing in expectations ahead of time. I expect prices to start rising once the news is out of the way. I’m still very optimistic about the November market. One bearish piece of news after another is now out, the bad news is behind us, there’s nowhere left to fall, so all that’s left is to go up. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
The U.S. midterm elections will be over today.
Historically, the party in power has usually lost the midterms.
So I’m not very optimistic about Trump this time.
U.S. stocks fell quite a bit yesterday,
and Bitcoin pulled back again along with them. The Fibonacci 0.786 support is at 76,500.
If Trump loses the midterms, the market will certainly see it as bearish.
The market is already pricing in expectations ahead of time.
I expect prices to start rising once the news is out of the way.
I’m still very optimistic about the November market.
One bearish piece of news after another is now out,
the bad news is behind us,
there’s nowhere left to fall,
so all that’s left is to go up. $BTC
Why is the General always the one taking the blame? Why would the FBI pay attention to this? Do they have too much time on their hands? Why did it go up a bit before the big drop? Why is that? Duan Zhengchun’s reputation Given Duan Zhengchun’s reputation, no one would suspect him if they put him forward, right? Before the FBI even said anything, everyone was already blaming the General. Whether it was staged or it really was hacked, either way, the market needs a reason to shake some of the bulls out at the bottom. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Why is the General always the one taking the blame?
Why would the FBI pay attention to this?
Do they have too much time on their hands?
Why did it go up a bit before the big drop?
Why is that?
Duan Zhengchun’s reputation
Given Duan Zhengchun’s reputation, no one would suspect him if they put him forward, right?
Before the FBI even said anything, everyone was already blaming the General.
Whether it was staged
or it really was hacked,
either way, the market needs a reason to shake some of the bulls out at the bottom. $BTC
The monthly candle closed yesterday It was pretty average Today, the weekly candle closed The weekly chart is also in a bullish pattern Based on the current indicators The weekly MACD is close to a reversal point After the weekly fast and slow lines first crossed above the zero axis, they have now returned to near the zero axis Usually, after first crossing above the zero axis, when they return near it, the market will resist crossing back below it Recently, the bearish news broke that Binance was hacked The only major news left should be Trump's midterm elections Historically, the party in power tends to lose the midterms As long as the loss isn't too bad, that's fine After the midterm election results come in on November 4 The market should start its weekly rebound Bitcoin's key Fibonacci 0.786 level is currently around 76,500 Ethereum's Fibonacci 0.618 level is at 2,150 Ethereum's weekly chart pattern is much like Bitcoin's The market has been grueling for over a month This month, it should turn upward Once all the bearish news is out, that's bullish Without any particularly significant news affecting the market It will return to its original trend The current trend is that the bull market is back$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
The monthly candle closed yesterday
It was pretty average
Today, the weekly candle closed
The weekly chart is also in a bullish pattern
Based on the current indicators
The weekly MACD is close to a reversal point
After the weekly fast and slow lines first crossed above the zero axis, they have now returned to near the zero axis
Usually, after first crossing above the zero axis, when they return near it, the market will resist crossing back below it
Recently, the bearish news broke that Binance was hacked
The only major news left should be Trump's midterm elections
Historically, the party in power tends to lose the midterms
As long as the loss isn't too bad, that's fine
After the midterm election results come in on November 4
The market should start its weekly rebound
Bitcoin's key Fibonacci 0.786 level is currently around 76,500
Ethereum's Fibonacci 0.618 level is at 2,150
Ethereum's weekly chart pattern is much like Bitcoin's
The market has been grueling for over a month
This month, it should turn upward
Once all the bearish news is out, that's bullish
Without any particularly significant news affecting the market
It will return to its original trend
The current trend is that the bull market is back$BTC
Bitcoin's monthly candle has closed It closed as a bearish candle Fortunately, the body of the monthly candle did not cover the lower wick of last month's candle I'd say this monthly close was pretty much middle of the road The monthly MA5 is also near the Fibonacci 0.786 level At the very least, the market will test the monthly MA23 again in October If the price can break through this MA23 this month, it will head toward around 90,500 If it can't break through, then at most we'll see a wide-ranging consolidation for a few months Ultimately, it will still break through Because the fast line of the monthly MACD has already reached the zero axis But the slow line hasn't yet If it can't break through, wait until the slow line reaches the zero axis before moving up At the very least, the market will be in a wide-ranging consolidation for the next few months There will still be plenty of room to trade $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin's monthly candle has closed
It closed as a bearish candle
Fortunately, the body of the monthly candle did not cover the lower wick of last month's candle
I'd say this monthly close was pretty much middle of the road
The monthly MA5 is also near the Fibonacci 0.786 level
At the very least, the market will test the monthly MA23 again in October
If the price can break through this MA23 this month, it will head toward around 90,500
If it can't break through, then at most we'll see a wide-ranging consolidation for a few months
Ultimately, it will still break through
Because the fast line of the monthly MACD has already reached the zero axis
But the slow line hasn't yet
If it can't break through, wait until the slow line reaches the zero axis before moving up
At the very least, the market will be in a wide-ranging consolidation for the next few months
There will still be plenty of room to trade $BTC
The monthly candle closes tomorrow, right as the weekend begins. Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't bounced much, but altcoins have rebounded a lot. There are so many up around 10%. Why are altcoins bouncing back faster than Bitcoin and Ethereum? Because Binance needs to balance its books. It needs to buy some altcoins itself to make up the difference. So altcoins have clearly bounced back much faster than Bitcoin and Ethereum. Yesterday I said Bitcoin's pullback should be around the 78.6 Fibonacci level, near 76500. For Ethereum, it's around the 61.8 level, near 2150. A pullback to these levels should be about right. I expect some consolidation and adjustment, then a rally starting after Trump's midterm elections are over. I'm very bullish on the November and December market, especially November. A reminder to everyone: We've already entered the bull market cycle. Buy big on big dips. It's darkest before dawn. I hope that after the darkness passes, you'll all still be at the table. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
The monthly candle closes tomorrow,
right as the weekend begins.
Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't bounced much,
but altcoins have rebounded a lot.
There are so many up around 10%.
Why are altcoins bouncing back faster than Bitcoin and Ethereum?
Because Binance needs to balance its books.
It needs to buy some altcoins itself to make up the difference.
So altcoins have clearly bounced back much faster than Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Yesterday I said Bitcoin's pullback should be around the 78.6 Fibonacci level, near 76500.
For Ethereum, it's around the 61.8 level, near 2150.
A pullback to these levels should be about right.
I expect some consolidation and adjustment,
then a rally starting after Trump's midterm elections are over.
I'm very bullish on the November and December market,
especially November.
A reminder to everyone:
We've already entered the bull market cycle.
Buy big on big dips.
It's darkest before dawn.
I hope that after the darkness passes,
you'll all still be at the table. $BTC
Those who know, know. Before Binance got hacked this time, just before midnight last night, Bitcoin had even rallied to 82,000 on its own. The HYPE exchange token shot up 20% in one go. And the US stocks were falling at the time. It wasn’t following the US stocks. But around 5 a.m. later that night, news broke that it had been hacked, and the sell-off started. Those who know, know. Anyway, these people are just awful. It’s not easy for retail investors to make even a little money. They can cook up any kind of storyline for you. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Those who know, know.
Before Binance got hacked this time,
just before midnight last night,
Bitcoin had even rallied to 82,000 on its own.
The HYPE exchange token shot up 20% in one go.
And the US stocks were falling at the time.
It wasn’t following the US stocks.
But around 5 a.m. later that night,
news broke that it had been hacked,
and the sell-off started.
Those who know, know.
Anyway, these people are just awful.
It’s not easy for retail investors to make even a little money.
They can cook up any kind of storyline for you. $BTC
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Stay calm, don't panic Don't cry—stay calm, don't panic The last time we had a black swan event, FTX, the exchange run by the guy with the wild hair, went bankrupt I remember that last time, Bitcoin fell to 15,000 during the FTX black swan event But from that moment on, a fierce bull market began, and it surged to 125,000 This time, Binance getting hacked is just a small black swan event It's nowhere near the point of going bankrupt A few weeks ago, Bitget was hacked for over a billion, and it wasn't a big deal Binance's losses this time should be around 2 to 3 billion That's just a drop in the bucket, really Bitcoin has used this negative news as a pretext for a pullback to around the Fibonacci golden ratio level of 0.618 That's another strong support level Binance's situation after this hack is under control, and in the short term, the price should have finished falling
$BTC
Stay calm, don't panic
Don't cry—stay calm, don't panic
The last time we had a black swan event, FTX, the exchange run by the guy with the wild hair, went bankrupt
I remember that last time, Bitcoin fell to 15,000 during the FTX black swan event
But from that moment on, a fierce bull market began, and it surged to 125,000
This time, Binance getting hacked is just a small black swan event
It's nowhere near the point of going bankrupt
A few weeks ago, Bitget was hacked for over a billion, and it wasn't a big deal
Binance's losses this time should be around 2 to 3 billion
That's just a drop in the bucket, really
Bitcoin has used this negative news as a pretext for a pullback to around the Fibonacci golden ratio level of 0.618
That's another strong support level
Binance's situation after this hack is under control, and in the short term, the price should have finished falling
A reminder to everyone: Bitcoin’s peak is around 199374, give or take. It’s still at a low level for now: $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
A reminder to everyone: Bitcoin’s peak is around 199374, give or take. It’s still at a low level for now: $BTC
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