🚨 BITCOIN FELL BEFORE EVERY U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION. WILL HISTORY REPEAT ON NOVEMBER 3?

📊 Three election cycles. Three negative results. And a new test in 2026.

The U.S. midterm elections for Congress will take place on November 3, 2026. I decided to check how Bitcoin performed during the 10 calendar days before voting in 2014, 2018, and 2022.

The results turned out to be interesting:

Year

10 days before the election Election day Change

2014 $347,27 $ 330,49−4,83%

2018 $6 480,38 $6 461,01−0,30%

2022 $20 818,48 $18 541,27−10,94%

In all three cases, BTC ended this ten-day period below its starting price.

But there's a caveat: in 2022, the sharp decline coincided with the FTX crisis. So it would be wrong to attribute the drop solely to the election.

What's happening in 2026?

The starting point for our observation is October 24.

BTC: $80 790,84

Now let's check four key dates:

📅 October 27 — 7 days before the election.

📅 October 29 — 5 days before.

📅 October 31 — 3 days before.

📅 November 3 — Election Day.

If BTC is once again below its starting price, the historical pattern will continue. If it's higher, we'll see an interesting departure from the previous three cycles.

Additional factors: the Fed's decision on October 28 and the monthly expiry of BTC options on October 30.

My main question: will history repeat itself, or will Bitcoin break the pattern?

🟢 BTC will rise by November 3.

🔴 BTC will continue to fall.

Share your prediction in the comments. After the election, we'll compare it with the actual prices.

#Bitcoin #BTC #BinanceSquare #Crypto #FOMC #USMidterms2026

Historical observations are not a guarantee of future returns. This is not financial advice.