October 16 Evening Recap | Three Key Themes in Crypto Today

① Index shock: The MSCI website confirmed that MicroStrategy ($MSTR ) will be removed from its indices. Polymarket puts the probability of removal this year at 92%. The $BTC treasury company model faces its first index-driven selling pressure test, with the final list to be announced on November 11.

② AI credit warning: CoreWeave’s five-year CDS surged to a record 1,194.5 bps, while its 2031 bonds fell to 82.75 cents. Deutsche Bank estimates the company faces a funding gap of around $35 billion. Jensen Huang explicitly stated that Nvidia would not bail it out, as risk sentiment spills over.

③ Defense and bright spots: A new deflationary proposal for $CAKE would cut daily emissions by 69% to 7,000 tokens, with 88% of fees going to LPs; CZ voiced his support. On-chain RWA on Solana surged from $700 million to $4.3 billion in one year, leading the growth rate among public blockchains.

Tensions in the Middle East are fueling risk aversion. Short-term volatility may intensify, so manage your positions carefully.

NFA | DYOR

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