$BTC 怎么走到 90,123（红色虚线）
Current positioning
Your teacher (Waves Theory Study) 9/29 latest assessment:
• The purple line adjustment has progressed to the third segment (c wave end)
• As long as the green line is not broken: 80,026 → only a blue 5-2 pullback → then blue 5-3/5-4/5-5
• If the red dashed line at 90,123 is broken: the purple line can’t form a pushing wave → limited downside space → further confirms it’s (1) the path
Three-step path
Step 1: Blue 5-2 wrapping up (now ~84,400)
• The purple line’s c wave completes; stabilization in the 84,000–85,000 area is enough
• Absolute limit: it must not break 80,026; once broken, it would invalidate the entire Blue 5 structure
• Signal: 2H MACD red histogram contracting (currently DIF 7.18 / DEA -146.83 has just formed a golden cross), and KDJ is low
Step 2: Blue 5-3 main rise (84,400 → 88,000–89,000)
• Break above the prior high 87,395 is the confirmation signal
• Blue 5-1 rises from 74,968 to 87,395 = 12,427 points; Blue 5-3 is usually not shorter than that
• Counting from 84,000, the first target is 88,000–89,000; the interim liquidation zone at 87,904 (3.63600e8 short positions) will be absorbed
Step 3: Blue 5-4 pullback + Blue 5-5 sprint (→ 90,123)
• Blue 5-4 is a normal retracement of Blue 5-3’s 0.382 (about 86,000–86,500)
• Blue 5-5 rallies on exhaustion, ultimately topping out near the red dashed line at 90,123
Key confirmation / invalidation
Status | Meaning | Action
Hold 84,000–85,000 | Continue rising | Blue 5-2 ends; hold longs
Break 87,395 | Confirm Blue 5-3 | Add more; target 90,123
Rise above 90,123 | The purple line can’t form a pushing wave; downside is limited | Take profit/trim, but there’s no need to panic
Break below 80,026 | Blue 5 ends; enter a major correction (0.2–0.618) | Set a stop-loss and wait to re-enter at 78,500/75,000
One sentence
Hold 80,026 → purple c wave finishes → Blue 5-3 breaks 87,395 → Blue 5-5 surges to 90,123. Breaking above 90,123 is actually good (the purple line fails to form a pushing wave, so the subsequent drop won’t be deep); only if 80,026 is broken should you run. The above is a wave projection and does not constitute investment advice.
Current positioning
Your teacher (Waves Theory Study) 9/29 latest assessment:
• The purple line adjustment has progressed to the third segment (c wave end)
• As long as the green line is not broken: 80,026 → only a blue 5-2 pullback → then blue 5-3/5-4/5-5
• If the red dashed line at 90,123 is broken: the purple line can’t form a pushing wave → limited downside space → further confirms it’s (1) the path
Three-step path
Step 1: Blue 5-2 wrapping up (now ~84,400)
• The purple line’s c wave completes; stabilization in the 84,000–85,000 area is enough
• Absolute limit: it must not break 80,026; once broken, it would invalidate the entire Blue 5 structure
• Signal: 2H MACD red histogram contracting (currently DIF 7.18 / DEA -146.83 has just formed a golden cross), and KDJ is low
Step 2: Blue 5-3 main rise (84,400 → 88,000–89,000)
• Break above the prior high 87,395 is the confirmation signal
• Blue 5-1 rises from 74,968 to 87,395 = 12,427 points; Blue 5-3 is usually not shorter than that
• Counting from 84,000, the first target is 88,000–89,000; the interim liquidation zone at 87,904 (3.63600e8 short positions) will be absorbed
Step 3: Blue 5-4 pullback + Blue 5-5 sprint (→ 90,123)
• Blue 5-4 is a normal retracement of Blue 5-3’s 0.382 (about 86,000–86,500)
• Blue 5-5 rallies on exhaustion, ultimately topping out near the red dashed line at 90,123
Key confirmation / invalidation
Status | Meaning | Action
Hold 84,000–85,000 | Continue rising | Blue 5-2 ends; hold longs
Break 87,395 | Confirm Blue 5-3 | Add more; target 90,123
Rise above 90,123 | The purple line can’t form a pushing wave; downside is limited | Take profit/trim, but there’s no need to panic
Break below 80,026 | Blue 5 ends; enter a major correction (0.2–0.618) | Set a stop-loss and wait to re-enter at 78,500/75,000
One sentence
Hold 80,026 → purple c wave finishes → Blue 5-3 breaks 87,395 → Blue 5-5 surges to 90,123. Breaking above 90,123 is actually good (the purple line fails to form a pushing wave, so the subsequent drop won’t be deep); only if 80,026 is broken should you run. The above is a wave projection and does not constitute investment advice.