$MSTR 🎯This pullback this time, I’ll wait for the 161—162 zone!

🧭 At around midnight it surged to 170.50, but during the morning it crushed the 4-hour close back to 164.75. In that stretch it dropped about 2.86%; the open interest basically didn’t change. From 11—12, the passive vs. active buy/sell imbalance was only 0.784, and the sellers still held the advantage.

So I keep the idea of a pullback that’s more likely to offer buying opportunities, but I won’t treat the sideways action near 164 as a support-to-stop-the-fall point. Next, I’m more inclined to first test whether there’s support underneath, and then discuss a return to the prior high.

📍 Left-side long zones: 161.30—162.20

This corresponds to yesterday afternoon’s accelerated 15-minute low of 161.19, as well as the two evening hourly pullback lows at 162.17 and 162.19. Choosing this area gives us older trade structure to verify—it isn’t just taking the current price and subtracting a few points.

Near support: 163.12—163.61
Key support: 161.19—162.19
Deeper support: 158.60—160.00

On the upside, first watch the resistance at 165.90—166.73, then 169.65—170.50. These are places to observe the bounce quality—there’s no fixed “take profit at X” full-exit price.

✅ Once price reaches the buying zone, wait for a 15-minute candle to probe low and close bullish; the close should come back to 161.60—162.20, and the active buy volume should exceed sell volume. After confirmation, and only if the quoted price is still within the buying zone, consider execution.

BTC also can’t break the structure in sync: if the latest completed hourly candle closes below 84724.90, then I’ll cancel the MSTR re-entry plan this time. I won’t rely on it to hold the whole market on its own.

🔄 Use a moving protection so the rebound has room to keep going.

At entry, keep the 158.20 initial protective stop-loss—place it below the old broken support, including the volatility buffer built into the analysis setting.

After entry, if an hourly close moves back above 166.73, trigger a moving take-profit/stop-loss: the protection price takes the highest value among “the original protection price, the actual entry price plus transaction costs, and (the highest executed price after entry minus 2× hourly ATR).”

Currently the hourly ATR is about 2.27, implying a tracking distance of about $4.55. The protection price updates once per hour. It can only move upward; once triggered, exit immediately—don’t wait for the candle to close. If the move extends upward, let the protection price follow.

🧯 If, before entry, the hourly breaks below 161.19, cancel this support pullback plan and reassess the deeper area—don’t add more position further down.

The biggest risk right now is that this pullback turns from a normal repair into a deeper correction. You can wait patiently for the buy price, but the stop-loss can’t be delayed by “let’s see.”