Expected Fed rate hike of 25 basis points on 9/17
A 90% probability of a rate hike in September suppresses the move
Next week is inevitably a continuously downward trend
On Monday, a fake breakout lifts above 4400
On Tuesday afternoon, oscillating downward begins around 4300
After the late-night rate decision announcement on Wednesday, good news is realized
Then an oversold rebound to 4400
At 2:30, the White House press conference will be held, with the dot plot released simultaneously
White House correspondent over-the-top hawkish remarks—watch for the dot plot to shift upward
It will be clear that there will be more rate hikes after this—more, more, more, and more
And the market expects that at least two rate hikes will happen this year
This suggests that a new round of the rate-hiking cycle has started—don’t have any illusions
The market will enter a prolonged grind-lower pattern
Only on the day when they stop hiking and bring inflation down can the price action rise healthily
Under expectations of rate hikes looming over everything
Logically, next week should break to new lows
Right now, the whole market is waiting—once the rate hike lands, what will he say
Is it that they’ll keep hiking in 10/—or something like that
#加息落地怎么走 $XAU $BTC
A 90% probability of a rate hike in September suppresses the move
Next week is inevitably a continuously downward trend
On Monday, a fake breakout lifts above 4400
On Tuesday afternoon, oscillating downward begins around 4300
After the late-night rate decision announcement on Wednesday, good news is realized
Then an oversold rebound to 4400
At 2:30, the White House press conference will be held, with the dot plot released simultaneously
White House correspondent over-the-top hawkish remarks—watch for the dot plot to shift upward
It will be clear that there will be more rate hikes after this—more, more, more, and more
And the market expects that at least two rate hikes will happen this year
This suggests that a new round of the rate-hiking cycle has started—don’t have any illusions
The market will enter a prolonged grind-lower pattern
Only on the day when they stop hiking and bring inflation down can the price action rise healthily
Under expectations of rate hikes looming over everything
Logically, next week should break to new lows
Right now, the whole market is waiting—once the rate hike lands, what will he say
Is it that they’ll keep hiking in 10/—or something like that
#加息落地怎么走 $XAU $BTC
