$AAVE Well, this one didn’t hold—within 15 minutes it smashed through the lower ends of 20 five-minute Ks. Volume surged to more than 4x, but the direction is clearly downward. OI is still increasing, while the notional is shrinking—plainly, fresh shorts are stepping in and stoking the move; this isn’t material for a rebound.

Even the aggressive trade imbalance is down -21%. The sell orders hit without hesitation; the buy side is like air. The abnormal outflow across the whole pool is ranked at #20, with notional change at #21. This kind of price-volume divergence plus continuous break-through trend is obviously not random fluctuation—someone is laying out a scheme.

Don’t rush to catch the falling knife. Wait for a stop-the-fall signal on the 15-minute scale before deciding. In this structure, chasing shorts is actually nailing the timing, while going long has to weigh whether you can withstand the leverage in this wave.