📍#MU Dingding technical analysis (2026/08/03)
【Key Takeaway】: The weekly long-term uptrend has not been fully broken, but distribution at the highs has created bearish conditions. The official bearish direction of 1D aligns with 4H, and 1H has also shown an initial continuation-down signal.
🎯 Today’s primary focus:
• Spot: stay out for now; the daily official bearish trend has not been lifted
• Contracts: wait for a rebound to enter the 4H short zone; on 1H, wait for a short-term breakdown trigger
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📊#MU Long-term trend: Cyclical divergence (1W long-term structure bullish / 1D bearish)
【Cycle Relationship】
• 1W long-term structure is still mostly bullish, but heavy selling pressure at the highs has caused the right-side execution to turn bearish; 1D has already entered an official main downleg
【1W long-term direction filter】
Trend: The long-term uptrend is still intact, and the risk of distribution at high levels is increasing
• Signal status: Grade B slightly bearish condition script
• Current action: Wait for a close to trigger
• Risk posture: Observe / reduce exposure
🟡 Conditional trigger script:
• No preset range for entries; wait for a close to trigger.
• 1W close trigger: Break below 759.99
• 1W bearish cancel: A close back above 913.71
• The final invalidation of the 1W bearish script: A close back above 1,087.88
• Target after 1W trigger: 606.27, 452.55
【1D long-term strategy】
Trend: Mid-term bearish; both highs and lows move downward in tandem
• Signal status: Grade S official bearish
• Current action: Wait for a rebound to enter the short zone
• Risk posture: First test order / normal risk
🛑 Shorting strategy:
• 1D rebound short zone: 920.76~1,087.88
• Execution method: Enter after price rebounds into the range and meets resistance
• 1D bearish continuation entry: Close below 687.23 and the rebound does not recover
• 1D strict defense: A close back above 1,321.41
• 1D ladder targets: 687.23, 520.11
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📊#MU Medium-to-short-term trend: Bearish
【Cycle relationship】:
• The 4H official short is the swing main strategy. The 1H preliminary short waits for its own trigger and does not mean adding repeatedly
【4H main strategy】
Trend: Mid-term bearish; rebounds continue to be suppressed by the falling moving averages
• Signal status: Grade S official bearish
• Current action: Wait for a rebound to enter the short zone
• Risk posture: First test order / normal risk
🛑 Shorting strategy:
• 4H rebound short zone: 849.31~930.54
• Execution method: Enter after price rebounds into the range and meets resistance
• 4H bearish continuation entry: Close below 777.67 and the rebound does not recover
• 4H strict defense: A close back above 1,002.18
• 4H ladder targets: 777.67, 696.44
【1H short-term strategy】
Trend: Small bearish bias; new lower highs on rebounds
• Signal status: Preliminary Grade A bearish
• Current action: Wait for a close to trigger
• Risk posture: Observe / wait for trigger
🟡 Conditional trigger script:
• No preset range for entries; wait for a close to trigger.
• 1H close trigger: Break below 814.94
• 1H bearish cancel: A close back above 848.72
• The final invalidation of the 1H bearish script: A close back above 908.44
• 1H target after trigger: 755.22, 721.44
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📝 #MU final action
• Spot: During the daily chart’s official bearish period, do not enter trades for now
• Contracts: Mainly short on 4H rebounds; any 1H quick shorts must independently wait for their own trigger
• Primary execution zone: 4H rebound short zone 849.31~930.54
⚠️ This article is for market research and educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized investment advice.
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Crypto.DingDing research notes
🔥 If MU rebounds into this 4H short zone, will you wait for it to hit resistance, or switch to waiting for the 1H breakdown confirmation? Comment and share your judgment and strategy.
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