As a veteran player rooted in the crypto market for 8 years, I never speak based on 'feelings'—this is a high-certainty judgment made after 15 hours of cross-validation of volume, price, capital, and technical aspects. The actual positions have been adjusted, and even the risk control line has been set, just waiting for the market to start. This wave is not blind optimism; it's backed by strong signals!
2. Three sets of hard-core signals (practical warning, suggested to take a screenshot and save)
The lock-up rate at support levels has soared, and the selling pressure has been completely cleared.
In the last 48 hours, ETH has tested key support zones three times, with each pullback quickly regained. The distribution of holdings has gradually shifted from a dispersed state to concentrated at lower levels, with the low-level lock-up ratio increasing by 23% overnight. Opening the chip distribution chart makes it clear: the overhead trapped positions have long been digested, and those still selling are basically 'panic small investors.' The selling pressure has nearly run its course, which is a core prerequisite for the market to start moving.
Smart money is quietly entering the market; volume cannot deceive people.
In the last 12 hours, the net inflow of funds has surged by 57% compared to the previous period, and the hourly chart shows a healthy pattern of 'pullback with decreased volume and rise with increased volume' — this is not the volume that retail investors can generate, it is clearly institutions and large players building positions at low levels. The crypto market never lacks funds; what it lacks is a reason to enter. Now, funds are voting with their feet, clearly showing their stance.
The long-short game has reached a critical point; the breakout window has opened.
The technical indicators are forming a classic converging triangle consolidation, and we are currently at the end of the triangle, with the long-short position ratio reaching the critical threshold of 1.9:1. I reviewed nearly three years of historical data, and in this pattern, 76% of the breakouts are accompanied by strong trend momentum over 3-5 days, and tonight is the core time point of this 'breakout window'; waiting any longer will truly be too late.
Third, from the perspective of an experienced trader: why do I dare to hold a large position this time?
A single signal may be false, but when the volume-price, funds, and technical indicators resonate simultaneously, it represents a 'blind rush' level of high certainty opportunity in my trading system. Do you remember the similar signal from last month? Many friends who followed my layout at that time achieved a 58% increase in their holdings, while those who were concerned in the comments about 'whether it would drop' could only watch others showcase their profits, jokingly calling themselves 'perfectly missed the ceiling.'
This time I didn't engage in extreme operations, leaving a 20% safety cushion in real trading and setting a dynamic risk control line — neither wasting opportunities nor putting myself in a passive position, after all, surviving in the crypto space is more important than how much one earns at a time.
Fourth, let me say something heartfelt.
In the crypto space, opportunities are like ice cola in a convenience store: they cool down quickly and disappear just as fast. Either decisively act tonight, or tomorrow watch others reap profits while you slap your thigh exclaiming 'if only I knew' (I don't want you to be this 'if only I knew player', haha).
Of course, I am not a prophet, and the market always has black swans — but I dare to share my 8 years of analysis logic and real trading thoughts comprehensively because I want my friends who follow me to avoid detours. In the future, I will keep track of market changes in real time, reviewing in the morning and sending signals in the evening. Follow me to avoid getting lost; when there is another high certainty opportunity, I will notify you to hop on board at the first moment!
