Record 📝 eth trading ideas

I think it's necessary to guard against the black swan at the end of November.

The main black swan is the Taiwan Strait relations. Why do I say this? Recall when Gao Shi made his remarks. Wasn't it after Huang Mao went to Japan? We need to know that the Japanese prime minister is always influenced by Japanese financial groups. Gao Shi's remarks clearly exceeded her authority, especially as a female prime minister. Another point is that this prime minister is not the son of Koizumi. This indicates that this position is a hot potato and there's no need to take it on forcibly.

Therefore, my understanding is that Huang Mao has long talked with the Japanese financial group about how to respond to the Taiwan Strait relations, which are similar to the Russia-Ukraine relations, ⚠️ there can be no concessions. So this trip to Japan is to further communicate the details. We all regard Huang Mao as a businessman, but in business terms, international territory is another matter and cannot be treated the same way.

Gao Shi dares to say this, which indicates that the Japanese financial group and Huang Mao have all reached a consensus. Starting with remarks, they are conducting a pressure test. If the pressure is too great (which is obviously the case now), then I suspect Huang Mao will come out to support Japan by the end of the month. Because Japan has a trade surplus with China, there's no great need to rush out first. So after Gao Shi finishes speaking (which indeed poses a life risk), they will observe the reaction, and Huang Mao will need to come out in support.

We ordinary citizens do not need to consider those things; we only need to guard against black swans and market reactions. If there is no doubt, it will be negative. Why do I not think Huang Mao will help China this time? Because ⚠️ rare earths, the rare earths are still being restricted and have not been relaxed. This is a very important‼️ card, and it’s not so easy to resolve through one negotiation.

Back to the market, if Huang Mao helps Japan take the stand, then the market's risk aversion sentiment will heat up, and the crypto market will face a sell-off. The current trend of eth has broken the daily downtrend channel and is in an acceleration ⏩ phase. If a sell-off occurs, then breaking 2000 is certain. Once it falls below 2000, it becomes very difficult because the related crypto-listed companies will trigger a downward spiral 🌀, heading towards three digits. That's just how the market is.