Bitcoin surpassed $35,000 on Wednesday amid a surge of enthusiasm for #Bitcoin spot ETFs. Accordingly, analysts see the growing hype as the dominant force pulling cryptocurrencies forward, while stocks on Wall Street look relatively tepid.

K33 senior analyst Vetle Lunde commented:

“You can't attribute Monday's price move to any other reason. The market is reacting to the increasing possibility that #ETF spot delivery will be approved, albeit with some delay.”

Bitcoin is up 23% for the week, according to CoinGecko. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is down 2.5% over the past five trading days and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite is down 3.3% over the same period.

An ETF is a publicly traded investment vehicle that tracks the price of an underlying asset. As for Bitcoin, Lunde said it is a “huge potential catalyst for inflows” because it will be easier for institutions and retailers to access.

According to K33 Research, Bitcoin's correlation with stocks has been trending down over the past year, while the coin has moved in tandem with stocks for much of 2022. Before the recent price rally, Lunde said, correlation between Bitcoin with stocks dropped significantly.

“The story on correlation has changed quite a bit over the year and that is something market participants need to acknowledge. But anyway, it takes time."

Bitcoin's correlation with S&P 500, Nasdaq and gold decreased over the past year | Source: K33 Research

Bitcoin's correlation with Nasdaq and S&P 500 decreased from 0.79 and 0.82 in May 2022 to 0.2 and 0.16, respectively. A value of 1 indicates that the two assets always move in the same direction, and a value of -1 means the opposite.

As the US Federal Reserve (Fed) increases borrowing costs in 2022 to ease decades-high inflation, both stocks and cryptocurrencies are under pressure. But that's for two different reasons, according to CoinShares head of research James Butterfill.

While rising borrowing costs reduce the profits of publicly traded companies and make them less attractive, Butterfill said rising yields on assets such as U.S. Treasuries also pushed up Bitcoin is in a position to compete fiercely as a store of value.

At this point, Butterfill says there is a stronger correlation developing between stocks and bonds. As a relatively uncorrelated asset, Bitcoin is attracting interest from some investors (e.g., CoinShares clients) as an asset that can offer diversification.

By raising interest rates, the Fed makes borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers, thereby cooling the economy. But if they are too aggressive, high borrowing costs could strangle the economy.

Over the past week, expectations that the Fed may raise interest rates in December have decreased, according to CME Group's Fed Watch Tool . And the difference between Bitcoin and stocks could widen further if the Fed signals it is ready to cut again soon.

“The stock market will likely react negatively to a rate cut because the Fed admits we are headed into a recession. Likewise, it would be beneficial for Bitcoin for the Fed to admit it made a mistake.”

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