#Bitcoin is decoupling from global markets and moving in the exact opposite direction.
Since the beginning of the week, indices such as S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones have been on the rise, but on the contrary, there is a decline on the crypto side.
The negative divergence is clearly visible in the chart👇
For a long time, Bitcoin's correlation with S&P and Nasdaq was very high and they were moving in the exact same direction.
Although the prices have been moving in the same direction until now, the correlation weakened at the beginning of the week and Bitcoin diverged negatively.
When we look at the price movements of recent months in the chart below, this correlation is clearly seen.
At the beginning of the week, FTX's bankruptcy plan was approved and the way for refunds was opened.
The fact that a refund of approximately $ 16 billion will be made and the thought that this may bring selling pressure may be the main reason for the negative divergence.
If the reason for the negative divergence is FTX refunds, I think this situation will not continue for a long time and prices will start to move in a correlated way again very soon. If it is not FTX refunds, it could be a black swan event that we do not know about yet.
Also, inflation data will be announced at 15:30 today. The expectation is that inflation will decrease from 2.5% to 2.3%. If the data comes above expectations, it can be interpreted as negative, and if it comes below expectations, it can be interpreted as positive.
It would be useful to avoid high-risk transactions during the data hour. After the data is announced, Bitcoin should move in the same direction as the S&P and Nasdaq.
If the $60k support is also lost after this negative divergence, then we will understand that there is a more serious negativity, but as long as the $60k support is maintained, there is no major negativity for now, my friends.