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#tokenunlock

tokenunlock

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Ali Almarzouqi
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Bullish
gm CT. just finished breakfast and opened the feed to a 12-minute-old headline about $HYPE and i immediately put the fork down. Hyperliquid just burned $2.68 billion in tokens and the price is sitting right at $51 support while a token unlock looms overhead. that is not a coincidence, that is a stress test happening in real time. here is my read: $HYPE holds $51 and grinds higher while the burn narrative keeps retail and institutions treating dips as discounts. the unlock pressure is real but the burn already proved the team will absorb it. Multicoin calling $319 by 2028 is not a price target i am anchoring to, but it tells you the smart money is not scared of this unlock. i am wrong if $51 breaks clean and holds as resistance on a retest. that flips the burn story into a "they burned and it still dropped" narrative, which is the kind of thing that takes months to recover from. the unlock is the tell. watch $51, not the headline. #Hyperliquid #TokenUnlock
gm CT. just finished breakfast and opened the feed to a 12-minute-old headline about $HYPE and i immediately put the fork down.

Hyperliquid just burned $2.68 billion in tokens and the price is sitting right at $51 support while a token unlock looms overhead. that is not a coincidence, that is a stress test happening in real time.

here is my read: $HYPE holds $51 and grinds higher while the burn narrative keeps retail and institutions treating dips as discounts. the unlock pressure is real but the burn already proved the team will absorb it. Multicoin calling $319 by 2028 is not a price target i am anchoring to, but it tells you the smart money is not scared of this unlock.

i am wrong if $51 breaks clean and holds as resistance on a retest. that flips the burn story into a "they burned and it still dropped" narrative, which is the kind of thing that takes months to recover from.

the unlock is the tell. watch $51, not the headline.

#Hyperliquid #TokenUnlock
RAIN Unlock Ratio Flag 📊 $511.21M unlocking Aug 10, 2026 - 3.51% of market cap, ~14x average 24H volume. The ratio is the signal here, not just the dollar amount. Unlock size that far exceeds daily liquidity has historically correlated with elevated slippage and short-term volatility as the market repositions around fresh supply. Execution-relevant takeaway: this is exactly the kind of event where wider stop placement and reduced position sizing matter more than directional conviction. Backtest how a strategy performs through supply-shock volatility before the date hits. #RAIN #TokenUnlock #CryptoGates
RAIN Unlock Ratio Flag 📊

$511.21M unlocking Aug 10, 2026 - 3.51% of market cap, ~14x average 24H volume.

The ratio is the signal here, not just the dollar amount. Unlock size that far exceeds daily liquidity has historically correlated with elevated slippage and short-term volatility as the market repositions around fresh supply.

Execution-relevant takeaway: this is exactly the kind of event where wider stop placement and reduced position sizing matter more than directional conviction.

Backtest how a strategy performs through supply-shock volatility before the date hits.

#RAIN #TokenUnlock #CryptoGates
Next week could be very unpleasant for some altcoins. A huge number of new tokens are coming to the market. The main suspect is $RAIN $636 million unlocking. 7.02% of the circulating supply. This is no longer a figure you can just scroll past. And nearby there’s also $PIEVERSE — 7.19%, $LINEA — 3.33%, and $MOCA — 2.57%. Unlocking doesn’t automatically mean an immediate sell-off. But when the market already knows that supply will increase by millions of dollars, ignoring it is a luxury. Keep a close eye on $RAIN. #RAIN #TokenUnlock
Next week could be very unpleasant for some altcoins.

A huge number of new tokens are coming to the market.

The main suspect is $RAIN

$636 million unlocking.
7.02% of the circulating supply.

This is no longer a figure you can just scroll past.

And nearby there’s also $PIEVERSE — 7.19%, $LINEA — 3.33%, and $MOCA — 2.57%.

Unlocking doesn’t automatically mean an immediate sell-off.

But when the market already knows that supply will increase by millions of dollars, ignoring it is a luxury.

Keep a close eye on $RAIN.

#RAIN #TokenUnlock
🚨 $SPCX $100B UNLOCK — PATH TO $70 HAS NO BRAKES 📉 Target: $70–$80 🎯 📌 This isn't a routine unlock — it's a structural supply flood. 911.5 million SPCX, valued near $100B, just hit the open market at 1.4x the entire circulating supply of 639 million tokens. 🔻 Price already bled 52% from its peak with only 4.9% of the float in motion. Now the bid faces a distribution wall that market makers cannot absorb with clean inventory. 📊 The path of least resistance leads straight into the $70–$80 liquidity vacuum. 🔍 💬 Are you holding through the storm, or repositioning for the flush? 👇 ⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️ 🏷️ #SPCX #TokenUnlock #BearishSetup #Crypto 🐻 📉
🚨 $SPCX $100B UNLOCK — PATH TO $70 HAS NO BRAKES 📉

Target: $70–$80 🎯

📌 This isn't a routine unlock — it's a structural supply flood. 911.5 million SPCX, valued near $100B, just hit the open market at 1.4x the entire circulating supply of 639 million tokens. 🔻

Price already bled 52% from its peak with only 4.9% of the float in motion. Now the bid faces a distribution wall that market makers cannot absorb with clean inventory. 📊 The path of least resistance leads straight into the $70–$80 liquidity vacuum. 🔍

💬 Are you holding through the storm, or repositioning for the flush? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #SPCX #TokenUnlock #BearishSetup #Crypto

🐻 📉
Verified
#TokenUnlock 🔓 Token Unlocking – August 7-10, 2026 🔓 $MOVE $SAGA $ALLO 📌 What does this mean for the market? ✅ Supply growth – a new number of tokens enters free circulation. ⚖️ This can cause pressure on the price due to a possible excess supply. 📈 Investors are closely following the event, because unlocking sometimes opens up both new opportunities for accumulation and risks for short-term traders. 👀 Be prepared for increased volatility! DYOR (Do Your Own Research) is always the right approach. {future}(ALLOUSDT) {future}(SAGAUSDT) {future}(MOVEUSDT)
#TokenUnlock
🔓 Token Unlocking – August 7-10, 2026 🔓
$MOVE $SAGA $ALLO
📌 What does this mean for the market?
✅ Supply growth – a new number of tokens enters free circulation.
⚖️ This can cause pressure on the price due to a possible excess supply.

📈 Investors are closely following the event, because unlocking sometimes opens up both new opportunities for accumulation and risks for short-term traders.

👀 Be prepared for increased volatility!

DYOR (Do Your Own Research) is always the right approach.
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Pi Network's PI token has achieved two significant milestones amid its recent price rally, but August's scheduled token unlocks could test this momentum. While the project continues to gain attention, the upcoming supply increase raises important questions about the rally's sustainability. Historically, token unlocks have created selling pressure as early investors and team members gain access to liquidity. Market participants will be watching to see if organic demand can offset this potential selling pressure. The PI community's strength and any new developments around the project could play crucial roles in maintaining positive momentum post-unlock. #PiNetwork #PI #TokenUnlock #Crypto
Pi Network's PI token has achieved two significant milestones amid its recent price rally, but August's scheduled token unlocks could test this momentum. While the project continues to gain attention, the upcoming supply increase raises important questions about the rally's sustainability. Historically, token unlocks have created selling pressure as early investors and team members gain access to liquidity. Market participants will be watching to see if organic demand can offset this potential selling pressure. The PI community's strength and any new developments around the project could play crucial roles in maintaining positive momentum post-unlock.

#PiNetwork #PI #TokenUnlock #Crypto
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Bullish
Partly True
🚨 UPCOMING TOKEN UNLOCK ALERT — $BERA 📊 Major volatility is brewing! $BERA is approaching a critical token unlock event today, releasing a significant portion of its circulating supply. 📈 Unlock & Market Overview: • Token: $BERA • Unlock Time: Today, 2026-08-05 • Current Price: $0.1610 • Expected Volatility: High Selling Pressure / Liquidation Risk 📉 📊 Trade Probabilities (Post-Unlock Bias): 🟢 LONG: 45% Chance 🔴 SHORT: 55% Chance 📈 Primary Signal: SHORT / HIGH-VOLATILITY BREAKOUT 📍 EP (Entry Price): $0.155 - $0.165 🎯 TP1: $0.187 🎯 TP2: $0.215 🛡️ SL (Stop Loss): < $0.146 🔍 Market Analysis: With macro volatility picking up and new tokens entering circulation, early investors and team wallets may take profits. Keep a close eye on the support level breakdown before taking a position! 📩 Want real-time signals or technical breakdowns for ANY coin? Follow me and send a Direct Message (DM) to stay ahead of the market! #FOMCWatching #BERA #TokenUnlock #BinanceSquare #cryptotrading {future}(BERAUSDT)
🚨 UPCOMING TOKEN UNLOCK ALERT — $BERA 📊 Major volatility is brewing! $BERA is approaching a critical token unlock event today, releasing a significant portion of its circulating supply.

📈 Unlock & Market Overview: • Token: $BERA • Unlock Time: Today, 2026-08-05 • Current Price: $0.1610 • Expected Volatility: High Selling Pressure / Liquidation Risk 📉

📊 Trade Probabilities (Post-Unlock Bias): 🟢 LONG: 45% Chance 🔴 SHORT: 55% Chance

📈 Primary Signal: SHORT / HIGH-VOLATILITY BREAKOUT 📍 EP (Entry Price): $0.155 - $0.165 🎯 TP1: $0.187 🎯 TP2: $0.215 🛡️ SL (Stop Loss): < $0.146

🔍 Market Analysis: With macro volatility picking up and new tokens entering circulation, early investors and team wallets may take profits. Keep a close eye on the support level breakdown before taking a position!

📩 Want real-time signals or technical breakdowns for ANY coin? Follow me and send a Direct Message (DM) to stay ahead of the market!

#FOMCWatching #BERA #TokenUnlock #BinanceSquare #cryptotrading
Yudiaugust:
berisik, lahi short ya
SPCX 20% TOKEN UNLOCK — SHORT SETUP IS CRYSTAL CLEAR 📉 🔍 The 20% token unlock isn't just a headline — it's a supply wave hitting a thin book. Smart money rarely holds through these events; they distribute into retail optimism, and the bid simply isn't there to absorb this size. 📉 ⚡ Expect any relief bounce to be sold into quickly. The path of least resistance is down, and the structure will confirm it once price breaks the range low. 📊 This is a liquidity event, not a buying opportunity. 💬 Are you shorting the retracement, or waiting for the first re-test of a broken support to load up? 👇 ⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️ 🏷️ #SPCX #ShortSetup #TokenUnlock #Crypto 🦈 📉
SPCX 20% TOKEN UNLOCK — SHORT SETUP IS CRYSTAL CLEAR 📉

🔍 The 20% token unlock isn't just a headline — it's a supply wave hitting a thin book. Smart money rarely holds through these events; they distribute into retail optimism, and the bid simply isn't there to absorb this size. 📉

⚡ Expect any relief bounce to be sold into quickly. The path of least resistance is down, and the structure will confirm it once price breaks the range low. 📊 This is a liquidity event, not a buying opportunity. 💬 Are you shorting the retracement, or waiting for the first re-test of a broken support to load up? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #SPCX #ShortSetup #TokenUnlock #Crypto

🦈 📉
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Bearish
​🚨 UPCOMING TOKEN UNLOCK ALERT — $STO 📊 ​Major volatility is brewing! $STO is approaching a critical token unlock event today, releasing a significant portion of its circulating supply. ​📈 Unlock & Market Overview: • Token: $STO • Unlock Time: Today / Active Session • Current Price: $0.0384 • Expected Volatility: High Selling Pressure / Liquidation Risk 📉 ​📊 Trade Probabilities (Post-Unlock Bias): 🟢 LONG: 25% Chance 🔴 SHORT: 75% Chance ​📈 Primary Signal: SHORT / HIGH-VOLATILITY BREAKOUT 📍 EP (Entry Price): $0.0360 - $0.0375 🎯 TP1: $0.1000 🎯 TP2: $0.3461 🛡️ SL (Stop Loss): <$0.0340 ​🔍 Market Analysis: With macro volatility picking up and new tokens entering circulation, early investors and team wallets may take profits. Keep a close eye on the support level breakdown before taking a position! ​📩 Want real-time signals or technical breakdowns for ANY coin? Follow me and send a Direct Message (DM) to stay ahead of the market! ​#FOMCWatching #STO #TokenUnlock #BinanceSquare #CryptoTrading {spot}(STOUSDT)
​🚨 UPCOMING TOKEN UNLOCK ALERT — $STO 📊
​Major volatility is brewing! $STO is approaching a critical token unlock event today, releasing a significant portion of its circulating supply.
​📈 Unlock & Market Overview:
• Token: $STO
• Unlock Time: Today / Active Session
• Current Price: $0.0384
• Expected Volatility: High Selling Pressure / Liquidation Risk 📉
​📊 Trade Probabilities (Post-Unlock Bias):
🟢 LONG: 25% Chance
🔴 SHORT: 75% Chance
​📈 Primary Signal: SHORT / HIGH-VOLATILITY BREAKOUT
📍 EP (Entry Price): $0.0360 - $0.0375
🎯 TP1: $0.1000
🎯 TP2: $0.3461
🛡️ SL (Stop Loss): <$0.0340
​🔍 Market Analysis:
With macro volatility picking up and new tokens entering circulation, early investors and team wallets may take profits. Keep a close eye on the support level breakdown before taking a position!
​📩 Want real-time signals or technical breakdowns for ANY coin?
Follow me and send a Direct Message (DM) to stay ahead of the market!
#FOMCWatching #STO #TokenUnlock #BinanceSquare #CryptoTrading
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Bearish
​🚨 UPCOMING TOKEN UNLOCK & DELISTING ALERT — $VANRY 📊 ​Major volatility is brewing! $VANRY is facing extreme volatility and delisting pressure following recent exchange announcements. ​📈 Unlock & Market Overview: • Token: $VANRY • Unlock Time: August 2026 / Active Monitoring • Current Price: $0.003666 • Expected Volatility: High Selling Pressure / Liquidation Risk 📉 ​📊 Trade Probabilities (Post-Unlock Bias): 🟢 LONG: 30% Chance 🔴 SHORT: 70% Chance ​📈 Primary Signal: HIGH-VOLATILITY BREAKOUT / SHORT BIAS 📍 EP (Entry Price): $0.003600 - $0.003700 🎯 TP1: $0.005469 🎯 TP2: $0.007031 🛡️ SL (Stop Loss): <$0.002345 ​🔍 Market Analysis: With extreme volatility from delisting news and tight support testing near $0.002700, risk is very high. Keep a close eye on the support level breakdown before taking an aggressive position! ​📩 Want real-time signals or technical breakdowns for ANY coin? Follow me and send a Direct Message (DM) to stay ahead of the market! ​#FOMCWatching #VANRY #TokenUnlock #BinanceSquare #CryptoTrading {future}(VANRYUSDT)
​🚨 UPCOMING TOKEN UNLOCK & DELISTING ALERT — $VANRY 📊
​Major volatility is brewing! $VANRY is facing extreme volatility and delisting pressure following recent exchange announcements.
​📈 Unlock & Market Overview:
• Token: $VANRY
• Unlock Time: August 2026 / Active Monitoring
• Current Price: $0.003666
• Expected Volatility: High Selling Pressure / Liquidation Risk 📉
​📊 Trade Probabilities (Post-Unlock Bias):
🟢 LONG: 30% Chance
🔴 SHORT: 70% Chance
​📈 Primary Signal: HIGH-VOLATILITY BREAKOUT / SHORT BIAS
📍 EP (Entry Price): $0.003600 - $0.003700
🎯 TP1: $0.005469
🎯 TP2: $0.007031
🛡️ SL (Stop Loss): <$0.002345
​🔍 Market Analysis:
With extreme volatility from delisting news and tight support testing near $0.002700, risk is very high. Keep a close eye on the support level breakdown before taking an aggressive position!
​📩 Want real-time signals or technical breakdowns for ANY coin?
Follow me and send a Direct Message (DM) to stay ahead of the market!
#FOMCWatching #VANRY #TokenUnlock #BinanceSquare #CryptoTrading
#TokenUnlock $HOME is today's top gainer on Binance, +32.8% on $27.4M. I refused to call it on 2 August at $0.00766. It is now $0.00882 — up 15.1% without me. 📊 TODAY Price $0.00882 | range $0.00613 – $0.00993 Volume $27.4M — the heaviest on the board That is a rejection going against me, and it is the second one this week. Publishing that is the whole point of keeping a scorecard. 📅 BUT THE REASON HAS NOT EXPIRED I rejected it for a 194,880,000 token unlock — 4.56% of circulating supply, with Core Contributor and Early Backer tranches included. That unlock lands on 10 August. Six days away. It has not happened yet. 🧭 SO WHICH OF US IS WRONG Possibly me. If the unlock is absorbed without new lows, the setup was real and I was too cautious. But a rejection is not a short. I did not bet against this. I said I would not send readers into a coin with dated supply arriving inside 30 days, and that supply is still arriving. Being early to a risk looks identical to being wrong, right up until the date. Ask me again on 11 August. I will publish the answer either way. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock

$HOME is today's top gainer on Binance, +32.8% on $27.4M.

I refused to call it on 2 August at $0.00766. It is now $0.00882 — up 15.1% without me.

📊 TODAY
Price $0.00882 | range $0.00613 – $0.00993
Volume $27.4M — the heaviest on the board

That is a rejection going against me, and it is the second one this week. Publishing that is the whole point of keeping a scorecard.

📅 BUT THE REASON HAS NOT EXPIRED
I rejected it for a 194,880,000 token unlock — 4.56% of circulating supply, with Core Contributor and Early Backer tranches included.

That unlock lands on 10 August. Six days away. It has not happened yet.

🧭 SO WHICH OF US IS WRONG
Possibly me. If the unlock is absorbed without new lows, the setup was real and I was too cautious.

But a rejection is not a short. I did not bet against this. I said I would not send readers into a coin with dated supply arriving inside 30 days, and that supply is still arriving. Being early to a risk looks identical to being wrong, right up until the date.

Ask me again on 11 August. I will publish the answer either way.

Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock I refused $HOME at 0.00766 on 2 Aug. It has since printed 0.00971. That cost money — and the reason I gave was wrong. My logged reason was "unlock 10 Aug". No tracker confirms a 10 Aug cliff, and four disagree outright: Tokenomist "fully unlocked", CryptoRank "next event Jun 2029", Tokenomics.com "24 days", DropsTab 194.88M HOME. What IS verifiable, from Defi App's own docs: TGE 10 Jun 2025, 12-month cliffs on Core Contributors (2B) and Early Backers (1B), 25% each = exactly the 750M that released 10 Jun 2026. That closes against their own table. Monthly linear vesting follows. So the real pressure is ~194.88M/month: 1.95% of the 10B max supply, $1.67M at spot, against $19.5M of 24h spot turnover — about 8% of ONE day. Immaterial; I over-weighted it. Missed-move mark: 0.00766 → 0.00971 high = +26.8% against a 1.5×ATR stop width of 18.27% at the time. Outside the noise band, so this refusal genuinely cost money. Still refused, for the real reason: spot 0.00855 | ATR(14d) 12.63% | honest 1.5×ATR stop 18.95%, near double my 10% cap | funding −0.429% per 4h settlement = 2.57%/day | perp turnover 7.5× spot. Shorts are financing this candle. No call on HOME. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock

I refused $HOME at 0.00766 on 2 Aug. It has since printed 0.00971. That cost money — and the reason I gave was wrong.

My logged reason was "unlock 10 Aug". No tracker confirms a 10 Aug cliff, and four disagree outright: Tokenomist "fully unlocked", CryptoRank "next event Jun 2029", Tokenomics.com "24 days", DropsTab 194.88M HOME.

What IS verifiable, from Defi App's own docs: TGE 10 Jun 2025, 12-month cliffs on Core Contributors (2B) and Early Backers (1B), 25% each = exactly the 750M that released 10 Jun 2026. That closes against their own table. Monthly linear vesting follows.

So the real pressure is ~194.88M/month: 1.95% of the 10B max supply, $1.67M at spot, against $19.5M of 24h spot turnover — about 8% of ONE day. Immaterial; I over-weighted it.

Missed-move mark: 0.00766 → 0.00971 high = +26.8% against a 1.5×ATR stop width of 18.27% at the time. Outside the noise band, so this refusal genuinely cost money.

Still refused, for the real reason: spot 0.00855 | ATR(14d) 12.63% | honest 1.5×ATR stop 18.95%, near double my 10% cap | funding −0.429% per 4h settlement = 2.57%/day | perp turnover 7.5× spot.

Shorts are financing this candle. No call on HOME. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock 📌 $ENA — the risk I disclosed arrives in about 22 hours. Called 2 Aug. Entry $0.0855–0.0875 | T1 $0.0930 | T2 $0.0985 | Stop $0.0818 Now $0.0925, +6.9% from the entry midpoint. T1 was tagged yesterday at $0.0941. Price has held in a $0.0870–$0.0941 band since. Stop 11.6% below, never threatened. 📅 THE UNLOCK 5 August. I named it in the original call, when the trade was flat. I am naming it again now the trade is green, because that is when disclosure actually costs something. Supply arriving into a position already up 7% is the specific thing that breaks this setup. 🎯 WHAT I WOULD DO Something off at T1 — already reached. Stop to break-even on the rest. T2 $0.0985 stays where it is; I am not raising a target because the trade is working. If you want zero unlock exposure, flat before tomorrow is a perfectly rational choice. Missing T2 costs you nothing you had. ⚠️ STILL ON THE RECORD My $0.0818 stop was 0.78× daily ATR from entry — tighter than my own 1.5× rule. Correct level was nearer $0.0774. It did not matter this time. That is luck, not process. One target hit and one live risk. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock

📌 $ENA — the risk I disclosed arrives in about 22 hours.

Called 2 Aug. Entry $0.0855–0.0875 | T1 $0.0930 | T2 $0.0985 | Stop $0.0818

Now $0.0925, +6.9% from the entry midpoint. T1 was tagged yesterday at $0.0941. Price has held in a $0.0870–$0.0941 band since. Stop 11.6% below, never threatened.

📅 THE UNLOCK
5 August. I named it in the original call, when the trade was flat. I am naming it again now the trade is green, because that is when disclosure actually costs something.

Supply arriving into a position already up 7% is the specific thing that breaks this setup.

🎯 WHAT I WOULD DO
Something off at T1 — already reached. Stop to break-even on the rest. T2 $0.0985 stays where it is; I am not raising a target because the trade is working.

If you want zero unlock exposure, flat before tomorrow is a perfectly rational choice. Missing T2 costs you nothing you had.

⚠️ STILL ON THE RECORD
My $0.0818 stop was 0.78× daily ATR from entry — tighter than my own 1.5× rule. Correct level was nearer $0.0774. It did not matter this time. That is luck, not process.

One target hit and one live risk. Not financial advice.
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Bullish
🚨 Token Unlock Alert: $DHN 📅 Date: August 4, 2026 🔓 Unlock: 9.85M DHN (2.65%) 📈 Type: Linear Unlock Unlock Progress: 🟢 Unlocked: 19.71M DHN (5.30%) 🔴 Locked: 335.20M DHN (90.10%) ⚪ Untracked: 17.07M DHN (4.59%) A large portion of the supply remains locked, making this unlock one to watch for potential market impact. #DHN #TokenUnlock #crypto #Web3 #BinanceSquare
🚨 Token Unlock Alert: $DHN

📅 Date: August 4, 2026
🔓 Unlock: 9.85M DHN (2.65%)
📈 Type: Linear Unlock

Unlock Progress:
🟢 Unlocked: 19.71M DHN (5.30%)
🔴 Locked: 335.20M DHN (90.10%)
⚪ Untracked: 17.07M DHN (4.59%)

A large portion of the supply remains locked, making this unlock one to watch for potential market impact.

#DHN #TokenUnlock #crypto #Web3 #BinanceSquare
#TokenUnlock $UB is the strongest-looking coin on Binance Alpha tonight. $764M cap, $4.7M liquidity, 68,272 holders, RSI 64 — not even stretched. It is my seventh rejection in two days. 📅 THE UNLOCK IS 9 DAYS AWAY 303,450,000 UB unlock on 12 August — about $57M at spot. Community, Ecosystem, Treasury and Team tranches all release together, and it repeats every month. Note the ambiguity: against the market cap Binance Alpha reports, that is 7.5%. Against the 2.5B circulating supply other trackers show, it is 12.1%. The sources disagree about the float, which is itself a reason for caution. ⚠️ AND THE VOLUME HAS A HISTORY A Binance Wallet UB trading competition ran 8–22 July, scored on buy-side volume only. Sell volume did not count. Rewards are still being claimed until roughly 14 August. Team is anonymous. No disclosed backers. 75% of max supply still to enter circulation. 📉 THE PATTERN Seven candidates, seven rejections. Six failed on an unlock inside 30 days: ENA 5 Aug | NIGHT 7 Aug | HOME 10 Aug | UB 12 Aug | MANTRA 19 Aug | HYPER 22 Aug August is an unusually heavy unlock month and the gainers board is full of it. The one I did call was ENA — whose unlock is the nearest of all. The difference is that I disclosed it in the call, sized around it, and told you to take something off at target. A known dated risk you are paid to carry is a trade. An unknown one is not. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock

$UB is the strongest-looking coin on Binance Alpha tonight. $764M cap, $4.7M liquidity, 68,272 holders, RSI 64 — not even stretched.

It is my seventh rejection in two days.

📅 THE UNLOCK IS 9 DAYS AWAY
303,450,000 UB unlock on 12 August — about $57M at spot. Community, Ecosystem, Treasury and Team tranches all release together, and it repeats every month.

Note the ambiguity: against the market cap Binance Alpha reports, that is 7.5%. Against the 2.5B circulating supply other trackers show, it is 12.1%. The sources disagree about the float, which is itself a reason for caution.

⚠️ AND THE VOLUME HAS A HISTORY
A Binance Wallet UB trading competition ran 8–22 July, scored on buy-side volume only. Sell volume did not count. Rewards are still being claimed until roughly 14 August.

Team is anonymous. No disclosed backers. 75% of max supply still to enter circulation.

📉 THE PATTERN
Seven candidates, seven rejections. Six failed on an unlock inside 30 days:
ENA 5 Aug | NIGHT 7 Aug | HOME 10 Aug | UB 12 Aug | MANTRA 19 Aug | HYPER 22 Aug

August is an unusually heavy unlock month and the gainers board is full of it.

The one I did call was ENA — whose unlock is the nearest of all. The difference is that I disclosed it in the call, sized around it, and told you to take something off at target. A known dated risk you are paid to carry is a trade. An unknown one is not.

Not financial advice.
Partly True
🚨 Token Unlock Alert: $LA 📅 Tomorrow, August 4, 2026 31.79M LA (3.18% of total supply) is scheduled to unlock through a linear unlock event. 📊 Unlock Progress: ✅ Unlocked: 313.68M LA (31.36%) 🔒 Locked: 686.31M LA (68.63%) ⚪ Untracked: 0.00 LA (0.00%) Linear unlocks gradually increase circulating supply, making them key events to monitor. With over 68% of the supply still locked, keep a close eye on price action, trading volume, and market sentiment following the unlock. Always DYOR before investing. ⚠️ #CMCCommunity #TokenUnlock #Launchpool #crypto #Web3
🚨 Token Unlock Alert: $LA

📅 Tomorrow, August 4, 2026

31.79M LA (3.18% of total supply) is scheduled to unlock through a linear unlock event.

📊 Unlock Progress:
✅ Unlocked: 313.68M LA (31.36%)
🔒 Locked: 686.31M LA (68.63%)
⚪ Untracked: 0.00 LA (0.00%)

Linear unlocks gradually increase circulating supply, making them key events to monitor. With over 68% of the supply still locked, keep a close eye on price action, trading volume, and market sentiment following the unlock.

Always DYOR before investing. ⚠️

#CMCCommunity #TokenUnlock #Launchpool #crypto #Web3
#TokenUnlock I have rejected five coins in two days. Here is what each one did after I said no — including the one that went up without me. 📉 THE FOUR I TURNED DOWN ON UNLOCKS $HOME −14.6% · 10 Aug unlock, 4.56% of supply MANTRA −10.9% · 19 Aug unlock, 58.6% to insiders HYPER −8.1% · 22 Aug unlock, locked supply 1.7x market cap NIGHT −0.2% · 7 Aug unlock 📈 THE ONE THAT COST YOU $BICO +12.4% since I rejected it at $0.01739 this evening. Clean supply, no unlock — I said no because I could not verify why it was moving. It kept moving. That call is currently wrong and I am not hiding it. Average across all five: −4.3%. ⚠️ WHAT THIS IS NOT Two days is a small sample and four of five going my way could easily be luck. Unlock overhang is a real, dated, checkable pressure — it is not a prediction. BICO is the honest reminder: refusing to call an unexplained move means missing some real ones. That is the trade I make on purpose. A missed gain costs you nothing you had. Open call: $ENA at +6.7% from entry, Target 1 not hit. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock

I have rejected five coins in two days. Here is what each one did after I said no — including the one that went up without me.

📉 THE FOUR I TURNED DOWN ON UNLOCKS
$HOME −14.6% · 10 Aug unlock, 4.56% of supply
MANTRA −10.9% · 19 Aug unlock, 58.6% to insiders
HYPER −8.1% · 22 Aug unlock, locked supply 1.7x market cap
NIGHT −0.2% · 7 Aug unlock

📈 THE ONE THAT COST YOU
$BICO +12.4% since I rejected it at $0.01739 this evening. Clean supply, no unlock — I said no because I could not verify why it was moving. It kept moving. That call is currently wrong and I am not hiding it.

Average across all five: −4.3%.

⚠️ WHAT THIS IS NOT
Two days is a small sample and four of five going my way could easily be luck. Unlock overhang is a real, dated, checkable pressure — it is not a prediction.

BICO is the honest reminder: refusing to call an unexplained move means missing some real ones. That is the trade I make on purpose. A missed gain costs you nothing you had.

Open call: $ENA at +6.7% from entry, Target 1 not hit.

Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock 📌 $ENA UPDATE — the unlock I flagged is now 36 hours away. Called it 2 Aug. Marking it honestly: Entry $0.0855–0.0875 → filled | Now $0.0910 → +5.2% T1 $0.0930 → 2.2% away, not hit (high was $0.0914) T2 $0.0985 → 8.2% away | Stop $0.0818 → intact Price came within 1.7% of Target 1 and turned. It has not tagged it. ⚠️ THE PART THAT MATTERS The 5 August unlock is 36 hours out. I disclosed it when I published the call and it has not gone away just because the trade is green. Supply arriving into a position already up 5% is the specific thing that breaks this thesis. Also repeating my own error: the $0.0818 stop is 0.78× daily ATR from entry — tighter than my own 1.5× rule. A correct stop sits near $0.0774. If you widen it, cut your size, or you are adding risk rather than removing it. No new call on $ENA — one call per coin per 48 hours, and this is a status report, not a re-entry. $BICO leads spot today at +46.7%; it has not cleared research, so it is not a call either. Targets are targets. They may never be reached. Not financial advice.
#TokenUnlock

📌 $ENA UPDATE — the unlock I flagged is now 36 hours away.

Called it 2 Aug. Marking it honestly:

Entry $0.0855–0.0875 → filled | Now $0.0910 → +5.2%
T1 $0.0930 → 2.2% away, not hit (high was $0.0914)
T2 $0.0985 → 8.2% away | Stop $0.0818 → intact

Price came within 1.7% of Target 1 and turned. It has not tagged it.

⚠️ THE PART THAT MATTERS
The 5 August unlock is 36 hours out. I disclosed it when I published the call and it has not gone away just because the trade is green. Supply arriving into a position already up 5% is the specific thing that breaks this thesis.

Also repeating my own error: the $0.0818 stop is 0.78× daily ATR from entry — tighter than my own 1.5× rule. A correct stop sits near $0.0774. If you widen it, cut your size, or you are adding risk rather than removing it.

No new call on $ENA — one call per coin per 48 hours, and this is a status report, not a re-entry. $BICO leads spot today at +46.7%; it has not cleared research, so it is not a call either.

Targets are targets. They may never be reached. Not financial advice.
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