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华尔街在逃韭菜
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Glassnode data shows that the number of Bitcoin addresses currently at a loss has exceeded 13 million. This is too intense; it's practically a collective day of suffering for retail investors. From the on-chain chip distribution perspective, so many addresses in a state of unrealized losses indicate that the market has entered a deep 'pain period.' Such a scale of losses typically occurs during large-scale washout phases, which is what seasoned investors commonly refer to as a significant chip turnover. In this situation, as the short-term selling pressure has not been fully absorbed, the market often falls into a gradual decline or prolonged consolidation. In simple terms, the market makers are testing everyone's psychological defenses to see who can’t hold back from cutting losses first. During such times, on-chain activity usually decreases as everyone chooses to play dead. Are you all ready to confront the market makers head-on, or have you already started looking for job application forms at electronic factories? #BTC #OnChain #Glassnode $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Glassnode data shows that the number of Bitcoin addresses currently at a loss has exceeded 13 million.
This is too intense; it's practically a collective day of suffering for retail investors. From the on-chain chip distribution perspective, so many addresses in a state of unrealized losses indicate that the market has entered a deep 'pain period.' Such a scale of losses typically occurs during large-scale washout phases, which is what seasoned investors commonly refer to as a significant chip turnover.
In this situation, as the short-term selling pressure has not been fully absorbed, the market often falls into a gradual decline or prolonged consolidation. In simple terms, the market makers are testing everyone's psychological defenses to see who can’t hold back from cutting losses first. During such times, on-chain activity usually decreases as everyone chooses to play dead.
Are you all ready to confront the market makers head-on, or have you already started looking for job application forms at electronic factories? #BTC #OnChain #Glassnode $BTC
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Bearish
$BTC MARKET: The number of Bitcoin addresses in loss are now over 13M, per #Glassnode
$BTC MARKET: The number of Bitcoin addresses in loss are now over 13M, per #Glassnode
$BTC is flashing a rare stress signal as loss holders pile up 🚨 Glassnode’s latest read shows more than 13 million Bitcoin addresses are underwater, a sign the market is still digesting the last move and liquidity is being tested. When that many holders sit in loss, whales often watch for forced selling or exhaustion, which can set up the next sharp rebound if demand steps in. Not financial advice. Manage your risk and protect your capital. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #OnChainData #BTC走势分析 #Glassnode ⚡ {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC is flashing a rare stress signal as loss holders pile up 🚨

Glassnode’s latest read shows more than 13 million Bitcoin addresses are underwater, a sign the market is still digesting the last move and liquidity is being tested. When that many holders sit in loss, whales often watch for forced selling or exhaustion, which can set up the next sharp rebound if demand steps in.

Not financial advice. Manage your risk and protect your capital.

#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #OnChainData #BTC走势分析 #Glassnode

Bitcoin $BTC is flashing stress as 13 million addresses move underwater 📉 Glassnode’s latest data shows a growing share of holders sitting on losses, which usually changes how liquidity behaves across the market. When this kind of pressure builds, whales and institutions often wait for forced selling to thin out before stepping in, making the next major move more about absorption than excitement. Not financial advice. Manage your risk and protect your capital. #Bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #Crypto #OnChain #Glassnode ⚡ {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin $BTC is flashing stress as 13 million addresses move underwater 📉

Glassnode’s latest data shows a growing share of holders sitting on losses, which usually changes how liquidity behaves across the market. When this kind of pressure builds, whales and institutions often wait for forced selling to thin out before stepping in, making the next major move more about absorption than excitement.

Not financial advice. Manage your risk and protect your capital.

#Bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #Crypto #OnChain #Glassnode

How Whales Accumulate Bitcoin Without Moving The Price — And How You Can Track ThemWhales don’t buy on Binance spot like you do. If a whale tries to buy $500 million of BTC on a single exchange — the order book gets obliterated. Price spikes. They overpay. Retail notices. It becomes a news story. So how do they actually accumulate? Method 1: OTC Desks (Over-The-Counter) Large institutions buy directly from OTC desks — private brokers who match massive buyers and sellers OFF the public exchange order books. This means zero price impact. Zero visibility. The trade never shows on Binance’s order book. Binance has its own OTC portal. So do Cumberland, Galaxy Digital, and Genesis. Method 2: Accumulation Wallets (On-Chain Fingerprints) Despite OTC being private, the BTC still moves ON-CHAIN when settled. This is where it gets interesting. On-chain analysts watch for: • Wallets receiving large amounts in small chunks over weeks • Coins moving from exchange wallets to cold storage (withdrawal = bullish signal) • Exchange reserves dropping (less BTC on exchanges = less selling pressure) Method 3: Algorithmic Accumulation Whales use TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) algorithms to break massive orders into thousands of tiny trades over days or weeks — keeping the impact invisible. How YOU Can Track This (Free Tools): 🔍 Glassnode — Exchange reserves, whale wallet activity 🔍 CryptoQuant — Exchange inflow/outflow data 🔍 Whale Alert — Real-time large transaction tracker 🔍 Arkham Intelligence — Wallet labelling and fund tracking The data is public. The blockchain is transparent. You just need to know where to look. 💬 Bookmark this. Share it. Most retail traders never learn how the big money actually moves. #WhaleWatching #OnChainAnalysis #bitcoin #Glassnode #BTC $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT) $RAVE

How Whales Accumulate Bitcoin Without Moving The Price — And How You Can Track Them

Whales don’t buy on Binance spot like you do.
If a whale tries to buy $500 million of BTC on a single exchange — the order book gets obliterated. Price spikes. They overpay. Retail notices. It becomes a news story.
So how do they actually accumulate?
Method 1: OTC Desks (Over-The-Counter)
Large institutions buy directly from OTC desks — private brokers who match massive buyers and sellers OFF the public exchange order books.
This means zero price impact. Zero visibility. The trade never shows on Binance’s order book.
Binance has its own OTC portal. So do Cumberland, Galaxy Digital, and Genesis.
Method 2: Accumulation Wallets (On-Chain Fingerprints)
Despite OTC being private, the BTC still moves ON-CHAIN when settled.
This is where it gets interesting.
On-chain analysts watch for:
• Wallets receiving large amounts in small chunks over weeks
• Coins moving from exchange wallets to cold storage (withdrawal = bullish signal)
• Exchange reserves dropping (less BTC on exchanges = less selling pressure)
Method 3: Algorithmic Accumulation
Whales use TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) algorithms to break massive orders into thousands of tiny trades over days or weeks — keeping the impact invisible.
How YOU Can Track This (Free Tools):
🔍 Glassnode — Exchange reserves, whale wallet activity
🔍 CryptoQuant — Exchange inflow/outflow data
🔍 Whale Alert — Real-time large transaction tracker
🔍 Arkham Intelligence — Wallet labelling and fund tracking
The data is public. The blockchain is transparent.
You just need to know where to look.
💬 Bookmark this. Share it. Most retail traders never learn how the big money actually moves.
#WhaleWatching #OnChainAnalysis #bitcoin #Glassnode #BTC $BTC
$BNB
$RAVE
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Bullish
🚨 #Xrp🔥🔥 $XRP {spot}(XRPUSDT) HOLDERS ARE BLEEDING! THE SCARIEST DATA SINCE THE FTX CRASH IS HERE! 🚨📉 Wake up, XRP Army! This isn't just a "dip"—on-chain data just dropped a BOMBSHELL that proves the market is in a state of absolute devastation! 😱💔 THE BRUTAL REALITY BY THE NUMBERS: 📉 -41% LOSS: The average wallet active on the XRPL over the last year is down a staggering 41%! 🆘 MVRV COLLAPSE: Santiment confirms this is the lowest "Mean Value to Realized Value" we’ve seen since the FTX CRASH in November 2022. We are at levels of maximum pain! 💀 📉 SUPPLY AT A LOSS: Glassnode reveals that with XRP at $1.33, a massive 56.6% of the total supply is UNDERWATER. This is the worst profitability level since July 2024! WHY THIS IS "STRUCTURALLY FRAGILE": Glassnode warned us even at $2.15 that the market was "top-heavy." Translation? It’s dominated by late buyers who FOMO’d in at the top and are now holding heavy bags. 🎒💸 This makes the current structure incredibly fragile! ⚠️ THE ULTIMATE QUESTION: Is this the "Maximum Pain" bottom before a legendary reversal, or are we looking at a total structural breakdown? 🏚️🌋 ARE YOU BUYING THE BLOOD OR GETTING OUT? The whales are watching your moves. DROP A "HODL" IF YOU'RE NOT SELLING, OR A "📉" IF YOU THINK THE CRASH ISN'T OVER! 👇🔥 #XRPHolders #Glassnode #BinanceSquare #BreakingNews $BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) $SUI {spot}(SUIUSDT)
🚨 #Xrp🔥🔥 $XRP
HOLDERS ARE BLEEDING! THE SCARIEST DATA SINCE THE FTX CRASH IS HERE! 🚨📉
Wake up, XRP Army! This isn't just a "dip"—on-chain data just dropped a BOMBSHELL that proves the market is in a state of absolute devastation! 😱💔
THE BRUTAL REALITY BY THE NUMBERS:
📉 -41% LOSS: The average wallet active on the XRPL over the last year is down a staggering 41%!
🆘 MVRV COLLAPSE: Santiment confirms this is the lowest "Mean Value to Realized Value" we’ve seen since the FTX CRASH in November 2022. We are at levels of maximum pain! 💀
📉 SUPPLY AT A LOSS: Glassnode reveals that with XRP at $1.33, a massive 56.6% of the total supply is UNDERWATER. This is the worst profitability level since July 2024!
WHY THIS IS "STRUCTURALLY FRAGILE":
Glassnode warned us even at $2.15 that the market was "top-heavy." Translation? It’s dominated by late buyers who FOMO’d in at the top and are now holding heavy bags. 🎒💸 This makes the current structure incredibly fragile!
⚠️ THE ULTIMATE QUESTION: Is this the "Maximum Pain" bottom before a legendary reversal, or are we looking at a total structural breakdown? 🏚️🌋
ARE YOU BUYING THE BLOOD OR GETTING OUT?
The whales are watching your moves. DROP A "HODL" IF YOU'RE NOT SELLING, OR A "📉" IF YOU THINK THE CRASH ISN'T OVER! 👇🔥
#XRPHolders #Glassnode #BinanceSquare #BreakingNews
$BNB
$SUI
Article
A chart to determine whether the bear market has ended, whether it's a rebound or a reversal, is very clearSomeone asked me: Now $BTC has risen, does it mean a reversal? Let's take a look together. It's not based on feelings, it's what on-chain data says. First, let's talk about what this chart is: This is a composite signal chart that integrates multi-dimensional on-chain indicators, with data from Glassnode. The colorful pillars in the chart represent the activation status of various on-chain signals, covering four major dimensions: Key pricing models: signals from technical models and on-chain valuation models Network utilization: number of active addresses on-chain, level of transaction congestion Market profitability: can seller momentum and profit-taking be absorbed by the market?

A chart to determine whether the bear market has ended, whether it's a rebound or a reversal, is very clear

Someone asked me: Now $BTC has risen, does it mean a reversal?
Let's take a look together.
It's not based on feelings, it's what on-chain data says.

First, let's talk about what this chart is:
This is a composite signal chart that integrates multi-dimensional on-chain indicators, with data from Glassnode.
The colorful pillars in the chart represent the activation status of various on-chain signals, covering four major dimensions:
Key pricing models: signals from technical models and on-chain valuation models
Network utilization: number of active addresses on-chain, level of transaction congestion
Market profitability: can seller momentum and profit-taking be absorbed by the market?
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Bullish
🚀 URGENT: #BITCOIN $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) "AIR GAP" ACTIVATED – THE PATH TO $80,000 IS OPEN! 🔥 The sleeping giant is waking up, and the on-chain data just confirmed what we all suspected: the "Supply Vacuum" is LIVE! 📈 As a 2-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire sends shockwaves through global markets, Glassnode metrics have revealed a critical setup that could trigger the most aggressive price move of 2026. 🌋 💎 THE "WHALE" WALL ($60K–$70K): A massive 844,275 BTC has been absorbed in this zone since January 1. Institutional "Diamond Hands" and ETF vehicles have built an impenetrable floor. The market has collectively decided: this range is the new home base. 🧱 🌪️ THE $70K–$80K "SUPPLY HOLE": This is where it gets shocking. Between $70,000 and $80,000, there is a massive "Air Gap"—only ~400,000 BTC last moved in this range. The Result: There is almost zero overhead resistance left. Once BTC breaks the $73,000 "War Range" peak, we are in a liquidity vacuum. Bitcoin could "teleport" to $80,000+ faster than most can hit the buy button! ⚡ ⚠️ WHY NOW? The leveraged "weak hands" have been completely flushed. Open interest has reset. What’s left is a structurally stable buyer base ready for a massive breakout as geopolitical tensions pause. 🌍 The spring is coiled. The gap is clear. Are you positioned, or are you waiting for the fomo at $80k? 🚀🌕 Which way are you betting for the next 72 hours? 👇 #Glassnode #SupplyShock #BinanceSquare #Breakout $XRP {spot}(XRPUSDT) $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT)
🚀 URGENT: #BITCOIN $BTC
"AIR GAP" ACTIVATED – THE PATH TO $80,000 IS OPEN! 🔥

The sleeping giant is waking up, and the on-chain data just confirmed what we all suspected: the "Supply Vacuum" is LIVE! 📈

As a 2-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire sends shockwaves through global markets, Glassnode metrics have revealed a critical setup that could trigger the most aggressive price move of 2026. 🌋

💎 THE "WHALE" WALL ($60K–$70K):
A massive 844,275 BTC has been absorbed in this zone since January 1. Institutional "Diamond Hands" and ETF vehicles have built an impenetrable floor. The market has collectively decided: this range is the new home base. 🧱

🌪️ THE $70K–$80K "SUPPLY HOLE":
This is where it gets shocking. Between $70,000 and $80,000, there is a massive "Air Gap"—only ~400,000 BTC last moved in this range.

The Result: There is almost zero overhead resistance left. Once BTC breaks the $73,000 "War Range" peak, we are in a liquidity vacuum. Bitcoin could "teleport" to $80,000+ faster than most can hit the buy button! ⚡

⚠️ WHY NOW? The leveraged "weak hands" have been completely flushed. Open interest has reset. What’s left is a structurally stable buyer base ready for a massive breakout as geopolitical tensions pause. 🌍

The spring is coiled. The gap is clear. Are you positioned, or are you waiting for the fomo at $80k? 🚀🌕

Which way are you betting for the next 72 hours? 👇

#Glassnode #SupplyShock #BinanceSquare #Breakout $XRP
$BNB
alinawaz9t8 :
amasazing 👌👌❤️❤️
A sharp decline in market sentiment.. So what is happening behind the scenes? 📉 The latest data from Glassnode reveals a troubling scene; whales and large investors (those holding between 100 to 10,000 BTC) are incurring daily losses exceeding 200 million dollars. It’s not just about the numbers; it has reached a "tone of pessimism" that currently dominates discussions, the highest since last February. When fear outweighs greed, everyone tends to sell, but history always teaches us that opportunities are born from the womb of these harsh moments. 🌪️ The most important question now: Are we facing a healthy correction or the beginning of a longer downward wave? Share your opinion in the comments, do you think this is a good time to buy or to wait? 👇 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #Glassnode #trading Tips
A sharp decline in market sentiment.. So what is happening behind the scenes? 📉

The latest data from Glassnode reveals a troubling scene; whales and large investors (those holding between 100 to 10,000 BTC) are incurring daily losses exceeding 200 million dollars.

It’s not just about the numbers; it has reached a "tone of pessimism" that currently dominates discussions, the highest since last February. When fear outweighs greed, everyone tends to sell, but history always teaches us that opportunities are born from the womb of these harsh moments. 🌪️

The most important question now: Are we facing a healthy correction or the beginning of a longer downward wave?

Share your opinion in the comments, do you think this is a good time to buy or to wait? 👇
$BTC

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #Glassnode #trading Tips
🚨 #BITCOIN $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) SHOCK: Whales Are Selling… At A LOSS! 🐋📉 Something unusual is happening behind the scenes of Bitcoin — and smart money is paying close attention. On-chain data from Glassnode reveals a spike in Realized Loss among sharks 🦈 and whales 🐋 — meaning large holders are actively selling BTC at a loss. Let that sink in. 💥 This isn’t retail panic… this is BIG MONEY bleeding. ⚠️ What’s Really Going On? When whales start realizing losses, it usually signals one of two things: 1️⃣ Capitulation Phase Big players are exiting positions under pressure — often near local bottoms. 2️⃣ Strategic Reset Smart money is cutting losses to reposition for a bigger move ahead. 📊 Why This Matters Historically, spikes in realized losses from large holders have often appeared during: ✅ Late-stage corrections ✅ Market fear peaks ✅ Pre-reversal zones 👉 Translation: Pain now… but potential opportunity ahead. 🧠 Smart Money Psychology Whales don’t panic — they calculate. If they’re taking losses, it could mean: • Liquidity is drying up • Volatility is coming • A major move is being prepared 🔥 The Big Question Are whales: 🔻 Signaling more downside? OR 🚀 Quietly preparing for the next massive rally? 💡 Final Thought The market looks calm on the surface… But underneath, millions are being lost by the biggest players. And when whales move like this — 👉 A storm usually follows. #BTC走势分析 #Whales #OnChainAnalysis #Glassnode $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $BNB {future}(BNBUSDT)
🚨 #BITCOIN $BTC
SHOCK: Whales Are Selling… At A LOSS! 🐋📉
Something unusual is happening behind the scenes of Bitcoin — and smart money is paying close attention.
On-chain data from Glassnode reveals a spike in Realized Loss among sharks 🦈 and whales 🐋 — meaning large holders are actively selling BTC at a loss.
Let that sink in.
💥 This isn’t retail panic… this is BIG MONEY bleeding.
⚠️ What’s Really Going On?
When whales start realizing losses, it usually signals one of two things:
1️⃣ Capitulation Phase
Big players are exiting positions under pressure — often near local bottoms.
2️⃣ Strategic Reset
Smart money is cutting losses to reposition for a bigger move ahead.
📊 Why This Matters
Historically, spikes in realized losses from large holders have often appeared during:
✅ Late-stage corrections
✅ Market fear peaks
✅ Pre-reversal zones
👉 Translation: Pain now… but potential opportunity ahead.
🧠 Smart Money Psychology
Whales don’t panic — they calculate.
If they’re taking losses, it could mean:
• Liquidity is drying up
• Volatility is coming
• A major move is being prepared
🔥 The Big Question
Are whales:
🔻 Signaling more downside?
OR
🚀 Quietly preparing for the next massive rally?
💡 Final Thought
The market looks calm on the surface…
But underneath, millions are being lost by the biggest players.
And when whales move like this —
👉 A storm usually follows.
#BTC走势分析 #Whales #OnChainAnalysis #Glassnode $ETH
$BNB
Let’s continue to seek the sword by carving the boat, following the previous piece on MVRV, such a magical indicator (simplified, the next post will provide a detailed interpretation) Overlay the MVRV trend of BTC after three halvings on one chart, three lines, with time nodes highly overlapping: ▸ 11–12 months after halving: MVRV breaks 3 (bull market peak) ▸ 29–33 months after halving: MVRV falls below 1 (bear market bottom) ▸ 54–58 months after halving: MVRV breaks 3 again (next bull market peak) The fourth halving is in April 2024, and now it is the 24th month after the halving. According to the pattern, we are quickly approaching the bottom range of "MVRV falling below 1" (expected September 2026 – January 2027). The next historical opportunity window points to October 2028 – February 2029. Will history repeat itself with astonishing similarity again? Let’s witness it together.👇 #比特币 #BTC行情 #MVRV #On-chain data #Halving #周期分析 #Glassnode
Let’s continue to seek the sword by carving the boat, following the previous piece on MVRV, such a magical indicator (simplified, the next post will provide a detailed interpretation)
Overlay the MVRV trend of BTC after three halvings on one chart, three lines, with time nodes highly overlapping:
▸ 11–12 months after halving: MVRV breaks 3 (bull market peak)
▸ 29–33 months after halving: MVRV falls below 1 (bear market bottom)
▸ 54–58 months after halving: MVRV breaks 3 again (next bull market peak)
The fourth halving is in April 2024, and now it is the 24th month after the halving.
According to the pattern, we are quickly approaching the bottom range of "MVRV falling below 1" (expected September 2026 – January 2027).
The next historical opportunity window points to October 2028 – February 2029.
Will history repeat itself with astonishing similarity again? Let’s witness it together.👇
#比特币 #BTC行情 #MVRV #On-chain data #Halving #周期分析 #Glassnode
CryptoSighted
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The current relative value of BTC is severely undervalued—how should investors view this position
📊【$BTC The current relative value is severely undervalued—how should investors view this position?】
A thought-provoking perspective worth considering, shared with everyone today.
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🔍 What does on-chain data say?
From a statistical perspective, the current MVRV score of BTC (Market Value to Realized Value ratio) has entered an extremely undervalued range.
MVRV is a key on-chain metric that measures the current price of BTC relative to its 'fair value'. When it drops to historical lows, it means that most positions in the market are either at a loss or close to break-even—historically, this is often one of the best windows for long-term accumulation.
🚨 Bitcoin Whales Under Pressure — $200M Daily Losses Large Bitcoin holders (100–10,000 BTC) are facing heavy losses as market conditions weaken. 📊 According to Glassnode data: • Realized losses (7-day average) > $200M per day • Whales & sharks are selling at a loss as BTC pulls back from highs 💡 What this means: • Big players are under stress → not just retail • Market sentiment remains fragile • Could signal capitulation phase or deeper correction ⚠️ When whales lose money, it often reflects strong market pressure, not just short-term volatility. 📉 Market Insight Even major holders aren’t immune — showing how tough current conditions are across the crypto market. 📌 Disclaimer Includes third-party opinions. Not financial advice. Always DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Trading #Glassnode #Investing #CryptoTrends
🚨 Bitcoin Whales Under Pressure — $200M Daily Losses

Large Bitcoin holders (100–10,000 BTC) are facing heavy losses as market conditions weaken.

📊 According to Glassnode data:
• Realized losses (7-day average) > $200M per day
• Whales & sharks are selling at a loss as BTC pulls back from highs

💡 What this means:
• Big players are under stress → not just retail
• Market sentiment remains fragile
• Could signal capitulation phase or deeper correction

⚠️ When whales lose money, it often reflects strong market pressure, not just short-term volatility.

📉 Market Insight
Even major holders aren’t immune — showing how tough current conditions are across the crypto market.

📌 Disclaimer
Includes third-party opinions. Not financial advice. Always DYOR.

#CryptoMarket #Trading #Glassnode #Investing #CryptoTrends
Article
BTC has realized price crossover signal, worth paying attention toToday I am sharing a signal. It is not technical, nor news-based, but on-chain data level— and I believe this is currently the most undervalued and easily overlooked signal by retail investors in the market. 📊 This signal officially appeared on April 2, 2026. Its meaning can be summed up in one sentence: $BTC has officially entered the second half of the bear market. 🔍 First, look at the chart and understand the two lines There are two colored moving averages in the chart, data source is Glassnode: 🟡 Yellow line = Average holding cost of BTC on-chain for 1-2 years 🟠 Orange line = Average holding cost of BTC on-chain for 1-3 months

BTC has realized price crossover signal, worth paying attention to

Today I am sharing a signal.

It is not technical, nor news-based, but on-chain data level— and I believe this is currently the most undervalued and easily overlooked signal by retail investors in the market. 📊
This signal officially appeared on April 2, 2026.
Its meaning can be summed up in one sentence: $BTC has officially entered the second half of the bear market.
🔍 First, look at the chart and understand the two lines
There are two colored moving averages in the chart, data source is Glassnode:
🟡 Yellow line = Average holding cost of BTC on-chain for 1-2 years
🟠 Orange line = Average holding cost of BTC on-chain for 1-3 months
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Bearish
⚠️ High Risk: Why Bitcoin’s Drop Below $68K Could Trigger a $50K Crash Bitcoin is currently battling more than just geopolitical headlines. While President Trump’s aggressive stance on Iran triggered a 2% dip to $67,000, a "fragile" internal market structure—specifically in the options market—is creating a self-reinforcing sell-off risk that could plunge prices toward $50,000. ## The "Negative Gamma" Trap Data from Glassnode and Deribit reveals a dangerous build-up of defensive positioning. Traders have loaded up on put options (downside protection) between $68,000 and $55,000, creating what experts call a Negative Gamma Zone. * Dealer Hedging: Market makers on the opposite side of these trades are now forced to short BTC to hedge their exposure as prices drop. * The Feedback Loop: This "forced selling" by dealers accelerates the downward trend, turning a routine dip into a sharp, uncontrollable repricing. * Liquidity Gap: With the recent March 27 options expiry and the upcoming Easter holidays, liquidity is thin. There are currently not enough buyers to absorb this potential wall of sell orders. ## Critical Levels to Watch The $68,000 mark is no longer just a technical level—it is the "trigger" for this automated selling regime. * The Bear Case: A sustained break below $68k opens the door to the high $50s. If the loop intensifies, a revisit of the February 5 bottom ($60k) or even $50k is possible. * The Bull Case: If BTC can reclaim and hold above $68,000, this "gamma trap" may unwind harmlessly, allowing the market to stabilize. Key Takeaway: While war headlines provide the spark, the "inner workings" of the options market are the fuel. Investors should watch the $68k level as the definitive line between a correction and a crash. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #OptionsMarket #Glassnode $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $USDC {spot}(USDCUSDT)
⚠️ High Risk: Why Bitcoin’s Drop Below $68K Could Trigger a $50K Crash

Bitcoin is currently battling more than just geopolitical headlines. While President Trump’s aggressive stance on Iran triggered a 2% dip to $67,000, a "fragile" internal market structure—specifically in the options market—is creating a self-reinforcing sell-off risk that could plunge prices toward $50,000.

## The "Negative Gamma" Trap
Data from Glassnode and Deribit reveals a dangerous build-up of defensive positioning. Traders have loaded up on put options (downside protection) between $68,000 and $55,000, creating what experts call a Negative Gamma Zone.

* Dealer Hedging: Market makers on the opposite side of these trades are now forced to short BTC to hedge their exposure as prices drop.
* The Feedback Loop: This "forced selling" by dealers accelerates the downward trend, turning a routine dip into a sharp, uncontrollable repricing.
* Liquidity Gap: With the recent March 27 options expiry and the upcoming Easter holidays, liquidity is thin. There are currently not enough buyers to absorb this potential wall of sell orders.

## Critical Levels to Watch
The $68,000 mark is no longer just a technical level—it is the "trigger" for this automated selling regime.

* The Bear Case: A sustained break below $68k opens the door to the high $50s. If the loop intensifies, a revisit of the February 5 bottom ($60k) or even $50k is possible.
* The Bull Case: If BTC can reclaim and hold above $68,000, this "gamma trap" may unwind harmlessly, allowing the market to stabilize.

Key Takeaway: While war headlines provide the spark, the "inner workings" of the options market are the fuel. Investors should watch the $68k level as the definitive line between a correction and a crash.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #OptionsMarket #Glassnode
$BTC
$ETH
$USDC
📉 BTC could not hold above $113,000 — the market is preparing for a new test of support 🔸 Bitcoin failed to establish itself above the $113,000 level — this is the average entry price for short-term investors. This level acts as a litmus test for market confidence. Breaking through it could increase selling pressure. 🔸 In October, long-term holders sold over 104,000 BTC (~$11.1 billion) — the largest outflow since July. Short-term players are realizing losses, indicating weak demand and a loss of optimism. 🔸 According to Glassnode, if $BTC does not return above $113,000 soon, the key support zone may become $88,000 — a level where upward momentum was previously formed. This is a reset point for the market, where emotions meet analytics. 🧠 Traders, it's time for a strategic review of positions. 📊 Watch for on-chain signals — they indicate market depth. #BinanceSquare #BTC #Glassnode #CryptoUkraine #TradingPsychology #BitcoinSupport
📉 BTC could not hold above $113,000 — the market is preparing for a new test of support

🔸 Bitcoin failed to establish itself above the $113,000 level — this is the average entry price for short-term investors.
This level acts as a litmus test for market confidence. Breaking through it could increase selling pressure.

🔸 In October, long-term holders sold over 104,000 BTC (~$11.1 billion) — the largest outflow since July.
Short-term players are realizing losses, indicating weak demand and a loss of optimism.

🔸 According to Glassnode, if $BTC does not return above $113,000 soon, the key support zone may become $88,000 — a level where upward momentum was previously formed.
This is a reset point for the market, where emotions meet analytics.


🧠 Traders, it's time for a strategic review of positions.
📊 Watch for on-chain signals — they indicate market depth.

#BinanceSquare #BTC #Glassnode #CryptoUkraine #TradingPsychology #BitcoinSupport
📊 Bitcoin struggles to surpass 107,000 USD, but whales continue to quietly accumulate In the past two weeks, Bitcoin ($BTC ) has continuously fluctuated within a narrow range – with a low around 104,000 USD and a high near 107,000 USD – reflecting the market's short-term indecisiveness. However, on-chain data paints a different picture: long-term holders (#LTH ) are holding the highest amount of BTC in the past 2 years, according to data from #Glassnode . This is a clear indicator of a strong and sustainable accumulation trend. 📈 Long-term confidence unshaken Whale wallets – often the trendsetters in price movements – are continuing to quietly accumulate BTC, despite recent minor corrections. This indicates they are betting on strong growth potential in the near future. 🔒 Increased HODL behavior often signals that a breakout may be forming as circulating supply gradually decreases and accumulated demand rises. #analysis #whale
📊 Bitcoin struggles to surpass 107,000 USD, but whales continue to quietly accumulate

In the past two weeks, Bitcoin ($BTC ) has continuously fluctuated within a narrow range – with a low around 104,000 USD and a high near 107,000 USD – reflecting the market's short-term indecisiveness.

However, on-chain data paints a different picture: long-term holders (#LTH ) are holding the highest amount of BTC in the past 2 years, according to data from #Glassnode . This is a clear indicator of a strong and sustainable accumulation trend.

📈 Long-term confidence unshaken
Whale wallets – often the trendsetters in price movements – are continuing to quietly accumulate BTC, despite recent minor corrections. This indicates they are betting on strong growth potential in the near future.

🔒 Increased HODL behavior often signals that a breakout may be forming as circulating supply gradually decreases and accumulated demand rises.

#analysis #whale
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Bearish
🔥 Glassnode x Keyrock: Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Now Moving in Two Completely Different Directions According to a new joint report from Glassnode and Keyrock, the market’s two largest assets are diverging into clearly different roles: ⸻ 🟠 Bitcoin – The Digital Saving Bond (A Global Store of Value) • 61% of all $BTC hasn’t moved in over 1 year — an all-time high. • Velocity is just 0.6% per day, extremely low → holders prefer saving rather than spending. • Bitcoin now behaves more like gold than a currency, evolving into a global store of value. ➡️ Bitcoin is becoming a digital saving bond. ⸻ 🔵 Ethereum – The On-Chain Financial Engine • $ETH holders spend or utilize ETH 3× faster than BTC holders. • 25% of all ETH is locked in staking, ETFs, and DeFi, showing strong real-world utility. • Velocity ~1.3% per day, about double that of Bitcoin. ➡️ Ethereum is emerging as active financial infrastructure, powering staking, collateral, lending, and DeFi. ⸻ 🎯 In summary: • Bitcoin = a low-velocity store-of-value asset • Ethereum = high-utility financial infrastructure Two assets, two purposes — both essential to the next phase of the crypto cycle. #Bitcoin #Ethereum #BTC #ETH #Glassnode #Keyrock #OnchainData #DeFi #Staking #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoResearch #CryptoMarket
🔥 Glassnode x Keyrock: Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Now Moving in Two Completely Different Directions

According to a new joint report from Glassnode and Keyrock, the market’s two largest assets are diverging into clearly different roles:



🟠 Bitcoin – The Digital Saving Bond (A Global Store of Value)
• 61% of all $BTC hasn’t moved in over 1 year — an all-time high.
• Velocity is just 0.6% per day, extremely low → holders prefer saving rather than spending.
• Bitcoin now behaves more like gold than a currency, evolving into a global store of value.

➡️ Bitcoin is becoming a digital saving bond.



🔵 Ethereum – The On-Chain Financial Engine
$ETH holders spend or utilize ETH 3× faster than BTC holders.
• 25% of all ETH is locked in staking, ETFs, and DeFi, showing strong real-world utility.
• Velocity ~1.3% per day, about double that of Bitcoin.

➡️ Ethereum is emerging as active financial infrastructure, powering staking, collateral, lending, and DeFi.



🎯 In summary:
• Bitcoin = a low-velocity store-of-value asset
• Ethereum = high-utility financial infrastructure

Two assets, two purposes — both essential to the next phase of the crypto cycle.

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #BTC #ETH #Glassnode #Keyrock #OnchainData #DeFi #Staking #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoResearch #CryptoMarket
Article
Ripple’s XRP traded near $2.15 after latest price declines acrosscrypto currencies However, downward pressure remains amid a dip in supply in profit ratios. Breakout past $2.30 could allow bulls to aim for more gains, but waning speculative appetite limits action. XRP price trades near $2.15 and in the red over the week as circulating supply in profit plummets to 58.5%. This is the lowest level the metric has touched since November 2024 when the Ripple token traded under $1, with blockchain analytics platform Glassnode noting a structurally fragile market. Dips for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market align with this XRP’s performance. XRP supply in profit falls According to analytics and research platform Glassnode, the strong downward pressure has XRP supply in profit tanking to around 58% – the lowest since November 2024. That’s when the Ripple token traded near $0.53. Losses in recent weeks have seen supply in loss rise significantly, with momentum buyers dominating and likely a source of sell-off pressure. “Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss- a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers,” Glassnode wrote on X. According to #Glassnode , #XRP distribution after profit realization since late September has been “into weakness, not strength.” But have bulls weathered the storm? The launch of the XRP spot #ETF and key partnerships have buoyed sentiment despite price declines. On XRP spot ETFs, Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas recently noted: Congrats to $XRPC for $58m in Day One volume, the most of any ETF launched this year (out of 900), BARELY edging out $BSOL's $57m. The two of them are in league of own tho as 3rd place is over $20m away. — Eric Balchunas XRP price forecast Ripple (XRP) is trading around $2.15 at the time of writing on Wednesday as uncertainty across the crypto market continues. While Bitcoin has bounced off lows of $89,500 and touched $93,000, the market is largely negative, with retail and institutional demand having faded in recent weeks. Ripple’s token is down 1.6% in the past 24 hours as of writing. The altcoin is also down nearly 12% in the past week, hovering largely near key support rather than at critical resistance. This happens as risk-off sentiment cuts across the market, driven by macroeconomic jitters and panic selling. From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows the relative strength index hovering near 38. It’s downsloping to suggest potential declines, and any fresh weakness could derail bulls. A similar outlook is observable with the moving average convergence divergence, which recently flashed a bearish crossover. In addition, a dip in XRP open interest, with about $3.65 billion in OI being down from $4.11 billion, signals waning speculative fervor. The weak derivatives outlook means traders are retreating onto the sidelines amid continued market uncertainty. Therefore, the $2.10 and $2.00 areas mark key price levels. On the upside, bulls face hurdles at $2.30 and $2.50 before the critical $3.00 mark comes into play. #XRPPredictions #MarketSentimentToday {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT)

Ripple’s XRP traded near $2.15 after latest price declines acrosscrypto currencies

However, downward pressure remains amid a dip in supply in profit ratios.
Breakout past $2.30 could allow bulls to aim for more gains, but waning speculative appetite limits action.
XRP price trades near $2.15 and in the red over the week as circulating supply in profit plummets to 58.5%.
This is the lowest level the metric has touched since November 2024 when the Ripple token traded under $1, with blockchain analytics platform Glassnode noting a structurally fragile market.
Dips for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market align with this XRP’s performance.
XRP supply in profit falls
According to analytics and research platform Glassnode, the strong downward pressure has XRP supply in profit tanking to around 58% – the lowest since November 2024.
That’s when the Ripple token traded near $0.53.
Losses in recent weeks have seen supply in loss rise significantly, with momentum buyers dominating and likely a source of sell-off pressure.
“Today, despite trading ~4× higher ($2.15), 41.5% of supply (~26.5B XRP) sits in loss- a clear sign of a top-heavy and structurally fragile market dominated by late buyers,” Glassnode wrote on X.
According to #Glassnode , #XRP distribution after profit realization since late September has been “into weakness, not strength.” But have bulls weathered the storm?
The launch of the XRP spot #ETF and key partnerships have buoyed sentiment despite price declines.
On XRP spot ETFs, Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas recently noted:
Congrats to $XRPC for $58m in Day One volume, the most of any ETF launched this year (out of 900), BARELY edging out $BSOL's $57m. The two of them are in league of own tho as 3rd place is over $20m away.
— Eric Balchunas
XRP price forecast
Ripple (XRP) is trading around $2.15 at the time of writing on Wednesday as uncertainty across the crypto market continues.
While Bitcoin has bounced off lows of $89,500 and touched $93,000, the market is largely negative, with retail and institutional demand having faded in recent weeks.
Ripple’s token is down 1.6% in the past 24 hours as of writing.
The altcoin is also down nearly 12% in the past week, hovering largely near key support rather than at critical resistance.
This happens as risk-off sentiment cuts across the market, driven by macroeconomic jitters and panic selling.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows the relative strength index hovering near 38.
It’s downsloping to suggest potential declines, and any fresh weakness could derail bulls.
A similar outlook is observable with the moving average convergence divergence, which recently flashed a bearish crossover.
In addition, a dip in XRP open interest, with about $3.65 billion in OI being down from $4.11 billion, signals waning speculative fervor.
The weak derivatives outlook means traders are retreating onto the sidelines amid continued market uncertainty.
Therefore, the $2.10 and $2.00 areas mark key price levels.
On the upside, bulls face hurdles at $2.30 and $2.50 before the critical $3.00 mark comes into play.
#XRPPredictions #MarketSentimentToday

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