$ETHFI #ETHFI At the moment, it’s more suitable to first confirm a rebound rather than define a reversal in advance. Current price is 0.4811; in the past 1 hour -0.93%, and in the past 24 hours -2.94%. Whether the two timeframes shift back in the same direction is the key focus going forward.
The current price is near the lower bound of the last 24-hour range, with -0.93% over 1 hour and -2.94% over 24 hours. The core of bottom analysis is not blindly catching a dip early, but observing whether price can quickly reclaim after breaking down. If it can reclaim, it indicates sell pressure is being absorbed; if it stays below the lower bound for a prolonged time, it means the weakness hasn’t ended.
If the rebound can reclaim 0.48925 and further hold above 0.5009, it suggests that buying pressure is starting to change the prior bearish structure. If, after pushing toward the midline, price drops again—especially if it falls back toward 0.4776—it’s more like a failed repair, and you shouldn’t continue relying on a bullish/turning-strong expectation.
Even if you confirm the rebound has failed, you still need evidence—you shouldn’t immediately chase a short just because of a single spike-and-retrace. A more reasonable sequence is to observe whether resistance levels are rejected, whether the lows start moving lower again, and then decide your action based on whether subsequent pullbacks are able to reclaim the key levels.
In terms of position sizing, you need to differentiate between spot and futures. If you already hold spot, manage it in stages around key levels and don’t switch your stance frequently just because of one 1-hour candlestick. If you’re in no position, waiting for confirmation and entering in batches can be more comfortable. Futures place more emphasis on your entry price and invalidation conditions. When volatility is amplified, actively reduce position size to avoid turning short-term judgment into passive holding.
Your trading plan must include invalidation conditions. If you’re correct, you can realize profits in stages; if you’re wrong, you must allow yourself to exit. Don’t use adding to positions to disguise the fact that the original logic has changed. The market will update, and your view should adjust along with the price evidence.
#DollarHits3MonthLow