eth走势分析

#eth走势分析

This drop of 44% is still quite deep, and the daily chart's moving average system has completely turned down, but this V-shaped reversal also expresses the market's strong rise. If we expect to reverse the situation in the short term, it shouldn’t be too likely.

The last time the moving average flattened downward, the price of $ETH had a period of sideways movement after breaking through the life line, and then there was a larger breakthrough. It's unknown if it will be the same this time, but ETH is likely to trade between 3050-3200 in the near future.

Earlier, the spot market was buying at the bottom all the way, and finally, a little light was seen.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

ETH currently feels like a "strong player" who has just unlocked a new skill but is stuck at a critical level—short-term it is consolidating around $3100, and in the long term, it has hidden upside potential thanks to upgraded buffs.
Current status: A conflicted "charger"
Price performance is a bit "volatile": currently around 22,300 yuan ($3139), down 0.34% in the last 24 hours, but up 3.19% in the last 7 days and over 10% in the last 14 days. It has just rebounded from the $2600-$2700 range but is "slowing down" before the $3100 resistance level.
Surrounding "noises are mixed": whales are quietly "stocking up," wallets holding 10,000 - 100,000 ETH have reached an all-time high, but institutions experienced ETF outflows in November, creating a situation where some encourage while others hold back, causing some hesitation.
Just unlocked "new gear": the Fusaka upgrade completed on December 3, which can increase data capacity by 8 times and improve transaction efficiency, akin to a player who has just learned a new move and is still adapting to how to use it.
Short-term direction: Push through or retreat?
Bullish scenario: If it can break through the $3100 "barrier" with volume, it would be like breaking the resistance of an ascending triangle, and it could then target the $3400-$3800 range, or even aim for $5000.
Bearish risk: If it fails to break through, it may retreat to the $2950 "defense line"; if that support is lost, it could slide towards $2700-$2800, and even face a deep correction risk of $2200.
Key variables: Bitcoin's "leadership role" and macro market sentiment are very important, akin to the condition of teammates and the atmosphere on the court, which will directly affect its performance.
Long-term confidence: Hidden potential in the "skill tree"
Ecosystem "circle of friends" is expanding: the EIL interoperability framework aims to connect all Layer2s, like forming a "super team" of dispersed teammates, providing a smoother user experience that can attract more people to join.
Self "hard power" is upgrading: the Fusaka upgrade has resolved the scalability bottleneck and can flexibly increase data capacity in the future, along with the practical uses of DeFi, NFTs, etc., supporting long-term value.
Institutional "attention" is increasing: net inflows into Ethereum ETFs in the third quarter have surpassed those of Bitcoin, and more publicly listed companies are including it in their asset allocation, as if gaining recognition from professional judges. #eth走势分析

📉 Today, do you dare to bottom fish?
The crash alarm has sounded: the global $19 trillion "nuclear bomb" fuse has been ignited!
This is not a technical adjustment; it is the beginning of the global central banks flipping the table. As you watch BTC's support at 83000 fail, an 80% bet on interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan is igniting a macro storm spanning both hemispheres. Are you ready to face the ultimate "liquidity chokehold" of 2024?
Nuclear bomb fuse: Countdown to Japan's interest rate hike, global $19 trillion "carry trade" faces collapse.
The market has bet real money: December's probability of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike is 80%, rising to 90% in January. This is not a drill; it is a warning of a replay of the 2022 Christmas "carry trade disaster!"
What are the consequences?
For decades, the yen at near-zero interest rates has been used by global traders as "cheap fuel," flooding into high-risk markets like U.S. stocks and crypto once converted to dollars. Once Japan initiates the interest rate hike cycle, trillions of dollars will be forced to close positions, and risk assets like Bitcoin will be the first to bear the brunt, facing immense pressure from systemic selling.
Key date: December 19 Bank of Japan meeting. It will be just before Christmas, when market liquidity is weakest all year, and any disturbance could be amplified infinitely, resulting in a "flash crash."
Multiple chokeholds: BTC is not just falling; it is being "drained."
Macro double whammy.
Eastern water withdrawal: Japan is about to turn off the "cheap funds" faucet.
Western flow disruption: The Federal Reserve enters a quiet period, Powell refrains from mentioning rate cuts, and the market's illusions about a liquidity turn are shattered. Central banks in both East and West tightening expectations simultaneously creates a historically rare funding vacuum.
Internal bloodletting disaster.
Cold data: In the past month, BTC has dropped over 20% from its peak, with a cumulative net outflow of over $3.5 billion from spot ETF funds, shaking the pillars of market confidence.
Leverage liquidation: Just recently, the daily liquidation amount exceeded $400 million, and the dominoes of forced liquidations are still falling, leaving the market structure extremely fragile.
Ecosystem confidence collapse (using BNB as an example).
Even a new official can't save a sharp decline; former star projects on the BSC chain have seen prices fall below historical lows, and the notorious penguin has become the "fallen penguin." This is not just a price issue, but a dual crisis of ecological confidence and liquidity. The most anxious are not retail investors, but the exchanges themselves—rescue actions may already be underway.
$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #美股2026预测

$BTC $ZEC $SHIB @币安广场
38 trillion US debt explodes, countdown to the world's largest "Ponzi scheme" collapse?

Last night, all the warning lights of the US Treasury were on—government debt first surpassed 38 trillion US dollars, and it took only two months to jump from 37 trillion to 38 trillion. This is not just a number; it is a Damocles sword that is cracking, hanging over the heads of the world.

⚡️Core Bomb: Interest burns 2 million US dollars every minute
The real crisis is not the debt itself, but the completely out-of-control interest. In 2025, just paying the interest will require 1.4 trillion US dollars, equivalent to burning 2 million US dollars every minute, which is heavier than the combined US military and healthcare spending. This is not repayment; this is taking money from global creditors to feed an ever-running money printer.

🏛️Ultimate Warning: Three major rating agencies collectively "blacklist" the US
A magical scene has occurred: S&P, Fitch, Moody's—the three major global credit rating agencies have collectively stripped the US of its highest rating for the first time in history. The reason is simple: fiscal uncontrollability, political dysfunction. When the label of "safest asset" is torn off by its own hands, a century of Wall Street faith has begun to collapse.

🌍Butterfly Effect: Your money is accelerating its escape

· Traditional script: Global turmoil → funds flow into US debt.
· Current script: US debt self-explodes → funds rush into gold, euro assets, and even Bitcoin is being re-labeled as a "safe-haven asset."
· Harsh truth: Creditors like Japan, China, and the UK hold over 30 trillion US dollars in debt and are collectively and silently searching for an exit.

💥Where is the next explosion point?
The cracks in dollar hegemony have spread from the fiscal side to the credit side. When the largest "safe asset" becomes unsafe, hundreds of trillions of US dollars worldwide will seek new habitats.
Where do you think this massive amount of money will eventually flow? Gold, Bitcoin, or the next unknown safe-haven black hole?
The comment section awaits your foresight into the future. #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #美联储官员集体发声 #美债抽水

#eth走势分析 Regarding the subsequent market rally, how to operate:
BTC rebounded to around 100,000, around 97,000-98,000, those who still hold BTC must remember to reduce positions and take profits!
ETH rebounded to around 4,000, start to gradually reduce positions and take profits.
Don't wait for the market to truly rally before entering to buy the dip, following the market sentiment FOMO,
The tail end of the bull market is very volatile, especially this round, with professional institutions entering the market, professional players operating, and retail investors' opponents changing from once being newbies to now professional players,
Now retail investors VS current professional players in the market.
On October 11th, during the black swan event, all the weak hands were washed out, those who remain are the elites among elites.

Brother Ma Ji has finally won a beautiful comeback this time, rolling his $500,000 capital into $3,340,000, making a profit of $2,840,000. He really feels proud this time!

You should know that he had consecutive losses for two months before, and this time he finally made a big recovery. Now he holds a long position of $33,500,000, mainly betting on $ETH , and also has a small portion in $HYPE and $ZEC .

However, to be honest, high-leverage trading is like walking a tightrope; it's fast when you make money, but it can also drop harder. I suggest everyone just enjoy the spectacle and not blindly follow the trend, after all, his trading style is not something that ordinary people can withstand. Let's see how long Brother Ma Ji's luck can last.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

USDT trading is hitting a judicial reef! Your operations may be classified as a "money laundering funnel"

Recently, while chatting with a few friends involved in OTC, everyone has been reflecting on the same phenomenon: the risk of small USDT transactions being scrutinized is quietly escalating. Many situations that could have been criticized or lightly punished are now heading directly toward serious offenses. As someone who has experienced three rounds of bull and bear markets, I want to share some practical insights today.

The wind has really changed
Previously, a transaction volume of 200,000 might be treated as aiding and abetting (maximum 3 years), but now, following adjustments in judicial opinions, the threshold for aiding and abetting has been raised to a transaction volume of 300,000 + 3 accounts as a starting point. Does it sound like a higher threshold is a good thing? But the reality is that many transactions that do not meet the standards for aiding and abetting are being classified under the more serious "concealment offense" (concealing criminal proceeds)!

Let me give you a real case: Last month, a retail investor was investigated for trading 50,000 USDT. Since the funds came from fraudulent proceeds, despite his insistence that he was unaware, the operational model (rapid coin purchase - multi-level transfers) was directly classified as "assisting money laundering," and the estimated sentence is expected to double.

Why is USDT prone to pitfalls?
Anonymity is a double-edged sword: the privacy protection you think exists is actually a hotbed for money laundering in the eyes of law enforcement.

Black box of funding sources: You have no idea whether the upstream funds are "dirty money," but on-chain records are permanently retained.

Sensitive transaction actions: Receiving fiat currency - buying coins - transferring at the same time perfectly fits the money laundering model.

Self-protection advice
Refuse "buying and selling on behalf": Absolutely do not engage in requests for "first transfer money to you, help buy USDT."
Verify payer information: Alipay/WeChat transfers must be real-name verified; terminate the transaction immediately if inconsistent.

Beware of high-profit temptations: Transactions that are significantly higher than market prices are 90% likely to be fishing funds.
Keep chat records: Preserve screenshots of all pre-transaction communications as proof of fulfilling your due diligence obligations.

Many newcomers treat the crypto world as lawless, but the reality is that blockchain tracing technology is even more transparent than bank transactions. Remember this: the profit you make may be a 3% difference, but what you gamble is 3-7 years of freedom. In a tightening regulatory environment, it's better to make ten fewer deals than to step on a landmine once.

#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH

Brothers, something big is going wrong!!! $ETH , the second one is about to make a big move again!!!

Are you brothers now having a shadow over this late-night time period? In fact, late night is when big actions come. It often arrives unexpectedly, catching many old friends off guard at this time.

Today, I'm here to provide you with some valuable insights:

The current price is 3100, but the market fluctuations aren't very large right now, with ups and downs repeatedly. This is the moment we should pay attention to, as major actions usually occur at this time.

Bullish: The support level below the current price of 3100 is around the 3000 mark. We can set our entry point near 3080 for a light position test, with the stop-loss point at around 2980. The first target is 3200, and the second target is 3300.

Bearish: The pressure level above the current price of 3100 is around 3200. From a short-term detailed observation, this upward breakthrough attempt has already occurred three times, so we mark this 3200 as strong resistance above. If entering, we can lightly test near the 3180 point, with a stop-loss set around 3080.

I will release today's strategy in the group. The first 10 to find me will receive it for free. Daily lessons on various valuable insights and techniques will help you stand firm in this market.
#ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐

Everyone, don't be discouraged. I asked some experienced trading teachers in Dubai, and they also lost money during this wave. Since October 11th, very few people have made a profit; this is a fact. There are now many more institutions involved, making it increasingly difficult to earn money. A bull market that doesn't allow participants to make money is even more damaging than a bear market. If this continues, the crypto world can only lead everyone to lose faith. It's hard to get rich quickly, but losing 10 million only takes one night.
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

It's still the familiar formula and familiar taste. Whatever the U.S. supports, China will strike back hard. The cryptocurrency market reached its peak in 2021, and then the Chinese government first expelled the mining capacity and then sold off the large amount of Bitcoin it held, sending the crypto market into a bear phase in one go. Later, it announced that cryptocurrency trading was illegal, directly pushing the market into a long bear trend.

Let's take a look at DeepSeek's methods, which are quite similar. They first released hardware using second-rate graphics cards and open-source software, proving that low-cost hardware + high-efficiency algorithms = most functionalities. This has exposed the bubble in the U.S. stock market's AI sector. I speculate that China may announce breakthroughs in chip technology that could challenge ASML.

In summary, virtual currency is a government work plan of Trump, and the Chinese government is certainly brewing how to hit the crypto market hard!

Everyone, be mentally prepared.

Get ready to escape the peak. $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

I have to bring out this chart again
I announce
Now is the last moment for the troops to escape
The air force gathers tonight
A major crash is about to come
The last peak of Ethereum's current phase rebound
No retreat allowed

Short positions at 3203, 3258 for additional buying, stop loss at 3300.
Take profit at 2970 for 30%
Take profit at 2680 for 30%
Take profit at 2336 for all positions.
(The cycle is about 2-3 weeks)

#ETH走势分析

Breaking! The Federal Reserve's balance sheet data is coming, and a critical moment for the crypto market has arrived!

📢 Today at 16:30 Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve will release key balance sheet data, and the cryptocurrency market is facing a major test, with global investors watching closely!

Why is this data crucial?
It can be regarded as the 'fate switch' of the crypto market, directly determining short-term trends. Investors are hoping to find clues about market fluctuations from the data.

Market trends under different data
Balance exceeds $6.6 trillion
If the asset balance surpasses $6.6 trillion, BTC and altcoins may face frantic selling, and prices could plunge dramatically, requiring investors to tread carefully.

Balance in the $6.5 - $6.6 trillion range
If the balance is within this range, the market is likely to continue fluctuating, with prices going up and down. Investors may breathe a little easier, but should not let their guard down.

Balance falls below $6.5 trillion
This is the worst-case scenario; if the balance falls below $6.5 trillion, the crypto market will face systemic risks, and prices may plummet sharply, potentially leading to significant losses for investors.

Powell's policy hints emerge
Global investors are not only focused on the data but also want to glean insights into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's policy direction from the 'BALANCE' data, as his policies directly impact the market.

The Federal Reserve data is about to be released. How will the fate of the crypto market unfold? Let’s wait and see and prepare to respond!

#ETH走势分析
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