美联储降息周期

💥💥The ultimate interview for the Federal Reserve Chairman was suddenly canceled, and Trump's "insider" is already a foregone conclusion? $ETH $ASTER $DOGE 🚀

Just now, a meticulously arranged final interview for the Federal Reserve Chairman was directly canceled by Trump's team. All signals point to one answer: Trump has long had someone in mind, his longtime economic advisor and Director of the White House National Economic Council, Kevin Hassett, is almost certain to secure the position of the next "Global Central Bank President."

⚡️Why is this referred to as a pre-announced "appointment"?

· The process is essentially a formality: from the initial shortlist of 11 candidates to 5, and now Trump has openly admitted that the list has been "reduced to one," the original interview process has completely become a mere facade.
· Public "spoilers": Trump has even pointed to Hassett in public, calling him the "potential Federal Reserve Chairman." This is no longer a hint; it's almost an open card.

💎What kind of style will this "presumptive chairman" bring?
Hassett is certainly not the cautious type like Powell. He has recently made it clear: if he takes the helm of the Federal Reserve, he will "immediately cut interest rates." He is not only a loyal supporter of Trump but also a public advocate for his call to lower rates. A more obedient and quicker to ease Federal Reserve seems to be on the horizon.

⛽️What does this mean for the market? The liquidity carnival continues!
The market has already started pricing in this power transition. Currently, traders are betting that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has soared to 89%. Huashan Securities' research report also points out that the Federal Reserve is highly likely to adopt a "hawkish rate cut" in December, while future personnel changes will be a key variable.

🚨The core logical chain has become incredibly clear: personnel appointment → strengthening of policy shift expectations → warming expectations for global liquidity easing. This represents the most robust macro positive narrative for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Friends, when the commander controlling the global faucet is about to be replaced by an insider who advocates for "immediate rate cuts," do you think this will be the official starting gun for the next round of explosive market? Let’s discuss in the comments!
#美联储降息周期 #ETH #DOGE

💰 The Era of Huge Losses for the Federal Reserve Ends After Three Years! Is This a Major Positive for the Cryptocurrency Market?

It has been three years, and the Federal Reserve has finally ended its continuous losses! It has returned to profitability since early November, and the scale of deferred assets has decreased for the first time. The key reason is the interest rate cuts—rates have dropped from a peak of 5.5% to 3.75-4%, significantly reducing banks' interest expenses on reserves.

This is not only a change in accounting items but also an important signal of a shift in monetary policy:
✅ Reduced operational pressure on the Federal Reserve
✅ Further opening of interest rate cut space
✅ Continued improvement in the global liquidity environment

For the cryptocurrency market, this means:
🔥 A rebound in traditional funds' risk appetite
🔥 Market liquidity is supported
🔥 A more favorable macro environment for crypto assets

Historical experience shows that interest rate cut cycles are often a good period for the performance of risk assets. Although the Federal Reserve will not directly purchase cryptocurrencies, a loose monetary environment creates favorable conditions for the entire crypto market.

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Title: Is the Wind Really Changing? Half of Economists Bet on Interest Rate Cuts in 2026!

🔥 Major signals are coming! Reuters' latest survey reveals shocking news: out of 100 economists, surprisingly half are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut rates to 3.25%-3.5% in the first quarter of 2026! Even more “exciting” is that up to 89 experts expect a possible initial cut of 25 basis points as early as December this year, lowering the rate range to 3.5%-3.75%❗️

👉 What does this mean? The interest rate cut cycle may indeed be closer than we think! Although the Federal Reserve loves to “play tai chi,” economists have already cast their votes with their feet — the easing steps of next year may be clearer than expected. Plus, with the Chicago Fed predicting a high likelihood of the unemployment rate stabilizing at 4.4% in November, is the hope for an economic “soft landing” even greater?

🤔 But the key question arises: if the pace of rate cuts really goes this way, how will the market react? Once liquidity is gradually released, will it quietly push funds in new directions? “Is the bear market still on?” — this question is perhaps on everyone's mind, pondering repeatedly……

💬 Don’t forget, policy shifts are never instantaneous, and there are still many variables in between. What do you think about this upcoming interest rate “turning point”? Let’s discuss in the comments section!
#美联储降息周期 #美国失业率 #加密市场观察

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The cow is still here! Welcome everyone to the live room to chat about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts!
#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储降息周期 #美联

$ETH $BNB $BTC 🔥Epic liquidity release! $12.5 billion US debt buyback + 89% interest rate cut probability, is the crypto market about to surge?💥

📅December 3rd explosive announcement! The US Treasury Department splurges $12.5 billion to buy back US debt, creating the largest bond purchase operation in history, this move directly boosts market liquidity to a boiling point!

💧"Fiscal QE" operates in the shadows, non-QE yet better than QE:
✅ Treasury bond purchases = directly injecting $12.5 billion into the market
✅ Bank cash pools surge → interest rates forced down → dormant funds awaken crazily
✅ On the surface it's "debt structure optimization", but in reality, it's clear easing, the liquidity floodgates are fully opened!

📊Three major assets collectively erupt, funds have already bottomed out in advance:

1. Spot gold surges straight up, approaching $4230/ounce📈

2. Bitcoin stops falling and rebounds, on-chain funds net inflow exceeds $1 billion⛓️

3. US bond yields plummet sharply, risk-averse + profit-seeking funds panic without a clear direction!
💥Golden quote: Liquidity is the market's true parent, when easing becomes consensus, the crypto market is the ultimate destination for funds!

🌍Macroeconomic "double standards" on site, easing signals can’t be hidden:
▫️Federal Reserve: publicly insists on "tight monetary policy", but actions are very honest—officially ends balance sheet reduction on December 1st, MBS redemption funds shift to short-term bonds as a form of market support!
▫️Treasury Department: $12.5 billion buyback + CME data shows the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December rises to 89.2%, dovish signals firmly on the table📉
▫️Key logic: 95% of global stablecoins are backed by US debt, fiscal easing → stablecoin liquidity explosion → on-chain fund frenzy → crypto market takes off!

🚨Conclusion: An epic liquidity feast has begun, asset rotation countdown has started, core assets like BTC, ETH may welcome a super market, are you ready to jump on board?🚀

#加密市场观察 #美债回购 #美联储降息周期 #流动性宽松预期 #比特币

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The cow is still here! Everyone is welcome to come to the live broadcast room to chat about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trend!

#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息周期

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牛还在！欢迎到直播间聊聊降息趋势！
#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储降息周期 #加密回暖

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The cow is still here! Everyone is welcome to chat in the live broadcast about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts!
#美联储降息周期 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密回暖

#美联储降息周期 #小非农 Tonight's bombshell! Non-farm payrolls missed, and the 'little non-farm' ADP is the Federal Reserve's only lifeline?

Folks, this week the U.S. economic data has completely tanked—non-farm payrolls and inflation data that were supposed to be released have all 'skipped work', but the Federal Reserve is having a meeting next week to discuss interest rates, isn’t this just pure chaos?

Don't worry, tonight at 21:15 there's a 'substitute' to save the day: the November 'little non-farm' ADP employment numbers.

This 'little non-farm' was originally just the 'foretelling little brother' of the non-farm payrolls, usually just an auxiliary role. But this time, with all the core data missing, it has directly upgraded to the 'only star of the show'—the Federal Reserve now wants to know if the job market is hot, it can only focus on this data, and this will directly impact whether to raise or lower interest rates next week.

For us investors, as soon as this number comes out tonight, the market is bound to 'party':
If the data exceeds expectations, it indicates that employment is still strong, and the Federal Reserve will likely continue tightening the money supply, causing stocks and crypto and other risk assets to suffer;
If the data disappoints, then expectations for interest rate cuts will take off, and asset prices could soar.

Honestly, this data is now more precious than a beloved child, and once it’s announced tonight, it will definitely be the 'switch' for market sentiment.

Do you think tonight’s 'little non-farm' will be the king of bombshells or the king of silence? Come to the comment section and take a bet on the direction!

Current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's term is about to end, predicting the next Federal Reserve Chairman candidate - Kevin Hassett
Currently ranked first on prediction websites, with a probability of over 80%, he may become the most crypto-friendly Federal Reserve Chairman in history. #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储降息周期 $BTC

The fundamentals and technicals always have some mysterious coupling:
The interest rate cut cycle begins + BTC touches the weekly trend line.
The underlying logic is actually the consensus formed by traders voting with their money, just like revealing a magic trick, the truth is very simple, even insulting your intelligence.
Conclusion: Wait for a sharp drop, and then start to go long.
#BTC走势分析 #美联储降息周期 $BTC

$BTC $ETH U.S. Treasury yields break 4.1%, crypto market may witness a whale "draining" act!

Recently, U.S. Treasury yields have risen again, with the 10-year Treasury yield surpassing 4.086%, closely related to the Bank of Japan's release of interest rate hike expectations. As the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, if Japan starts raising interest rates, it may lead to capital flowing back from U.S. Treasuries to the domestic market, pushing U.S. Treasury yields further upward, thus increasing the global dollar financing costs.

For the crypto market, rising U.S. Treasury yields often accompany tightening liquidity expectations, especially when traditional fixed-income asset yields rise, some institutional funds may temporarily withdraw from high-risk assets and turn to the more attractive Treasury market.

Although the internal structure of the crypto market has matured, short-term sentiment may still be affected, showing a volatile consolidation pattern.

For retail investors, there is no need to panic excessively, but vigilance should be maintained. It is advisable to closely monitor dollar liquidity indicators and U.S. Treasury yield trends, appropriately control positions, and avoid high-leverage operations.

In the medium to long term, the crypto market still possesses structural opportunities, and the correction phase could be seen as a window for quality asset allocation. Stay rational, go with the flow, and one can move steadily amid fluctuations.

Follow Crab Boss and participate in every attack by Crab Boss villagers! Crab Boss will announce specific entry times and real-time news in the village every day! #加密市场回调 #美联储降息周期

🚨Breaking: Trump's most loyal economic advisor may take over the Federal Reserve!
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🔥According to the latest news, former President Trump has almost locked in Kevin Hassett—the current Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers—as the top candidate for the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve!💸

📌Why him?
✅Long-term economic advisor to Trump, highly trusted
✅Repeatedly collaborated with Trump this year to criticize the Federal Reserve for being "too partisan" 💬
✅Publicly accused the Federal Reserve of "slowing down interest rate cuts," aligning closely with Trump's position
✅Market experience + political loyalty set him apart from the final 5-person list

⚠️ Key timeline:
Current Chairman Powell will step down in May 2025!
If Trump wins, Hassett is likely to lead the direction of U.S. monetary policy📈

💬"Will the independence of the Federal Reserve be challenged?"
"Loyalty vs. professionalism, which is more important?
"Is the market ready?"

#特朗普立场 #美联储降息周期 #哈塞特 #鲍威尔讲话 #美国大选
🔁 Share and discuss, leave your opinion!

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Here it comes! The Federal Reserve suddenly "eases up"; is the bull market engine restarting? 📈

Breaking news! The Federal Reserve has just officially turned off the "quantitative tightening" (QT) faucet. Historical experience tells us: every time this happens, the market feels like it has received a "VIP entry ticket" to the party 🎟️, and the next wave of liquidity might be coming!

👉 Do you remember the last time? 可到直播间聊聊趋势
In September 2019, when QT ended and before it restarted in 2022, the S&P 500 (SPY) surged 44%, peaking with a 65% increase! Will history repeat itself this time? The market is already getting restless...

👉 But on the other hand? Alarms are also ringing!
The U.S. unemployment rate is climbing, and the most striking is among young people aged 16-24—unemployment is expected to jump from 6.6% to 10.4%! Is the economy really that optimistic? Or is the Federal Reserve actually worried about something? 🤔

Excess liquidity + cooling job market = What does this combination mean?

What does this mean for our crypto circle?

· With more liquidity, will risk assets (you know what I mean!) get a head start?
· Conflicting economic data, will the market be more volatile? Are opportunities hidden in the fluctuations?
· The skyrocketing youth unemployment rate, will it force more aggressive stimulus policies?

Is it a time for greed, or should we stay clear-headed?

Everything points to a key question: can this round of "easing" break new highs, or is it just the beginning of intense fluctuations? The market always moves forward in doubt...

---

What do you think?
Let's chat in the comments!
→ Do you have faith in a liquidity-driven market?
→ Will the surge in youth unemployment affect the Federal Reserve's next move?
→ This time, is it really different? 👇
#美国失业率 #美联储降息周期 #加密市场观察

#美联储降息周期 The Jiang Lian Central Bank's future meeting may see divergences, increasing market volatility risk.
There may be a series of divergent votes on interest rate issues, which could weaken the effectiveness of its policy signals. If a split of 7:5 occurs in the vote composed of 12 voting members, it will lead to chaos in the market.
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The New York Mellon Investment Management believes that the policy outlook for 2026 will be influenced by political economy.

$BTC $ETH $ZEC 🔥Crazy! Crazy! Completely crazy! Brother Ma Ji's 25 times more ETH was directly hit by the air force, with a daily loss of 1.36 million dollars—this market specializes in treating all kinds of disobedience!\n\n💥💥💥Domestic policies are often counterintuitive: every crackdown often comes when the mad bull is already on the way. With Powell avoiding discussions on interest rate hikes, the probability of a rate cut in December has soared to 87.6%, and the market has already started to stir.\n\nBut don’t rush, the regulatory hammer is hanging above: 13 domestic departments have jointly issued documents to block the flow of funds, tightening every link from OTC to development, from projects to self-media. Retail investors may be "not illegal", but if something goes wrong, reporting? Difficult.\n\nExtreme scenarios are always cyclical: some shout ZEC "get to 300" and "sell everything to bet", the deeper the loss, the more firmly they believe; while others calmly short, specifically eating the emotional dividends.\n\nBull and bear often hinge on a single thought.\nAre you preparing to bottom out, or are you following the short?\nShout out your camp in the comments!\n\n#加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析 #美联储降息周期 #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析

🔥 Federal Reserve Ends QT on December 1: Signal for the Start of the Crypto Super Cycle? 🔥
Latest news, on December 1, 2025, the Federal Reserve officially ends quantitative tightening (QT), which is seen as a significant signal of a shift in liquidity that could trigger a massive rebound in the crypto market. Analysts compare this to 2019 when the crypto market surged after the pause in QT. Bitcoin is currently stable above $88,000, and if liquidity is injected, entry points could be considered at $87,000, with a target of $95,000. Stablecoins and DeFi projects may benefit first, but attention must be paid to interest rate decision risks.

#BTC #美联储降息周期 #比特币反弹

The Federal Reserve's ultimate showdown week! These data points may become pivotal in influencing interest rate cuts!

BlockBeats news, in the week ending November, the combination of the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States and the sudden network outage at the CME data center triggered a massive shock in the financial markets: spot gold and silver experienced extreme volatility, and after futures resumed quoting, they entered a frenzy mode, with gold soaring nearly 150 dollars in a week, strongly returning above 4200 dollars. Meanwhile, weak U.S. economic data adds to the uncertainty - September's PPI and retail sales performance fell short of expectations, and the ADP weekly private sector employment data was similarly lackluster, casting a shadow over the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy.

Next week is deemed the Federal Reserve's "tone-setting showdown week," where a flurry of data and statements from big players will dominate market direction:

- Tuesday 09:00, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend a commemorative event and deliver a key speech; 23:00, Federal Reserve Governor Bowman will testify before the House committee.
- From Wednesday to Friday, core data will bombard the market: November ADP employment numbers, September import price index, monthly industrial output rate, final value of S&P global services PMI, ISM non-manufacturing PMI, initial jobless claims, as well as September's core PCE price index (year-on-year + month-on-month), monthly personal spending rate, initial value of December inflation expectations, preliminary value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index, and other heavyweight indicators will be released in succession.

Key highlights: If November's services PMI continues to expand healthily, it will add more ammunition to the Federal Reserve's hawkish camp; if it falls below the 50.0 boom-bust line, calls for immediate interest rate cuts will gain strong support. In addition, next Wednesday's ADP employment report is a key "advance indicator before non-farm payrolls" - the official non-farm report for October has been canceled, and the November non-farm data will not be released until December 16th; this private sector employment data will become the "only real-time barometer" of the labor market, with its performance directly impacting market expectations for policy easing.

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#美联储降息周期 The president who loves to tweet the most in America has started making grand promises again—he asserts that the stock market will continue to rise, even throwing out a bold idea: with tariff revenue, it might be possible to eliminate income tax. It sounds quite fantastical, but the market evidently buys into it.

However, Wall Street's actuaries are not so optimistic. Luca Paolini, a strategist at Pictet Asset Management, recently poured cold water on the situation: the dollar is likely to stall next year. The logic is simple—U.S. economic growth is beginning to weaken, inflationary pressures are gradually easing, which opens up space for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates. Once the interest rate differential narrows, the dollar's attractiveness naturally declines.

Even more critically, the economies of Europe and Japan may unexpectedly improve, leading to changes in capital flows. Moreover, the dollar is currently overvalued, and Pictet directly provided a quantitative forecast: by the end of 2026, the dollar index may drop from the current 99.55 to around 95.

In simple terms, on one side is the hope for policy benefits, and on the other side is the reality of the fundamentals—the market competition in 2026 may be more complex than imagined.